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30 August 2021

Climate Change and Fisheries Regulation: What We Should Consider for the Future?

School of Law, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116000, China
This article belongs to the Special Issue Preserving Community Interests in Ocean Governance towards Sustainability

Abstract

Climate change and its effect on marine environment, especially ocean warming, acidification and sea level rise, impacts fisheries in different ways. However, fisheries and climate change are regulated by different international management mechanisms, which makes the current fisheries management system face challenges. Realizing this, the present paper is designed to consider whether international law should be introduced to apply better management of fisheries so as to cope with the issues arising from climate change. In addition, the paper highlights the importance of incorporating relevant principles into future fisheries regulations by examining an existing bilateral fishery agreements.

1. Introduction

It is acknowledged that the precise and localized impacts of climate change on fisheries are still poorly understood [1]. This is because “the inherent unpredictability of climate change and the links that entwine fishery and aquaculture livelihoods with other livelihood strategies and economic sectors make unravelling the exact mechanisms of climate impacts hugely complex” [2]. This view is agreed to by the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, in its statement that “for fisheries, information on the likely impacts of climate change is very limited” [3]. The ocean has absorbed 93% of the extra heat arising from the enhanced greenhouse effect (1971–2010), with most of the warming (64%) occurring in the upper (0 to 700 m) ocean [4]. To reverse that heating, the warmer upper layers of the ocean have to mix with the colder, deeper layers, which can take as much as 1000 years [4]. Temperature plays an essential role in the biology and ecology of marine organisms, the speed of isotherm migration ultimately determines the speed at which populations must move, adapt or acclimate to changed sea temperatures [4]. Shifts in stock distribution due to climate change have the potential of creating local extinction of economically important stocks while enhancing fisheries in areas where they were not present before [5]. For example, since 2010, the distribution proportion of Pacific halibut has increased from 9% to 11% in Canadian waters, and from 7.5% to 13% in Alaskan waters [5].
Oceans also absorb approximately 30% of emitted anthropogenic CO2, causing ocean acidification [6]. Rising water temperatures and ocean acidification damage coral reefs by enhancing reef dissolution and bio-erosion, affecting coral species distribution, and leading to community changes. Coral reefs are further exposed to other increased impacts, such as enhanced storm intensity, turbidity and increased runoff from the land [6]. Relatively small increases in sea temperature (as little as 1 °C to 2 °C) can cause mass coral bleaching and mortality across hundreds of square kilometers of coral reef [4]. When this occurs on a global scale, it is referred to as a “mass bleaching event.” In 1998 a mass bleaching event killed almost 16% of the world’s reef-building corals [7]. Loss of coral reef habitats leads to a reduction in reef fisheries production, which negatively impacts communities and countries highly dependent on coral reef ecosystems for their food, income and livelihoods. The economic costs due to the ocean acidification-driven reduction in the fisheries production of coral reef habitats are estimated to be between $5.4 to $8.4 billion annually under a high emission scenario [8]. What is worse is that ocean acidification can slow the rebuilding of coral reefs and weaken their structures.
The links between fisheries and their ecosystems are deeper and more significant than those that exist in mainstream agriculture [9]. The productivity of a fishery is tied to the health and functioning of the ecosystems on which it depends for food, habitat and even seed dispersal [10]. Estuaries, mangroves, coral reefs and seagrass beds are particularly significant in the provision of ecosystem services, especially as nurseries for young fish, and are also amongst the most sensitive and highly exposed to the negative impacts of coastal development, pollution, sedimentation, destructive fishing practices, and climate change [7]. Because fish tend to live near their tolerance limits of a range of factors, increased temperature and acidity, lower dissolved oxygen, and changes to salinity can have deleterious effects [11].
Sea level rise will likely damage or destroy many coastal ecosystems such as mangroves, seagrasses, and coral reefs, which are essential to maintaining wild fish stocks [12]. The threats to coastal habitats and fisheries from sea-level rise are exacerbated by increases in coastal extreme events, such as tropical cyclone winds and rainfall [12]. Changes in surface temperature could alter local ecosystems and affect the abundance and species composition of fish stocks [2].
Climate change in particular would affect fisheries and the fishery industry in East Asia. As we know, 85% of fishers and fish farmers worldwide live in Asia, with the greatest numbers being in China (9.6 million fishers and 5.0 million fish farmers) [13]. China is the largest producer of fish, accounting for 35 percent of global fish production in 2018 [14]. Thus, any adverse impact of climate change on fisheries will inevitably affect the livelihoods of fishers and fishing communities, particularly in Asia.
It is evident that climate change has impact on fishery, the present paper is designed to consider whether international law, particularly international legal principles, should be introduced to apply better management to fisheries so as to cope with the issues arising from climate change.

