Next Article in Journal
BIM-Based Visualization Research in the Construction Industry: A Network Analysis
Previous Article in Journal
Does Social Support Affect the Health of the Elderly in Rural China? A Meta-Analysis Approach
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
Article

Exploration of Medical Trajectories of Stroke Patients Based on Group-Based Trajectory Modeling

1
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan City 320, Taiwan
2
Graduate Program in Biomedical Informatics, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan City 320, Taiwan
3
Innovation Center for Big Data and Digital Convergence, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan City 320, Taiwan
4
Department of Neurosurgery, Taipei Hospital, Ministry of Health and Welfare, New Taipei City 242, Taiwan
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16(18), 3472; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16183472
Submission received: 29 July 2019 / Revised: 28 August 2019 / Accepted: 10 September 2019 / Published: 18 September 2019

Abstract

:
A high mortality rate is an issue with acute cerebrovascular disease (ACVD), as it often leads to a high medical expenditure, and in particular to high costs of treatment for emergency medical conditions and critical care. In this study, we used group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) to study the characteristics of various groups of patients hospitalized with ACVD. In this research, the patient data were derived from the 1 million sampled cases in the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. Cases who had been admitted to hospitals fewer than four times or more than eight times were excluded. Characteristics of the ACVD patients were collected, including age, mortality rate, medical expenditure, and length of hospital stay for each admission. We then performed GBTM to examine hospitalization patterns in patients who had been hospitalized more than four times and fewer than or equal to eight times. The patients were divided into three groups according to medical expenditure: high, medium, and low groups, split at the 33rd and 66th percentiles. After exclusion of unqualified patients, a total of 27,264 cases (male/female = 15,972/11,392) were included. Analysis of the characteristics of the ACVD patients showed that there were significant differences between the two gender groups in terms of age, mortality rate, medical expenditure, and total length of hospital stay. In addition, the data were compared between two admissions, which included interval, outpatient department (OPD) visit after discharge, OPD visit after hospital discharge, and OPD cost. Finally, the differences in medical expenditure between genders and between patients with different types of stroke—ischemic stroke, spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)—were examined using GBTM. Overall, this study employed GBTM to examine the trends in medical expenditure for different groups of stroke patients at different admissions, and some important results were obtained. Our results demonstrated that the time interval between subsequent hospitalizations decreased in the ACVD patients, and there were significant differences between genders and between patients with different types of stroke. It is often difficult to decide when the time has been reached at which further treatment will not improve the condition of ACVD patients, and the findings of our study may be used as a reference for assessing outcomes and quality of care for stroke patients. Because of the characteristics of NHIRD, this study had some limitations; for example, the number of cases for some diseases was not sufficient for effective statistical analysis.

1. Introduction

Acute cerebrovascular disease (ACVD), or stroke, incurs substantial medical expenditure [1,2]. In general, stroke can be classified into four types: ischemic stroke, spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Among the leading causes of hospitalization, stroke is in the top five causes of cerebrovascular hospitalization, and 10–35% of ACVD patients are of the sICH type [3,4,5,6]. The incidence differs in men and women, and female patients are generally older than male patients [4]. Stroke incurs a high medical expenditure, in particular attracting high costs for emergency and intensive care facilities in cases of sICH [2,7]. Many factors affect the outcome of ACVD, and comorbidities are critical risk factors. Ensuring continuity of care for stroke patients with comorbidities can significantly reduce their risks and improve their treatment outcomes [2,8,9]. Several studies have attempted to use cross-sectional data to predict the outcomes of strokes [10,11,12], with limited results.
Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) is a method of longitudinal data analysis, and can be used to evaluate the outcomes of diseases over time [13,14]. Research into sleep behavior has been performed using GBTM, and it was found that night-waking in children is positively associated with emotional symptoms, hyperactivity/inattention, and conduct problems [15]. Another study used longitudinal transition trajectory data for gout and its comorbidities for outcome prediction in different age groups [16]. The National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) samples longitudinal data of National Health Insurance patients in Taiwan for healthcare research [17]. Many researchers use the NHIRD as a research database for model construction or knowledge discovery [5,7,18,19,20,21,22]. The NHIRD is a very important medical administrative database, and has been instrumental in increasing our knowledge in the areas of medicine, health, and epidemiology. This study employed GBTM to explore the trends in hospitalization in groups of stroke patients using the NHIRD.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Data Source, Protection, and Permissions

Patient data were collected from the NHIRD in Taiwan [17], a database of 1 million sampled cases having been extracted from the NHIRD. Data analysis was performed using a big data analytics platform in the Innovation Center for Big Data and Digital Convergence, Yuan Ze University [23]. Patient privacy was protected using a double-scrambling protocol that encrypted patient data in the NHIRD to generate data for research purposes. The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of Taipei Hospital (IRB Approval Number: TH-IRB-0015-0003), and all the researchers agreed to and signed a written statement that proclaimed they had no intention of acquiring information that might potentially breach the privacy of patients or care providers. The protocol of this study was assessed by the National Health Research Institutes (NHRI), which agreed to the proposed analysis of the database (Approval No.: NHIRD-104-183).

