1. Introduction
Humankind has created more material wealth in the 21st century than in the entire previous history. The same applies to the development of China. With its abundant natural resources and inexpensive labor, China has created a series of growth miracles since its economic reform and opening-up 40 years ago [
1]. Nevertheless, when we review growth patterns over the past years, it is easy to notice that rapid growths were mainly due to the conquest of natural force, adoption of machines, application of chemistry in industry and agriculture and the reclamation of land [
2]. Issues such as energy depletion, ecological degradation and increased environmental conflicts have risen. For many years, economic growth has come at the expense of environmental quality; however, global consensus on climate change, along with a shift to a green, low-carbon, resource-efficient economy, is emerging. Meanwhile, the rise of the Internet increases the chances of transforming the economic development model and promoting sustainable development, alleviating environmental pressure to a certain extent [
3]. On the one hand, the Internet can drive the rapid development of new business models such as the digital economy and information technology application while eliminating lagged sectors that consume too much energy and cause severe pollution, improving the overall energy efficiency in key sectors and the eco-efficiency of the environment. On the other hand, Internet technologies can break time and space constraints in environmental governance, allowing us to conduct dynamic environmental monitoring, assess risks in real-time and offer timely feedback [
4], and setting the stage for eliminating bottlenecks in resources and reshaping the ecosystem. Therefore, under the current targets of carbon peak and neutrality, it is crucial to understand the potential effect of the Internet on eco-efficiency accurately. This would help China implement the new development concept, build a new development pattern and promote the comprehensive green transformation of social and economic development.
China has entered a “new normal” (a new phase of economic development which emphasizes better quality growth). Current studies, both at home and abroad, have focused on economic growth effects [
5,
6,
7], resource mismatch effects [
8], production efficiency effects [
9,
10], industrial adjustment effects [
11,
12] and scientific and technological innovation effects [
13,
14]. Meanwhile, due to differences in geographic location, education, Internet access and information infrastructure, people’s ability to use computers and access the Internet varies greatly [
15]. Whether the advancement of the Internet creates the digital divide has also been the center of attention for many scholars [
16,
17]. Regarding measures of Internet development, most studies have focused on Internet access and proliferation; therefore, have chosen a single indicator to measure Internet development, including the percentage of Internet users (or netizens) in residents live in one area at year-end [
8], the per capita number of Internet users [
18] and the Internet penetration rate [
19,
20]. In addition, another common approach to measure Internet development is to build an evaluation system by incorporating other factors such as infrastructure, macro environment, business applications and information resources [
21,
22,
23].
The idea of eco-efficiency was first introduced by German scholars Schaltegger and Sturm [
24]. The definition of eco-efficiency is not conclusive yet, but the basic idea is roughly the same: to obtain a larger economic output with smaller resources and environmental inputs [
25]. The academic research on eco-efficiency has mainly focused on spatial scales at the national [
26,
27], provincial [
28], and urban level [
29,
30]. There are three aspects: first, measurement methods of eco-efficiency. Widely adopted methods include using ratios [
31,
32], analytic hierarchy process [
33], stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) [
34,
35], Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) [
36,
37], Search Engine Brand Management (SBM) model [
38]. Second, the temporal and spatial analysis of eco-efficiency. Most scholars have analyzed the spatial-temporal characteristics of the overall eco-efficiency in China, and it is generally agreed that despite the narrowing disparities in eco-efficiency between cities, the eastern region has the highest eco-efficiency [
39,
40]. Third, influencing factors of eco-efficiency. Scholars have analyzed influencing factors of eco-efficiency from many aspects. Current important factors include urban economic growth [
40], population agglomeration [
41], industry structural upgrading [
42], resource utilization efficiency [
43] and technological progress [
44].