3. Existing Fisheries Agreements

The case study is focused on the fishery agreement between China and Japan, a bilateral agreement in international law. As we know, both China and Japan border the East China Sea, where fishermen from both countries have operated since ancient times. Before the establishment of official diplomatic ties between the two countries, non-governmental fishery agreements were signed in 1955, 1963, and 1965.
Following the establishment of diplomatic ties, the two countries started their consultations on a governmental fishery agreement. The fishery agreement between the Government of the People’s Republic of China and the Government of Japan was finally signed on 15 August 1975, and came into force on 23 December 1975 [39]. The 1975 Agreement was revised twice, in 1978 and in 1985 [19]. Although the 1975 agreement introduced more rigid protective measures than the non-governmental agreements, it was largely the same as the non-governmental ones.
The entry into force of the LOSC in 1994 ushered in a new era of fishery relations between China and Japan. Both countries established their EEZs based on the relevant provisions of the LOSC, as well as on their respective domestic legislations. Since the broadest width of the East China Sea is less than 400 nm, the whole sea area became EEZs that were shared by China, Japan and Korea. The fishery relationship between the two sides inevitably needed a new adjustment. After several rounds of negotiation, the two sides finally reached agreement in September 1997 regarding fishery management in the East China Sea [40]. The new agreement came into force on 1 June 2000.
The agreement contains some significant provisions in response to the changed situation. (a) the agreement contains as one of its purposes the establishment of a new fishery order in accordance with the LOSC, conserving and utilizing rationally marine living resources of common concern, and maintaining the normal operation order at sea. Both sides agreed to cooperate to conduct scientific research in fishery and to conserve marine living resources [39]. Each should adopt necessary measures to ensure compliance by their nationals and fishing boats with the provisions of the fishery agreement and the conservation measures and other conditions provided for in the relevant laws and regulations of the other party when they are engaged in fishery activities in the other’s EEZ, and should inform each other of such conservation measures and other conditions provided for in its relevant laws and regulations [39]. (b) providing reciprocal fishing rights: the agreement applies to the EEZs of both countries. However, this does not include all the EEZs, as the agreement excludes the EEZ area south of 27 °N, and west of 125°30′ E in the East China Sea, where Taiwan and the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands are located. Within the EEZ, China and Japan give each other’s nationals and fishing boats the right to fish in each other’s EEZs, pursuant to the principle of reciprocity, the fishery agreement and their relevant domestic laws and regulations. The competent authorities of each party issue fishing permits to nationals and fishing boats of the other party, and may levy appropriate fees on the issuance of such permits. (c) Establishing the provisional measures zone (PMZ). For the conservation and quantity of fishery resources in the PMZ, both sides should adopt, based on decisions made by the Sino-Japanese Fishery Joint Committee, appropriate management measures in order to protect marine living resources from the harm of being overexploited. Each party should take administrative and other necessary measures for its nationals and fishing boats fishing in the PMZ, and should not impose administrative and other measures on nationals and fishing boats of the other party in this water area. The establishment of a common fishery zone is a typical form of fishery cooperation for shared waters between any two countries. Though there are many examples in the world, what is new is that the PMZ was the first such zone between China and Japan. It indicates that the fishery cooperation between these two countries had entered into a new era. (d) In order to implement the fishery agreement as well as to coordinate respective fishery management procedures, both sides decided to establish the Joint Fishery Committee which consists of four members, two of whom are appointed by each party. The decision-making mechanism is based on the unanimous consent of the committee members [39].
From the above, we can see that the latest fishery agreement between China and Japan is a positive response to the LOSC without considering any factor of climate change, and although some conservation measures provided for in the agreement are indirectly related to the climate change regime/law. A similar legal phenomenon also exists in domestic legislation in fisheries management. For example, the 1976 Magnuson–Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act (MSA) was amended in 1996 and 2006 with an increased conservation focus that strengthened the role that science should play in decision-making, but “no explicit mention of climate change or particular level of scientific certainty is required by the legislation” [19].
The Arctic experienced major melts in 2007 and 2012, and has seen a general trend of decline in ice thickness and extent. In 2017, Arctic ice hit a record winter low for the third year in a row. Ice-free waters, combined with the general warming trend, have brought new species to Arctic waters, e. g. the snow crab moving into Svalbard’s waters [8]. The increased presence and availability of commercial species may encourage a new competitive race to fish in Arctic waters. Acknowledging the Arctic ocean systems have been changed “due to climate change and other phenomena, and that the effects of these changes are not well understood” [41], five bordering countries (Canada, Denmark [Greenland], Norway, the Russia Federation, and the United States of America) and other possible fishing countries (China, Iceland, Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the European Union) concluded the Agreement to Prevent Unregulated High Seas Fisheries in the Central Arctic Ocean, agreeing to a fishing ban for the next 16 years to give scientists time to understand the region’s marine ecology and the potential impacts of climate change before fishing becomes widespread [13]. The climate change factors have been considered in the Agreement to Prevent Unregulated High Seas Fisheries in the Central Arctic Ocean maybe a positive start, but there is no specific provision directly related to climate change in this agreement.
Therefore, it is worth examining some of the latest fishery agreements to see whether the climate factor has been considered. In addition to bilateral fisheries agreements, climate change could be a necessary element in the future making of fisheries law at international, regional (North Pacific), bilateral, or even domestic levels. Towards that direction, future fishery agreements should not only apply the legal principles mentioned above, but also introduce more specific measures in response to climate change, such as reduction of emissions from fishing vessels; improvement of fuel efficiency; and reduction of yields and increase of yield variability.

