1. Introduction
Today’s world’s development is mostly based on fossil fuels. Due to the negative impact of fossil fuels on the environment and their limited reserves, the last decades have seen the use of renewable energy sources increase. According to References [
1,
2], installed capacity of renewable energy source (RES) for electricity generation has been increasing every year. In 2004, the total installed capacity of RES for electricity generation was 85 GW (or 800 GW when considering large hydro power plants), while it was 1081 GW by the end of 2017 (or 2195 GW when considering large hydro power plants). In 2016, the share of RES in the electric energy consumption was 24.5% [
3], compared to 26.5% in 2017 [
2].
For electricity generation (excluding large hydro power plants), the installed capacity of bio-power, geothermal, solar photo-voltaic (PV), concentrating solar thermal power (CSP), wind power and ocean energy capacity in 2017 was 122 GW, 12.8 GW, 402 GW, 4.9 GW, 539 GW and 0.5 GW, respectively [
2]. From the previously mentioned RES technologies, geothermal and bio-power technologies have the highest capacity factors, as opposed to solar PV which has the lowest. Pursuant to Reference [
4], the global weighted average capacity factors (CFs) for different renewable sources was constantly rising from 2010 to 2017, which indicates an increase in the yearly electricity generation per installed capacity.
This paper will focus on the biogas power plant based on anaerobic digestion. According to Reference [
5], the total biogas power plant production was 62,704.00 GWh. Similarly, they [
5] had the total annual energy generation of 181,565.00 GWh (electricity and thermal energy). Numerous biogas power plants in the European Union (EU) use agricultural feedstock. The European Biogas Association report for 2017 [
5] gives an insight in used amounts of different feedstock combinations used in biogas power plants in the EU in 2016. Scarlat et al. [
6] provide an overview of the RES policy, bioenergy and biogas markets, biogas production trends and biogas production in the EU. They [
6] show that in 2015 in the EU, biogas delivered 127 TJ of heat and 61 TWh of electricity, which is about 50% of the total biogas consumption in Europe destined to heat generation.
If compared to other RES technologies such as PV systems, wind power plants or hydro power plants, which have variable (stochastic) electricity generation, biogas power plants’ electricity generation can be controlled and optimized. Biogas power plants can help in better integration of other RES technologies into the power system. According to Reference [
7], flexible power provision from biogas power plants can significantly contribute to energy systems with high shares of renewables. In this paper, eight different indicators are defined to shape “flexibility” and perform a downstream investigation of eight research projects focusing on flexible energy provision of biogas plants. A new model of demand-driven supply by biogas power plants, which can offer a solution for more efficient integration of fluctuating supply of wind and solar energy, is presented in Reference [
8]. The problem of operational planning of a biogas combing heat and power plant under the conditions of limited biofuel resources is analyzed in Reference [
9]. Furthermore, biogas power plants can help improve the power quality in power grids with a high share of PV systems, such as that presented in Reference [
10].
The recent increase of investments in biogas power plants in the EU is inspired by European and national policies. One of the goals of European climate and energy strategies is to increase the share of RES [
11,
12]. National policies of different EU countries have different ways to support investments in biogas power plants as well as other RES technologies such as subsidies, feed-in tariffs, feed-in premiums, etc. Several researches were conducted to analyze the investments in biogas power. Menind and Olt [
13] analyzed the investment in biogas power plants, asking five questions on the market energy price, existing supports for RES and investment risks before investing in biogas power plants. One of these questions is related to a buying energy price, which in this research is considered as one of the constraint data. Salerno et al., in Reference [
14], presented a financial and economic evaluation of small biogas power plants focusing on the comparison of several incentive systems used over time. Their conclusions (based on the Italian case study) show that despite the obvious recent price reductions, investments in small biogas power plants (e.g., 250 kW, 300 kW) can still be attractive. An economic analysis for centralized and decentralized biogas power plants in order to find the optimal electric capacity is presented in Reference [
15]. The Brazilian case study results demonstrate that biogas power plants with electric capacity of over 1 MW perform better than smaller plants. Additionally, it shows that in small-scale biogas power plants (<1 MW), the costs related to the transport of the feedstock on distances below 30 km do not significantly impact the economic analysis. A comprehensive analysis of the cultivation, harvesting and transportation impact on the feedstock price is presented in Reference [
16]. An example of calculating the biomass potential for energy generation is presented in Reference [
17].