With the rise and advancement of the Internet, scholars at home and abroad have paid increasing attention to the role of the Internet in environmental governance, but relevant literature is limited. However, it is clear that Internet development has a complex effect on the ecological environment. On the one hand, by virtue of the technology itself, the Internet can promote information disclosure and facilitate information sharing, ultimately reducing environmental pollution and serving as a tool to save energy and reduce carbon emission [
45]. Furthermore, Internet development or technological progress can naturally lower the per capita carbon emissions [
46], reduce air pollution levels [
47] and improve the urban environmental quality [
3,
48]. On the other hand, a few scholars have also suggested that Internet development works against the protection and governance of the ecological environment. In the long run, Internet development would increase carbon emissions [
49]. Avom et al. [
50] have analyzed 21 sub-Saharan African nations and found that the use of information and communication technologies (ICT), as measured by the penetration rate of mobile phones and the Internet, significantly boosts carbon dioxide emissions. With the gradual deepening of research, a growing number of scholars have agreed that the impact of Internet development on carbon emissions varies depending on the research method, region and development stage. Ref [
51] found that ICT could have an inhibitory effect on carbon dioxide emissions once a threshold level of ICT development is achieved [
52]. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the two.
Previous studies have mostly been limited to the impact of Internet development (or information technology) on environmental pollution (or carbon emissions). Few studies have investigated the effect of Internet development on urban eco-efficiency and its mechanism. In addition, when measuring the level of Internet development, previous studies mainly used indicators such as the number of web pages, domains and websites, or built an evaluation index system. These measures are deemed subjective. Some studies also treated innovative cities [
42] or smart cities [
53] as quasi-natural experiments (Natural experiment refers to an experimental research method in which individuals (or clusters of individuals) are exposed to the experimental or controlled conditions determined by natural or other factors that are not controlled by the observers. A quasi-natural experiment shares some similarities with a true experiment as it enables the researchers to control the research subjects by allowing for certain manipulation in a natural setting. The difference is that, unlike a real experimental design, a quasi-natural experiment lacks the element of random assignment to treatment or control group and is deemed less rigorous. In general, natural experiments are completely random. Quasi-natural experiments, by contrast, are not completely randomized experiments—they are approximations to completely randomized experiments.) with boundaries exceeding the extension of the Internet. Therefore, based on existing research, this paper takes the “Broadband China” pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment to measure Internet development. Using a dataset of 285 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2005 to 2019, this paper empirically tests the impact of Internet development, symbolized by the “Broadband China” policy, on the urban eco-efficiency by constructing multi-period DID models. The basic idea of the DID method is to compare the differences between the control group and the treatment group before and after the implementation of the policy, so as to reflect the impact of the “Broadband China” policy on ecological efficiency.
Compared with existing research, this paper provides innovative insights in the following aspects: first, it makes up for the inadequacy of research on analyzing the impact of Internet development on urban eco-efficiency from the perspective of new infrastructure. In contrast to previous research on carbon emissions and environmental pollution, this paper takes eco-efficiency as the starting point, which would better reflect the comprehensive influence of the Internet on green, low-carbon, high-quality development. Second, using the exogenous policy of “Broadband China” in its identification strategy, this paper examines the impact of pilot policies on eco-efficiency by constructing multi-period DID methods. This method could be more objective than the existing literature methods (which use a single indicator or an evaluation index system). At the same time, this paper further analyzes the spatial spillover effects of the policy by adopting spatial DID models. Third, using technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading as mediators and constructing a mediating effect model, this paper investigates the influencing mechanism of the “Broadband China” pilot policy on eco-efficiency.
3. Methodology
3.1. Model
According to the classic IPAT model that measures human impact on the environment proposed by Holdren and Ehrlich [
69], factoring influencing living environment include population, wealth and technologies. The general model is as follows:
where
represents the condition of the environment, including resources and energy consumption and waste disposal,
represents population size,
A stands for affluence, and
for the state of technology applied. This model is widely used in qualitative or quantitative research to analyze the relationship between environment, economy, population and technology. It also provides a theoretical framework for analyzing the influencing factors of environmental ecology. On this basis, Dietz and Rosa [
70] have extended the IPAT model and proposed a stochastic version:
where
,
,
, and
are parameters that need to be estimated, and
is the random error term. Taking the logarithm of both sides of Equation (2) gets the following reformulation:
Considering that eco-efficiency aims to find a balance between environmental protection and economic development, this paper reformulates Equation (3) and uses
(Eco-Efficiency) to replace
To accurately determine the causal relationship between Internet development and the eco-efficiency of the environment, this paper considers the “Broadband China” pilot policy implemented nationwide from 2014 as an exogenous shock. The Chinese government has approved 120 “Broadband China” pilot cities at year-end 2019. These randomized approvals can be considered a good quasi-natural experiment, providing a groundwork for DID models. Given that the pilot cities were approved in three batches, the paper draws on the multi-period DID approach proposed by Beck, Levine and Levkov [
71], with cities that have not been selected in the pilot program being the control group and cities that have been selected in the pilot program being the experimental group. A two-way fixed-effect regression model is specified as follows:
In this formula, denotes the eco-efficiency of city in year , and is a time dummy which takes on a value of 1 for the year when the “Broadband China” pilot begins and for the following years and 0 otherwise. is a dummy variable which is set to 1 for pilot cities and 0 for non-pilot cities. is a dummy variable indicating whether the city has been selected as a “Broadband China” pilot city or not. If city has been selected as a pilot city in year , then this variable is set to 1 and otherwise to 0. is the core coefficient of this paper, denoting the impact of the pilot policy on the urban eco-efficiency. If the “Broadband China” pilot policy increases urban eco-efficiency, then the variable should be statistically significant positive. represents a set of control variables containing population, affluence, energy consumption and industrial agglomeration. and are the individual and temporal fixed effects, respectively; and is the random error term.