4. Regional and National Efforts for Climate Resilience in Fisheries

Regional Fisheries Management Organizations (RFMOs) are international organizations that serve as fora for the establishment, implementation, and enforcement of legally binding management and conservation measures for fishing. Many RFMOs are established under international conventions and have the authority to adopt legally binding provisions with regard to the conservation and management of fish stocks. Recognizing climate change and its impacts on the environment and fishery resources, several RFMOs and many states take efforts for climate resilience in fisheries.
Environmental changes driven by climate change are further compounded by local habitat changes in salmon freshwater ecosystems. The Big Bar landslide on the Fraser river is particularly concerning, as it has blocked upstream access to critical sockeye, chinook, and coho spawning areas since 2019, and the changing ocean conditions may be further influenced by increases in salmon numbers rearing in the North Pacific [42]. The Working Group on Salmon Marking (WGSM) of the North Pacific Anadromous Fish Commission (NPAFC) developed a high-seas otolith mark recovery database that would complement the existing mark release database and provide researchers with data that could be used to assess returns across each species range, validate genetic stock identifications, establish migration patterns, infer impacts of climate change and carrying capacity, and make inferences about inter- and intra-species population dynamics [42]. Meanwhile, the member states also take action to deal with climate change in their fishery management. For example, the Korean 2020 research plan involves investigations of mortality and climate change effects on salmon to reveal the mechanisms of mass mortality of chum salmon during their early life in rivers and coastal areas in conjunction with return rate fluctuations [42]. Russia plans to conduct surveys in the northwestern Pacific Ocean, Okhotsk, and Bering Seas, and the information from surveys will be used to improve the understanding of how climate change will affect Pacific salmon production and ecosystems of the far eastern seas and adjacent Pacific waters [42].
States in the Asia-Pacific Fishery Commission (APFIC) region have made wide-ranging efforts with respect to climate change adaptation and mitigation, include climate-smart fisheries for sustainable food security, climate resistant fisheries products, climate-smart management practices. For example, Bangladesh has climate change-resilient fisheries in its development plan. Several countries, including Cambodia, Malaysia, Nepal, and the Philippines, are working to establish community-targeted early-warning and notification systems regarding climate changes [43].
It is also to note that cooperation among states is important to deal with the impact of climate change on fisheries, such as sharing data and information. In this regard, the South East Atlantic Fisheries Organization (SEAFO) has taken steps to enter into co-operation agreements with other RFMOs, such as CCAMLR, on collecting data and information that could be used to study the impact of climate change on the marine ecosystems [44].

