1. Introduction
Currently the offshore wind industry is aiming at reducing its cost of energy (COE) (M€/MWh) to breach the 100 €/MWh barrier as soon as 2020 [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5,
6] from the current 163 €/MWh [
7]. Although the technologies used in offshore wind farms (OWFs) have greatly improved, the COE generated offshore is yet not competitive [
8]. In fact, electricity generated offshore is currently approximately 50% more expensive when compared to onshore wind generation [
9].
Figure 1a demonstrates that the cost of power (COP) (M€/MW) installed of OWFs has increased since the initial project and has not reduced in the last years [
10,
11].
There are different measures that can decrease the costs of the energy generated offshore [
2,
3,
4,
5,
6]. Key factors are, for example, exploitation of economies of scale and greater standardization, introduction of turbines with higher rated power and reliability and greater activity at the front end engineering and design (FEED) phase.
The design phase of an OWF is performed during the FEED phase (see
Figure 2), after the initial feasibility studies have been done and permission has been granted, and before final investment decisions are made [
2,
14]. FEED studies allow wind farm developers to make a pre-selection of economically viable design concepts and the respective key components [
3]. During the FEED phase, decisions have not yet been made regarding the number of turbines [
15,
16], the support structures that will be used or the number of substations that will be built [
15,
16]. In this phase, several layout concepts are preliminary designed, and although the final wind farm layout will be based on these designs, it may still differ considerably [
15].
Several aspects have increased the need for a broader activity at the FEED stage [
3]. The development phase of OWFs is time consuming due to the time needed to manually create several designs and the necessary cable routing [
18,
19,
20]. In fact, circa 4% of the total capital expenditure (CAPEX) of an OWF are allocated to the development phase (see
Figure 1b), in which all the components and technologies that lead to an optimized and feasible system must be assessed [
13,
21]. Recent OWFs occupy larger areas, which often have variable water depth and seabed conditions [
22] and are situated further from shore [
22], leading to more complex constraints and design challenges on the grid connection. Finally, the large number of wind turbines leads to complex collection systems, which need to be carefully assessed to achieve wind farm layouts with higher efficiencies [
2].
Figure 3 shows the difference in complexity between the first OWF, Vindeby, and the recent British Gwynt y Môr.
Additionally, current design processes are based on a sequential approach (or decoupled strategy) due to the complexity of designing an OWF [
19,
24]. Such strategy does not guarantee system optimality because the interactions between different system components are disregarded. Moreover, early project decisions may become constraints in later stages [
9]. Automated optimization is crucial to optimize the wind farm layout, since the design of OWFs with standard tools is highly complex and time consuming [
19]. A reduction of up to 10% in the cost of energy is possible through more integrated design methods [
9].
The increased difficulty in the design of modern OWFs comes from the fact that, mostly, all the design aspects of an OWF influence both its energy production and its investment and operational costs [
2]. For example, the energy production is increased by placing more turbines in the OWF area, however this also makes the costs rise. Also, interactions between turbines reduce the increase in energy production that results from more turbines being closed together. Hence, these design goals are conflicting, meaning that there is not a single solution for the problem but a set of solutions which represent the trade-off. In the multi-objective (MO) space, a layout is optimal if there is no other layout which is better in all objectives.
Although more than 150 research articles on the wind farm layout optimization problem (WFLOP) may be found in literature, few studies have investigated the inherent trade-offs of designing an OWF [
25]. For example, the trade-off between the wind farm capacity factor and the power density within the project area was assessed in [
26]. The authors analyzed the conflict between increasing the spacing between the turbines to increase energy production (via a decrease of wake losses) and the need for larger project areas.
Comprehensive studies that explicitly consider multiple goals during the optimization process are rare [
27].
Table 1 presents the characteristics of the MO WFLOP (MOWFLOP) from previous studies. The work carried out in [
28] optimized the annual energy production (AEP) considering the problem constraints (minimum proximity constraint between wind turbines and area constraint which guarantees that all turbines are placed within the wind farm area) as a second objective function. The AEP and the turbine noise were optimized in [
29,
30]. Similarly, the AEP was maximized and the sum of the wind farm area and number of turbines were treated as a second objective function in [
31]. Three simultaneous optimization goals were used in [
32]: AEP, area used and collection system length. The work presented in [
33] studied the different features that a MO algorithm should have to efficiently solve the MOWFLOP. The optimization goals were the AEP and the system efficiency, while the optimization variables were the location and number of turbines.