Geographical information systems (GIS) can be very useful to determine the optimal allocations of biogas power plants as well as to assess the biomass potential on specific regions. In Reference [
18], the analysis of the spatial distribution and available amounts of biomass feedstock for biogas generation are presented. GIS is used to find the optimal site locations, size and power of the biogas power plants in the southern regions of Finland, where the objective function is a minimum transport distance using local roadmaps. GIS, with the combination of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Weighted Overlap Dominance (FWOD) procedure, is used to identify the most suitable locations for building future biogas power plants, taking into account the most relevant criteria for the social, economic and political dimensions, as presented in Reference [
19]. The assessment of the spatial availability of locally available feedstock for the biogas generation in Assam, India, using GIS is presented in Reference [
20]. In the same paper, GIS is used to optimize a design of a biomass collection and transportation network. GIS, as a supporting tool for planning future biogas plants, is also used in References [
21,
22,
23]. Valenti et al. [
23] used the GIS-based model to calculate the spatial index of the feedstock mixture availability, and the presented results could help local decision makers to show the suitable areas for the installation of new biogas power plants. In Reference [
22], a three-step approach that uses data collection, GIS-based analysis and technical and economic assessment was used to analyze and design the biogas power generation system. It can be applied to other regions.
As previously mentioned, most of the biogas power plants in the EU are based on agricultural feedstock and anaerobic digestion technology. The feedstock can originate from the direct neighborhood of the farm or it can be collected in different locations at some distance from it. Consequently, one of the challenges is to find an optimal mix of the feedstock as well as the feasible transportation distance to the biogas power plant. Prior to the collection feedstock process, it is important to test feedstock mixture with different ratios of available feedstock in order to get optimal mixtures with the highest biogas contribution, as presented by Valenti et al. in Reference [
24]. Testing of different feedstock mixtures can contribute to more flexible solutions for the biogas generation in accordance with seasonal availability of different feedstocks [
24]. However, the needed volume of bio-methane determined by the plant power (size) should be taken into account in this case.
Wolf et al. [
25] used artificial intelligence methods to optimize a feedstock mix. Recently, different metaheuristic (nature-inspired) global optimization techniques such as Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) have been used to perform optimization regarding the biogas plant operation. They used GA and PSO methods to optimize the feedstock mix in order to have a stable and efficient biogas production. Celli et al. [
26] propose the usage of the GA method to find optimal biomass power plants’ distribution. This model is integrated in a Geographical Information System (GIS) in order to achieve better performance. A bio-economic model for the optimization of agricultural biogas supply chains using artichoke byproducts in existing plants is developed in Reference [
27]. The model uses a linear programming approach with two objective functions (net present value and land use from energy crops). Mixed integer linear programming (MILP) was used in Reference [
28]. The MILP-based model is used to determine the optimal location of potential biogas power plants as well as the optimal location of potential biomass storage sites, where the objective function is maximization of the profit. Modeling of the supply chain network in Reference [
28] takes the set of biomass sites with the available amount of biomass, the set of candidate sites for supplying biomass to biogas power plants and candidate sites for biomass storage with defined maximum storage capacity into consideration. Mixed-integer programming is proposed in Reference [
29] in order to find an optimal location of the hubs for the collection of feedstock to minimize operation costs of supply chains. However, due to the complexity of the constrained objective function involving mixed-integer variables, optimal solutions cannot be readily obtained. For this reason, an optimal solution is finally found using a GA in Reference [
29]. The GA is also used to optimize biogas power plant power generation [
30] and feedstock mix [
31]. The research presented in Reference [
32] describes the method which enables the assessment of possible scenarios regarding the supply of biogas power plants with feedstock, pursuant to stakeholders’ preferences. MILP is used for modeling possible scenarios with the lowest costs and shortest distances in the supply network, while Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) is used for the assessment of the different scenarios. For the assessment of the different scenarios using AHP, the following criteria are used: global cost, total traveled distance, emission of CO
2 and technical feasibility of each scenario’s implementation. Here, the distances of feedstock are defined as input data for different scenarios and given in three values: 7.5, 15 and 22.5 km.