3.2. Description of Variables and Data
Andersen and Petersen [
72] have introduced the super-efficiency SBM model, and Tone [
73] has further proposed the SBM model that incorporates undesirable outputs. The paper uses the SBM-Undesirable model to measure the eco-efficiency of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2019.
Table 1 lists the selected input/output indicators, where resource consumption is treated as input, economic growth as desirable output and environmental pollution as undesirable output. After assessing data availability, the article employs the non-oriented CRS- (constant returns to scale) based super-efficiency SBM model by using total electricity consumption, total water use and built-up area as inputs, the region’s gross domestic product (GDP) as the desired output, and the volume of industrial wastewater discharged, industrial SO
2 emissions and industrial smoke (dust) emissions as undesirable outputs. The software used is MaxDEA 7.0 Pro. As for the dataset, this paper analyzes 285 prefecture-level cities in China, except six cities (Danzhou, Sansha, Chaohu (district was withdrawn and county established in 2011, through which historical districts became counties), Bijie, Tongren and Lhasa) because these cities have relatively more missing data.
- 2.
The core explanatory variable
The paper treats the “Broadband China” pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment and uses it to measure Internet development. It takes on a value of 1 for pilot cities and 0 for non-pilot cities and is set to 1 in the year of implementation and each subsequent year and 0 before the implementation. The paper obtains the list of “Broadband China” pilot cities from the website of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China. The pilot list includes certain autonomous regions (for example, Wenshan Zhuang Miao Autonomous Prefecture), certain districts in municipalities (for example, Jiulongpo District and Beibei District in Chongqing), certain cities at the county-level (Yongcheng City in Shangqiu City, Henan Province, and Kunshan City in Suzhou City) and cities with serious data deficiencies (Linzhi City in Tibet Autonomous Region). After dropping these areas, the final research sample contains 108 cities in the experimental group and 177 cities in the control group.
- 3.
The controlled variable
According to existing literature, given the heterogeneity among cities and the prevention of omitted variables, the paper also controls for other variables that might influence eco-efficiency. Other variables include economic development level (GDP), measured by the logarithm of the gross domestic product (year 2000 is used as the base year to calculate the average GDP index); population density (PEO), defined as the logarithm of the total population per square kilometer; energy intensity (EI), measured as the industrial SO2 emissions per unit of GDP; industrial agglomeration (LQ), expressed as the location entropy of the secondary industry, the formula is specified as , where is the gross domestic product of the secondary industry of region , is the GDP of region , is the gross domestic product of the secondary industry at the national level, and is the country’s GDP; foreign direct investment (FDI), indicated by the proportion of FDI in GDP, and the proportion of fiscal expenditure (GOV), measured as the ratio of government fiscal expenditure to the regional GDP, with US dollar to Chinese yuan exchange rate obtained from the official website of the People’s Bank of China.
The sample includes data of 285 cities at the prefecture-level and above in mainland China, except Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, from 2005 to 2019, given the availability of data. The relevant data are taken from various sources, such as the China City Statistical Yearbook, the Provincial Statistical Yearbooks and the China Statistical Yearbook for Regional Economy. In addition, there is a small portion of data missing and has been supplemented by using the mean substitution method and multiple imputation method. To smooth the data, this paper takes the logarithm of some of the explanatory variables.
