Factors Shaping Cow’s Milk Production in the EU
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Elaboration of the impact of changes in milk production for particular countries of the EU during the period from 2018 to 2020;
- Identification of factors having an impact on milk production in the EU countries;
- Evaluation of the impact of various characteristics on milk production in the EU.
2. Impact of Common Agricultural Policy and Environmental Regulations on Milk Production
3. Materials and Methods
4. Results and Discussion
5. Implications for Common Agricultural Policy in Milk Market
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Years | N | Average | Median | Minimum | Maximum | SD | CV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number | Thousand Tons | Thousand Tons | Thousand Tons | Thousand Tons | Thousand Tons | % | |
2004 | 28 | 5324.63 | 2561.95 | 41.99 | 28,244.73 | 6988.74 | 131.25 |
2005 | 28 | 5374.32 | 2433.20 | 41.47 | 28,452.95 | 7163.35 | 133.29 |
2006 | 28 | 5318.87 | 2590.07 | 41.02 | 27,994.97 | 6950.36 | 130.67 |
2007 | 28 | 5279.42 | 2555.80 | 40.59 | 28,402.77 | 6909.23 | 130.87 |
2008 | 28 | 5333.43 | 2556.11 | 39.91 | 28,656.26 | 7039.72 | 131.99 |
2009 | 27 * | 5492.60 | 2780.66 | 152.10 | 29,198.68 | 7084.71 | 128.97 |
2010 | 27 * | 5557.10 | 2682.52 | 151.02 | 29,593.88 | 7218.02 | 129.89 |
2011 | 27 * | 5629.66 | 2735.93 | 156.02 | 30,301.36 | 7410.42 | 131.63 |
2012 | 27 * | 5642.16 | 2814.68 | 153.74 | 30,672.15 | 7422.50 | 131.55 |
2013 | 28 | 5497.80 | 2588.62 | 40.92 | 31,324.24 | 7432.63 | 135.19 |
2014 | 28 | 5704.14 | 2665.83 | 42.77 | 32,381.06 | 7737.39 | 135.65 |
2015 | 28 | 5817.80 | 2684.96 | 41.57 | 32,670.88 | 7976.87 | 137.11 |
2016 | 28 | 5837.22 | 2645.91 | 43.13 | 32,672.34 | 7949.36 | 136.18 |
2017 | 28 | 5901.81 | 2611.21 | 41.03 | 32,598.20 | 7979.57 | 135.21 |
Variable | Average | S D. | Raw Cows’ Milk from Farm (1000 t) |
---|---|---|---|
Raw cows’ milk from farm (1000 t) | 6119 | 8047 | 1 |
Gross domestic product at market prices (Current prices, million euro) | 568,508 | 845,857 | 0.922137 * |
Final consumption expenditure of households (Current prices, million euro) | 306,163 | 467,620 | 0.885822 * |
Exports of goods (Current prices, million euro) | 185,587 | 261,299 | 0.929326 * |
Imports of goods (Current prices, million euro) | 175,888 | 227,895 | 0.944257 * |
Subsidies (Current prices, million euro) | 9300 | 14,317 | 0.817275 * |
Gross domestic product at market prices (Current prices, euro per capita) | 29,378 | 19,225 | 0.183248 |
Final consumption expenditure of households (Current prices, euro per capita) | 14,211 | 6461 | 0.346923 |
Population (no) | 18,922,703 | 23,886,027 | 0.892247 * |
Permanent grassland (ha) | 2,190,073 | 2,788,274 | 0.660394 * |
Share of permanent grassland in Utilised Agricultural Area (%) | 33 | 19 | 0.067514 |
Specification | Valid N | r | r2 | p | SE | Regression Equation | ↑⁄↓ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
European Union (28) | 79 | 0.6729 | 0.4528 | 0.0000 | 761.03 | y = 8201.0273 + 14.375 *x | ↑ |
European Union 15 (1995–2004) | 211 | 0.6783 | 0.4601 | 0.0000 | 701.59 | y = 8655.6546 + 6.8003 *x | ↑ |
Germany | 355 | 0.7710 | 0.5945 | 0.0000 | 152.6 | y = 2013.3107 + 1.7979 *x | ↑ |
Poland | 183 | 0.8177 | 0.6686 | 0.0000 | 66.923 | y = 356.5388 + 1.7894 *x | ↑ |
The Netherlands | 355 | 0.7359 | 0.5415 | 0.0000 | 75.906 | y = 805.9958 + 0.8027 *x | ↑ |