Following previous literature, there are many optimization models for a biogas power plant. However, these models do not provide estimates of the possible feedstock transportation distance to the biogas power plant nor do they propose the possible feedstock prices necessary to achieve the desired cost of biogas production. A situation in which the power plant owner produces the raw material himself is usually considered in the current literature. In comparison to such situation, the presented research describes the optimization procedure for the scenario in which the power plant is owned by a third party and the power plant owner has to purchase the feedstock on the market. The research is inspired by the real situation. Therefore, this paper aims to solve this problem. The challenge is to find the maximum transportation distances to the reactor as well as the necessary yearly amounts (masses) of the different types of feedstock in order to produce biogas at a specific cost while considering the nominal power of the biogas power plant. This paper contributes to the existing literature by developing an optimization model for biogas power plant feedstock mixture considering feedstock and transportation costs using a differential evolution algorithm. The proposed model is applied in a case study that takes into account the five most commonly used feedstock destined to biogas power plants in Croatia and Hungary [
33].
The rest of the paper is structured as follows: the second section presents the model description including the mathematical model description and optimization problem definition. In the third section, the model is applied on the case study, while the fourth section concludes the findings.
3. Results of the Case Study
In this case study, the application of the proposed model is presented. The model is used to find optimal transportation distances and different feedstock masses in order to produce biogas for the defined cost for a 1 MW biogas power plant. A mixture of the following five different feedstocks are considered for the biogas production: cow’s manure, cow’s slurry, pig’s slurry, millet silage and corn silage. These feedstocks are typically used in biogas power plants in Croatia and Hungary [
5,
33,
34,
42,
43,
44,
45]. The constraint values used in the case study are given in
Table 1.
Table 2 and
Table 3 list the input data for the case study’s proposed model. Different amounts of the dry and organic matters in some feedstock, as can be seen in the literature [
43,
46,
47,
48,
49,
50,
51,
52], are given. As it is pointed out in Reference [
52], these data are usually: “…general, for exact values an individual substrate analysis has to be undertaken”. That being said, the data used in
Table 2 are from Reference [
53] (for millet silage, from Reference [
51]) and are used here as an example to present the application of the proposed procedure. Normally, the proposed procedure can be used for any specific data depending on the given case. The feedstock price is subject to change [
54] depending on the area market conditions and it can be defined during the contracting phase [
53]. The price range can be pretty wide, e.g., 3.73–39.37 €/t for manure [
53]. The feedstock prices given in
Table 3 (column 5) are obtained from the plant owner in Croatia based on the local prices the owner used to pay for the feedstock. The similar prices for manure and silage in Hungary are presented in Reference [
55]. These prices are used here to present the application of the procedure with numerical data, but any other prices can also be used in the model. The feedstock transport cost is not unique; rather, it depends on the local market and is negotiable between the plant owner and transportation companies. There are different models of the transportation costs. The cost is three-fold and it consists of fixed and variable (depends on distance) parts, such as in Reference [
56], transportation cost defined for ranges of distances [
57] or fixed cost [
55]. The feedstock transport price model from Reference [
56] is applied here with the coefficients obtained from the plant owner (column 6 in
Table 3). These data are used as an example, but other data can also be used depending on given situations. In the case study, the impact of transportation distances on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and profit from digestate used as a fertilizer was not taken into account.
The feedstock and transportation price data given in
Table 3 are used as a base case in the simulations given below. Several different objective functions of the optimization problem, given in Equations (5)–(7), are used in the case study. Some results and discussion are given below. The optimization procedure is repeated multiple times for each scenario to check convergence. Based on the optimization results, it can be concluded that the optimization problem (for each objective function) has a number of local optima. There are different optimal value combinations of the decision variables, showing that objective values are very close to each other. The ranges of possible solutions for the base case are shown in
Figure 3,
Figure 4 and
Figure 5 in the form of boxplot graphs to visualize the existence of more different feedstock combinations. These data are obtained by repeating the optimization procedure 50 times for the same input data. The difference in the results are due to the stochastic character of the metaheuristic optimization method used.
The examples of the possible optimal values of the decision variables are presented in
Table 4,
Table 5 and
Table 6 for Equations (5)–(7), respectively.
The ranges of decision variable values for Equations (6) and (7) are also obtained as in the case of Equation (5) (
Figure 3,
Figure 4 and
Figure 5) but were not presented here due to space limitation. The impact of the objective function, feedstock and transportation cost will be elaborated on in the following sections.
Purple circles represent the maximum distances for the collections of the cow’s manure using local roads,
Red circles represent the maximum distances for the collections of the cow’s slurry using local roads,
Yellow circles represent the maximum distances for the collections of the pig’s slurry using local roads,
Blue circles represent the maximum distances for the collections of the millet silage using local roads,
Orange circles represent the maximum distances for the collections of the corn silage using local roads.