A framework able to efficiently optimize, at once, both the wind farm layout and its respective electrical infrastructure for large OWFs is a highly desired tool by wind farm designers [
20,
29]. However, none of the optimization frameworks displayed in
Table 1 captured all the key aspects pertaining to the development of OWFs. In other words, as far as the authors knowledge a MO optimization framework—which is able to give general recommendations and trade-offs insight to OWF developers—has not yet been established.
To bridge this existing research gap, this article proposes a MO optimization framework to integrate, automate and optimize the design of OWF layouts and their electrical infrastructure. The most suitable and relevant optimization goals and design variables for the MOWFLOP will be identified. The optimization framework is then applied to the design of an OWF in a case study to demonstrate the advantages and differences of the proposed method.
The article is organized as follows:
Section 2 provides an overview of the relevant commercial and academic optimization methods for OWFs. Furthermore the most common economic functions used to assess the profitability of wind projects are introduced and explained. Thereafter,
Section 3 presents the MO optimization framework for the design of OWF layouts and respective electrical infrastructures and its boundaries and selection criteria.
Section 4 introduces the optimization variables considered in the framework as well as their boundaries, constraints and influences over the energy production and expenditures. The industrial trends of the different components of an OWF are also investigated.
Section 5 then describes the case study used to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed framework, followed by
Section 6 in which the results obtained are presented and discussed.
Section 7 presents the main conclusions of the article.
6. Results
The case study was run in Python on a server with 32 cores (Intel Xeon
[email protected] GHz) running the 64-bit version of Ubuntu 12.04. The optimization framework was given in total 30 days to run. The largest grid step (4RD) size was run for 6 days, whereas 12 days were given to each of the two remaining more refined grid steps (2RD and 1RD).
6.1. Optimized Trade-off
Figure 16 shows the optimized trade-off obtained with the MO optimization algorithm (and for the two layouts designed by hand, which are introduced next) between the AED and CAPEX. The trade-off, composed of 358 different OWF layouts, shows that three different transmission technologies were used. For small wind farms the 66 kV interconnection to shore was the best option. On the other hand, for AEDs higher than 4000 GWh/year, the HVdc transmission technology was used. In the right-hand extreme part of the trade-off curve the HVac technology was used. However, it came with much higher investment costs and did not increase the AED significantly.
Although the optimized trade-off shows a linear relationship between the goals up to an AED of approximately 7000 GWh/year, it is important to note that nothing guarantees that the layouts that are in a close vicinity in the objective space, are also similar in variables space, i.e., the layouts and technologies may vary considerably.
The optimization case study had also the possibility to use the Darwind 5 MW wind turbine; however, no layout that is present in the trade-off used it. The results for the standard layouts also corroborate this result: although the wind farm layout composed of Vestas 8 MW turbines is situated in the trade-off, the OWF with Darwind 5 MW turbines performs much worse than the other layouts. The Darwind 5 MW wind turbines produced less energy and, even though they are cheaper, this difference did not suffice for profitability.
The data gathered for this specific case study hinted that the best turbine was the Vestas one. However, this result is specific for the case study of this paper and should not be generalized since turbines with lower rated powers could be the best option under different circumstances. For example, the support structure costs, insurance costs, among others, do weight in the decision making. Although, one turbine demonstrated to be clearly superior for this case, for other scenarios, e.g., different wind farm area or distance to shore, the outcome could differ.
A more difficult situation would be when one could not have a direct hint from the specifications of the wind turbines. Under such scenario, the advantages of the proposed optimization framework would clearly stand out. Furthermore, the optimization framework is also able to select from several wind turbine types (more than two), which is a very difficult selection process to be manually performed.