2.2. Data Management and Statistical Analysis

Three kinds of stroke and related diseases were identified using the International Classification of Diseases 9th revision (ICD9) principal diagnosis codes: ischemic stroke (ICD9 codes 433 to 434, 436); sICH (ICD9 codes 431 to 432); and SAH (ICD9 code 430). There were 27,646 patients admitted due to stroke from 2000 to 2013. The patients who were admitted due to suspected traumatic brain injury (ICD9 codes 800 to 804, 850 to 854, 959.01, and 959.09) and traffic events were excluded. To avoid the effect of extreme values, cases in the top 10% in terms of total length of stay and patients hospitalized more than nine times (fewer than 15 cases, about 0.05%), totaling 40 cases, were excluded from the analysis (see Table 1). In addition, we integrated the data with the registry of beneficiaries file, and identified 6946 patients not covered by National Health Insurance, which meant that the patient was dead [24], and with the data on ambulatory care expenditures by visits. Finally, these data were analyzed in a merged database. Figure 1 shows the flowchart of data management of this study.
Patient characteristics, including age, mortality rate, medical expenditure, and total length of hospital stay, were recorded, and the information for each group and each hospitalization was then analyzed. We identified patients who had been hospitalized more than four times and fewer than or equal to eight times, and their data were subjected to trajectory analysis. This study chose only the patients who had been admitted to hospitals four times because the GBTM method analyzes the trend of admissions. If there are fewer than three admissions, no significant trend patterns will be found. Data classification was based on the parameter of medical expenditure, using which patients were split into three groups: high, medium, and low medical expenditure, split at the 33rd and 66th percentiles. Data management and statistical analysis were performed using SAS software (ver.9.4; SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

