The Balance and Optimization Model of Coal Supply in the Flow Representation of Domestic Production and Imports: The Ukrainian Case Study
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Results
- -
- The guaranteed demand provision for each of all coal brands;
- -
- Sufficient capacity of import routes, in particular, sea trade ports of the country and its railways;
- -
- Amounts of own production at the enterprise, determined by the variant of its functioning;
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- Meeting the energy security requirements according to the quantitative criteria “The share of own sources in the balance of fuel and energy resources of the country” and “The share of fuel imported from one country (company) in its total imported amount” [66].
- -
- The consumers’ demand is totally provided for each coal brand i
- -
- The total amount of imports does not exceed the total throughput capacity of sea trade ports and railways
- -
- If coal-mining enterprise k operates in the state of installed technological equipment with (I) or without (II) reconstruction or modernization (s = 1 and s = 0, respectively), the total amount of domestic production of coal brand i is determined as follows
- -
- The total amount of imported coal of the brand i is determined as a sum of the amounts received from the import source d
- -
- Imbalance between the total amount of domestic production and the threshold amount of total coal supply of the brand i, by the criteria of energy security, is the positive value
- -
- Imbalance between the amount of imported coal of brand I from each source of import and the threshold amount of this brand’s import by the criteria of energy security, is the positive value
- -
- The lack of well-grounded state-level strategies and plans for the development of industrial sectors, which makes it impossible to clearly define the structure and volumes of coal fuel consumption;
- -
- Limited access to long-term plans for reconstruction and development of enterprises that are part of the end use sector;
- -
- The government cannot guarantee the renewal of production of deficit brands of coal, which currently remain on the territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government;
- -
- Reducing the resource capacity of power units of thermal power plants that consume coal fuel, as well as the need for the construction of new or additional reconstruction of existing generating capacities, which will meet the environmental standards of the European legislation and will operate after the end of the life of existing power units;
- -
- Construction of new generating capacities requires the possibility of using project fuel, but the availability of certain brands of coal for the medium and long term remains uncertain.
3.2. Discussion
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Enterprise | Calculated Value | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2030 | 2035 | ||||
I | II | I | II | I | II | |
State enterpise “Pivdennodonbaske №3 by M.S. Surhai“ | 42.84 | 50.77 | 38.49 | 50.77 | 37.31 | 50.77 |
State enterpise “Krasnoarmiiskvuhillia(G)” | 38.49 | 60.78 | 35.26 | 60.78 | 33.52 | 60.78 |
State enterpise “Selydivvuhillia (G)“ | 35.26 | 35.26 | 34.82 | 35.26 | 34.82 | 35.26 |
State enterpise “Pervomaiskvuhillia (G)“ | 39.85 | 103.90 | 35.26 | 103.90 | 35.26 | 103.90 |
State enterpise “Lvivvuhillia“ | 39.43 | 42.05 | 38.17 | 42.05 | 40.83 | 47.98 |
New construction mines | 27.59 | 19.78 | 14.54 | |||
State enterpise “Mine administration “Pivdennodonbaske №1“ | 46.75 | 46.75 | 44.66 | 46.75 | 44.56 | 46.75 |
State enterpise “Selydivvuhillia (DG)“ | 43.67 | 64.18 | 41.30 | 64.18 | 39.93 | 64.18 |
State enterpise “Pervomaiskvuhillia (DG)“ | 68.79 | 158.16 | 59.75 | 158.16 | 59.75 | 158.16 |
Open joint stock company “Lysychanskvuhillia” | 40.29 | 43.02 | 38.95 | 43,02 | 38,95 | 43,02 |
State enterpise “Volynvuhillia“ | 90.50 | 116.03 | 90.50 | 116,03 | 90,50 | 116,03 |
New construction mines | 30.71 | 38.81 | 27.59 | 38,81 | 27,59 | 38,81 |
State enterpise “Krasnoarmiiskvuhillia (Zh)“ | 37.31 | 46.75 | 36.24 | 62,21 | 35,26 | 62,21 |
State enterpise “Toretskvuhillia“ | 52.04 | 62.21 | 52.04 | 46,75 | 52,04 | 46,75 |
New construction mines | 38.49 | 27.59 | 27.59 | |||
New construction mines | 27.59 | 21.19 | 21.19 |
Enterprise | Calculated Value | ||
---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2030 | 2035 | |
DTEK Dobropilliavuhillia Limited | 21.28 | 19.94 | 18.51 |
Open joint stock company “Pavlohradvuhillia“ | 25.98 | 30.12 | 38.49 |
Company with additional responsibility “Mine Bilozirska“ | 38.49 | 35.26 | 33.52 |
New construction mines | 27.59 | 19.78 | 14.54 |
Open joint stock company “Pavlohradvuhillia“ | 12.66 | 14.85 | 17.03 |
New construction mines | 30.71 | 27.59 | 27.59 |
Open joint stock company “Krasnolymanske“ | 50.47 | 50.47 | 50.47 |