6.2. Wind Farm Layouts Designed with Standard Approaches
Two OWF layouts were hand-designed by taking into consideration the guidelines given to these areas [
134]. In this way, 350 MW (352 MW for the 8 MW turbines) were placed in each wind farm area and all the turbines were interconnected to one 220 kV HVac offshore substation placed in the exact location where it will be built [
83]. It is important to note that some level of optimization was used during the design of these layouts. The wind turbines were placed in the grid that maximized the distance between them. Furthermore, as shown in
Figure 17, the turbines have a larger distance between them in the main wind direction (see
Figure 12b). The collection systems were designed with the heuristic algorithm presented in [
75].
The grid step sizes used in the standard layouts are different from the ones that the optimization framework had access to. This difference may explain why no layouts that export the power to shore via HVac technology were found in the vicinity of the trade-off (see
Section 3.1) shown in
Figure 16. Nonetheless, the layout with 8 MW wind turbines did not dominate (was not superior in any way) the layouts of the optimized trade-off.
6.3. Economic Functions
Figure 18 shows how the layouts of the optimized trade-off perform according to the economic functions presented in
Table 3.
Table 8 presents the economic values and general characteristics of the layouts (shown in
Figure 19) that demonstrated to be the best according to the different economic functions. The results were obtained with the following assumptions: interest rate of 7% [
70], wind farm lifetime of 20 years, annual OPEX of 2% of the respective CAPEX [
44,
45,
135] and price of energy of 0.124 €/kWh, which is the highest bid for the Borssele areas I and II [
83]. In
Section 6.4 the impact of these parameters will be assessed. Although fixed annual values were used, distinct annual values could have been applied in a straightforward manner to simulate, for example, the financial incentives that the energy generated at OWFs obtain in the first years of exploration [
136]. However, these incentives are country specific and, therefore, were not considered.
6.3.1. AED
Figure 19f shows the layout with the highest AED, whereas some of its characteristics are given in
Table 8. The layout uses the concept of distributed substations in which several small offshore substations housing a single transformer and one reactor for compensation of the export cable are used [
137]. This concept, as shown in
Figure 19f and
Table 8, leads to a significant reduction in the total collection system length (CSL) since this layout has 110 km less array cables than layout number 248, which has 55 turbines less. The electrical losses are reduced and the usage of array cables with high cross sections is also minimized in layout number 358. Furthermore, this concept leads to fewer crossings with existing pipelines and telecom cables as shown in
Figure 19f. On average, there are approximately nine turbines (72 MW) connected to each substation.
The AED function is fully biased towards energy production maximization, hence, designers should be cautious when applying it in case there are no constraints over the installed power or a maximum project CAPEX. Moreover, the economic values obtained for this layout clearly demonstrated that. This layout obtained a negative NPV, a DPT of almost 28 years and a ROI value lower than one, meaning that the investment would not be able to generate profit for the wind farm developers, despite its very high AED.
6.3.2. Utilization Factor
The layout which presented the highest UF value, shown in
Figure 19a, was composed of only eight 8-MW turbines. Since the objective is to minimize the losses one might initially think that a layout with only one turbine would provide the best results. However not only the wake losses are being considered but all the power losses until the PCC. In this way, the layout with eight turbines demonstrated to also make a better use of the MVac cable. The turbines were placed far apart from each other and in shallow areas. The same layout would present the best result if the efficiency of the system would have been used instead of the UF [
33].
The standard layout with 5-MW turbines presented worse results than its counterpart composed of Vestas turbines in all function but the UF. This means that despite the lower AED, the 5-MW turbines are slightly better used and it would be in the preferred layout if the UF was the most important decision factor.
6.3.3. LCOE
The LCOE values of the optimized layouts are shown in
Figure 18a. Values between approximately 80 to 105 €/MWh were found for MVac and HVdc transmission technologies. On the other hand, the layouts based on HVac technology presented much higher LCOE values due to their higher investment costs than the other layouts which used HVdc and MVac transmission systems.
The layout which presented the lowest LCOE (83.79 €/MWh) was composed of 20 turbines as shown in
Figure 19c. Although the turbines were placed far apart to minimize wake losses, they were also placed in regions of shallow waters to minimize the cost of support structures. Furthermore, the turbines were also placed in the wind farm area closest to shore, minimizing the cabling system cost and the electrical losses.
