Adapting the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) Framework for England: Development of a Community Resilience Index
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Theoretical Framework and Definition of Community
2.2. Indicator Selection
Theme | Indicator Description | Justification | Source | Direction | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social | |||||
1 | Demographic | Living alone—Percentage of households occupied by one person (2021) | Morrow (2008) [32] | ONS [33] | Low is good |
2 | Demographic | Age—Dependency ratio—Population aged 0–16 and 65+/population aged 17–64 (2021) | Morrow (2008) [32] | ONS [34] | Low is good |
3 | Demographic | Population density—number of usual residents per square kilometre (2021) | UK Government (2021) [28] | ONS [35] | High is good |
4 | Demographic | Inward migration—Percentage of the population who are inward migrants (domestic or international) in the last 12 months (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Morrow (2008) [32] | ONS [34] | High is good |
5 | Equity | IMD gap—Population weighted mean difference in Index of Multiple Deprivation score between LSOAs in each LA (2020) | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | OHID [37] | Low is good |
6 | Education/ skills | Adult skills—Qualification index score is the average value of individuals aged 16 based on their highest level of qualification (2021). | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | ONS [38] | High is good |
7 | Language/ communication | Language—Speaks English as a first language or very well (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Morrow (2008) [32] | ONS [39] | High is good |
8 | Language/ communication | Digital propensity index—Populated weighted average of online-first census data returns | Tierney (2009) [40] | ONS [41] | High is good |
9 | Transport | Car availability—Percentage of households with no access to a car or van (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Tierney (2009) [40] | ONS [42] | Low is good |
10 | Food | Food insecurity—Modelled percentage of households experiencing hunger or struggling to access food (2021) | Cutter et al. (2014) [43] | Moretti et al. [44] | Low is good |
Economic | |||||
11 | Labour market | Employment—Percentage of population aged 16–64 in employment (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] UK Government (2021) [28] | ONS [45] | High is good |
12 | Labour market | Economic inactivity—Percentage of the population aged 16–64 who are economically active (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] | ONS [45] | Low is good |
13 | Labour market | Employment—Distribution of employment across sectors (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] | ONS [46] | High is good |
14 | Equity | Gini index—Inequality in household income within LADs (2020) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Norris et al. (2008) [36] | ONS [47] | Low is good |
15 | Equity | Gender pay gap—Mean difference between average hourly earnings between men and women (2020–2022) | Cutter et al. (2014) [43] | ONS [48] | Low is good |
16 | Income/ savings /debt | Income—Gross Disposable Household Income (GDHI) (2021) | Aldrich and Meyer (2015) [49] | ONS [50] | High is good |
17 | Income/ savings /debt | Percentage of children in absolute low-income families (2021/22) | Morrow (2008) [32] | OHID [51] | Low is good |
18 | Income/ savings /debt | Fuel poverty—Modelled estimates of the proportion of households in fuel poverty, 2020 | Morrow (2008) [32] | Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy [52] | Low is good |
19 | Commerce/ retail | Loans and overdrafts to small- and medium-sized enterprises (SME) per capita (2021) | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | UK Finance [53] | High is good |
20 | Commerce/ retail | High street vibrancy—difference in percentage of vacant retail units (2019 vs. 2023) | Hill (2023) [54] | CDRC [55] | Low is good |
21 | Housing | Housing affordability—Ratio of lower quartile house price to lower quartile gross annual workplace-based earnings (2021) | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | ONS [56] | Low is good |
22 | Economic output | Productivity—Nominal smoothed Gross Value Added (GVA) per hour worked (2021) | UK Government (2021) [28] | ONS [57] | High is good |