3. Results

In total, there were 27,404 cases admitted to hospitals. Cases who were admitted to hospitals fewer than four times or more than eight times were excluded. A total 27,264 cases (male/female = 15,972/11,392) were included in this study (Table 1), and 795 patients had been admitted to hospital more than four times. According to our analysis, 20,713 cases were of ischemic stroke, 5758 were sICH cases, and 875 were SAH cases. The mortality rate at the initial admission (7.0%) was relatively higher than at the second (6.1%), third (6.3%), and fourth admissions (6.2%) (p < 0.001). The mortality rate differed between male and female patients. The mortality rate of female patients decreased from 7.2% at the first admission to 4.5% at the fourth admission. In addition, despite a relatively high mortality rate at the first admission (6.9%), the rate in male patients increased at every admission subsequent to the second (5.0% at the second, 6.1% at the third, and 7.1% at the fourth admission). With regards to the type of stroke, the mortality rate for SAH (21.1%) was significantly higher than those for sICH (13.9%) and ischemic stroke (4.5%) (p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in mortality rate between the first and the fourth admission for any type of stroke. The mean age of the male and female patients differed significantly at every admission, with the exception of the patients who died at the fourth admission, there being no significant difference in mean age between the male and female patients who died at the fourth admission. The mean ages of patients with sICH (58.9 years, SD = 15.2), and SAH (54.7 years, SD = 14.7) were significantly lower than the mean ages of the ischemic stroke patients at the first admission (p < 0.001). The same trend was observed in the patients who died, but there were no significant differences in age between the patients who suffered different types of stroke. The mean length of hospital stay (LOS) increased significantly from the first to the fourth admission in both male and female patients. However, the LOS at the third and fourth admissions were significantly decreased in the patients who died, and this was especially evident in the female patients at the fourth admission. The total medical expenditure for the patients who died was significantly higher than the mean total expenditure, regardless of admission or gender (p < 0.001). sICH (16.5 days, SD = 13.5) and SAH patients (17.0 days, SD = 13,8) had significantly longer LOS than ischemic stroke patients (9.1 days, SD = 6.7) at the first admission (p < 0.001). In contrast, of the patients who died, the SAH (9.6 days, SD = 11.0) cases, ischemic stroke cases (10.5 days, SD = 8.2), and sICH cases (11.3 days, SD = 12.5) did not differ significantly in terms of LOS at the first admission. At the different admissions, the mean medical expenditure of the patients who died was significantly higher than that of the patients who did not expire (p < 0.001), and decreased from the first to the fourth admission, regardless of gender or stroke type. Only in the SAH cases was the medical expenditure of the patients who died ($4932, SD = 4471) significantly lower than that of the other patients ($7636, SD = 6373) at the first admission. However, according to the different types of stroke, the medical expenditure of the SAH patients ($7636, SD = 6373) was significantly higher than that of the sICH ($3846, SD = 3776) and ischemic stroke patients ($1293, SD = 1061) at the first admission. Interestingly, the medical expenditure of the patients who died was lower than that of the total patient cohort at the fourth admission (Table 2).
Using the GBTM method, the data were compared between two admissions. The interval between two admissions decreased from 522.8 days (SD = 598.3) to 364.6 days (SD = 426.1) and to 316.5 days (SD = 370.6). There was no significant difference in the interval between the first and second admissions between the male (536.7 days, SD = 597.5) and female patients (543.5 days, SD = 599.6). However, the interval between the second and third admissions was longer in the female patients (428.6 days, SD = 484.7) than the male patients (356.7 days, SD = 393.4) (p < 0.001). The interval between the first and second admissions in the ischemic stroke patients (556.2 days, SD = 602.1) was significantly longer than that of the sICH (473.9 days, SD = 564.4) and SAH patients (474.5 days, SD = 614.4) (p < 0.001). Interestingly, the interval between the third and fourth admissions in the SAH cases (188.6 days, SD = 119.3) was significantly shorter than that in the ischemic stroke (335.1 days, SD = 370.4) and sICH patients (333.8 days, SD = 378.2) (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the interval between the third and fourth admissions between the male (336.1 days, SD = 317.5) and female patients (328.2 days, SD = 317.5). The first outpatient department (OPD) visit after discharge occurred around 13 days after the first admission in the male patients, and 11 days in the female patients. In the different admission intervals, the highest mean number of OPD visits occurred between the second and third admissions (68.9 times, SD = 70.4) as compared with the first and second (45.1 times, SD = 50.5) and the third and fourth admissions (56.7 times, SD = 60.3), regardless of gender. Patients visited the OPD around every 5 days, incurring a cost of approximately $31 to $37 per visit, regardless of gender or type of stroke (Table 3).
This study evaluated the differences between genders in medical expenditure at different hospital admissions using GBTM. The cases were divided into high, medium, and low groups according to medical expenditure, separated at the 33rd and the 66th percentiles; a total 28.8% of cases incurred a high medical expenditure and 37.9% cases a low medical expenditure at the first admission; however, from the second to the fourth admission, the high medical expenditure group increased in size progressively from 32.7% to 33.9% and finally to 35.7% in the male patients, and 34.3% to 34.0% and finally to 37.5% in the female patients. The percentage of patients in the medium medical expenditure group remained stable in both genders. More than 26% of patients migrated from the low medical expenditure group to the high group in both the female and male patients at subsequent admissions (Figure 2).
This study also evaluated the differences in medical expenditure between patients with different types of stroke at different hospital admissions using GBTM. According to the different types of stroke, the medical expenditure at different admissions differed. The ischemic stroke patients (644 cases) represented more than 80% of all stroke cases analyzed, while the sICH patients accounted for 141 cases and the SAH patients for only 10 cases of all the stroke patients who had been admitted to hospital more than four times. As the number of cases was relatively low, GBTM was used to evaluate the SAH patients for reference only. The proportions of sICH (46.1%) and SAH (90%) patients with a high medical expenditure were relatively higher than the proportion of ischemic stroke patients (23.2%), and the proportion of ischemic stroke cases was relatively higher than the proportions of sICH (29.0%) and SAH (0.0%) patients in the low medical expenditure group at the first admission. More than 45% of patients in the high medical expenditure group and more than 34% in the medium medical expenditure group had suffered the same type of stroke. The proportion of remaining ischemic stroke patients in the low medical expenditure group decreased progressively from 50.4% to 42.0% and finally to 38.0%, but the proportion of patients who moved into the higher medical expenditure group increased at subsequent admissions, regardless of stroke type (Figure 3).