5. Remaining Issues

Due to the complexity of international governance for fishery management and climate change, there are considerable pending issues to be sorted out. First is the impact of carbon storage on fisheries and how we should regulate it. Certain climate mitigation and adaptation measures may have significant impacts on the marine environment. For instance, carbon capture and storage (CCS), touted as a mitigation technology that could lead to deep emission reductions, could also if the technology is mishandled and/or mismanaged lead to significant leakage of stored CO2 occurs to the ocean [15]. Climate geo-engineering is a problem of a similar nature.
The Protocol to the Convention on the Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes and Other Matter adopted in 1996 created, in a 2007 amendment, a new category in the Annex 1 list of wastes and other matter that may be considered for dumping, thereby allowing for the storage of CO2 in sub-seabed geological formations [15]. The parties to the 1996 Protocol adopted a “Risk Assessment and Management Framework for CO2 Sequestration in Sub-Seabed Geological Structures (CS-SSGS)” as well as “specific guidelines for assessment of carbon dioxide streams for disposal into sub-seabed geological formations.” The 1992 Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North-East Atlantic (OSPAR) adopted a similar amendment to allow carbon storage in geological formations under the seabed, complemented by guidelines adopted by the OSPAR Commission [15]. It remains unknown whether these regulations are adequate, particularly in the context of the conservation of marine biological resources including fisheries, and whether the lawmakers considered the impact of such activities on fisheries.
Second, but not last, is the linkage of livelihood of the coastal communities and fisheries management in the context of climate change. It is advocated to increase the use of marine protected areas as a climate change adaptation strategy in threatened marine ecosystems [45]. This is no doubt a positive call, but such more establishments may affect fishing communities and their livelihoods. The case registered with the Permanent Court of Arbitration concerning the Matter of the Chagos Marine Protected Area between Mauritius and the United Kingdom (2010–2015) is illustrative. In the case, Mauritius challenges the United Kingdom’s establishment of a Marine Protected Area (MPA) around the Chagos archipelago, which extends to a distance of 200 nautical miles from the baselines of this archipelago and covers an area of more than half a million square kilometers [46]. One of the legal challenges from Mauritius is that “the MPA is fundamentally incompatible with the rights and obligations provided for by the Convention, including the fishing rights of Mauritius in regard to the Chagos Archipelago and its surrounding waters” [46]. The above dispute shows that it is necessary to consider the needs and interests of local fishing communities while any environmental protection measure is put in place.

6. Conclusions

The International Bar Association, in 2014, released a detailed report on the role of international law in addressing climate change and advocates the concept of climate justice [47]. Climate justice implies the recognition that climate change is a matter of human rights and development, and also that the victims of global warming are not responsible for it [48]. Climate justice also means sharing responsibility [48]. As Mary Robinson states, “the only solution to climate change are fair solutions that protect human rights and uphold the rule of law” [48]. In terms of fishery management and the fishery legal regime, it is certainly the time for policy/law makers to accommodate the climate change considerations into the process of fishery policies and fishery laws, whether international, regional, or domestic. This paper has argued that, first, some fundamental principles of international law should be applicable to future fisheries regulation, no matter whether it is multilateral, regional, bilateral, or national; and second, that climate change factors should be seriously considered in the concluding of future fishery agreements. With this in mind, human mankind may realize climate justice for present and future generations.

Funding

It is acknowledged that this paper is part of a research project funded by China’s National Social Sciences Foundation (18VHQ002).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The data presented in this study are openly available in website, reference number.

Acknowledgments

The author expresses his gratitude to Lei Zhang for her assistance during the revising process of the paper.

Conflicts of Interest

The author declares no conflict of interest.

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