Institutional | |||||
23 | Local government | Municipal spending—Public health grant allocation per head of population (2021/22) | Plough et al. (2013) [58] | MHCLG [59] | High is good |
24 | Local government | Total core spending power/dwelling (2021/22) | Platts-Fowler and Robinson (2016) [60] | DLUHC [61] | High is good |
25 | Local government | Non-ringfenced reserves as percentage of service spend (2022/23) | Platts-Fowler and Robinson (2016) [60] | DLUHC [61] | High is good |
26 | Civic engagement | Lottery—Big Lottery community funding per head of population (2021–2023) | Aldrich and Meyer (2015) [49] | The National Lottery Community Fund [62] | High is good |
27 | Education/skills | Pupil absences—Percentage of school sessions missed due to pupil absence (2021/22) | Ellis et at (2022) [63] | OHID [51] | Low is good |
28 | Education/ skills | School quality—Percentage rated good/outstanding of those inspected | Ellis et at (2022) [63] | Department for Education [64] | High is good |
Infrastructure | |||||
29 | Housing | Household overcrowding—Percentage of number with an occupancy rating of less than −1 (2020) | Ellis et at (2022) [63] | Health index [65] | Low is good |
30 | Housing | Households in temporary accommodation (2020–2021) | Ellis et at (2022) [63] | MHCLG and DLUHC [66] | Low is good |
31 | Transport | Average minimum travel time to key services by public transport (2019) | Tierney (2009) [40] | Department for transport | Low is good |
32 | Transport | Distance to sports and leisure facilities | Tierney (2009) [40] | Health index [65] | Low is good |
33 | Language/ communication | Broadband—Percentage of premises that do not have access to services above 10 Mbit/s from fixed broadband (2020) | Tierney (2009) [40] | Health index [65] | Low is good |
Environmental | |||||
34 | Green space/forests | Private outdoor space—Percentage of addresses (houses and flats) with private outdoor space (2020) | Pamukcu-Albers et al. (2021) [67] | Health index [65] | High is good |
35 | Green space/forests | Access to green space—Average distance to nearest park, public garden, or playing field (m) (2020) | Pamukcu-Albers et al. (2021) [67] | ONS [68] | Low is good |
36 | Waste/ pollution | Air pollution—Territorial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions estimate within the scope of influence of Local Authorities 2020 (kt CO2e) | Fazey et al. (2018) [69] | Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy [70] | Low is good |
Community Capital | |||||
37 | Demographic | Population churn—Proportion of households with change in occupiers (2016–2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Norris et al. (2008) [36] | CDRC [71] | Low is good |
38 | Civic engagement | Charities—Registered charities per 100,000 population (2022) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Aldrich and Meyer (2015) [49] | Charity Commission [72] | High is good |
39 | Civic engagement | Assets of community value—Registered assets of community value/100,000 population | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | Plunkett UK [73] | High is good |
40 | Political engagement | Electoral turnout—Percentage of population who voted in the 2019 general election | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Morrow (2008) [32] | House of Commons Library [74] | High is good |
41 | Religion | Religious affiliation—Percentage of population who are religious adherents (2021) | Cutter et al. (2010) [25] Aldrich and Meyer (2015) [49] | ONS [75] | High is good |
42 | Well-being | Life satisfaction—Average score of survey respondents (aged 16 years and over) when asked how happy they felt on the previous day (2020) | Norris et al. (2008) [36] | Health index [65] | High is good |
43 | Culture/sports | Municipal spending—Budget allocation for cultural and related services per head of population (2021/22) | Vårheim (2017) [76] | Department for Levelling Up, Housing, and Communities [77] | High is good |
44 | Antisocial behaviour | Crude rate of noise complaints per 1000 population (2020) | Dzhambov et al. (2017) [78] | Health index [65] | Low is good |
2.3. Imputation of Missing Data
2.4. Multivariate Analysis
2.5. Normalisation and Transformation