4. Discussion

Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) is a good method by which to examine trends in different groups [13,14,25], sometimes uncovering as yet undiscovered knowledge. This study used GBTM to examine the trends in medical expenditure in different groups of ACVD patients at different admission times, and some important results were obtained. Although at the first admission, the SAH (90%) and sICH patients (46.1%) incurred higher medical expenditures than the ischemic stroke patients (23.2%), the results of this study showed that many ACVD patients in the low or medium expenditure groups moved to the high expenditure group at subsequent admissions, indicating that medical expenditure will increase at each subsequent hospitalization for ACVD in the majority of patients. Our study results also demonstrated that the time interval between two admissions became progressively shorter; this phenomenon was observed in both genders, as well as for all types of stroke.
Even though it is generally agreed that the state of patients will worsen gradually with age, questions remain as to whether or not patients with ACVD will become ill again, and whether hospitalization will occur within a shorter interval than for previous admissions. More studies are needed in order to investigate these critical questions. At present, an inadequate quality of care that results in worsened patient condition and an elevated medical expenditure in ACVD patients may be a possible explanation for this observation.
There are differences between male and female patients in many diseases. Gender is a special factor in terms of the outcome of ACVD. Women have a lower incidence of ischemic stroke as compared with men throughout most of their lifespan [26]. In fact, gonadal hormones are an important factor in coagulation and fibrinolysis, and influence the risk of ischemic stroke [26,27]. However, women are at greater risk of sICH than men [4]. Women will more frequently ignore symptoms of acute ischemic stroke, leading to a delay in arriving at a hospital [28]. This study found that there was no significant difference in mortality rate between male and female stroke patients at the first admission. Interestingly, the trend of female mortality was that of a progressive decrease, especially at the fourth admission. In contrast, the trend of male mortality was an increase from the second admission. This might be due to the fact that in female stroke patients, the first attack occurs at an older age, while male stroke patients are relatively younger than female patients. This was very interesting, and further study is needed to investigate the reasons for these results.
It is difficult to make the decision as to when to stop treatment and allow patients to die with dignity. The old patients with preoperative do-not-resuscitation (DNR) orders is significant associated with postoperative morbidity and mortality [29]. Stroke patients are at high risk of morbidity and mortality. One study indicated that 35% of sICH patients would consider a DNR order, and 73% of orders were issued within 24 h of admission. A more severe stroke, greater age, and deterioration soon after admission were three of the most important factors [30]. The medical expenditure of patients who died was significantly higher than the total mean medical expenditure at the first admission, and decreased at subsequent hospital admissions. Cases of SAH and sICH, which are more severe types of stroke than ischemic stroke, incurred greater medical expenditures, which decreased significantly at the second, third, and fourth admissions. As in previous studies of stroke patients, these results demonstrated that different decisions are made if patients have multimorbidity, such as a more severe stroke, an older age, another stroke, or deterioration soon after admission [30]. DNR orders are positively associated with multimorbidity, cognitive impairment, cancer, and stroke [31]. Patients themselves or their families will consider conservative treatment and a DNR order when patients become more poorly and are admitted again. This represents indirect evidence that patients who do not recover from diseases will tend to sign a DNR order to ensure a better quality of life and to prevent invalidation of medical treatment in Taiwan. Patients who suffer a stroke need better care and a better quality of life, which would be expected to result in postponing the next admission and allow the patient dignity in death. The results of this study may be used as a reference in terms of evaluation of outcomes and quality of care for stroke patients.
This study had some limitations. First, the data used in this study were administrative data, which may represent patient outcome indirectly. Second, this study chose patients who had been admitted to hospitals more than four times, as the GBTM method used evaluates the trend of admissions. If there are less than three admissions, no significant trend patterns will be found. This method also had bias for the cases with more than 8 admissions because of that there were not enough cases to derive a trend for them.Third, the patient data were derived from 1 million sampled cases from the NHIRD; therefore, the number of cases for some diseases was not sufficient for effective statistical analysis; for example, there were only 10 SAH cases analyzed in this study. Some trends or mean data were relatively extreme as compared with other groups, and the results for SAH have been included only for reference. Further evaluation is needed. Fourth, some patients are hospitalized for many diseases, and, in order to simplify the statistics, comorbidities were not evaluated in this study, which may have caused some bias. In the future, we might use multi-hospital data and big data methodologies for evaluation. We might also use the whole NHIRD, and comorbidities and outcome factors will be considered in future studies.

5. Conclusions

This study employed GBTM to examine the trends in medical expenditure for different groups of stroke patients at different admissions, and some important results were obtained. Our results demonstrated that the time interval between subsequent hospitalizations decreased in the ACVD patients, and there were significant differences between genders and between patients with different types of stroke. It is often difficult to decide when the time has been reached at which further treatment will not improve the condition of ACVD patients, and the findings of our study may be used as a reference for assessing outcomes and quality of care for stroke patients. Because of the characteristics of NHIRD, this study had some limitations; for example, the number of cases for some diseases was not sufficient for effective statistical analysis.

