4.2. Classifying the Types of Grayfields in Korea
In order to classify the types of grayfields in Korea, this study analyzes development level (FAR, Floors, and BCR) (Among location variables, distance to public transportation and intercity transportation are excluded from the analysis because distance to public transportation of almost grayfield site (72 of 74 sites) was less than 400 m (1/4 miles) and distance to intercity transportation of almost grayfield site (72 of 74 sites) was less than 6.4 km (4 miles).) and site location (site area, neighborhood population, and distance to the city center). Avoiding multicollinearity problem among variables, Variation Inflation Factor (VIF) analysis, which quantifies the severity of multicollinearity in an ordinary least squares regression analysis and provides an index that measures how much the variance (the square of the estimate’s standard deviation) of an estimated regression coefficient is increased due to collinearity [
34], was performed, but there were no variables to be excluded with a VIF of 10 or more among variables (see
Table 6)
The result of the factor analysis shows that development and location variables are expressed as a single factor: ‘High-density development near downtown’ (see
Table 7). The factor component values of development variables have positive values, and those of location variables have negative values. It indicates that the directions of variables are different from each other. In other words, if a site of grayfields has large development variables (high-density), then it has small location variables (relatively small site near downtown) and vice versa.
Therefore, the result of K-means Cluster Analysis shows that grayfields in Korea can be classified into two types: 24 low-density premises in large-scale sites with a large neighborhood in the suburb (Type I) and 50 high-density premises in mid-sized sites with a small neighborhood near downtown (Type II) (see
Table 8 and
Figure 2).
Type I is ‘Grayfields on suburbs with existing low-density premises’. Type I grayfield has a low-density building or abandoned lot on large site with the populous neighborhood on suburbs located at 4–9 km (2.5–6.0 miles) from a city center. The average FAR of them is 161%, the average floors of them are 3.6 stories, and the average BCR of these 24 sites is 32%. Type I is located on-site with an area of approximately 1–2 ha and a neighborhood population of about 30,000 people (see
Table 6). (The 95% confidence interval of type 1 grayfield shows that accessibility to the city center is 3896–9428 m, the site area is 8529–19,623 m
2, and the population of the neighborhood is 27,170 to 35,520 people.) Moreover, the neighborhood population where Type I grayfields are located has decreased by 3.4% over the past five years, apart from the three sites that had dramatic growth recently (over 20%). Considering development density (low building coverage ratio and low-story buildings), location (located on suburbs with a large neighborhood), and large-scale site area, Type I shows similarity to most notable grayfields; abandoned suburban shopping malls in the US, Canada, and Japan, which are located at the heart of residential suburban areas and characterized by having a large parking lot and buildings of three stories or fewer.
Type I is losing its competitiveness for their given land use. The grayfields with transportation facilities and accommodation facilities are poorly located compared to competing facilities. The grayfields with large-scale commercial buildings are small compared to competing facilities nearby. Moreover, the grayfield sites, where existing public facilities were moved to other districts or cities, were not in demand as public facilities. As a result, if Type I is not developed for other purposes, the revitalization of the site cannot take place.
Figure 3 shows some examples of Type I.
Type II is ‘Grayfields near downtown with existing high-density premises’. Type II grayfields account for 50 of grayfields analyzed in this paper and represent a common type of grayfields found in Korean cities. They are high-density buildings or facilities in mid-sized sites with a small neighborhood (Neighborhood (dongs) in Korea that have less than 20,000 people or are smaller than 3 km in area are subject to merger, and administrative dongs with 10,000 people have low levels of population) near downtown located at 2–4 km (1.2–2.5 miles) from a city center. They have a FAR of ~400%, buildings with around seven stories, and BCR of ~60% (see
Table 6). They are located on sites with an area of approximately 0.4–0.8 ha and a neighborhood population of about 10,000 people. (The 95% confidence interval of type 2 grayfield shows that city center accessibility is 2119–3885 m, the site area is 4329–8285 m
2, and the population of the neighborhood is 10,616 to 14,318 people.)
Some of these grayfields (18 of 50 Type II) are located in old town, and many grayfields (30 of 50 Type II) are located in population-declining neighborhoods. The population of the neighborhood has decreased 2% over the past five years, apart from the two sites that had dramatic growth recently (over 100%). Some of them (19 of 50 Type II) have been developed for sale or have split ownership of the land or buildings in contrast with overseas grayfields where a single firm owns the whole property.
Type II has a large percentage of a large-scale commercial building (72%, 36 of 50 type II). They are, on average, eight stories high (except for five underground shopping districts), so they have less competition than new low-rise competing facilities because they do not fit the shopping path of recent consumers who want to see and shop much on a single floor. Type II shows some similarities to the situations of those of the suburban shopping malls in the US, Canada, and Europe, which have faced economic decline by falling behind the current shopping trends. In Korea, after the mid-1990s, large distribution companies built low-rise large department stores and wholesale marts in mid-sized cities as well as metropolitan cities. As a result, high-rise and relatively small commercial buildings have lost their competitiveness. Eventually, they had to shut down due to low revenues, or use only one or two floors of the buildings (The (former) Yeongnam Department Store operates imported bonded apparel store on parts of its first floor, while the (former) Lotte Mart Seogu Branch is operating an alternative market for nearby market merchants on its first floor. The (former) iMiz is operating an outlet on its first floor. CU and J-CITY are only operating theaters (two floors), and the rest of the buildings are empty.), or suspend the construction because their tenants did not purchase the right for buildings. The transportation facilities, accommodations, and public facilities are located close to the city center, but since there is no economic demand for this kind of land use, they have either closed or continued operation in the red.
Figure 4 shows some examples of type II grayfields.
As a result, grayfields in Korea can be divided into two types: Type I grayfields, which are characterized by low-density developments that are located on suburbs, and Type II grayfields, which are characterized by high-density development near downtown. The 74 grayfields in Korea share the common fact that they have lost their original competitiveness and have declined economically, as well as the fact that they all require revitalization through a fundamental shift in how they are used. Type I and Type II differ in their development density (FAR, Floors, and BCR) and location (site area, neighborhood population, and distance to city center), meaning that they must be revitalized by different development programs, such as the use of buildings and consumer target. Grayfields on suburbs (Type I) need a redevelopment program that satisfies housing demands and community activities. Grayfields in suburban areas of the United States and Australia are encouraged to construct the housing for families with three or more members [
4,
5,
18,
19,
27,
28] and Mizner Park (Boca Raton, Florida, US) introduced theaters, concert halls, and art museums in new premises for its community [
5]. Grayfields near downtown (Type II) also need a redevelopment program that can make the revival of a declining community by the job creation facility or residential considering job-housing accessibility. Station F (Paris, France) is the world’s largest start-up campus, which is renovating a historic station. Because Facebook, L’Oreal, and Microsoft have moved into Station F, there has been a surge in real estate value in the 13th arrondissement, which was previously one of the cheapest neighborhoods to buy a home [
36]. In the case of Maria 0–1 (Helsinki, Finland), the city of Helsinki renovated an abandoned hospital into a startup campus [
37].
4.3. The Activation Variables of Grayfield Retrofit
There is a high chance that the grayfield in Korea can be retrofitted when strong improvement, such as reconstruction or total remodeling, occurs or when there is a shift in their land use. Of the 18 sites where revitalization had occurred among the 74 grayfields, 13 sites (72%) underwent reconstruction, three sites underwent total remodeling, and two sites underwent interior renovation. The analysis of the relationship between improvement degree and reactivation among 74 grayfields shows that all reconstruction sites (13 out of 13 sites) and 60% of total remodeling sites (three out of five sites) were revitalized. However, only 11% of interior renovation sites (two out of 18 cases) were revitalized. All sites without improvement (38 sites) were left unused (31 sites) or underutilized (seven sites) even after the new owner bought them (nine sites). Of the 16 sites that changed their land use among the 74 grayfields, 14 sites (88%) were successfully revitalized.
The differentiation variables between the retrofitted (18 sites) and the unretrofitted group (56 sites) were analyzed by independent
t-test. The results of the relationship between grayfield retrofit and the improvement variations showed that the improvement degree and land use change (If the costs for demolition and construction were clearly presented in each case, it would have been possible to verify whether they are ongoing factors. However, due to the lack of data, this research instead analyzed the improvement degree through a Likert four-point scale (0 to 3).) determined the grayfield retrofit (significance probability:
p = 0.000, see
Table 9). It means that the retrofit of grayfield in Korea calls for not only improvement of business management but also change in the structure and function of the premises.
Therefore, the retrofit approach to the grayfields in Korea is different from that of the brownfields in Munrae-dong, Uljiro-dong, and Seongsu-dong, which have an industrial legacy and are retrofitted through partial repair or interior renovation. It is similar to the redevelopment case of overseas grayfields into apartments, condos, offices, and mixed-use developments. In the redevelopment of grayfield cases in the US and Australia, the grayfields, which are located near a populated neighborhood with TOD and MXD, are successfully developed from the perspective of the revival of local communities as well as real estate profits [
2,
4].
4.4. The Constraints of Grayfield Retrofit
The redevelopment of grayfield in Korea leads to the additional processes of demolishing and rebuilding, which means that the costs may be higher than the greenfield development and partial repair or interior renovation in the brownfield. This can be one of the factors that limit the development of grayfields. In the 32 cases of the 74 grayfields (43%), premises had been purchased, but only 12 sites went through reconstruction or remodeling. (Generally, local government and community expect to rebuilt the grayfield as soon as it is purchased, but typically the buyer just waits until the building collapses or the neighborhood becomes regenerated.)
To analyze the restrict variations of the grayfield retrofit, this research uses the simple economic model proposed by Merritt [
5] to explain the role of construction costs and other issues in the development of grayfields that restrict their development. Generally, redevelopment will be considered if the current value of development is higher than the price of the existing assets. The present value of development is the same as the new site price and will also the value of the revitalized buildings minus the redevelopment costs. It can be shown in the following formula.
where L
new is new site price; NPV
0 is the net present value of redevelopment; V
0 is the present value of new premises; K
0 is the present value of the redevelopment costs; L
old is the costs of existing land; and V
old is the costs of existing buildings.
Generally, redevelopment costs (construction and demolition costs) include the construction and demolition costs. Moreover, in Korea, there are cases in which large-scale commercial buildings (shopping malls) and accommodations (hotels and resort hotels) are developed as allotment sale, so the redevelopment costs should also include the costs of resolving ownership, such as compensation expenses to buyers. So, formula (1) can be changed as follows
where C
0 is the present value of construction costs; D
0 is the present value of demolishing costs; and O
0 is the present value of finalizing ownership costs.
However, as mentioned in
Section 4.3, the development of grayfield demands land use change, so the aspect of development permission by local government, formula (2) can be shown as the following.
where α is the probability that private development plans will be permitted (0 ≤ α ≤ 1).
For an implementation for grayfield retrofitting, the adoption probability of private plans must be high, construction costs and demolition costs must be low, and finalizing ownership must be secure.
There are 24 sites out of 74 grayfields that have regulations to build for only specified uses such as bus terminals, hospital, department stores, markets, and parking lots. This means that if the central/local government does not change these regulations, they will be abandoned without the possibility of being redeveloped. So, the removal or alteration of the regulations would lead to higher chances of revitalization taking place. However, the number of sites where the regulations were revised through negotiations or supports from the local government is only seven (29%). Despite the small number of cases, five sites are revitalized already, and two sites are in the process of development planning.
Considering the aspect of resolving ownership, it is much easier when one or only a few owners own the assets. If many tenants purchase premises through allotment sales or the building owner of the site is different from the landowner of the same site, then it will be much more time-consuming and expensive to solve the ownership problem. Grayfields with divided ownership account 21 of the 74 grayfields, and there were only three sites (14%) that were ultimately revitalized. In all three cases, it can be shown that strong leadership is needed to resolve the ownership issue. In the first case, a meeting of shop owners was held 12 years after shopping mall was closed, and they agreed on starting the remodeling process. In the other two cases, the new owner of the land provided compensation to other owners of the existing premises after gaining possession of the right to develop the land after a legal dispute. However, it is difficult for a new owner who buys an asset of grayfield to proceed with redevelopment without central/local government support. There are a minimum of ~70 and a maximum of ~490 owners of the grayfields with divided ownership except above three cases. So, even though purchase price of the sites is 10–20% of the appraised cost, it is difficult for a new owner to move forward with redevelopment.
Under the condition that reconstruction or total remodeling of the site takes place, the revitalization of the grayfield could occur on sites where the demolition costs for buildings are small.
In terms of development size of existing premises, at the site where its existing building was built on, less than ten stories can be revitalized. The existing building on the grayfields which have ten floors or more remained unused due to its high demolition costs, except three sites with excellent locations in the Korean new town. (Among the three cases, one site came under a public improvement project of the abandoned buildings by the central government.)
To analyze the relationship between grayfield retrofit and its restricting variables, this study conducted an independent
t-test on the variables between retrofitted and unretrofitted group: Free from Regulations (the probability that a private development plan will be permitted), One-owner (the costs to finalize ownership), Floor Area of Building, and Middle-rise Development. (Middle-rise development means that its floors of building are three to nine. High-rise building has 10 stories or more, low-rise building has two stories or less. Low-rise buildings are restricted due to regulations) (demolition costs.) This analysis founds that there are significantly different in Free from Regulations (
p = 0.028), Middle-rise Development (
p = 0.030), and One-owner (
p = 0.083) between the retrofitted and unretrofitted group. However, Floor Area of Building is not statistically significant even at the 90% confidence level (
p = 0.101) (see
Table 10).
Ten of 18 retrofitted grayfields are sites without constraints: these sites are owned by one private company, the floors of existing buildings are three to nine, and there is no related regulation or regulations are revised on site). As a result, when developing grayfield, it is desirable for the private sector to purchase the site with middle-rise building and without usage regulations, and ownership problems and the central/local government should support changing urban planning regulations, resolve ownership problems, and reduce building demolition costs before redeveloping grayfields.
Figure 5 shows grayfield retrofit cases.
The Urban Land Institute introduced the three-step process to deal with empty premises [
29]. The first phase involves deciding on the new use of the site after its design and engineering considerations are completed, the second phase requires a cost analysis to determine whether the reuse of the site is economical or not, and the third phase requires gap financing from local governments if needed. In other words, the use of sites must be changed into one that differs from the current use and is appropriate for the site and local revitalization. Economic development methods (reconstruction or remodeling) must be determined. Moreover, government support must be obtained to resolve issues of ownership and demolition costs, along with the lifting of regulations that will allow the development to take place.
4.5. The Positive Effects of Grayfield Retrofit and Role of the Government
The redevelopment of grayfield in Korea has three positive effects on the community. Firstly, the redevelopment of grayfield in Korea can solve social, economic, and landscape issues of the neighborhood. The economically declined or abandoned premises can damage a landscape of the neighborhood and also be used as sites for the crime. Especially, if a grayfield is located in a commercial district in the small or medium-sized city, it will also bring the decline of the whole district. Out of the 16 sites on the commercial district in small or medium-sized cities, the whole marketing area of 11 sites is economically deteriorated after the sites are abandoned. Also, a grayfield located in the suburbs fails to fit in with the land use of surrounding areas and prevents the development of the community. There are complaints to demolish and reconstruct grayfields by residents who live near the grayfields (69 of 74 grayfields). Since the premises that have made problems in the past will disappear by reconstructing or remodeling, the redevelopment of grayfields can solve social, economic, and landscape problems.
Secondly, the development of grayfield in Korea can be a way to regenerate its community. Generally, the decline of the area in the city occurs when middle-class residents move out to other areas. As mentioned in
Section 4.2 and above, the grayfields in Korea are located in areas in decline, such as population-declining neighborhoods or defunct commercial districts. If middle-class residents return to live or work on the retrofitted grayfield in the deteriorated neighborhood, the grayfield can save and revitalize the neighborhood from decline. Grayfields in Korea comprise a large development site that can serve as community centers because the average area of Type I sites is ~1.4 ha and the average area of Type II sites is 0.6 ha. Also, the size of development can accommodate various functions that can entice the middle-class as well as neighborhood residences to establish a foothold for the revival of the neighborhood. (Local governments can benefit from receiving tax revenues by increasing the real estate value of the neighborhood.) The previous redevelopment projects for the old town have chased out residents in the process of the demolition of the whole community. However, the retrofit of grayfields which is developed on an abandoned single site can be a solution for regeneration without damage to the community.
Thirdly, grayfields in Korea are good target sites for infill and transit-oriented development that can bring about reductions of carbon emissions. Grayfield development has the potential to bring about a reduction in environmental pollution and carbon emissions compared to greenfield development [
5,
27,
28]. The edges of cities have been expanding due to the greenfield development, leading to a burden on infrastructure and a split between residential and commercial area. Most of the grayfields in Korea (71 sites) are located within 16 km (10 miles) from the city center, and 60 sites are located within 8 km (5 miles) from city center surrounding other buildings, so that grayfields can be the site for infill development. Also, grayfield can be a good TOD site without additional transportation infrastructure. Distance to public transportation of most grayfields (72 sites) was less than 400 m (1/4 miles), which means it is a walkable distance and distance to intercity transportation of most grayfields (72 of 74 sites) was less than 6.4 km (4 miles)—the distance between the urban area and principal arterials. Therefore, redeveloping grayfield instead of greenfield will reduce carbon emission because of lower vehicle traffic and reduction of environmental destruction (The development of one acre of brownfield saves 4.5 acres of greenfield and reduces carbon emissions because of the lower vehicle traffic [
5]).
Despite the three potentials, the redevelopments of grayfield in Korea have been simple real estate developments to maximize profit and failed to regenerate communities. Out of 18 retrofitted grayfield, 11 sites were developed for apartment complexes and high-rise residential building (officetel), but the developers of them did not contribute to the nearby communities by accommodating or operating public facilities after selling residential buildings. Even 2 cases out of 11 residential redevelopment projects are public improvement project by the central government and public developer (LH) (LH (Korea land housing corporation) is a government-owned corporation that is responsible for the development of land and housing in cities, especially new towns). This type of development is similar to the development of brownfields in Korea in the past. Since the 1990s, expansion of cities and capital area regulation on the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) has led to the move of big-size factories located in SMA to areas outside of the SMA [
38]. This led to the redevelopment of brownfields in Seoul and other cities of SMA [
38]. However, most cases of brownfield redevelopment are only for apartment complexes except for only a few mixed-use developments [
38]. Developers, like the redevelopment of grayfields, built new premises in brownfields and sold all assets to new residences. So, there are no operating entities associated with developers who share development profits, and there are few positive effects on communities. Therefore, if the government does not improve its policy on supporting the developers and public contribution, grayfield redevelopment will not generate enough of a positive effect on its community.
In order to not only revitalize grayfields but also regenerate their communities, the government should take charge of two policies. Firstly, the central government should make a comprehensive incentive policy for the grayfield to establish relevant laws and secure fiscal resources, and local government should establish a grayfield agency to support revision of planning regulation, financing to demolish existing premises and rebuild community facility, arbitration for resolving divided ownership, as well as urban planning advisory.
For now, the local and central governments provide only partial support for similar projects. The city of Seoul operates the Pre-Negotiation System to change urban planning to factories, warehouse, bus terminal, train station, wholesale market, and public facilities [
14,
15]. The central government purchased a few abandoned private or local government assets to reconstruct as a pilot project. However, there is no arbitration or legal support for developers, and many local governments are suffering from a lack of comprehensive incentives. In particular, public officials are usually afraid of attempting to change regulations or provide fiscal support to encourage the redevelopment process because they may be seen as giving special favors. Therefore, if the central government does not make a comprehensive incentive policy and the local government does not establish a grayfield agency in charge of the comprehensive incentives, most of the public officials consequently will adopt a passive stance towards support for grayfield redevelopment.
In the case of Mizner Park (Boca Raton, FL, USA), the city of Boca Raton established a CRA (Community Redevelopment Agency) and provided
$50 million in support for improvements to the local infrastructure. The CRA introduced Tax-Increment Financing (TIF) (This was a case where the government took the first step to invest after considering future tax revenue increases through tax-increment financing.) to encourage cultural centers to invest
$68 million. In the case of Metropolitan Midtown (Charlotte, NC, USA), Charlotte and Mecklenburg counties constructed a
$60 million adjacent road and greenway, and supported
$17 million TIF allowing parking lots to be developed into high-density residential buildings [
5].
In addition to fiscal support for demolishment or construction, there are ways for the government to support the initial operation and development planning. Local government may move public offices to the new premises or support some of the leasing fees for start-up companies or social enterprises. The city of Gwangju (South Korea) purchased an abandoned department store and use it as a district office (Nam-gu office) and retail building (But the leasing fee of the retail building is so expensive for shop owners that the retail building is still vacant. Because the rent of buildings operated by the public entity is based on appraisal prices, the public entity cannot be allowed to set rents below the appraisal prices) [
39]. In the case of Bullring Center (Birmingham, UK), the city council commissioned a survey to assess retail accommodations in the site [
40].
Many local governments in Korea prefer to redevelop the grayfields into high-density buildings regardless of real estate demand. However, it is desirable for the local government to encourage development planning and program that remove the poor reputation of the areas rather than merely inducing high-rise development, which raises development and operational costs. In the case of new Downtown Kendall (Kendall, FL, USA), the city of Kendall tried to turn potential customers’ attention by giving master-plan to renowned new urbanism planning company [
5]. In the case of Tysons (Fairfax, VA, USA), the new urbanist Andres Duany was asked to design the site to get rid of its reputation as a place congested by traffic, and was subsequently developed [
5].
Secondly, the local government should demand a new public contribution to regenerate the community by the private developer. In order to achieve an appropriate density of development and long-term stable operation, it is desirable that the developer operates the site after the redevelopment, rather than liquidate it. Therefore, local governments should review the long-term operation abilities of the developers, rather than development plans only, and provide incentives to developers that meet these criteria by negotiations. In the case of an overseas retrofit, the developers are the operators of the premises, so they earn the profits from long-term rental income.
In the past, the public contributions have focused on the public contribution of only road or park. Recently, local governments are demanding the introduction of various facilities [
15]. (In the case of the Pre-Negotiation System, the contributed acceptance of following facilities was discussed; rental housings, pedestrian roads, cultural/welfare facilities, accommodations [
11].) However, public contribution as a demand for the incentives should include not only building and donating, but also operating the community facilities such as art center, museum, library, parking lot, community center, and office park. In the case of Mizner Park (Boca Raton, FL, USA), museums, libraries, and community centers are located on the premises and are operated by the developer [
5]. Also, in the case of Bullring Center (Birmingham, UK), the developer (Birmingham Alliance, UK) contributed by rebuilding the two indoor markets nearby and managing them for three years after the new premises opened [
40].