2.6. Aggregation and Weighting
2.7. Sensitivity Analysis
2.8. Back to the Data
2.9. Validation
2.10. Visualisation
3. Results
3.1. Spatial Patterning
3.2. Index Validation
3.3. Sensitivity Analysis
4. Discussion
4.1. Strengths and Limitations
4.2. Implications for Policy and Practise
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Step | Description |
---|---|
1—Theoretical framework | A theoretical framework should be used as the basis for the selection and combination of variables into a meaningful composite indicator. |
2—Data selection | Indicators should be selected based on the analytical soundness, measurability, country coverage, and relevance of the indicators to community resilience. |
3—Imputation of missing data | Imputation methods should be used to estimate missing values if this is required to provide a complete dataset. |
4—Multivariate analysis | The overall structure of the dataset should be assessed using an appropriate multivariate method to assess its suitability and guide subsequent methodological choices. |
5—Normalisation | Normalisation should be carried out to make the variables comparable. |
6—Weighting and aggregation | Indicators should be weighted and aggregated with respect to the theoretical framework and data properties. |
7—Uncertainty and sensitivity bias | Uncertainty/sensitivity analyses should be undertaken to assess the robustness of the composite indicator in terms. |
8—Back to the data | Identify if the composite indicator results are overly dominated by a few indicators and explain the relative importance of the sub-components of the composite indicator. |
9—Links to other indicators | Correlate the composite indicator with existing (simple or composite) indicators. |
10—Visualisation of results | Use an appropriate visualisation technique that communicates the most information clearly and accurately. |
Dimension (Number of Themes) | Themes |
---|---|
Social (10) | Demographic, Health/well-being, Education/skills, Language/ Communication, Transport, Food, Civic engagement, Labour market, Community cohesion, and Other |
Economic (8) | Labour market, Equity, Income/savings/debt, Commerce/retail, Housing, Demographic, Economic output, and Other |
Institutional (8) | Local government, Mitigation, Disaster-specific, Civic engagement, Emergency services, Demographic, Energy/water, and Other |
Infrastructure (9) | Housing, Transport, Health/well-being, Shelter capacity, Language/ Communication, Education/skills, Energy/water, Emergency services, and Other |
Environmental (9) | Land type/use, Green space/forests, Disaster-specific, Waste/pollution, Soil/erosion, Energy/water, Food, Climate/elevation, and Other |
Community capital (9) | Demographic, Civic engagement, Political engagement, Religion, Health/well-being, Education/skills, Culture/sports, Labour market, and Other |
Sub-Index | Description | Variance Explained (%) | Variables (Mean Squared Loading) |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Access and Infrastructure | 12.54 | Car availability (0.07) |
Population density (0.06) | |||
Household overcrowding (0.06) | |||
Age dependency ratio (0.06) | |||
Travel time to key services (0.05) | |||
Public health grant (0.05) | |||
Distance to sport and leisure facilities (0.05) | |||
Private outdoor space (0.04) | |||
Employment (0.04) | |||
2 | Economic Well-being and Opportunity | 7.98 | Housing affordability (0.09) |
Adult skills (0.08) | |||
Child poverty (0.08) | |||
Fuel poverty (0.07) | |||
Gross disposable household income (0.07) | |||
Electoral turnout (0.06) | |||
Digital propensity (0.05) | |||
Pupil absence (0.04) | |||
Gross value added (0.04) | |||
Inward migration (0.04) | |||
Economic inactivity (0.04) | |||
3 | Social Capital and Connectivity | 3.53 | SME loans (0.13) |
Broadband access (0.09) | |||
Lottery funding (0.08) | |||
Charities (0.05) | |||
Air pollution (0.04) | |||
Noise complaints (0.04) | |||
Public green space (0.04) | |||
Assets of community value (0.02) | |||
High street vibrancy (0.02) | |||
4 | Diversity and Inclusion | 2.37 | Religious affiliation (0.15) |
English language proficiency (0.12) | |||
Living alone (0.09) | |||
Municipal spending on culture (0.07) | |||
Employment sector diversity (0.06) | |||
Households in temporary accommodation (0.04) | |||
