1. Introduction
The circular economy is an intrinsic part of the ecological transition [
1,
2,
3,
4]. The recovery of waste to close material cycles is increasingly necessary for managing natural resources. A recovered waste will be competitive if it costs less than the natural resource it replaces. On the other hand, the widespread practice of externalizing waste makes its production costs extremely indeterminate. A rigorous and objective theory, including diagnostics, is therefore needed to solve the problem of evaluating the costs of waste to exploit it both externally (Industrial Symbiosis and Circular Economy) and internally (Process Optimization). However, as systems and production equipment are subject to inevitable deterioration, it is also necessary to evaluate how this degradation affects production costs, both in terms of products and waste. Indeed, diagnosis and sensitivity analysis go hand in hand, and this is the subject of this paper.
Energy systems diagnosis aims to discover and understand signs of malfunction and quantify their effects. There are two main techniques adopted in energy systems [
5]:
Thermomechanical monitoring conditions are usually adopted in power plants to predict failures.
Thermodynamic monitoring methodologies are mainly suitable for analysing anomalies causing a reduction in system efficiency.
Thermoeconomic diagnosis belongs to the second type of method. However, its objectives are more general and consist of detecting deviations in process efficiency, locating their main causes and quantifying their effects regarding additional fuel consumption.
The foundation of thermoeconomic diagnosis lies in second law analysis, and the objective is to detect efficiency deviations and quantify their cost in terms of additional fuel consumption by comparing two operating conditions: the current operating condition and a reference condition corresponding to the plant operating under design conditions. Efficiency variation of a component can have different causes, either external to the plant (variation of ambient conditions, plant production and fuel quality) or internal, which are the presence of anomalies due to component degradation (malfunctions) and efficiency variations induced by changes in the operating conditions (dysfunctions).
The development of the thermoeconomic diagnosis began in the 1990s [
6,
7] with the work of the research group at the University of Zaragoza led by Antonio Valero. The mathematical formulation of the fuel impact formula was developed in [
8], based on the
principle of non-equivalence of the irreversibilities, introduced by Beyer [
9]. The most significant efforts have been concentrated on developing procedures for locating anomalies and quantifying their effects, defining concepts such as intrinsic and induced malfunctions, dysfunctions and malfunction costs and their associated calculation procedures [
10].
The TADEUS problem [
11], an acronym for Thermoeconomic Approach to the Diagnosis in Energy Utility Systems, was a project aimed at integrating various experiences accumulated by several research groups working in thermoeconomic diagnosis. A set of papers was published in 2004 [
12,
13,
14,
15,
16], showing different approaches, each with particular characteristics that are complementary to each other.
Thermoeconomic diagnosis has been applied mainly to fossil fuel power plants [
17,
18]. These systems are characterized by having a single primary product, and their production demand is usually fixed, unlike other types of systems such as polygeneration plants, in which there is a simultaneous variation of final products, or industrial parks, in which part of the waste generated by a process can be reused in other processes or plants. Subsequent works have applied this methodology to refrigeration systems [
19,
20], refrigeration plants and domestic hot water [
21]. Other theoretical approaches to thermoeconomic diagnosis have been presented in recent years [
22,
23,
24,
25].
However, the original thermoeconomic diagnostic method did not consider either the variation of final products or the additional waste generation. For this reason, it is necessary to include the effects of a process malfunction in the production variation and waste generation.
Circular Thermoeconomics [
26] based on exergy cost theory [
27] can answer these shortcomings. It allows the accounting of physical or thermodynamic costs, both functional products and waste generated in parallel [
28]. It makes it possible to identify which parts of these costs are due to internal irreversibilities and which are due to waste generated or external irreversibilities.
This approach is based on the analysis of production structure [
29]. The role of each subsystem (usually corresponding to a thermodynamic process) in its production structure is defined by the resources (fuel) needed to generate the desired product. This product will be input into other system processes or by external consumers. If exergy is taken as a measure, fuel and product are exergy flows, and the ratio of fuel to product represents the exergy efficiency of the process. Circular Thermoeconomics adds a new layer to include the waste process formation cost. If waste leaves the boundaries of a plant, it dissipates into the environment. Still, its formation costs must be accounted for, identifying its origin and internalizing those costs to the processes that have produced it. A part of this waste could be reused in other processes or plants, in which case, the theory allows for calculating its formation costs or will provide an objective cost as a basis for discussion with other plants interested in using it.
The concept of waste [
30] has not been sufficiently analyzed in thermoeconomics. By waste, we mean any unwanted material or energy flow—solid, liquid or gaseous—or a heat, noise or any radiating flow. From a thermodynamic point of view, it is simply the external irreversibility that generates entropy outside the system under analysis. Waste is harmful because it still has exergy, and we have to consume it to get rid of it.
