Searching for New Directions for Energy Policy: Testing the Cross-Effect of Risk Perception and Cyberspace Factors on Online/Offline Opposition to Nuclear Energy in South Korea
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Theoretical Background and Hypothesis
2.1. Risk Perception Paradigm versus Cyberpsychology
2.2. Risk Perception Paradigm
2.3. Cyberpsychology Paradigm
2.4. Moderation Effect
3. Data and Measures
4. Analysis and Findings
4.1. Basic Structure
4.2. Causal Structure
4.3. Interaction Structure
5. Conclusions and Implications
5.1. Summary
5.2. Implications
5.3. Limitations
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Categories | Frequency | Percent (%) | Variable | Categories | Frequency | Percent (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 20–29 | 302 | 19.2 | Gender | Male | 813 | 51.7 |
30–39 | 349 | 22.2 | Female | 759 | 48.3 | ||
40–49 | 397 | 25.3 | Social class | Low | 562 | 35.8 | |
50–59 | 342 | 21.8 | Middle | 730 | 46.4 | ||
Over 60 | 182 | 11.6 | High | 280 | 17.8 | ||
Household income | 300 M.W. | 493 | 31.4 | Ideology | Conservative | 335 | 21.3 |
301–500 M.W. | 628 | 39.9 | Neutral | 726 | 46.2 | ||
Above 500 M.W. | 451 | 28.7 | Liberal | 511 | 32.5 |
Population | Sample | Percent Gap (A–B) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Category | Frequency | Percent A (%) | Frequency | Percent B (%) | |
Gender | Female | 20,348,268 | 49.7 | 813 | 51.7 | −2.0 |
Male | 20,572,715 | 50.3 | 759 | 48.3 | 2.0 | |
Total | 40,920,983 | 100 | 1572 | 100 | 0.0 | |
Age | 20–29 | 6,796,396 | 16.6 | 302 | 19.2 | −2.6 |
30–39 | 7,738,472 | 18.9 | 349 | 22.2 | −3.3 | |
40–49 | 8,726,984 | 21.3 | 397 | 25.3 | −4.0 | |
50–59 | 8,220,296 | 20.1 | 342 | 21.8 | −1.7 | |
Over 60 | 9,438,835 | 23.1 | 182 | 11.6 | 11.5 | |
Total | 40,920,983 | 100 | 1572 | 100 | 0.0 |
Theoretical Concept | Statement for Measurement | Reliability |
---|---|---|
Offline opposition behavior | -Q1. Despite the government’s nuclear safety and regulatory policy, I am willing to participate in a signature campaign against nuclear power. -Q2. Despite the government’s nuclear safety and regulatory policy, I intend to participate in a protest against nuclear power. | 0.843 |
Online opposition behavior | -Q3. I am willing to participate in an online signature campaign against nuclear power. -Q4. I intend to write statements or comments on the internet against nuclear power. | 0.817 |
Perceived risk | -Q5. I personally feel that my life is threatened by nuclear power generation. -Q6. Nuclear power generation produces hazardous waste. -Q7. Nuclear power generation is harmful to people’s health. -Q8. Nuclear power plants are dangerous. | 0.808 |
Perceived benefit | -Q9. Nuclear energy can now contribute to solving climate change problems. -Q10. Nuclear energy can contribute to solving environmental problems. -Q11. Nuclear energy can be supplied cheaply and stably. -Q12. Nuclear power contributes to national economic development. | 0.835 |
Trust | -Q13. How much do you trust the nuclear safety and risk information provided by each of the following organizations? ① Government, ② President, ③ Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy, ④ Nuclear Safety and Security Committee | 0.904 |
Affective image | -Q14. The following is pairs of words that contrast each other’s feelings about nuclear energy. How does your feeling about nuclear power fall between 1 and 5? - bright ↔ dark - clean ↔ dirty - progressive ↔ retrogressive - good ↔ bad - positive ↔ negative - warm ↔ cold - hopeful ↔ pessimistic - friendly ↔ unfriendly | .892 |
Knowledge | -Q15. I know institutions that regulate nuclear safety in our country. -Q16. I know the law system related to nuclear safety regulation. -Q17. I can explain issues related to nuclear power to other people well. -Q18. I am well aware of the policies and issues related to nuclear energy. | 0.893 |
Self-efficacy in cyberspace | -Q19. If I write about nuclear power on the internet, it will be helpful to those who see this information. -Q20. If I share an article about nuclear energy on the internet, it will be helpful to those who see this information. | 0.877 |