Life satisfaction (0.03) | |||
5 | Equity and Stability | 1.60 | Non-ringfenced reserves (0.18) |
Core spending power (0.17) | |||
IMD gap (0.15) | |||
School quality (0.06) | |||
Gender pay gap (0.05) | |||
Gini index (0.05) | |||
Population churn (0.04) | |||
Food insecurity (0.02) |
Number of LADs | Composite Resilience Index | Sub-Index 1 Access and Infrastructure | Sub-Index 2 Economic Well-Being and Opportunity | Sub-Index 3 Social Capital and Connectivity | Sub-Index 4 Diversity and Inclusion | Sub-Index 5 Equity and Stability | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regions | |||||||
East Midlands | 35 | 79.9 (8.9) | 34.1 (5.1) | 20.9 (6.3) | 9.0 (1.5) | 9.3 (1.7) | 6.7 (1.7) |
East of England | 45 | 80.9 (11.4) | 31.2 (4.0) | 24.3 (7.3) | 9.5 (1.3) | 8.7 (1.5) | 7.3 (1.2) |
London | 32 | 95.2 (6.2) | 36.7 (1.8) | 29.0 (4.8) | 11.8 (2.3) | 9.3 (1.5) | 8.4 (0.7) |
North East | 12 | 77.5 (5.6) | 35.4 (3.9) | 16.1 (3.8) | 8.7 (2.0) | 10.1 (1.6) | 7.2 (1.4) |
North West | 39 | 84.4 (9.1) | 35.3 (5.1) | 21.0 (6.4) | 10.2 (1.6) | 11.0 (1.7) | 7.0 (1.1) |
South East | 64 | 87.3 (11.4) | 31.4 (4.4) | 29.1 (7.2) | 10.0 (1.6) | 9.3 (1.4) | 7.5 (1.2) |
South West | 29 | 78.0 (9.7) | 28.1 (6.2) | 24.2 (5.2) | 10.5 (2.1) | 8.4 (1.4) | 6.8 (1.4) |
West Midlands | 30 | 79.5 (7.2) | 33.6 (4.5) | 18.9 (6.6) | 9.6 (1.7) | 10.3 (1.5) | 7.1 (1.2) |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 21 | 75.2 (8.0) | 31.0 (5.7) | 19.0 (7.3) | 9.1 (1.7) | 9.3 (1.9) | 6.8 (1.0) |
p-value (ANOVA) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
North–South | |||||||
Midlands and South | 235 | 83.9 (11.2) | 32.3 (5.1) | 25.0 (7.5) | 10.0 (1.9) | 9.2 (1.6) | 7.3 (1.4) |
North | 72 | 80.6 (9.3) | 34.1 (5.4) | 19.6 (6.5) | 9.6 (1.8) | 10.3 (1.9) | 7.0 (1.1) |
p-value (t-test) | 0.022 | 0.014 | <0.001 | 0.16 | <0.001 | 0.030 | |
Inland–Coastal | |||||||
Inland | 245 | 84.9 (10.5) | 33.1 (5.0) | 24.9 (7.7) | 9.9 (1.9) | 9.6 (1.6) | 7.4 (1.3) |
Coastal | 62 | 76.0 (9.3) | 31.5 (5.9) | 19.3 (5.5) | 9.8 (1.8) | 8.8 (2.0) | 6.7 (1.0) |
p-value (t-test) | <0.001 | 0.032 | <0.001 | 0.50 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
Urban–Rural | |||||||
Predominantly Urban | 174 | 85.1 (10.5) | 35.5 (3.2) | 22.9 (7.9) | 10.2 (2.1) | 9.2 (1.7) | 7.3 (1.4) |
Urban with Significant Rural | 50 | 83.2 (10.6) | 31.3 (4.8) | 25.6 (7.6) | 9.3 (1.8) | 9.7 (1.8) | 7.3 (1.3) |
Predominantly Rural | 83 | 79.1 (10.7) | 27.8 (4.7) | 24.4 (6.7) | 9.8 (1.4) | 9.9 (1.6) | 7.2 (1.2) |
p-value (ANOVA) | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.053 | 0.012 | 0.005 | 0.69 |
Variables | IMD |
---|---|
CRI: composite index | −0.564 * |
Sub-Index 1: Access and Infrastructure | 0.154 * |
Sub-Index 2: Economic Well-being and Opportunity | −0.821 * |
Sub-Index 3: Social Capital and Connectivity | 0.030 |
Sub-Index 4: Diversity and Inclusion | −0.226 * |
Sub-Index 5: Equity and Stability | −0.249 * |
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Camacho, C.; Webb, R.T.; Bower, P.; Munford, L. Adapting the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) Framework for England: Development of a Community Resilience Index. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2024, 21, 1012. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21081012
Camacho C, Webb RT, Bower P, Munford L. Adapting the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) Framework for England: Development of a Community Resilience Index. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2024; 21(8):1012. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21081012
Chicago/Turabian StyleCamacho, Christine, Roger T. Webb, Peter Bower, and Luke Munford. 2024. "Adapting the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) Framework for England: Development of a Community Resilience Index" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 21, no. 8: 1012. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21081012
APA StyleCamacho, C., Webb, R. T., Bower, P., & Munford, L. (2024). Adapting the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) Framework for England: Development of a Community Resilience Index. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 21(8), 1012. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21081012