Open joint stock company “Ukrvuhlebud“ | 65.54 | 65.54 | 65.54 |
New construction mines | 38.49 | 27.59 | 27.59 |
Private joint stock company “Mining Management Group «Pokrovske»“ | 17.69 | 17.69 | 19.78 |
New construction mines | 27.59 | 21.19 | 21.19 |
Indicator | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. Consumption, million tons (input) | ||||
z | 2.067 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
G+DG+D | 23.917 | 32.801 | 41.6 | 52.401 |
Coke coal, total | 19.225 | 18.946 | 20.726 | 21.452 |
2. Supply, million tons (calculated values) | ||||
2.1 Import | ||||
A | ||||
Vietnam | 0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
South Africa Republic | 0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Russia | 0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government | 0.207 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
D | ||||
Russia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.403 |
Kazakhstan | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2,403 |
The territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.06 |
G | ||||
Australia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.313 | 1.727 |
Russia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.313 | 1.727 |
The territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.125 | 1.48 |
DG | ||||
G (for coking) | ||||
Australia | 0.447 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
PS | ||||
Australia | 3.22 | 1.911 | 1.803 | 2.582 |
Russia | 3.22 | 1.911 | 1.803 | 2.582 |
The territory of Ukraine, which is currently not controlled by the state government | 2.76 | 1.638 | 1.545 | 2.213 |
2.2 Domestic production, million tons | ||||
DG | ||||
State enterpise “Mine administration “Pivdennodonbaske №1” | 0.95 | 0.95 | 1.045 * | 0.95 |
State enterpise “Selidivvuhillia” | 0.491 | 0.491 | 1.230 | 1.320 |
State enterpise “Pervomaiskvuhillia” | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.535 | 0.570 |
State enterpise “Lysychachnskvuhillia” | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.390 | 1.13 |
Open joint stock company “Pavlohradvuhillia” | 14.55 | 14.44 | 10.355 | 7.79 |
State enterpise “Volynvuhillia” | 0.143 | 0.143 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
New construction mines | 0.8 | 0.172 | 2.85 | 2.85 |
G | ||||
State enterpise “Pivdennodonbaske №3 by M.S. Surhai” | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.425 | 1.520 |
State enterpise “Selidivvuhillia” | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.71 |
State enterpise “Pervomaisvuhillia” | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.91 | 1.140 |
Open joint stock company “Pavlohradvuhillia” | 1.053 | 3.23 | 2.375 | 1.425 |
State enterpise “Lvivvuhillia” | 1.185 | 1.185 | 1.450 | 1.185 |
State enterpise “Krasnoarmiiskvuhillia” | 0.85 | 0.915 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
New construction mines | 0.0 | 2.85 | 5.7 | 10.83 |
DTEK Dobropilliavuhillia Limited | 1.196 | 4.895 | 5.605 | 6.55 |
Company with additional responsibility “Mine Bilozirska” | 0.0 | 1.425 | 1.71 | 1.9 |
K | ||||
New construction mines | 0.0 | 2.85 | 4.94 | 4.94 |
Private joint stock company “Mining Management Group «Pokrovske»” | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 5.7 |
Zh | ||||
State enterpise “Krasnoarmiiskvuhillia” | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
State enterpise “Toretskvuhillia” | 0.625 | 0.755 | 0.755 | 0.755 |
Open joint stock company “Krasnolymanske” | 0.8 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 |
Open joint stock company “Ukrvuhlebud” | 0.0 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
New construction mines | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Total amount of High volatile group preparation | 1.196 | 1.790 | 2.080 | 2.620 |
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Bilan, T.; Kaplin, M.; Makarov, V.; Perov, M.; Novitskii, I.; Zaporozhets, A.; Havrysh, V.; Nitsenko, V. The Balance and Optimization Model of Coal Supply in the Flow Representation of Domestic Production and Imports: The Ukrainian Case Study. Energies 2022, 15, 8103. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15218103
Bilan T, Kaplin M, Makarov V, Perov M, Novitskii I, Zaporozhets A, Havrysh V, Nitsenko V. The Balance and Optimization Model of Coal Supply in the Flow Representation of Domestic Production and Imports: The Ukrainian Case Study. Energies. 2022; 15(21):8103. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15218103
Chicago/Turabian StyleBilan, Tetiana, Mykola Kaplin, Vitaliy Makarov, Mykola Perov, Ihor Novitskii, Artur Zaporozhets, Valerii Havrysh, and Vitalii Nitsenko. 2022. "The Balance and Optimization Model of Coal Supply in the Flow Representation of Domestic Production and Imports: The Ukrainian Case Study" Energies 15, no. 21: 8103. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15218103