Involvement on the internet | -Q21. I am interested in discussions related to nuclear power energy on the internet. -Q22. I think that debates about nuclear power on the internet are related to my personal interests. | 0.685 |
Trust in cyberspace | -Q23. Internet users are generally trustworthy. -Q24. Most internet users are honest. | 0.816 |
Conformity to online opinion | -Q25. If my opinion is different from opinions many people hold, I tend to conform to them. -Q26. I tend to change my opinion to match others’ opinion. | 0.754 |
Belief in online rumors | -Q27. The majority of the rumors about nuclear power on the internet are mostly true. -Q28. Negative rumors related to nuclear power that spread via the internet are often facts. | 0.802 |
Concept | Question | N. of Sub-Samples. | Response | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strongly Disagree | Disagree | Neutral | Agree | Strongly Agree | Total | |||
Offline opposition behavior | Q1 | N = 1572 | 11.4% | 27.0% | 40.9% | 16.9% | 3.8% | 100% |
N = 814 | 11.4% | 25.4% | 42.8% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 100% | ||
N = 591 | 10.5% | 29.4% | 41.6% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 100% | ||
Q2 | N = 1572 | 17.2% | 34.2% | 38.6% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 100% | |
N = 814 | 17.2% | 34.2% | 38.2% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 100% | ||
N = 591 | 15.6% | 34.7% | 39.6% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 100% | ||
Online opposition behavior | Q3 | N = 1572 | 9.5% | 23.1% | 42.9% | 20.5% | 4% | 100% |
N = 814 | 9.7% | 21.7% | 44.2% | 20.8% | 3.6% | 100% | ||
N = 591 | 9.1% | 24.7% | 43.5% | 18.3% | 4.4% | 100% | ||
Q4 | N = 1572 | 13.9% | 34.7% | 39.6% | 10.1% | 1.7% | 100% | |
N = 814 | 13.8% | 34.8% | 38.6% | 10.7% | 2.2% | 100% | ||
N = 591 | 12.5% | 34.7% | 42.6% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 100% |
Gender | Age | Education | Income | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F-Value | p-Value | F-Value | p-Value | F-Value | p-Value | F-Value | p-Value | |
Online opposition | 13.59 | 0 | 8.09 | 0 | 0.73 | 0.48 | 0.87 | 0.42 |
Offline opposition | 9.83 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 1.62 | 0.20 | 0.95 | 0.39 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opposition | 1. Offline opposition action | 1 | ||||||||||
2. Online opposition action | 0.82 *** | 1 | ||||||||||
Risk perception paradigm | 3. Perceived benefit | −0.37 *** | −0.33 *** | 1 | ||||||||
4. Perceived risk | 0.32 *** | 0.32 *** | −0.34 *** | 1 | ||||||||
5. Trust | −0.28 *** | −0.26 *** | 0.040 *** | −0.35 *** | 1 | |||||||
6. Affective image | 0.38 *** | 0.34 *** | −0.54 *** | 0.43 *** | −0.43 *** | 1 | ||||||
7. Knowledge | 0.14 *** | 0.16 *** | 0.15 *** | −0.06 * | 0.14*** | −0.11 *** | 1 | |||||
Cyberpsychology paradigm | 8. Self-efficacy in cyberspace | 0.29 *** | 0.31 *** | 0 | 0.01 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.35 *** | 1 | |||
9. Involvement on the internet | 0.30 *** | 0.33 *** | 0 | 0.12 *** | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.35 *** | 0.34 *** | 1 | |||
10. Trust in cyberspace | 0.26 *** | 0.25 *** | −0.04 | 0 | 0.12 *** | 0.03 | 0.18 *** | 0.29 *** | .19*** | 1 | ||
11. Conformity to online opinion | 0.15 *** | 0.17 *** | 0.08 ** | −0.03 | 0.18 *** | -0.07 *** | 0.06 ** | 0.12 *** | 0.24 *** | 0.24 *** | 1 | |
12. Belief in online rumors | 0.37 *** | 0.37 *** | −0.29 *** | 0.33 *** | -0.21 *** | 0.30 *** | -0.03 | 0.14 *** | 0.13 *** | 0.19 *** | 0.12 *** |
Intention to Engage in Offline Opposition Action | Intention to Engage in Online Opposition Action | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | ||||||||||||||
B | S.E. | Beta | B | S.E. | Beta | B | S.E. | Beta | B | S.E. | Beta | B | S.E. | Beta | B | S.E. | Beta | ||
F1: Socio-demographic Factor | Constant | 2.629 | 0.112 | 1.675 | 0.217 | 0.211 | 0.214 | 2.714 | 0.109 | 1.666 | 0.215 | 0.157 | .210 | ||||||
Age | 0.004 ** | 0.002 | −0.053 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.030 | 0 | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.003 * | 0.002 | −0.050 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.022 | -0.001 | 0.001 | −0.008 | |
Gender | 0.141 *** | 0.045 | 0.079 | 0.071 * | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.032 | 0.037 | 0.018 | 0.162 *** | 0.044 | 0.093 | 0.108 *** | 0.040 | 0.062 | 0.064 * | 0.036 | 0.037 | |
