Effect of Seawater Temperature Increase on the Occurrence of Coastal Vibrio vulnificus Cases: Korean National Surveillance Data from 2003 to 2016
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. V. vulnificus Cases in South Korea
2.2. Seawater Temperatures
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Research Subjects
3.2. Epidemiological Characteristics of V. vulnificus Cases in Cities, Counties, and Districts Near the Coast
3.3. Annual Indicators Related to Water Temperature and Seawater Temperature
3.4. Monthly Coastal V. vulnificus Cases in Cities, Counties, and Districts and Seawater Temperature
3.5. Assessment of the Correlation between Seawater Temperature and V. vulnificus Cases
3.5.1. Correlation Analysis
3.5.2. Results of General Additive Model Analysis
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Characteristics | Classification | N | (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Sex | |||
Male | 329 | (85.9) | |
Female | 54 | (14.1) | |
Age (years) | |||
≤39 | 13 | (3.4) | |
40–64 | 269 | (70.2) | |
≥65 | 101 | (26.4) | |
Occupation (N = 351) | |||
Fishery and fishery product related workers | 35 | (10.0) | |
Agriculture | 65 | (18.5) | |
White-collar workers, professional | 18 | (5.1) | |
Service, distribution industry, self-employed | 32 | (9.1) | |
Blue-collar workers * | 44 | (12.6) | |
Housewife, unemployed | 157 | (44.7) | |
Drinking (N = 304) | |||
Yes | 257 | (84.5) | |
No | 7 | (2.3) | |
Unknown | 40 | (13.2) | |
Smoking (N = 223) | |||
Yes | 128 | (57.4) | |
No | 20 | (9.0) | |
Unknown | 75 | (33.6) | |
Underlying diseases (N = 352) | |||
Yes | 340 | (96.6) | |
No | 8 | (2.3) | |
Unknown | 4 | (1.1) | |
V. vulnificus cases by year | |||
2003 | 42 | (11.0) | |
2004 | 29 | (7.6) | |
2005 | 30 | (7.8) | |
2006 | 44 | (11.5) | |
2007 | 26 | (6.8) | |
2008 | 16 | (4.2) | |
2009 | 8 | (2.1) | |
2010 | 37 | (9.7) | |
2011 | 25 | (6.5) | |
2012 | 31 | (8.1) | |
2013 | 25 | (6.5) | |
2014 | 33 | (8.6) | |
2015 | 15 | (3.9) | |
2016 | 22 | (5.7) | |
Coastal area | |||
West coast | 196 | (51.2) | |
South coast | 162 | (42.3) | |
East coast | 25 | (6.5) | |
Route of infection | |||
Seafood consumption | 336 | (87.7) | |
Seawater exposure | 22 | (5.7) | |
Seafood consumption and seawater exposure | 24 | (6.3) | |
Unknown | 1 | (0.3) |
Year | Min. Seawater Temperature (°C) | Mean Seawater Temperature (°C) | Max. Seawater Temperature (°C) |
---|---|---|---|
2003 | 9.9 | 15.1 | 20.1 |
2004 | 10.3 | 15.5 | 20.6 |
2005 | 9.7 | 15.3 | 21.0 |
2006 | 9.6 | 15.1 | 20.2 |
2007 | 10.8 | 15.8 | 20.5 |
2008 | 7.6 | 15.7 | 20.9 |
2009 | 11.1 | 16.0 | 20.3 |
2010 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 20.1 |
2011 | 9.1 | 14.9 | 20.0 |
2012 | 10.8 | 15.4 | 20.1 |
2013 | 11.1 | 15.7 | 19.6 |
2014 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 19.8 |
2015 | 11.4 | 15.7 | 19.4 |
2016 | 12.1 | 16.2 | 19.5 |
Mean | 10.3 | 15.5 | 20.2 |
Cases | Mean Seawater Temperature (°C) | Maximum Seawater Temperature (°C) | Minimum Seawater Temperature (°C) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cases | 1 | |||
Mean seawater temperature (°C) | 0.693 * | 1 | ||
Maximum seawater temperature (°C) | 0.686 * | 0.981 * | 1 | |
Minimum seawater temperature (°C) | 0.667 * | 0.959 * | 0.914 * | 1 |
Coast | Seawater Temperature Index | Relative Risk * | 95% Confidence Interval | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
All coasts | Maximum seawater temperature | 1.37 | 1.24–1.52 | 0.001 |
South coast | Maximum seawater temperature | 1.35 | 1.19–1.53 | 0.001 |
East coast | Maximum seawater temperature | 1.30 | 1.06–1.59 | 0.011 |
West coast | Mean seawater temperature | 1.34 | 1.20–1.51 | 0.001 |
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Kim, J.; Chun, B.C. Effect of Seawater Temperature Increase on the Occurrence of Coastal Vibrio vulnificus Cases: Korean National Surveillance Data from 2003 to 2016. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 4439. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18094439
Kim J, Chun BC. Effect of Seawater Temperature Increase on the Occurrence of Coastal Vibrio vulnificus Cases: Korean National Surveillance Data from 2003 to 2016. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2021; 18(9):4439. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18094439
Chicago/Turabian StyleKim, Jungsook, and Byung Chul Chun. 2021. "Effect of Seawater Temperature Increase on the Occurrence of Coastal Vibrio vulnificus Cases: Korean National Surveillance Data from 2003 to 2016" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 9: 4439. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18094439
APA StyleKim, J., & Chun, B. C. (2021). Effect of Seawater Temperature Increase on the Occurrence of Coastal Vibrio vulnificus Cases: Korean National Surveillance Data from 2003 to 2016. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(9), 4439. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18094439