3. Results
3.1. Capital Cost
The total capital investment for the construction of a standard MIDREX DRI plant (the base case) is compared to two carbon neutral DRI process configurations in
Table 5. Applying amine post-combustion capture to the flue gas from the reformer in the base case plant (base case + PCC) results in a total capital investment that is 71% higher than that of the base case. PCL-DRI offers a more competitive cost option, at only a 28% higher cost than the base case without carbon capture. Two factors contribute significantly to the cost difference in the carbon capture equipment: (1) the operating pressure of the carbon capture equipment and (2) the amount of equipment that must be installed on site. The amine plant operates at atmospheric pressure, and thus the size of the equipment needed to handle the full flow of dilute flue gas is relatively large. The PCL plant operates at a moderate pressure, making the equipment smaller and lower in cost. The PCL reactors offer a direct replacement for the firebox of the reformer in the base case, whereas the amine plant is included in addition to all of the original equipment required for DRI production.
The purchase costs of the different equipment types are shown for each case in
Figure 6. The cost of rotating equipment represents a much larger proportion of the total cost for PCL-DRI than either of the other two cases. The largest contributor (43%) to this rotating equipment cost is represented by the two main air compressors that provide compressed air to the PCL reactors. The optimization of the type and size of these compressors could significantly impact the total capital cost of the plant and should be considered in future work.
The increase in vessel costs for the carbon neutral cases are impacted most significantly by the direct contact cooler upstream of the amine absorber for the base case + PCC, and by the candle filter to remove particulate from the vitiated air stream in PCL-DRI. These pieces of equipment are 61% and 88% of their total cost categories, respectively. The direct contact cooler to condition the flue gas is a much higher cost for the base case + PCC case (USD 20 M) than for PCL-DRI (USD 0.7 M), since it is sized to handle both the lower gas pressure and the large N2 flow from the combustion air, rather than the much smaller volumetric flow of concentrated CO2 from the fuel reactors. The amine absorber and regenerator towers (excluding the reboiler and condenser, which are counted as heat exchangers) are the second largest contributor to the base case + PCC vessel costs, at 30%.
The heat exchanger equipment category has the largest cost for the base case + PCC, of which the single largest new contributor relative to the base case is the cross-heat exchanger between lean and rich solvent. This single piece of equipment is 28% of the heat exchanger cost category. The condenser on the amine regeneration column is the next largest new piece of equipment, with a value of 10% of the total cost category. For PCL-DRI, the heat exchangers have a lower total cost than the base case due to the replacement of large, low-pressure combustion air and fuel preheaters upstream of the reformer with smaller, moderate-pressure heat exchangers preheating the fluids entering the PCL reactors.
The cost of the reformer in PCL-DRI decreases relative to the base case. This can be attributed to the higher operating pressure of the PCL reactors, which decreases the vessel size on the flue gas side, as well as the enhanced heat transfer in the fluidized beds compared to the primarily radiant-heat-driven heat transfer in a typical reformer furnace, decreasing the required heat transfer area of the reformer tubes.
The purchase cost of the CO2 compression equipment, once a cooled, purified flue gas stream is produced, is 28% higher for the base case + PCC compared to PCL-DRI. This equipment consists of standard CO2 compressors with intercooling, moisture knockout drums, and a dryer. The higher cost for the base case + PCC is due to the lower inlet pressure to the compressors (164 kPa(a)) compared to PCL-DRI (721 kPa(a)). The cost of this equipment may vary depending on the method of CO2 transportation from the DRI plant and the specifications at the destination. Depending on how the CO2 transportation network develops in the area around the DRI plant, the CO2 compression package may be beyond the battery limits of the plant, in which case the purchased equipment costs of the base case + PCC and PCL-DRI would be reduced to USD 130.4 M and USD 98.3 M, respectively.
3.2. Operating Costs
Figure 7 shows that the base case + PCC has the highest annual variable operating cost, with the main contributor to the increase relative to the base case being the cost of the steam to regenerate the amine solvent. The relative increase in total variable operating costs is 23% for the base case + PCC and 10% for PCL-DRI. The largest changes for PCL-DRI are the cost of electricity, which shows a 2.5-fold increase compared to the base case, and the cost of the oxygen carrier. Despite the magnitude of the relative change in the electricity and oxygen carrier costs, the absolute value is still small compared to the operating budget for the DR pellets and natural gas, which is unchanged across cases.
The variable operating costs per tonne of CO
2 are shown in
Table 6 on the basis of total CO
2 produced in the base case configuration. The incremental cost for CO
2 capture is USD 103/tonne for the base case + PCC and USD 44/tonne for PCL-DRI. The costs for fixed operating costs, CO
2 transportation, and storage or utilization will add to these costs and could be incorporated into future work. These costs will vary depending on the plant location and the participation of other nearby emitters in the transportation network. In many parts of the world, these costs are currently not well defined. For these reasons, transportation and storage costs are not considered within the scope of this article. On the basis of the tonnes of DRI produced, the incremental costs for carbon capture are USD 40 and USD 17 per tonne of DRI produced, for the base case + PCC and PCL-DRI, respectively. This is in addition to the USD 179/tonne DRI in variable operating expenses for the base case.