Education level | 0.097 | 0.065 | 0.039 | 0.007 | 0.057 | 0.003 | -0.026 | 0.052 | −0.010 | 0.069 | 0.063 | 0.028 | −0.025 | 0.056 | −0.010 | −0.063 | 0.051 | −0.026 | |
Income | 0.000 * | 0 | −0.049 | 0 ** | 0 | −0.050 | −0.001 *** | 0 | −0.060 | 0 | 0 | −0.030 | 0 | 0 | −0.031 | −0.001 ** | 0 | −0.041 | |
F2: Risk perception factor | Perceived benefit | −0.222 *** | 0.027 | −0.224 | −0.182 *** | 0.024 | −0.184 | −0.180 *** | 0.026 | -0.186 | −0.140 *** | 0.024 | −0.145 | ||||||
Perceived risk | 0.159 *** | 0.028 | 0.141 | 0.097 *** | 0.026 | 0.085 | 0.179 *** | 0.028 | 0.162 | 0.110 *** | 0.026 | 0.100 | |||||||
Trust | −0.080 *** | 0.022 | −0.095 | −0.108 *** | 0.020 | −0.128 | −0.083 *** | 0.021 | -0.101 | −0.107 *** | 0.020 | −0.131 | |||||||
Affective image | 0.212 *** | 0.033 | 0.179 | 0.182 *** | 0.031 | 0.153 | 0.175 *** | 0.033 | 0.150 | 0.146 *** | 0.030 | 0.126 | |||||||
Knowledge | 0.218 *** | 0.023 | 0.219 | 0.082 *** | 0.023 | 0.083 | 0.233 *** | 0.022 | 0.239 | 0.088 *** | 0.022 | 0.090 | |||||||
F3: Cyber factor | Self-efficacy in cyberspace | 0.175 *** | 0.026 | 0.155 | 0.189 *** | 0.025 | 0.172 | ||||||||||||
Involvement on the internet | 0.162 *** | 0.027 | 0.138 | 0.192 *** | 0.026 | 0.168 | |||||||||||||
Trust in cyberspace | 0.155 *** | 0.027 | 0.127 | 0.119 *** | 0.026 | 0.100 | |||||||||||||
Conformity to online opinion | 0.121 *** | 0.027 | 0.096 | 0.131 *** | 0.026 | 0.107 | |||||||||||||
Belief in online rumors | 0.177 *** | 0.029 | 0.139 | 0.189 *** | 0.028 | 0.151 | |||||||||||||
F-Value | 5.462 *** | 59.821 *** | 70.549 *** | 5.309 *** | 53.088 *** | 69.235 *** | |||||||||||||
R2 | 0.014 | 0.256 | 0.388 | 0.013 | 0.234 | 0.384 | |||||||||||||
Adjusted R2 | 0.012 | 0.252 | 0.383 | 0.012 | 0.230 | 0.378 | |||||||||||||
R2 change | - | 0.243 | 0.132 | - | 0.221 | 0.149 |
Hypothesis * | Reference ** | Result * | Accept/Reject | |
---|---|---|---|---|
H1: Perceived benefit → online opposition | − | −0.140/0 in Model 6 | − | Accept |
H2: Perceived risk → online opposition | + | 0.110/0 in Model 6 | + | Accept |
H3: Trust → online opposition | − | −0.107/0 in Model 6 | − | Accept |
H4: Affective image → online opposition | + | 0.146/0 in Model 6 | + | Accept |
H5: Knowledge → online opposition | − | 0.088/0 in Model 6 | + | Reject |
H6: Self-efficacy in cyberspace → offline opposition | − | 0.175/0 in Model 3 | + | Reject |
H7: Involvement on the internet → offline opposition | + | 0.162/.00 in Model 3 | + | Accept |
H8: Trust in cyberspace → offline opposition | + | 0.155/0 in Model 3 | + | Accept |
H9: Conformity to online opinion → offline opposition | + | 0.121/0 in Model 3 | + | Accept |
H10: Belief in online rumors → online opposition | + | 0.177/0 in Model 3 | + | Accept |
H11: Online variables in cyberpsychology → offline opposition | moderating | 12 out of 25 in interactions | moderating | Partially accept |
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Wang, J.; Kim, S. Searching for New Directions for Energy Policy: Testing the Cross-Effect of Risk Perception and Cyberspace Factors on Online/Offline Opposition to Nuclear Energy in South Korea. Sustainability 2019, 11, 1368. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11051368
Wang J, Kim S. Searching for New Directions for Energy Policy: Testing the Cross-Effect of Risk Perception and Cyberspace Factors on Online/Offline Opposition to Nuclear Energy in South Korea. Sustainability. 2019; 11(5):1368. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11051368
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Jaesun, and Seoyong Kim. 2019. "Searching for New Directions for Energy Policy: Testing the Cross-Effect of Risk Perception and Cyberspace Factors on Online/Offline Opposition to Nuclear Energy in South Korea" Sustainability 11, no. 5: 1368. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11051368
APA StyleWang, J., & Kim, S. (2019). Searching for New Directions for Energy Policy: Testing the Cross-Effect of Risk Perception and Cyberspace Factors on Online/Offline Opposition to Nuclear Energy in South Korea. Sustainability, 11(5), 1368. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11051368