3.3. Descriptive Statistics of Variables
The final sample contains data from 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2019.
Table 2 displays the descriptive statistics of the variables used.
6. Conclusions and Prospects
To promote the comprehensive green transformation of social and economic development, China pledges to implement the new development philosophy and achieve “carbon peak” and “carbon neutral” with the help of Internet technology. Based on the panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2019, this paper evaluates the impact of Internet development on urban eco-efficiency (symbolized by the “Broadband China” policy) and its underlying mechanisms by constructing multi-period and spatial DID models via a quasi-natural experiment of the “broadband China” pilot policy. The conclusions are as follows: First, the results of the fixed-effects baseline model show that the “Broadband China” pilot policy significantly improves urban eco-efficiency. The results remain consistent after testing for robustness, including changing estimation methods, excluding the sample of key cities, replacing core explanatory variables and introducing instrumental variables. Next, the impact of the “broadband China” pilot policy on eco-efficiency has significant regional heterogeneity. Internet development significantly improves the eco-efficiency in the central, eastern and northeastern regions that are economically more developed and not resource-dependent. In contrast, the influence is not obvious in the western region that is economically less developed and resource-dependent. Furthermore, the analysis of the influencing mechanism of Internet development on eco-efficiency suggests that the “broadband China” strategy boosts urban eco-efficiency by increasing the urban Internet penetration rate, improving technological innovation capacity and upgrading the industrial structure. Finally, the spatial DID model results indicate that the “broadband China” pilot policy has a positive spillover effect on urban eco-efficiency and can improve the eco-efficiency in neighboring regions. Based on these findings, this paper proposes the following recommendations:
The new infrastructure initiative (symbolized by network infrastructure construction) plays an essential role in improving urban eco-efficiency. This provides a theoretical foundation and empirical evidence for a positive effect of Internet technology on high-quality and green economic development in the new era. Therefore, it is necessary to further implement the “Broadband China” strategy and advance the construction of digital facilities, strengthening the positive spillover effects of network infrastructure and unleashing the dividends of the digital economy. This would facilitate the internalization of new information technology, injecting new high-quality development momentum into cities and unleashing the benefits of boosting eco-efficiency and promoting green growth.
The results of heterogeneity analysis could serve as a useful reference for the direction of promoting network development. Regions should design their infrastructure policies according to their local conditions, resource endowments and economic development levels, give full play to key cities’ radiating and leading role, and improve flexibility and tolerance in implementing the “Broadband China” strategy. For underdeveloped and resource-dependent cities in the western region, it is crucial to accelerate the construction of local infrastructure, increase the support for technological innovation and form comparative advantages by utilizing their resources and introducing talents and technology. This would help these cities exploit the latecomer advantages and enable them to catch up with the developed cities, thanks to the increased eco-efficiency driven by Internet development.
Explore multiple ways for the “Broadband China” strategy to promote eco-efficiency, and thus maximize the impact of the “Broadband China” pilot policy. The first is to increase government spending on science and technology, use network infrastructure as a starting point and promote the co-construction and sharing of innovation platforms, thus enhancing the innovation capabilities of cities. The second is to strengthen the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure by making full use of the Internet technology, further enhancing the driving effect of the Internet on industrial structure upgrading by transforming traditional sectors and promoting the emergence of large, new sectors. This would promote the coordinated development of ecology and economy and achieve “economy ecologization” and “ecological economicalization”, thus enhancing urban eco-efficiency.
There is still room for improvement in existing research. This paper evaluates the impact of Internet development on urban eco-efficiency by building a quasi-natural experiment using the “Broadband China” pilot policy. Although this paper’s conclusions are supported by rigorous analysis methods, more in-depth discussion is needed to examine whether the selection of policies can cover all aspects of Internet development and whether there are more appropriate policies. In addition, as countries, regions and city clusters are experiencing different levels of development, further research is also needed to determine whether this paper’s findings can be generalized. With the world entering the era of a digital economy where the growth of the digital economy is closely connected to the Internet, building high-tech smart cities has become one crucial path to solve urban problems such as resource scarcity and environmental pollution. More in-depth research can be carried out to determine the impact of the digital economy and smart cities on eco-efficiency.