6.3.4. IRR, ROI, COP, BCR and DPT
The same layout that had the lowest LCOE also presented the best values for the IRR, DPT, COP, BCR and ROI functions. Although these economic indicators present different values, they did not alter the ranking between layouts, i.e., if a certain layout performs best at one of these economic functions it also turns out to be the best according to the remaining ones.
6.3.5. AV
The AV equation is biased towards larger wind farms since it measures the annual revenue. The layout that maximized the AV equation is shown in
Figure 19e and it is very similar to layout number 358, shown in
Figure 19f. The only difference is that it makes use of eight offshore HVac substations to interconnect the 249 turbines to shore.
6.3.6. Incremental BCR
According to the incremental BCR economic analysis, the wind farm layout number 5 (see
Figure 19b) was the preferred choice. It is composed of ten 8 MW turbines and, therefore, makes full use of the 66 kV cable with the largest cross section (see
Table 5), thus minimizing the ratio between the AED and the investment costs.
6.3.7. NPV
The wind farm layout which presented the highest NPV value (
Figure 19d) has one HVdc offshore substation that interconnects 194 turbines to shore.
6.4. The Influence of Economic Factors
In this section, the influence of the economic factors over the wind farm layout design is investigated. To this end, different parameters, such as the interest rate, wind farm lifetime and price of energy, were altered to analyze the resulting implications. Initially the LCOE will be analyzed, followed by the NPV function.
6.4.1. LCOE
Assuming the OPEX to be a percentage of the investment costs [
44,
45],
, the LCOE clearly becomes a ratio between the CAPEX and the AED:
This equation shows that both an alteration to the interest rate and wind farm lifetime or a different percentage of the CAPEX for the OPEX, will affect in the same way all the wind farm layouts since it only shifts the ratio between the CAPEX and the AED.
Another possibility, in the absence of a more refined OPEX model, is to monetize the OPEX through a cost value per MWh,
c, delivered by the OWF [
49,
120]:
Once again, all the layouts will be affected in the same way if the value
c is changed. This means that, if the OPEX is somewhat directly dependent on either the CAPEX or the AED, the LCOE function is insensitive to the variation of its economic factors.
Figure 20a shows that the order of the layouts of the optimized trade-off remained unaltered, hence, the wind layout number 18 remained the one with the lowest LCOE value.
6.4.2. NPV
Different from the LCOE function, the variation of the economic parameters will influence differently the cash flows of the NPV equation even if the OPEX is proportional to one of the other goals (see
Figure 20b). In this way, the economic parameters play an important role as weighting factors in the outcome of the NPV function.
Table 9 presents the characteristics of the four layouts (shown in
Figure 21) with the highest NPV value for different economic parameters and shows the layouts.
If the designers used an energy price of 0.1 €/kWh, which is the target for energy generated offshore by 2020 (see
Section 1), a layout with an IC of 752 MW presents the highest NPV (see
Figure 21b). This is the only layout of the optimized trade-off curve that has a similar capacity to the 700-MW guideline which demonstrated to be advantageous at some point.
If the lifetime operation of the OWF is considered to be 25 years [
138,
139], it is more beneficial, according to the NPV function, to install more turbines to increase the AED and take advantage of the extra time of operation (
Figure 21d).
Figure 20b demonstrates that the higher the revenues, either through a higher price of energy or via a longer exploration of the site, the NPV function is maximized with OWFs with higher installed capacities (IC). If the revenues are lower, wind farms with less turbines present the highest NPV values.
6.5. Discussion
The optimized trade-off curve was obtained in 30 days with the proposed framework, which is relatively fast if compared to the design phase of a state-of-the-art OWF which takes several months [
140]. The optimization strategy also demonstrates that designers would have missed other wind farm designs that could lead to similar AED and CAPEX values. For example,
Figure 22 shows a layout with 88 Vestas 8 MW turbines connected to shore via 66-kV cables, which has similar values for the AED and CAPEX as the standard layout of
Figure 17b. If, for example, there would be a risk associated with building structures offshore (e.g., substations, or reliability values for the different components of the system), the layout obtained with the algorithm would be preferable to the standard HVac-based one.