3.3. Parametric Analysis
The costs of utilities will vary depending on the geographic location and current infrastructure available at the plant; there is also uncertainty relating to future cost inflation. Since the DR pellet and natural gas consumption are kept constant for all cases, the electricity and steam costs are the utility costs that will have the largest impact on differential costs between the cases. The sensitivities for the electricity and steam costs (±30%) are presented in
Figure 8. The PCL-DRI case uses the most electricity and thus has the steepest total cost increase with increased electricity rates; however, even at +30% of the electricity cost, the total variable operating costs for PCL-DRI are less than the base case + PCC at any electricity rate considered. Only the base case + PCC requires steam; at any steam cost considered, this case still has the largest variable operating cost. The steam costs would have to be reduced by 70% for the operating cost of the base case + PCC to be competitive with PCL-DRI.
The choice of oxygen carrier for chemical looping can have a significant impact on the operating cost of the PCL-DRI case, as shown in
Figure 9 for two different oxygen carrier lifetimes. Oxygen carrier makeup is required to account for losses due to attrition or inactivation. Natural ores, such the ilmenite ore used in this work, have a very low cost, though they typically have lower reaction rates, especially when reacting with natural gas [
27,
36]. A lifetime of 1000 h is considered more likely for ilmenite ore since it has a higher attrition rate [
37], while synthetic oxygen carriers can be expected to last up to 10,000 h [
38,
39,
40]. The costs increase substantially when considering synthetic oxygen carriers containing copper or nickel oxides. For PCL-DRI, if an oxygen carrier with a lower attrition resistance, such as ilmenite ore, is used, then the oxygen carrier costs must remain below USD 1.30/kg to be cost-competitive with the base case + PCC. If a synthetic oxygen carrier with a higher attrition resistance is used, and thus has a lower makeup rate, then the oxygen carrier costs may be up to USD 13.25/kg while remaining competitive with the base case + PCC.
4. Discussion
As would be expected, the carbon neutral DRI configurations have a higher capital cost than the base case DRI facility since extra equipment is required to remove, condition, cool, and compress the CO2 from the flue gas. The advantages of pressurization via reduced equipment size are reflected in the lower capital costs of PCL-DRI compared to the base case + PCC. Further capital cost reductions for PCL-DRI may be achieved by optimizing the inlet temperature and mechanical design of the main air compressor feeding the air reactor, and by optimizing the inlet conditions and mechanical design of the gas expander on the vitiated air. It should be noted that capital costs associated with auxiliary steam production equipment for the base case + PCC are not considered within the scope of this analysis. If steam is produced from the combustion of fossil fuels, then the capture of these emissions must also be considered and will result in an increase in the size and cost of the amine capture units.
There are limited publicly available data showing economics of Midrex DRI processes broken down into costs for individual pieces of equipment. Total capital investments of USD 606–673 M [
5,
46] have been reported for the entire DRI plant, after adjusting costs for the year of construction and production scale. The TCI for the base case presented in this work is lower than this range, but considering the error margin of +50% on class 4 economic estimates, the predicted result is still near the expected range. The important learnings from this work are the relative cost comparisons between the cases, given that the same cost basis has been applied and that the shaft furnace cost, one of the most capitally expensive items, is the same in all cases.
An increase in operating costs is expected when CO
2 capture is incorporated, at a minimum to provide the electricity to compress and dry the captured CO
2. Additional measures can be taken to reduce the operating costs of PCL-DRI, which can be considered in future analysis. First, the electricity consumption may be partially offset by optimizing the operating conditions of the vitiated air gas expander to drive a larger portion of the main air compression duty. This may be achieved by increasing the inlet temperature of the gas expander, as investigated by Symonds et al., though this must be balanced with higher capital costs for more exotic materials of construction [
12]. Second, the co-production of steam using waste heat from the PCL reactor effluents may be considered. Process configurations for power and steam production via chemical looping have already been investigated by others [
12,
47,
48,
49]. This steam could be used to either drive rotating equipment, instead of employing electric drives, or could be used elsewhere in the iron and steel mill to reduce the power import or steam production and fuel costs from non-carbon neutral process equipment.