Author Contributions

T.-Y.C. planned the experiments and revised the manuscript; M.-L.L. and W.-L.W. analyzed the data; H.-W.T. wrote the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Acknowledgments

This research was funded by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST 107-2221-E-992-101 and MOST 107-2218-E-155-005). The funder had no role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The authors would like to thank the National Health Insurance Administration for providing the dataset for use in our study.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

References

  1. Chen, R.; Hu, Z.; Chen, R.-L.; Zhang, D.; Xu, L.; Wang, J.; Wei, L. Socioeconomic deprivation and survival after stroke in China: A systematic literature review and a new population-based cohort study. BMJ Open 2015, 5, e005688. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  2. Lahiry, S.; Levi, C.; Kim, J.; Cadilhac, D.A.; Searles, A. Economic Evaluation of a Pre-Hospital Protocol for Patients with Suspected Acute Stroke. Front. Public Health 2018, 6, 43. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  3. Chan, C.; Ting, H.; Huang, H. The definition of a prolonged intensive care unit stay for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients: An application with national health insurance research database. Biomed. Res. Int. 2014, 2014, 891725. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  4. Chan, C.; Ting, H.; Huang, H. The incidence, hospital expenditure, and, 30 day and 1 year mortality rates of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in Taiwan. J. Clin. Neurosci. 2014, 21, 91–94. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  5. Ting, H.-W.; Chan, C.-L.; Pan, R.-H.; Lai, R.K.; Chien, T.-Y. Use of Information Technologies to Explore Correlations between Climatic Factors and Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Different Age Groups. J. Comput. Sci. Eng. 2017, 11, 142–151. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  6. Krishnamurthi, N.; Francis, J.; Fihn, S.D.; Meyer, C.S.; Whooley, M.A. Leading causes of cardiovascular hospitalization in 8.45 million US veterans. PLoS ONE 2018, 13, e0193996. [Google Scholar]
  7. Ting, H.W.; Chien, T.Y.; Lai, K.R.; Pan, R.H.; Wu, K.H.; Chen, J.M.; Chan, C.L. Differences in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Cases between Urban and Rural Regions of Taiwan: Big Data Analytics of Government Open Data. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2017, 14, 1548. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  8. Thanvi, B.R.; Sprigg, N.; Munshi, S.K. Advances in spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage. Int. J. Clin. Pract. 2012, 66, 556–564. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  9. Yang, L.; Liu, J.; Qi, G.; Li, Y.; Liu, Y. The middle-term outcome of carotid endarterectomy and stenting for treatment of ischemic stroke in Chinese patients. Sci. Rep. 2018, 8, 4697. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  10. Li, H.W.; Yang, M.C.; Chung, K.P. Predictors for readmission of acute ischemic stroke in Taiwan. J. Formos. Med. Assoc. 2011, 110, 627–633. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  11. Tshikwela, M.L.; Longo-Mbenza, B. Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: Clinical and computed tomography findings in predicting in-hospital mortality in Central Africans. J. Neurosci. Rural Pract. 2012, 3, 115–120. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  12. Martini, S.R.; Flaherty, M.L.; Brown, W.M.; Haverbusch, M.; Comeau, M.E.; Sauerbeck, L.R.; Kissela, B.M.; Deka, R.; Kleindorfer, D.O.; Moomaw, C.J.; et al. Risk factors for intracerebral hemorrhage differ according to hemorrhage location. Neurology 2012, 79, 2275–2282. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed] [Green Version]