No high-level constraints were applied to the case study, e.g., maximum installed capacity. Although these will have an influence on the choice of the layout, the basis of the framework holds since the designers are only required to firstly discard the layouts which do not meet the high-level constraints and then apply the economic functions over the remaining ones.
The optimization phase itself can still be an iterative process of refining the optimization goals and constraints because the MO algorithm is powerful enough to exploit peculiarities in an optimization goal that actually still gives undesired results. For example, in the case study there was no restriction regarding the maximum number of export cables or a preference towards layouts which used offshore substations. In this way, even though the layouts shown in
Figure 17b and
Figure 22 have similar AED and CAPEX values, the latter, found with the optimization framework, may not be desired by the wind farm designers due to the high amount of cables connected to shore. On the other hand, the layout of
Figure 22 does not require offshore substations, which if a certain level of risk is associated to them, may represent an advantage over the layout shown in
Figure 17b.
The proposed MO optimization framework provides the designers with important information that could not easily be obtained with single-objective alternatives. For example, the optimized trade-off shown in
Figure 16 shows to the designers the best transmission technology and voltage level for the different range of installed capacities. Furthermore the trade-off also informs the designers to any possible important point of transition in the problem design space,
i.e., it shows when increasing the installed capacity does not lead to better designs but solely to more expensive layouts. For example, this is the case for the right part of the optimized trade-off of
Figure 16. Even though the layouts have higher AED, this comes with a dramatic increase of the CAPEX. Therefore, this alerts the designers that such layouts do not represent the best layouts.
The discovery of important points of transition in the problem search space (
Figure 16) is also directly applicable in other search spaces, such as the economic functions shown in
Figure 18. The designers are informed when the layouts do not present interesting economic figures in a straightforward manner.
The multi-objective optimization approach also provides the designers with wind farm designers that were optimized without using economic parameters. This allows the designers to iterate over the different layouts with different economic parameters without the need to rerun the optimization (see
Section 6.4).
7. Conclusions
A review of existing commercial and academic optimization tools showed their drawbacks and gaps to be twofold: first, the optimization processes are based on a sequential approach and, second, a priori economic assumptions need to be made for the optimization phase. To solve these issues, a MO optimization framework to automate, integrate and optimize the design of OWFs was presented in this work.
The design aspects of existing offshore wind farms, e.g., number and location of offshore substations and collection system design, were analyzed. Furthermore, also the industrial trends of the components was investigated. In this way, it was assured that the optimization framework captures all the important design aspects and the industrial trends of the components used in state-of-the-art offshore wind farm. Also, the important optimization variables of the wind farm layout optimization problem were assessed.
A state-of-the-art multi-objective optimization algorithm, so-called MOGOMEA, was used in this work. More specifically, a variant of the algorithm tailored for the wind farm layout optimization problem was employed. The algorithm and the optimization framework were then applied to a case study in the Dutch offshore Borssele area. The framework found several wind farm layouts that represent an optimized trade-off of between the design goals, the annual energy delivered to the onshore electrical network and the investment costs.
Distinct wind farm layouts demonstrated to be the most profitable choice depending on the economic function used. The economic factors, e.g., interest rate and price of energy, demonstrated to play an important role in the outcome of the best layout. These results show that wind farm designers should not decide the layout of the wind farm based solely on one economic function such as the NPV or LCOE. Instead, designers should carefully inspect the performance of the layouts at hand using several economic functions.
The proposed framework helps the designers to perform such analysis since all efficient trade-offs are presented to them. This way, designers may iterate over the optimized trade-offs to select which layout is the most suitable without rerunning the optimization tool, accelerating the decision phase and reducing costs. Moreover, the framework designed layouts that performed similarly to layouts based on existing design strategies, e.g., placement of turbines in a standard grid. This result indicates that designers may be missing other design concepts that lead to similar performances. Nonetheless, the selection of the wind farm layout has to undergo a selection to assure that it is the one that most meets the desire of the designers.