The goal of this work was to present the incremental costs of the most significant operating variables associated with employing carbon capture technologies within the DRI production process. We have not calculated the complete cost of carbon management, as this requires a deeper analysis of CO
2 transportation, storage, and/or utilization costs. In many parts of the world, these costs are not well understood because the infrastructure and policy framework do not yet exist. On a high level, other researchers have considered a generic cost of CO
2 transportation and storage of USD 10/tonne CO
2, though it has been calculated to reasonably range from USD 4 to 45/tonne CO
2 depending on the distance, scale, country, geography, and monitoring requirements [
50]. A more detailed analysis will be site-specific and include knowledge of (i) the nearest storage or utilization site; (ii) the existing access to rail, pipeline or shipping corridors; (iii) other large emitters in the area whose participation may reduce transportation infrastructure costs; (iv) the time horizon for the installation of the transportation infrastructure; (v) a least-cost analysis of potential transportation routes including routing around urban areas, indigenous lands, wetlands, and protected species.
Oxygen carrier development has been an active area of research for chemical looping technologies. The sensitivity analysis presented in
Figure 9 highlights the importance of keeping oxygen carrier costs low, both through choosing low-cost materials and minimizing the required makeup rate. Many researchers have done extensive work developing synthetic oxygen carriers that offer improved reaction kinetics and reduced attrition rates compared to natural ores [
51,
52,
53]; however, the production costs of these novel materials are uncertain. Newby et al. looked at the economics of the large-scale production of a number of oxygen carriers using two preparation methods: co-precipitation and mechanical mixing. Production was considered both at a large, centralized facility (1,000,000 tonne/yr capacity) and on-site at a chemical looping power plant (88,000 tonne/yr capacity). Co-precipitated oxygen carriers made of Fe
2O
3-Al
2O
3 or CuO-TiO
2 resulted in costs ranging from USD 5.36–9.40/kg, which is within the competitive cost range identified in this work only when using high-attrition-resistant oxygen carriers. The costs for some oxygen carriers produced through the mechanical mixing of raw components, such as Fe
2O
3-alumina and taconite-CuO-alumina, were predicted to be USD 1.30/kg or less, and thus would be appropriate for PCL-DRI even if they are less resistant to attrition [
45]. Since chemical looping is not yet a commercial technology, the market demand for a particular oxygen carrier upon plant startup may not be large enough to warrant the production at a large, third-party-operated centralized facility. This would necessitate either the construction of an oxygen carrier production plant on site at the PCL-DRI facility, or the limitation of oxygen carrier selection to the cheaper natural ores. The use of iron-based ores may have further advantages when PCL is employed at an iron and steel mill, as there may be the opportunity to recycle the spent oxygen carrier in the steelmaking process, reducing waste transportation, disposal costs, and raw material costs for steelmaking.
The basis of the analysis in this work was an improvement to a standard Midrex DRI plant to eliminate CO2 emissions. These results and conclusions can be extended to other DRI configurations as the technology continues to be advanced and upgraded. A detailed analysis of the Energiron zero reformer configuration could not be completed due to the lack of sufficient operating data in the open literature; however, the flue gas properties from the fired process gas heater are expected to be similar to the flue gas from the Midrex reformer. Thus, PCL-DRI could be employed to replace the fired heater in much the same way as it replaces the reformer in this work, with a similar cost advantage compared to applying amine PCC to reduce those emissions. PCL-DRI could also be employed in conjunction with biofuel utilization to obtain carbon negative operations, which could offset the emissions from other harder-to-abate process units within the steelmaking process.
5. Conclusions
Two potential carbon neutral DRI process configurations based on modifications to a standard Midrex DRI plant were investigated. While carbon capture does increase the capital and operating costs compared to the base case DRI plant, the analysis in this work did not consider carbon taxes or any sort of economic incentives to produce green steel. With these policies and frameworks in place, the carbon neutral options could become economically attractive to steel producers. Of the two carbon neutral options, PCL-DRI incurred both lower capital costs and lower variable operating costs than post-combustion capture via amine absorption. This gap could be further widened if the steam for the regeneration of the amine solution requires the expansion of the steel mill’s existing steam production capacity, which would increase the capital and operating costs by increasing the amount of new equipment that must be purchased, and increasing the scale of the amine plant to capture the additional CO2 produced from steam production.
The incremental variable operating costs for CO2 capture were USD 103 and USD 44 per tonne of CO2 produced for amine post combustion capture and PCL-DRI, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed that ±30% variation in the cost of steam or electricity will not affect the ranking or general conclusions about the economics of the process configurations studied. The cost of the makeup oxygen carrier to the PCL-DRI plant has the largest potential impact on study conclusions. If a high-cost synthetic oxygen carrier is used, there is the potential for the variable operating costs of PCL-DRI to exceed those of amine capture. For this reason, low-cost natural ores are recommended for this application, with the added potential for the recycling of the spent oxygen carrier directly within the steelmaking process. Based on this analysis, PCL-DRI is an economically competitive carbon neutral method of producing DRI compared to the current commercially available amine carbon capture technologies.