  13. Wu, V.; Moshier, E.; Leng, S.; Barlogie, B.; Cho, H.J.; Jagannath, S.; Madduri, D.; Mazumdar, M.; Parekh, S.; Chari, A. Risk stratification of smoldering multiple myeloma: Predictive value of free light chains and group-based trajectory modeling. Blood Adv. 2018, 2, 1470–1479. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  14. Nagin, D.S. Group-Based Trajectory Modeling: An Overview. Ann. Nutr. Metab. 2014, 65, 205–210. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  15. Reynaud, E.; Plancoulaine, S.; Annesi-Maesano, I.; Bernard, J.; Botton, J.; Dargent-Molina, P.; De Lauzon-Guillain, B.; Ducimetière, P.; De Agostini, M.; Foliguet, B.; et al. Night-waking and behavior in preschoolers: A developmental trajectory approach. Sleep Med. 2018, 43, 90–95. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  16. Huang, C.F.; Liu, J.C.; Huang, H.C.; Chuang, S.Y.; Chen, C.I.; Lin, K.C. Longitudinal transition trajectory of gouty arthritis and its comorbidities: A population-based study. Rheumatol. Int. 2017, 37, 313–322. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  17. Institutes N: Introduction to the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), Taiwan. Available online: http://nhird.nhri.org.tw/en/index.htm (accessed on 1 December 2013).
  18. Chien, T.-Y.; Ting, H.-W.; Chan, C.-L.; Yang, N.-P.; Pan, R.-H.; Lai, K.R.; Hung, S.-I. Does the Short-Term Effect of Air Pollution Influence the Incidence of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Different Patient Groups? Big Data Analysis in Taiwan. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2017, 14, 1547. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  19. Lin, K.B.; Lai, K.R.; Yang, N.P.; Wu, K.S.; Ting, H.W.; Pan, R.H.; Chan, C.L. Trends and outcomes in the utilization of laparoscopic appendectomies in a low-income population in Taiwan from 2003 to 2011. Int. J. Equity Health 2015, 14, 100. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  20. Chan, C.L.; You, H.J.; Huang, H.T.; Ting, H.W. Using an integrated COC index and multilevel measurements to verify the care outcome of patients with multiple chronic conditions. BMC Health Serv. Res. 2012, 12, 405. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  21. Lin, K.B.; Lai, K.R.; Yang, N.P.; Chan, C.L.; Liu, Y.H.; Pan, R.H.; Huang, C.H. Epidemiology and socioeconomic features of appendicitis in Taiwan: A 12-year population-based study. World J. Emerg. Surg. 2015, 10, 42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  22. Pan, R.-H.; Chang, N.-T.; Chu, D.; Hsu, K.-F.; Hsu, Y.-N.; Hsu, J.-C.; Tseng, L.-Y.; Yang, N.-P. Epidemiology of Orthopedic Fractures and Other Injuries among Inpatients Admitted due to Traffic Accidents: A 10-Year Nationwide Survey in Taiwan. Sci. World J. 2014, 2014, 637872. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  23. Innovation Center for Big Data and Digital Convergence, Yuan Ze University. Available online: http://www.innobic.yzu.edu.tw/ (accessed on 10 August 2017).
  24. Wu, C.-Y.; Chen, Y.-J.; Ho, H.J.; Hsu, Y.-C.; Kuo, K.N.; Wu, M.-S.; Lin, J.-T. Association between nucleoside analogues and risk of hepatitis B virus–related hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following liver resection. JAMA 2012, 308, 1906–1913. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  25. Nagin, D.S.; Jones, B.L.; Passos, V.L.; Tremblay, R.E. Group-based multi-trajectory modeling. Stat. Methods Med. Res. 2018, 27, 2015–2023. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  26. Koellhoffer, E.C.; McCullough, L.D. The effects of estrogen in ischemic stroke. Transl. Stroke Res. 2013, 4, 390–401. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  27. Roy-O’Reilly, M.; McCullough, L.D. Sex differences in stroke: The contribution of coagulation. Exp. Neurol. 2014, 259, 16–27. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed] [Green Version]