In
Section 2.2, three different objective functions were presented. In
Figure 7,
Figure 8 and
Figure 9, the ranges of the methane production cost and decision variables, which depend on the objective function form, are presented.
Figure 7,
Figure 8 and
Figure 9 show that high distance for all feedstock types for Equations (5) and (6) can be achieved for the base values of input data. The main reason is the possibility to keep the methane production cost under the given limit of 0.35 EUR/m
3 thanks to lower prices of the feedstock and transportation cost. In case of Equation (7), considering the bio methane production cost, only the upper limit distances for pig slurry and millet silage are lower than the upper limit and have values up to 56 and 24 km, respectively. For other feedstock, there are solutions including the highest distances.
The impact of increasing feedstock and transportation cost is illustrated below. In this scenario, the feedstock and transportation costs increased two and three times with respect to the base cost values. The simulation results for optimization repeated 50 times are presented in
Figure 10,
Figure 11 and
Figure 12. The results for Equation (5) are given for the situation with the increased costs.
The situation proposing the increased feedstock and transportation costs and limited available volumes of the feedstock is simulated and elaborated on. The cost of feedstock and transportation increased two and three times of the base cost values, respectively. The limited volumes of cow slurry and millet silage in the amounts of 30% and 20% of the base limit values were used for the simulation purposes. The results are given in
Figure 13,
Figure 14 and
Figure 15.
In case of the increased feedstock cost and limited available amounts, the ranges of the feedstock volume values for possible solutions are decreased (
Figure 14) and maximal distances are limited to 50, 91, 25, 73 and 25 km for cow manure, cow slurry, pig slurry, millet silage and corn silage, respectively.
Figure 16,
Figure 17 and
Figure 18 present the results for the increased feedstock and transportation costs. Using Equation (7) (methane production cost minimization), the baseline values increased two and three times for the feedstock and transportation cost, respectively. In this case, most of the solutions find distances below 20, 50, 10, 40 and 10 km for cow manure, caw slurry, pig slurry, millet and corn silage, respectively. However, as can be seen, the solution including around 90 km for cow slurry and 80 km for millet silage can be found for a very narrow range of the methane production cost (0.61–0.62 EUR/m
3,
Figure 12).
4. Discussion
Based on the results shown in the previous section, the outcomes of the presented research are as follows:
There are more different combinations of the feedstock volumes and distances which give very close values of the objective function values (for all three used objective formulations).
The upper distance limit for one feedstock depends on maximal distances of other feedstocks (
Table 4,
Table 5 and
Table 6).
Using Equation (6) (including maximization of the distances only) enables us to find the upper limit of profitable feedstock distances considering the methane production cost constraint (Equation (23)) (profitable limit of the methane production cost).
The proposed procedure enables us to study the impact of different feedstock combinations and transportation prices according to the existing market prices and to determine the upper limit of the feedstock distances projecting the expected methane production cost.
The optimal mixture of feedstock can be found and used instead of only one feedstock type for minimization of the methane production cost.
The obtained maximum distances of feedstock are somewhat different than the values presented in the literature, especially for the base values of input data. The authors of Reference [
59] stated that energetic break-even transportation distances for manure can be around 200 km; however, due to the economic criteria, they used 15 km distances in their research. The transportation distances up to 100 km or less (depends on a silage type) were found to be economically profitable in Reference [
57]. Transportation distances from 0.5 to 3 km for different feedstock combinations were used in the scenarios presented in Reference [
60]. According to Reference [
45], transportation distances up to 10 km for manure are economically profitable for farmers and plant owners. In Reference [
32], the feedstock distances are limited on the highest value of 22.5 km according to the real situation of the considered area. As can be seen from the obtained results as well as the reported values in the literature, the feedstock distances and volumes highly depend on the used model, cost assumptions and scenarios. A similar conclusion is given in Reference [
57], where the authors stated that the direct comparison of results obtained through different studies cannot be always done due to differences in “… assumptions, economic contexts (e.g., public subsidy framework, feedstock prices, etc.) and assessment methods…”. The authors in Reference [
61] acknowledged that different feedstock combinations depend on availability and feedstock prices. Furthermore, Valenti et al. [
24] recommend that prior to the feedstock collection process, it is important to test feedstock mixture with different ratios of available feedstock in order to get the optimal mixtures with the highest biogas contribution. Based on the results presented in the previous section, it can be concluded that the proposed procedure can lead to finding not only one but also more solutions for defined constraints and input data.