Variability and Sensitivity of Models Used to Estimate Photovoltaic Production
Abstract
:1. Introduction
# | Papers | Equations | Primary Reference 1 |
---|---|---|---|
1 | [24,29] | : [30,31] : [32] | |
2 | [3,15,27,33,34,35] | : [30,31] : [18] | |
3 | [25] | : [30,31] : [36] | |
4 | [22] | : [37] : [23] | |
5 | [2,3,21,38] | : [37] : [23] | |
6 | [26] | : [39] : - 2 |
2. Methodology
2.1. Determination of the Models
2.2. Meteorological Data
2.3. Calculation of Photovoltaic Production ()
2.4. Variability Analysis
2.5. Sensitivity Analysis
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. Variability of the Models
3.2. Sensitivity Analysis
3.2.1. Sensitivity to Change in
3.2.2. Sensitivity to Change in
3.3. Overview
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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# | Equations | |
---|---|---|
Temperature | Operational Loss Factor | |
M1 | ||
M2 | ||
M3 | ||
M4 | ||
M5 | ||
M6 | - | - |
Manufacturer and Model: Axitec AC-260P/156-60S | |||
---|---|---|---|
Parameter | Value | Parameter | Value |
Photovoltaic cell technology | Polycrystalline silicon | Solar irradiance coefficient | |
Number of modules | Temperature coefficient | ||
Nominal power | Solar irradiance | ||
Module area | Cell operation temperature * | ||
Efficiency | Nominal operating cell temperature |
Conditions | Air Temperature | Daily Solar Irradiance |
---|---|---|
C1 | ||
C2 | ||
C3 | ||
C4 | ||
C5 |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M1 | - | 10.43% | 1.33% | 6.03% | 13.59% | - |
M2 | 10.43% | - | 8.98% | 4.16% | 25.41% | - |
M3 | 1.33% | 8.98% | - | 4.64% | 15.09% | - |
M4 | 6.03% | 4.16% | 4.64% | - | 20.41% | - |
M5 | 13.59% | 25.41% | 15.09% | 20.41% | - | - |
M6 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M1 | - | 1.52% | 0.21% | 9.57% | 6.49% | - |
M2 | 1.52% | - | 1.31% | 7.93% | 0.70% | - |
M3 | 0.21% | 1.31% | - | 9.34% | 6.27% | - |
M4 | 9.57% | 7.93% | 9.34% | - | 2.89% | - |
M5 | 6.49% | 0.70% | 6.27% | 2.89% | - | - |
M6 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M1 | - | 1.52% | 0.21% | 9.57% | 6.49% | 12.89% |
M2 | 1.52% | - | 1.31% | 7.93% | 0.70% | 11.20% |
M3 | 0.21% | 1.31% | - | 9.34% | 6.27% | 12.65% |
M4 | 9.57% | 7.93% | 9.34% | - | 2.89% | 3.03% |
M5 | 6.49% | 0.70% | 6.27% | 2.89% | - | 6.01% |
M6 | 12.89% | 11.20% | 12.65% | 3.03% | 6.01% | - |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
−29.57% | −37.22% | −29.96% | −29.57% | −25.01% | - | |
4.74% | 5.32% | 4.73% | −0.50% | 4.28% | - | |
4.74% | 5.32% | 4.73% | 4.08% | 4.28% | - |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29.57% | 37.22% | 29.96% | 29.57% | 25.01% | - | |
−4.74% | −5.32% | −4.73% | −4.08% | −4.28% | - | |
−4.74% | −5.32% | −4.73% | −4.08% | −4.28% | - |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
−3.85% | −2.38% | −3.66% | −3.66% | −3.13% | - | |
−0.58% | −0.84% | −0.62% | 0.50% | 0.54% | - | |
−18.84% | −19.05% | −18.87% | −17.96% | −17.93% | −18.37% |
M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.85% | 2.38% | 3.66% | 3.66% | 3.13% | - | |
0.37% | 0.64% | 0.41% | −0.50% | −0.54% | - | |
18.81% | 19.12% | 18.86% | 17.77% | 17.73% | 18.37% |
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Araújo, N.M.F.T.S.; Medeiros, S.E.L.; Abrahão, R. Variability and Sensitivity of Models Used to Estimate Photovoltaic Production. Energies 2024, 17, 4177. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17164177
Araújo NMFTS, Medeiros SEL, Abrahão R. Variability and Sensitivity of Models Used to Estimate Photovoltaic Production. Energies. 2024; 17(16):4177. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17164177
Chicago/Turabian StyleAraújo, Nícolas M. F. T. S., Susane Eterna Leite Medeiros, and Raphael Abrahão. 2024. "Variability and Sensitivity of Models Used to Estimate Photovoltaic Production" Energies 17, no. 16: 4177. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17164177