  28. Beal, C.C. Women’s Interpretation of and Cognitive and Behavioral Responses to the Symptoms of Acute Ischemic Stroke. J. Neurosci. Nurs. 2014, 46, 256–266. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  29. Scarborough, J.E.; Pappas, T.N.; Bennett, K.M.; Lagoo-Deenadayalan, S. Failure-to-pursue rescue: Explaining excess mortality in elderly emergency general surgical patients with preexisting “do-not-resuscitate” orders. Ann. Surg. 2012, 256, 453–461. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  30. Silvennoinen, K.; Meretoja, A.; Strbian, D.; Putaala, J.; Kaste, M.; Tatlisumak, T. Do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. Int. J. Stroke 2014, 9, 53–58. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  31. de Decker, L.; Annweiler, C.; Launay, C.; Fantino, B.; Beauchet, O. Do not resuscitate orders and aging: Impact of multimorbidity on the decision-making process. J. Nutr. Health Aging 2014, 18, 330–335. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Figure 1. Flow chart describing management of data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. tICH: Traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage.
Figure 1. Flow chart describing management of data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. tICH: Traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage.
Ijerph 16 03472 g001
Figure 2. Group-based trajectory model (GBTM) of medical expenditure of stroke patients of different genders. Patients were divided into three groups according to medical expenditure, high, medium, and low groups, separated at the 33rd and the 66th percentiles. The trend of movement of patients to groups of higher medical expenditure was observed in both genders.
Figure 2. Group-based trajectory model (GBTM) of medical expenditure of stroke patients of different genders. Patients were divided into three groups according to medical expenditure, high, medium, and low groups, separated at the 33rd and the 66th percentiles. The trend of movement of patients to groups of higher medical expenditure was observed in both genders.
Ijerph 16 03472 g002
Figure 3. Group-based trajectory model (GBTM) of medical expenditure of stroke patients according to type of stroke. As the number of cases was relatively low, GBTM was used to evaluate SAH cases for reference only. The proportions of sICH and SAH patients in the high medical expenditure group were relatively higher than the proportion of ischemic stroke patients at the first admission. Patients increasingly moved to groups of higher medical expenditure at subsequent admissions, regardless of stroke type.
Figure 3. Group-based trajectory model (GBTM) of medical expenditure of stroke patients according to type of stroke. As the number of cases was relatively low, GBTM was used to evaluate SAH cases for reference only. The proportions of sICH and SAH patients in the high medical expenditure group were relatively higher than the proportion of ischemic stroke patients at the first admission. Patients increasingly moved to groups of higher medical expenditure at subsequent admissions, regardless of stroke type.
Ijerph 16 03472 g003
Table 1. Patient hospitalization statistics.
Table 1. Patient hospitalization statistics.
Admission Times (n)# PatientsPercentage# Patients (n ≤ Admission Times ≤ 8)
120,39274.41%27,364
2477217.41%6972
314055.13%2200
44971.81%795
51830.67%298
6680.25%115
7280.10%47
8190.07%19
9140.05%
1070.03%
>10190.07%
Total27,404
Table 2. Demographic data at different hospital admissions.
Table 2. Demographic data at different hospital admissions.
First
Hospitalization
Second
Hospitalization
Third
Hospitalization
Fourth
Hospitalization
AllDeathAllDeathAllDeathAllDeath
§ Case numbers (%)27,3641924
(7.0%)
6972428
(6.1%)
2200138
(6.3%)
79549
(6.2%)
Male15,9721100
(6.9%)
4130224
(5.0%)
135182
(6.1%)
50436
(7.1%)
Female11,392824
(7.2%)
2842204
(7.2%)
84956
(6.6%)
29113
(4.5%)
Ischemic stroke20,731937
(4.5%)
5579345
(6.2%)
1782101
(5.7%)
64440
(6.2%)
sICH5758802
(13.9%)
126376
(6.0%)
38533
(8.6%)
1419
(6.4%)
SAH875185
(21.1%)
1307
(5.4%)
334
(12.1%)
100
(0.0%)
₸ Mean age (years)64.9 *** 64.6 ***67.3 ***69.7 *68.1 *** 68.8 ***67.7 ***70.8
(SD)(13.3)(15.1) (12.2) (12.2) (11.8) (11.5) (11.6) (11.5)
Male 63.1 62.1 66.0 67.8 66.5 66.4 66.9 71.7
(SD)(13.1) (14.6) (12.2) (12.0) (11.6) (11.5)(11.5) (10.2)
Female67.1 67.1 69.6 71.8 69.8 73.469.971.1
(SD)(13.1) (15.1) (11.9) (12.2) (11.7) (10.9) (11.9) (12.7)
Ischemic stroke66.970.668.972.269.668.669.373.5
(SD)(11.8)(12.0)(10.9)(9.6)(10.4)(11.5)(10.3)(7.9)
sICH58.959.061.260.261.367.361.356.7
(SD)(15.2)(15.4)(14.5)(15.9)(14.6)(10.6)(14.5)(17.2)
SAH54.757.256.956.359.077.856.6X