Every time we produce, we generate waste. And every product, sooner or later, also becomes waste. This consideration is essential because it allows us to distinguish between waste from production processes and the end-of-use waste of material goods. The former corresponds to the remains of the resources used in the processes; let us call them primary waste because they are produced simultaneously as the products are obtained. The latter corresponds to the degradation or elimination of material goods of an inorganic nature or the discarding of parts of organic substances. Municipalities usually collect this type of waste, and we call it secondary waste. Their treatment, reduction and disposal require more energy, water and raw materials, which constitute the input for their processing. At the same time, new products and tertiary waste are produced, which include their output. Thermoeconomic analysis can, therefore, be applied to them.
Any manufacture of material goods requires exergy resources that are converted into products and waste, both with their exergy. The difference between the exergy of the resources used minus that of the outputs is called
internal irreversibility. When waste crosses the boundaries of the productive system, it still has exergy that will irreversibly degrade when released into the environment. It is deferred more or less in time and can potentially damage the biosphere, see [
31]. We call this spontaneous process,
external irreversibility. Moreover, at its end-of-life, even products behave as waste if they do not become recycled.
As waste is an integral part of production, waste has a cost [
32]. These costs are of two types: on the one hand, since they are part of the production process, resources have been consumed to produce them, and on the other hand, to eliminate them, additional resources are required; the latter costs are called
abatement costs. Just as the process of product cost formation is evaluated, the process of waste cost formation must also be assessed. Considering that waste has exergy, it is rational to think it could still be used for production.
Unfortunately, we are far from reusing waste for various reasons such as economic interests, lack of regulation, lack of technologies, lack of knowledge about nature’s mechanisms, and even thermodynamic limitations. Cost externalization is the endorsement of the harm we cause outside the production system. At best, we pay taxes or fines for society to mitigate them or send them to countries that accept them in return for payment. A responsible society should internalize waste and its costs as much as possible.
Thermoeconomics enables attaining a coherent and significant set of costs in a given energy structure. Costing allocation essentially looks for the resources needed to produce both intermediate and final products. Circular Thermoeconomics introduces a general formula of irreversibility costs that connects the second law (internal and external irreversibilities) with the physical costs derived from defining the productive purpose of the plant components. In other words, the conceptual rigour of thermodynamics was provided to the costs of standard economics. See Equations (
A26) and (
A27) in
Appendix B.
The
process of waste cost formation is a priority objective in Circular Thermoeconomics. Waste costs must be rigorously assessed, identifying the processes that generated it because they are the compass for decisions to improve production processes, both within production plants and/or in increasingly complex industrial chains. When we internalize waste costs, Equation (
A27) will also be accountable for these wastes as (external) irreversibilities. Therefore, if external irreversibilities (wastes) are recovered, the production costs are reduced. The keyword recycling [
33] must intrinsically relate to efficiency and cost. It can be used interchangeably by thermoeconomics, circular economy and industrial symbiosis [
34,
35,
36].
In summary, this paper aims to update the thermoeconomic diagnosis theory, including the ideas of Circular Thermoeconomics, to analyze the effects of malfunctions in the additional waste generation and product variation. Therefore, it could be applied to a wide range of energy systems.
To illustrate the methodology introduced in this paper, an ORC-VCR system to produce electricity and cold is used. The physical and thermoeconomic model of the system is described in
Appendix A.
3. The Effect of Malfunctions in Waste Generation
This section will analyze the impact of malfunction on the increasing waste generation. First, we will obtain a formula that relates the component’s malfunction with the variation of the generated waste. The variation of the system’s outputs can be split as:
where Δ
ωt is the variation of the final production and Δ
ωr is the variation of waste generated. On the other hand, according to Equation (
A14), the waste generation could be written as:
.
First, applying matrix difference calculus, we obtain an expression relating the variation of the waste exergy to the internal malfunctions of the processes:
The first and second terms of Equation (
17) show the effect of internal malfunctions
and the variation of waste allocation ratios
. The last term is the effect of the variation of final products. Then, the fuel impact due to waste variation could be written as:
Let us define the
waste cost impact as the effect of the waste variation on the resource consumption:
where
is the equivalent malfunction matrix to the waste generation ratios. Note that these ratios implicitly depend on the unit consumption of the processes and, hence, on the internal dysfunctions.
Therefore, the fuel impact formula Equation (
15) could be rewritten as:
Equation (
20) shows that the fuel impact is the sum of the malfunction cost, the internal cost of waste variation and the cost of final production changes. The effects of changes in the final system product are assessed with the unit production cost that includes both internal and external irreversibilities. This equation improves Equation (
15) and makes it possible to better explain the causes of the variation in resource consumption by separating it into parts due to internal malfunctions, waste malfunctions and production variation.
On the other hand, applying Equation (
17) into irreversibility variation Equation (
10), we obtain:
Equation (
21) decomposes the irreversibility variation of each component into the part due to malfunction, the dysfunction caused by internal and external irreversibilities, and the dysfunction due to the variation of demand production.
The fuel impact Equation (
13) could be rewritten using Equation (
A27) as:
This version of the fuel impact formula was first introduced in [
37]. Although this form correctly evaluates the cost of variation of final products and considers the impact of waste, it does not allow for the separation of the effects of internal irreversibilities from external ones, as Equation (
19) does.
Figure 3 shows the irreversibility variation plot for the TCND35 simulation, using Equation (
21). In contrast to
Figure 2, this graph identifies the components causing the increase in residuals. The CND column shows that the causes of dissipated waste heat (external irreversibility) are mainly due to the evaporation process (BLR). The dysfunctions of the dissipative components are now replaced by the dysfunctions caused by the production processes that generate the waste. It also illustrates how the decrease in production causes a decrease in irreversibility in the remaining components.
4. Total Malfunction Cost Rate
As explained above, the production variation’s effect on resource consumption must be considered. If production decreases, resource consumption decreases, and vice versa, which could cause some misunderstandings. From Equation (
20), we can construct a new indicator to assess the actual resource consumption that considers this issue. We propose the
effective fuel impact or
total malfunction cost rate defined as follows:
where
is the
effective cost variation of the final product, defined as follows:
The effective cost of the change in production depends on whether the final production increases, in which case it is valued at the reference cost of production, and if output decreases, it is valued at the current production cost.
The total malfunction cost rate could also be expressed as:
It means that the effective fuel impact is the sum of internal and external malfunction costs plus a correction depending on the unit production cost of the final products. Thus, the impact on fuel oil does not depend on variations in production but on malfunctions and the increased irreversibility they cause in other processes, i.e., the cost of malfunctions.
Note that if the resource consumption is constant, a decrease/increase in production causes an increase/decrease in the total irreversibility (internal and external). Similarly, a decrease/increase in production causes an increase/decrease in the cost of internal and external malfunctions.
6. Conclusions
In this paper, Circular Thermoeconomics is applied to review the mathematical foundations of thermoeconomic diagnosis, with particular emphasis on the issue of waste generation. The original methodology Equation (
15) considers the additional waste generation as an output of the system and evaluates its cost in terms of additional resource consumption without considering the production cost due to waste. It means externalizing the cost but not identifying the causes of the increase in waste cost.
As shown in
Figure 2, the increase in process irreversibilities due to variation in end products can be significant. This is because the thermoeconomic diagnosis has usually been applied to plants with constant production. This formulation does not contemplate systems with several final products that could vary or with systems whose external resources can be pre-fixed.
The new approach analyzes the causes of increased waste generation, Equation (
17), and its cost in terms of additional resource consumption, Equation (
19). Moreover, special care is taken to separate the costs of internal process malfunctions
from those caused by additional waste generation
, and the cost of final product generation is evaluated taking into account both internal and external irreversibilities, Equation (
20).
Table 5 summarizes the results and compares
fuel impact and
effective fuel impact for the different simulations. In the first two cases, resource consumption is constant, but a malfunction in the turbine and compressor causes a reduction in production and an increase in total irreversibility. The effective fuel impact indicates the amount of resources that would have been consumed if production had been maintained, which, in the case of the turbine, is 7%. In the following two cases, there is a reduction in resource consumption, which, in this example, is a lack of waste heat utilization. In the case of the condenser temperature increase, the cooling output is reduced. The effective fuel impact measures the cost of the malfunction, which is equal to the fuel needed to maintain production, which would be 20% higher. In the case of pressure reduction (temperature decrease) in the boiler, the effect is similar. However, in this case, the effective fuel impact is less than 1%. These examples show that the new
indicator is a more realistic measure of malfunction costs than the original fuel impact index.
In summary, for thermoeconomic diagnosis, the first step should be identifying internal system failures (), not irreversibilities, as these include malfunctions caused by other equipment and those induced by production changes. Once the failure has been identified, we must quantify its cost in terms of additional fuel consumption, namely:
The part due to internal irreversibilities that have produced .
The part associated with waste generation .
The part associated with the variation of the final product .
The methodology is illustrated with an example in which different simulations are analyzed, and their feasibility is demonstrated.
In conclusion, Circular thermoeconomic diagnosis is a thermodynamic monitoring methodology that analyzes any deviations from actual operating conditions, identifies possible malfunctions and assesses the effect of each failure on the additional consumption of system resources. It can be applied to a wide range of energy systems to define new plant operation and control strategies, including analyzing additional waste generation. As the introduction mentions, thermoeconomic diagnosis mainly covers the primary waste. Therefore, a possible research field is to analyze the secondary and tertiary waste extending the system’s boundaries.
Among the perspectives of this work is the application of thermoeconomic diagnosis to a new renewable energy production plant to help define rules and criteria for operation and to develop an IA monitoring system that warns of any problem that causes a decrease in its performance compared to the plant’s reference state.