Ireland | 355 | 0.1998 | 0.0399 | 0.0002 | 229.73 | y = 385.1576 + 0.4558 *x | ↑ |
Spain | 354 | 0.7532 | 0.5673 | 0.0000 | 39.622 | y = 411.0429 + 0.4427 *x | ↑ |
France | 354 | 0.2182 | 0.0476 | 0.0000 | 182.97 | y = 1900.0505 + 0.3992 *x | ↑ |
Italy | 354 | 0.5594 | 0.3129 | 0.0000 | 59.769 | y = 789.2863 + 0.3936 *x | ↑ |
Denmark | 355 | 0.7217 | 0.5208 | 0.0000 | 25.079 | y = 347.6452 + 0.2544 *x | ↑ |
Belgium | 355 | 0.6185 | 0.3825 | 0.0000 | 32.782 | y = 227.682 + 0.2511 *x | ↑ |
Austria | 294 | 0.7959 | 0.6335 | 0.0000 | 16.025 | y = 178.1701 + 0.2474 *x | ↑ |
Czechia | 187 | 0.5714 | 0.3265 | 0.0000 | 18.331 | y = 151.1571 + 0.2352 *x | ↑ |
Lithuania | 235 | 0.4652 | 0.2164 | 0.0000 | 22.729 | y = 63.3998 + 0.1753 *x | ↑ |
Latvia | 199 | 0.7496 | 0.5620 | 0.0000 | 8.6849 | y = 12.0155 + 0.1704 *x | ↑ |
Estonia | 234 | 0.8934 | 0.7982 | 0.0000 | 4.1717 | y = 22.1291 + 0.1215 *x | ↑ |
United Kingdom | 355 | 0.1284 | 0.0165 | 0.0155 | 87.525 | y = 1163.8126 + 0.1103 *x | ↑ |
Portugal | 355 | 0.5466 | 0.2987 | 0.0000 | 15.191 | y = 129.8008 + 0.0965 *x | ↑ |
Slovenia | 234 | 0.7289 | 0.5314 | 0.0000 | 2.3518 | y = 34.8294 + 0.0369 *x | ↑ |
Greece | 354 | 0.4810 | 0.2314 | 0.0000 | 5.7533 | y = 45.5566 + 0.0308 *x | ↑ |
Cyprus | 235 | 0.7924 | 0.6280 | 0.0000 | 1.5237 | y = 6.4896 + 0.0291 *x | ↑ |
Luxembourg | 355 | 0.6698 | 0.4487 | 0.0000 | 2.9187 | y = 18.8402 + 0.0256 *x | ↑ |
Malta | 116 | 0.1749 | 0.0306 | 0.0603 | 0.19849 | y = 3.3357 + 0.0005 *x | ↑ |
Hungary | 199 | −0.0523 | 0.0027 | 0.4630* | 10.628 | y = 125.4752 − 0.0096 *x | ↓ |
Romania | 187 | −0.0417 | 0.0017 | 0.5713* | 14.776 | y = 86.2107 − 0.0114 *x | ↓ |
Croatia | 234 | −0.1307 | 0.0171 | 0.0457 | 7.2021 | y = 49.4579 − 0.014 *x | ↓ |
Finland | 295 | −0.1722 | 0.0297 | 0.0030 | 9.9303 | y = 200.176 − 0.0203 *x | ↓ |
Bulgaria | 163 | 0.3470 | 0.1204 | 0.0000 | 9.5838 | y = 69.7304 − 0.0749 *x | ↓ |
Slovakia | 211 | −0.6821 | 0.4653 | 0.0000 | 5.2388 | y = 93.7112 − 0.0799 *x | ↓ |
Sweden | 294 | −0.7501 | 0.5627 | 0.0000 | 12.945 | y = 290.3685 − 0.1724 *x | ↓ |
N = 27 | R = 0.96567124 R^2 = 0.93252094 Corrected. R2 = 0.92371932 F (3, 23) = 105.95 p < 0.00000 std. Error: 2222.5 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B * | SE with b * | b | SE with b | T (23) | p | |
Intersept | 179.991 | 586.9733 | 0.30664 | 0.761874 | ||
Gross domestic product at market prices (Current prices, million euro) | 2.96181 | 0.448553 | 0.0282 | 0.0043 | 6.60304 | 0.000001 |
Final consumption expenditure of households (Current prices, million euro) | −2.61334 | 0.496457 | −0.045 | 0.0085 | −5.26399 | 0.000024 |
Population (no) | 0.57863 | 0.20998 | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 2.75565 | 0.011258 |
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Bórawski, P.; Pawlewicz, A.; Parzonko, A.; Harper, J.K.; Holden, L. Factors Shaping Cow’s Milk Production in the EU. Sustainability 2020, 12, 420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010420
Bórawski P, Pawlewicz A, Parzonko A, Harper JK, Holden L. Factors Shaping Cow’s Milk Production in the EU. Sustainability. 2020; 12(1):420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010420
Chicago/Turabian StyleBórawski, Piotr, Adam Pawlewicz, Andrzej Parzonko, Jayson, K. Harper, and Lisa Holden. 2020. "Factors Shaping Cow’s Milk Production in the EU" Sustainability 12, no. 1: 420. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010420