(SD)(14.7)(13.1)(15.0)(8.7)(13.6)(18.4)(8.7)X
Length of hospital stay (days)(SD)10.6
(8.5)
10.7
(10.0)
11.0
(8.6)
11.5 *
(10.1)
11.6
(8.7)
11.4
(10.3)
12.2
(9.3)
10.1
(9.0)
Male10.4 10.6 11.0 11.3 11.7 11.8 12.5 11.1
(SD)(8.5) (10.2) (8.8) (10.5) (8.8) (10.6) (9.9) (11.5)
Female10.9 11.0 11.1 11.6 11.6 11.0 11.7 7.8
(SD)(8.5) (9.6) (8.5) (9.4) (8.7) (10.0) (8.6) (6.6)
Ischemic stroke9.110.510.411.011.111.311.79.5
(SD)(6.7)(8.2)(7.9)(9.2)(8.3)(10.4)(8.7)(7.1)
sICH16.511.314.310.514.214.116.017.6
(SD)(13.5)(12.5)(11.7)(10.4)(10.4)(12.2)(14.3)(18.9)
SAH17.09.613.014.013.7₸ 117.513.7X
(SD)(13.8)(11.0)(11.1)(12.8)(13.3)(201.6)(8.8)X
§ Medical expenditure180629451677 2594 1662 2117 1703 1961
(SD)(1838)(2295) (1556) (1932) (1472) (1691) (1504) (1804)
Male17512887 1656 2392 1645 2046 1745 2167
(SD)(1784)(2247) (1565) (1884) (1485) (1711) (1623) (1879)
Female18833058 1708 2805 1688 2203 1647 1500
(SD)(1908)(2395) (1544) (1965) (1455) (1683) (1345) (1832)
Ischemic stroke12932166153424641588223616652047
(SD)(1061)(1389)(1379)(1780)(1384)(1784)(1498)(1871)
sICH38464164226531881972203119291424
(SD)(3776)(3886)(2273)(2783)(1792)(1825)(1717)(1338)
SAH7636493231178423218018961626X
(SD)(6373)(4471)(3064)(9799)(2506)(2000)(853)X
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. § Percentage of patients who died. ₸ Extreme data due to too few data being used in the calculation. sICH: spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage; SAH: Subarachnoid hemorrhage; SD: standard deviation.
Table 3. Comparison of demographic data between two hospital admissions.
Table 3. Comparison of demographic data between two hospital admissions.
§Interval 1 to 2 § Interval 2 to 3§ Interval 3 to 4
Mean days between two admissions522.8 (598.3)364.6 (426.1)316.5 (370.6)
Male (SD)536.7 (597.5)356.7 (393.4)336.1 (317.5)
Female (SD)543.5 (599.6)428.6 (484.7)328.2 (371.5)
Ischemic stroke (SD)556.2 (602.1)385.4 (423.3)335.1 (370.4)
sICH (SD)473.9 (564.4)363.4 (438.7)333.8 (378.2)
SAH (SD)474.5 (614.4)423.3 (398.7)188.6 (119.3)
Mean OPD visits (SD)45.1 (50.5)68.9 (70.4)56.7 (60.3)
Male (SD)42.3 (47.1)63.3 (65.6)54.6 (58.9)
Female (SD)49.6 (55.5)78.0 (77.8)60.4 (63.3)
Ischemic stroke (SD)46.5 (50.9)69.1 (70.7)56.5 (59.8)
sICH (SD)39.7 (49.1)69.4 (71.2)57.7 (64.2)
SAH (SD)39.0 (48.1)56.9 (55.1)82.4 (90.0)
Mean days to OPD visit after hospital discharge (SD)4.8 (3.1)5.4 (3.8)5.7 (4.6)
Male (SD)4.8 (3.0)5.4 (3.9)5.6 (4.4)
Female (SD)4.8 (3.1)5.5 (3.9)5.7 (4.7)
Ischemic stroke (SD)4.7 (2.9)5.2 (3.5)5.4 (4.2)
sICH (SD)5.5 (4.8)6.0 (5.0)6.1 (5.2)
SAH (SD)7.4 (7.0)7.7 (7.1)10.2 (8.5)
¶ Mean OPD cost per visit (SD)31 (26)34 (28)37 (30)
Male (SD)31 (26)35 (28)36 (36)
Female (SD)31 (26)34 (27)38 (31)
Ischemic stroke (SD)31 (26)34 (28)36 (29)
sICH (SD)32 (26)35 (28)40 (32)
SAH (SD)25 (20)31 (26)40 (30)
§ Interval represents the data between two admissions. ¶ Medical expenditure is presented in US dollars. The ratio of US dollars to Taiwan dollars is 1:30. sICH: spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage; SAH: Subarachnoid hemorrhage; SD: standard deviation; OPD: Outpatient department.

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Chien, T.-Y.; Lee, M.-L.; Wu, W.-L.; Ting, H.-W. Exploration of Medical Trajectories of Stroke Patients Based on Group-Based Trajectory Modeling. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16, 3472. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16183472

AMA Style

Chien T-Y, Lee M-L, Wu W-L, Ting H-W. Exploration of Medical Trajectories of Stroke Patients Based on Group-Based Trajectory Modeling. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2019; 16(18):3472. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16183472

Chicago/Turabian Style

Chien, Ting-Ying, Mei-Lien Lee, Wan-Ling Wu, and Hsien-Wei Ting. 2019. "Exploration of Medical Trajectories of Stroke Patients Based on Group-Based Trajectory Modeling" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16, no. 18: 3472. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16183472

Note that from the first issue of 2016, this journal uses article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop