1. Introduction
The global community is facing unprecedented concerns about unsustainable extraction of our natural resources, pollution of our lands, water and air, and the conversion and alteration of ecological functions and systems. Due to the overuse and misuse of key environmental and natural resources, we are experiencing critical threats to the global environment—such as climate change, land-use conversion and biodiversity loss, freshwater scarcity, and deteriorating marine and coastal habitats.
Since 1970, trends in agricultural production, fish harvest, freshwater use, bioenergy production and harvest of materials have increased, in response to rising demand from population and income growth. Over this period, the global human population has more than doubled (from 3.7 to 7.6 billion), rising unevenly across countries and regions; and per capita gross domestic product is four times higher—with ever-more distant consumers shifting the environmental burden of consumption and production across regions [
1]. The expansion of energy use, carbon dioxide emissions and fisheries production has been even greater than the doubling of the global population [
2,
3,
4]. Freshwater use has largely kept pace with population growth and global agricultural land use has expanded more modestly, by 30 percent [
5]. However, in low and top-income countries the expansion in crop and pasture land has been more significant, over 45 percent since 1970 [
3].
Land-use change, habitat destruction and biodiversity loss in the tropics are primarily driven by the ongoing demand for agricultural production, mining and timber in these regions. As a consequence, tropical natural forests have declined by 11 percent since 1990 [
6]. At the same time, we have experienced a 60% decline in the populations of mammals, birds, fish, reptiles and amphibians [
7]. The nearly three-fold rise in fisheries production over the past several decades is one reason why marine life is on the brink of a precipice. At least one-third of fish stocks are now overfished, one-third to half of the vulnerable marine habitats have been lost, and a substantial fraction of the coastal ocean suffers from pollution, eutrophication, oxygen depletion and is stressed by ocean warming [
8]. An additional disturbing trend in recent decades has been the exponential growth in marine plastic pollution. In 1970, there was an estimated 30,200 tonnes of plastic floating in global oceans. By 2020, this amount had risen to nearly 1.2 million tonnes [
9,
10].
Because of this mounting toll on the global environment, scientists are warning that humans are now on the verge of altering the Earth System irrevocably. Unless human impacts on the global environment are slowed down, and in some cases halted, we may inflict significant and long-lasting changes to the entire Earth System. Avoiding these outcomes and producing a relatively “safe” global environment is the greatest challenge facing humankind today. Some scientists suggest that, in order to protect key Earth System elements and processes, human impacts on the global environment should be kept within “planetary boundaries”. Establishing such boundaries may help us avoid exceeding “tipping points” or “thresholds” that could lead to irrevocable changes in the entire Earth System, with potentially catastrophic impacts for humanity [
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18]. According to the scientist Will Steffen and colleagues, establishing planetary boundaries “aims to help guide human societies away from such a trajectory by defining a “safe operating space” in which we can continue to develop and thrive” [
14].
In a previous article in this journal, Barbier and Burgess show how the environment and natural resources that occur within a “safe operating space” can be treated as an exploitable finite stock. By developing an optimal depletion model, the authors show how the extraction of these resources can be managed optimally [
19]. However, many of the environment and natural resources that constitute key “safe operating spaces”, as designated by planetary boundaries, are being exploited by a handful of large firms with considerable market [
20]. Given the growing market concentration and monopoly power in the key economic sectors that exploit the environment and resources that constitute many safe operating spaces, it is important to explore how monopoly conditions can alter the extraction and price path of the environmental assets over time compared to that under competitive market conditions.
In this article, we extend and elaborate the economic modeling approach developed by Barbier and Burgess to explore the stewardship of the environment and natural resources that constitute key “safe operating spaces”, as designated by planetary boundaries [
19]. We treat these natural resource and environmental assets as an exploitable finite stock and focus on the growing market concentration and monopoly power in the key economic sectors that exploit many safe operating spaces. We show that the monopoly may be compatible with more sustainable use, by extending the life of the exploitable, depletable stock, at the expense of firms capturing excessive resource rents from exploitation. We explore how taxation of excessive monopoly rents can be designed without compromising the sustainable use of the environment. The revenue raised may be channeled into technological innovation and protecting or regenerating natural assets that are essential for global environmental sustainability. We also show that if such technological innovation, investment in regeneration, or internalization of the wider social and environmental values associated with the exhaustible assets are sufficiently large then the safe operating space may be conserved indefinitely.
Our starting point in
Section 2 is to review the relevant literature that identifies the need to establish planetary environmental boundaries in order to avoid exceeding “tipping points” or “thresholds”. We also provide a brief review of the literature on the economics of exploitation of a finite resource, and the impact of monopolistic resource use on this exploitation decision.
We discuss in
Section 3.1 the concept of the safe operating space, as defined by planetary boundaries. A safe operating space is, in effect, a finite endowment of “natural capital” that is available for extractive use by human activities. In this way, the safe operating space can be regarded as an exploitable, depletable stock. We also examine how these environmental and natural resource assets are frequently exploited by dominant firms with considerable market power.
If our use of the global environment is limited by planetary boundaries, it is important to determine how to best manage the natural resources and environment available for use in the safe operating space [
19]. In
Section 3.2, we present an optimal depletion model to show how the extraction of these exhaustible assets can be managed optimally over time. In this model, we include the potential for regeneration of the environmental stock and the inclusion of wider social benefits, or “stock externalities”, associated with the safe operating space. As a depletable asset, any remaining safe operating space is also scarce. Therefore, the value of the asset will rise over time as exploitation proceeds. As a result, the market conditions governing the exploitation of a safe operating space will affect whether depletion of this asset is conducted efficiently and optimally, and how quickly it is used up.
In
Section 4, we show and discuss the modeling results for competitive as opposed to monopoly conditions. We first present the optimal extraction and price path of the safe operating space under competitive market conditions. Given the growing market concentration and monopoly power in the key economic sectors that exploit the environment and resources that constitute many safe operating spaces, we then adapt the analysis to explore the role of monopolistic market structure. We compare and contrast this allocation decision to that under competitive market conditions.
Next, we discuss the policy implications of how a monopolistic market structure can impact the exploitation of the safe operating space (see
Section 5). We show that monopoly conditions can alter the price path and use of the environment over time compared to the competitive market case. The monopoly is compatible with more sustainable use, by extending the life of the safe operating space. However, this is at the expense of firms capturing excessive resource rents from exploitation. This tradeoff means that policies need to be designed to tax the monopoly rents without compromising the sustainable use of the environment. We show how a tax can be designed so that it does not detrimentally affect the monopolists’ allocation decision.
In the remainder of
Section 5, we discuss how the revenue raised by such taxation can be invested in technological innovation in substitute resources, which can lower the demand and extend the time until exhaustion for the environmental asset. We also explore how any revenues that are generated from taxing monopoly rent can be channeled into protecting or regenerating natural assets that are essential for global environmental sustainability, and for funding additional investment in green innovation and technology that reduce the economy’s reliance on depleting the various natural resources and sinks that constitute a safe operating space. We show that, if regeneration efforts are very substantial, or if the wider social and environmental values associated with these assets are taken into account, then the safe operating space may be conserved indefinitely.
Finally, our concluding
Section 6 addresses additional issues for research. The presence of a few dominant firms managing the extraction of key environmental and natural resource assets can lead to inefficiencies and a loss of economic welfare compared to the competitive market situation, but can also provide an important opportunity to reduce the rate of exploitation and contribute towards more sustainable use of the safe operating space. We discuss how such policy challenges will become increasingly important as dominant firms continue to exert market power over the planet’s remaining scarce environment and natural resources.
2. Review of the Literature
The scientific literature is providing increasing evidence that human populations and economic activity are getting closer to, and even exceeding, the limits of essential sub-systems and processes of the global environment. Surpassing these limits could lead to irreversible changes, or “tipping points” in the Earth system [
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18]. This literature has noted that “nine such processes for which we believe it is necessary to define planetary boundaries: climate change; rate of biodiversity loss (terrestrial and marine); interference with the nitrogen and phosphorus cycles; stratospheric ozone depletion; ocean acidification; global freshwater use; change in land use; chemical pollution; and atmospheric aerosol loading.” [
12] (p. 472).
For example, terrestrial net primary (plant) production could be used as a measurable limit for human consumption of Earth’s biological resources [
13]. There also needs to be constraints placed on global and basin-wide consumptive uses of water to protect freshwater supplies and ecosystems [
14,
15]. Limits on biodiversity loss could be based on extinction rates and indicators of functional and genetic diversity and biome conditions [
14,
16]. Boundaries on land-system change could also be set, such forested land as a percentage of original forest cover or potential forest [
14]. Finally, in order to prevent global warming from exceeding 1.5 °C or 2 °C, the global carbon budget could be used to constrain the cumulative amount of anthropogenic CO
2 emissions [
17].
The main reason to establish planetary boundaries is to identify a “safe operating space for humanity”. Within this safe operating space, natural resources and the environment can be safely exploited [
12] (p. 472). In this way, the planetary boundaries set an absolute limit on the exploitation of critical global biophysical sinks or resources, in order to avoid potentially catastrophic tipping points. To date, the focus has been on how to characterizing and quantify such planetary boundaries, rather than “how to maneuver within the safe operating space in the quest for global sustainability” [
14] (p. 744). However, if our use of the global environment is limited by planetary boundaries, it is important to determine how to best manage the natural resources and environment available for use in the “safe operating space” [
18].
The environment and natural resources that occur within a “safe operating space” can be treated as an exploitable, finite stock. One of the earliest economic analyses of the optimal management of an exhaustible resource stock was undertaken by Gray [
21], with respect to the choice of the quantity of mineral to extract over time from a fixed stock of ore in a mine. Hotelling subsequently examined the optimal extraction of a non-renewable resource from the perspective of a social planning agency, aiming to maximize the social welfare from mineral production at the industry level [
22]. In order to maximize social welfare, the planner decides what are the net benefits of extracting some of the minerals today rather than waiting until tomorrow. The resulting “Hotelling’s rule” states that the price of the resource (or the resource rent) is expected to grow over time at a rate equal to the rate of interest [
22]. Given Hotelling’s rule, an optimal extraction path for the nonrenewable resource can be determined that satisfies the stock constraint (i.e., resource availability) and the terminal condition (i.e., that all of the resource is used up in the final period of extraction).
Several extensions to the optimal extraction model have been developed [
23]. For example, to take account of the availability of resource substitutes and whether the resource is necessary for the production of other goods in society, the impact of an increase in extractions costs, a rise in the rate of interest, declining quality of the stock and demand and reserve uncertainty [
23,
24,
25,
26,
27,
28,
29,
30]. The allocation and distribution impacts of resource exploitation decisions under different market structures, such as perfect competition, monopoly and oligopoly have also been explored [
23,
31,
32,
33,
34]. The economic framework of this optimal extraction model for an exhaustible resource has been applied to several different types of resources, including mineral resources, energy stocks (especially gas and oil reserves) [
35] and the management of groundwater resources [
36]. In recent years, Barbier and Burgess have applied this framework to address the optimal management of “safe operating spaces” in the case of natural forests [
37] and the global carbon budget [
38]. However, as far as we are aware, this is the first paper to examine the optimal management of the environmental and natural resource assets demarked by safe operating space under monopolistic rather the perfectly competitive conditions.
4. Results
4.1. Exploitation in a Competitive Market
Suppose that the markets for all the goods and services derived from using the safe operating space are perfectly competitive, and that there are
firms exploiting
to supply these markets. All firms have equal and constant marginal cost of exploitation, and because of the competitive conditions, they all face the same market price net of cost
. Given this price, each firm
i chooses how much of the safe operating space to exploit in order to maximize their discounted profits over a finite time period, given by
. The
ith firm’s objective is to
subject to
where
is the share of the remaining safe operating space available at any time
t for the
ith firm to exploit.
The discount rate for the ith firm’s profits given in (5) is the net rate of return that is earned from investing the proceeds of exploitation ρ derived earlier. In this way, each competitive firm’s exploitation of the safe operating space satisfies the optimal portfolio balance condition (3). This is required when managing , which is treated as an economic asset. If this does not happen, then a firm would quickly liquidate its proportion of the safe operating space, and invest the proceeds in other economic assets in the economy, as they would yield a better return. This also implies that the marginal value that each firm puts on conserving its proportion of the remaining safe operating space must be equivalent to the net price of exploitation.
Let us explore this further. Let be the shadow value with respect to profits for the ith firm of having another unit of . By definition, this is . As all firms face the same discounted profit maximization choice as represented by (5), then this shadow value is the same for all firms. The solution to the above optimal control problem (5) and (6) is determined by forming the corresponding Hamiltonian. Two necessary conditions for maximizing (5) with respect to (6) are therefore and . This confirms that the level of exploitation chosen by all competitive firms in each time period ensures that price is equal to the marginal value of the remaining safe operating space. This level of exploitation also requires . Given this, the price path must follow the condition given in (4). Consequently, under competitive market conditions, firms will exploit the safe operating space according to conditions (3) and (4), thus leading to efficient and optimal use of .
Condition (4) also ensures that the discounted marginal profit earned by each competitive firm must be constant over time. The marginal profit for the ith firm is always the net price , and from rearranging (4), we have . If discounted marginal profits were not the same over time, a firm could increase its profits by switching exploitation between time periods so that more would take place when discounted profits were high and less use when they were low.
Finally, the increase in the firm’s net price, or marginal profit, over time reflects the fact that the safe operating space is a finite asset and, as it is being exploited, that the remaining asset is growing increasingly scarce. Even though firms operate in competitive markets, the growing scarcity of the safe operating space ensures that each firm earns a scarcity rent as represented by , which must increase over time as the asset becomes depleted and increasingly scarce. In contrast, if there were no planetary boundary limiting the safe operating space to a fixed amount , then the sources or sinks available for exploitation exist in unlimited quantities. There would be no shadow value, or scarcity, associated with conserving any remaining and thus . However, this in turn means that the net price received by each competitive firm is also zero, as the (gross) price is always offset by marginal cost. There is no scarcity rent earned due to constraints imposed by planetary boundaries, because there are no planetary limits on Earth’s sub-systems and processes which in turn define a finite safe operating space to exploit.
4.2. Exploitation in a Monopolistic Market
We have argued that it is unlikely that the exploitation of remaining safe operating spaces will occur by firms operating in competitive markets. As discussed above, there is considerable evidence that many of the world’s remaining sources and sinks are already exploited for markets dominated by a small number of large firms (
Table 1). These key large firms, or TNCs, have the potential to exert considerable market power, and through collusion and signaling, could act to control the net market price received by determining how much of the entire safe operating space
they exploit and sell. In effect, exploitation would take place under monopolistic market conditions, as if all firms operated together as a single seller.
The objective of this single seller, or monopoly, is to choose an aggregate amount of exploitation of the remaining safe operating space so as to maximize its discounted profit over the time horizon
, i.e.,
subject to (1).
Because of its market power, the monopoly can earn profits of in every time period. The discount rate applied to these profits is given by ρ, which is the net rate of return earned from investing the profits of exploitation. Under these conditions, the monopoly’s exploitation of the safe operating space satisfies the portfolio balance condition (3) that is required for managing as an economic asset. Otherwise, the monopoly would quickly liquidate any of the safe operating space that remains, and invest the proceeds in other economic assets in the economy. However, condition (4) no longer holds. For the monopoly, the marginal value that it places on conserving the remaining safe operating space is not equivalent to the net price of exploitation . The reason is that the monopoly is able to earn additional profit through its market power.
Let be the shadow value of the monopoly’s profits that are the result of having an extra unit of . Two necessary conditions for maximizing (7) with respect to (1) are and dµ/dt = ρµ. The first condition indicates that μ, the marginal value of the remaining safe operating space, equals the marginal profit earned from exploitation . The market price p exceeds the scarcity value of the remaining by the amount , which is the excess profit that the monopoly extracts through its market power. Denoting , and given that , it follows from the second condition that . Over time, the marginal profit of the monopoly increases at the rate of discount ρ, but since marginal profit does not equal , condition (4) no longer applies. Compared to firms operating in a competitive market, the monopoly does not exploit the safe operating space efficiently or optimally.
As for competitive firms, the discounted marginal profits of the monopoly must be constant over time, i.e., . This again guarantees that the monopoly could not increase its profits by switching exploitation between time periods so that more would take place when discounted profits were high and less use when profits were low.
The fact that the monopoly can extract excess profits, in addition to scarcity rent earned, from using the safe operating space means that, compared to firms in the competitive market, it can exploit
less initially and thus impose a higher price. Under certain market conditions, this means that the monopoly may extend the time to depletion of the remaining safe operating space than firms in the competitive market [
31,
32,
33,
34]. We show these results next.
4.3. Comparing Monopoly and Competitive Exploitation of the Safe Operating Space
We know that for any positive net rate of return
, when there is no additional terminal value obtained by maintaining the safe operating space at the end period
T or beyond, then both the competitive and monopolistic exploitation will completely use up the safe operating space
. So, by the terminal period
T,
and therefore
. Under both monopolistic and competitive market conditions, when the net price that is established by the inverse demand function reaches some maximum or “choke” price, the exploitation of the safe operating space goes to zero. If we denote the maximum price or “choke price” by
k, the outcome is that price reaches this level by time
T. That is,
. It follows on from this that full exploitation of the safe operating space over the time period
T should display the following properties
Under conditions where there is an increase in the net rate of return ρ, the time horizon for exploiting the safe operating space will be shorter. This will lead to a more rapid depletion of the initial stock, or safe operating space, . In the case where there is a larger safe operating space, the time T for depleting this economic asset, will be extended. Finally, when there are no positive benefits (i.e., net returns) to the invested proceeds earned from exploiting, as , then the safe operating space will be conserved indefinitely.
Although (8) applies to both monopolistic and competitive market exploitation of a safe operating space given by
, it is likely that a monopoly will defer complete exploitation of
further into the future. This outcome occurs under specific market conditions [
31,
32,
33,
34], such as the case where the marginal profit curve of the monopolist lies below the demand curve and has a steeper slope. In order to demonstrate this, let us assume an inverse demand function
and a corresponding marginal profit function
.
By using (4) and the conditions and , we can see that the level of exploitation in the competitive market at any time t is given by , and the time to exhaustion of the safe operating space is given by . It follows that initial exploitation is . This outcome confirms that (8) applies to the exploitation of the safe operating space in a competitive market, since , T varies inversely with ρ but rises with a larger safe operating space , and .
For the monopoly, , which implies . Consequently, given that , exploitation by the monopoly at any time t is . This means that the time period for complete use of the safe operating space is . Initial exploitation is therefore . It is easy to verify that (8) also applies to the monopoly outcome.
However, exploitation of the safe operating space will differ in monopolistic as opposed to competitive markets. As , and , a monopoly will take longer to exploit fully the safe operating space. Initial exploitation will be at a lower level, and the net price will be higher. Consequently, the monopoly will restrict output to raise prices initially compared to the competitive market, exploitation will be lower at first but higher towards the end, and the rate at which prices rise under monopoly will be lower than under perfect competition.
Figure 1 illustrates the comparison of how the safe operating space is exploited under competitive and monopolistic markets. In the diagram, we assume a positive net rate of return
. Because of this,
is completely exhausted in finite time
T. In
Figure 1, the solid lines show the price paths and rate of exploitation under competitive market conditions, whereas the dotted lines indicate the corresponding paths under monopoly. In the monopolistic market, the initial price
is higher. This price rises more slowly along the price path
, and takes longer to reach the maximum or “choke” price,
k. Given this, the lifetime of the safe operating space is now longer, increasing from
T to
T’. The new path of exploitation
still depletes
, but it takes longer for this to occur. That is, under monopolistic conditions, exploitation starts slowly and then speeds up as
T’ approaches.
Although monopoly may appear to be beneficial, in that it delays eventual exploitation of the safe operating space and can be considered more sustainable, it comes with two additional costs. First, because the rate of resource exploitation is inefficient and non-optimal, there will be a deadweight loss to society in terms of foregone economic welfare (i.e., producer and consumer surplus), which occurs when supply and demand are out of equilibrium. Second, because a monopoly is able to use its market power to make excess profits, consumers are made worse off. Consumers will spend more in present value on the marketed output produced by the monopoly than under competitive market conditions. As
Figure 1 illustrates, under monopoly, individuals will consume less but pay more initially. Eventually, the market price under monopoly will fall below the competitive price as the monopoly increases its output, but these lower prices and higher consumption will be worth less in present value terms compared to the higher prices and low output of earlier periods. The monopoly earns excess profit but at the cost of lower consumer welfare. Without including more specific functional forms in our two models, we cannot compare the changes in the present value of consumer surplus for monopoly versus perfect competition. However, in the top left-hand quadrant of
Figure 1, you can see how consumer surplus changes in the initial period in the monopoly case compared to that under perfect competition, as given by the shift in
to
and
to
.
5. Discussion
Several important implications emerge from this analysis of how a monopolistic market structure can impact the exploitation of a safe operating space.
Even though a small number of firms, or even a single firm, may not have complete monopoly control of the markets for exploiting the safe operating space, as long as the firms or firm can exert some form of market power to affect price, the outcome depicted here is likely to occur. For example, suppose that the market consists of a small number of large firms, or TNCs, and a group of small firms comprising a competitive fringe. If the large firms are able to act collectively to restrict their output to force up prices, each of the competitive firms would have an incentive to exploit immediately its share of the remaining safe operating space
to enable them to earn an excess profit. Alternatively, the large firms could simply use their increased profits to buy out each competitive firm’s share
. Either way, the larger firms can induce smaller firms to give up their shares of the remaining safe operating space, thus strengthening the market power of the large firms acting as a monopoly. By acting together to keep prices high, the group of large firms can also protect their monopoly by creating price-based barriers to entry for new, smaller firms wishing to enter the industry. These possible outcomes may explain the growing market concentration and monopoly power in the key economic sectors that exploit the environment and resources that constitute many safe operating spaces (
Table 1).
As we have seen, the tradeoff is that a monopoly may be compatible with more sustainable use, by extending the life of the safe operating space. However, this is at the expense of firms capturing excessive resource rents from exploitation. This tradeoff means that policies need to tax the monopoly rents without compromising the more sustainable use of the environment.
Suppose that τ is a tax imposed on the marginal profits earned by a monopoly, so that its post-tax profits at any time
t are
. However, this tax will have no effect on the exploitation decision, since
, or
. In other words, despite the profit tax, the monopolist will exploit the remaining safe operating space to ensure that its marginal profits rise over time at the rate of discount ρ. Under these conditions, the outcome depicted in
Figure 1 will again occur. In fact, the profits tax can be chosen so that it extracts all the excess profit of the monopoly
so that the monopoly is only earning post-tax the scarcity rent
. Yet this post-tax outcome will not impact the monopoly’s exploitation path shown in
Figure 1. Compared to competitive firms, the monopoly will still delay its exploitation and therefore lengthen the life of the safe operating space. In sum, in the case of a tax on marginal profits, the tax reduces the excess profits of the producer, but does not affect the equilibrium price or quantity produced in the monopoly market. Other types of taxes, such as a tax levied on the output of a monopoly, may increase the marginal costs of the producer and lead to a further reduction in the rate of resource exploitation. However, unlike a tax on excess profits, part of the burden of an output tax may be shifted to the consumers in the form of higher prices.
The revenues gained from taxing any monopoly profits could finance public support for technological innovations that can further lengthen the lifetime of the safe operating space. This extension in the lifetime of the safe operating space could possibly be indefinite. There are three main ways in which such technological innovations may occur. First, in order to reduce the economy’s dependence on and the demand for using the various natural resources and pollution sinks that may comprise a safe operating space, investments in technological change are required to prolong its exploitation. Technological innovations, such as improved efficiencies in end use design that decouple the production of goods and services from their natural resource inputs, can result in a reduction in demand for the natural resource assets contained within the safe operating space. This would rotate “inwards” the resource demand curve that is anchored at
k, in the left-hand quadrant of
Figure 1. This would lead to lower prices and extend the lifetime of the safe operating space, thus postponing eventual depletion [
19].
Second, investments in technological change could also include innovations that reduce the emission of environmental pollutants associated with the productions of goods and services. For example, in the case of greenhouse gases (GHG), technological innovations may include carbon sequestration and capture, GHG abatement technologies, hybrid vehicles, and converting to renewables [
46]. Finally, improvements in technologies to boost agricultural yields, improve sustainable management, create net-zero land degradation, and lower the land conversion pressure on natural habitats [
47] can also reduce the demand for exploitation of the safe operating space. However, because private investors are unable to capture the full benefits of such technological advances as they quickly spread throughout the economy, they tend to undertake less investment in the research and development (R&D) than is necessary to establish new “green” innovations [
48,
49,
50]. In order to overcome this disincentive, there needs to be “technology-push policies”. Such policies include public investments, subsidies to R&D, patents to protect intellectual property, and other initiatives [
48,
49]. In order to rectify the incentive for firms and industries to under-invest in green R&D and thus reduce demand for resource use and pollution, it is important to establish such technology-push policies directly.
Policies such as taxes on monopolies could be invested in protecting and regenerating many of the wider social benefits associated with remaining safe operating spaces. These include carbon sequestration, watershed maintenance, biodiversity benefits, and ecotourism. One type of investment that can simultaneously provide both global biodiversity and climate is “natural climate solutions” (NCS). The NCSs consist of conservation, restoration and sustainable land management activities that protect biodiversity and ecosystem services while simultaneously reducing greenhouse gas emissions [
51]. Such NCS could increase
f, which would also extend the lifetime of the safe operating space. If regeneration efforts are very substantial, then the net rate of return, given by ρ, may move towards zero. Under these conditions, the safe operating space will be conserved indefinitely.
NCS has proven to be a cost-effective method of storing carbon and protecting biodiversity, especially for countries with tropical forests [
52,
53]. However, the international community has provided inadequate financing of such investments in tropical countries [
51,
54]. The lack of support for avoided deforestation and reforestation is especially surprising, given their importance to combatting global warming and biodiversity loss. Only three percent of climate mitigation funding is allocated to controlling global land degradation and loss [
55], yet tropical deforestation alone emits 4.8 GtCO
2 annually in greenhouse gases, which makes it the third-largest contributor to global emissions behind China and the United States [
56]. NCS to halt tropical forest loss and restore ecosystems can significantly impact global biodiversity, as over three-quarters of species are found in the tropics [
57].
Recent scientific evidence shows that NCS, which include increasing soil carbon levels, reversing deforestation, establishing reforestation, and enhancing wetland maintenance, are increasingly considered to be cost-effective investments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions derived from land use [
51,
58,
59]. In order to stabilize warming to below 2 °C, NCS can also provide over one-third of the cost-effective climate mitigation action required by 2030. Furthermore, they can do so at a low cost. One-third of these mitigation actions cost USD 10 per 10
3 tonnes of CO
2e or less [
51]. For example, the United States could abate nearly 300 million tonnes CO
2e of greenhouse gas emissions each year through such NCS. These NCS would also provide other benefits, such as flood control, conservation of soils, water and air filtration, and protection of wildlife habitats [
59].
Finally, an important issue is whether monopolies exploiting remaining safe operating spaces will have an incentive to take into account
v, the wider social and environmental values associated with these assets. As we have shown previously [
19], the markup
v will be high under the conditions where these values are extremely large. When this happens, the net rate of return ρ earned from investing the profits from using the safe operating space will be lower. Given this, the price path
will rise more slowly. Full exploitation of the remaining safe operating space will take longer. In the extreme case where stock externalities are very high, then the net rate of return ρ will approach zero. Here,
will be conserved indefinitely.
However, there are a number of reasons why large companies with market power may fail to act as “biosphere stewards” [
60,
61]. For one, because of their global reach, many transnational corporations that exploit environmental resources and sinks operate in countries and regions that do not have strong political institutions. In these countries and regions, corruption, political instability, human rights violations, weak rules of law, and armed conflict may occur [
61]. Additionally, many TNCs wield considerable political and lobbying power, which enables them to evade regulation of their environmental activities [
61]. In addition, despite their market power, many large corporations differ widely in their incentives to be “biosphere stewards” across different economic sectors, as well as vary greatly in their agency and effectiveness to act on such incentives [
61]. That is why, for example, “many car manufacturers are developing low-carbon vehicles while at the same time lobbying for less-stringent emissions standards, making them both “good” and “bad” at the same time” [
61] (p. 493).
In some economic sectors dependent on exploiting key global environmental resources and sinks, large and dominant firms have little incentive to take into wider social and environmental values. This is especially true for the major producers of fossil fuel and cement that are responsible for much of the depletion of the global carbon budget [
40]. Instead, these producers and markets have benefited commercially from the “underpricing” of fossil fuels. Researchers at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimate this underpricing through calculating the difference between consumer fuel prices in actual markets, compare to how much consumers would pay under conditions where prices reflect the full supply costs and any taxes correct for environmental damages, such as the costs of local pollution, climate change, traffic congestion, road damage and accidents, and additional revenue requirements [
62,
63]. At the global level, fossil fuel underpricing amounted to USD 5.2 trillion (6.5% of world GDP) in 2017 [
63], which suggests that cement, fossil fuel and other carbon-intensive producers are not routinely taking into account the significant environmental damages from using fossil fuels to deplete the global carbon budget.
However, there are signs that some major companies in other sectors are acting on the longer-term benefits, and wider environmental and social impacts, of their exploitation. For example, as noted in
Table 1, the control of 11–16% of global marine catch is in the hands of 13 seafood companies as well as 19–40% of commercially valuable stocks. Ten of these companies have come together to establish the Seafood Business for Ocean Stewardship initiative (SEABOS). SEABOS commits its members to more sustainable management of marine resources and the oceans [
64]. For example, the world’s largest seafood retailer has stated its commitment to only harvesting seafood that is certified as sustainable. Such market leadership has encouraged other retailers to follow their example, and this has led to a rapid increase in global seafood certification [
65]. Across many different sectors, as many as 300 leading companies have invested in the sustainable management of their natural resource and environmental assets over the past two decades, and several thousand other companies have incorporated sustainability considerations into their business strategies [
20].
If large, dominant corporations are serious about stewardship of the biosphere, then they should take a more active role in leading international efforts to promote and finance global conservation [
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
30]. For example, as we discussed in a previous study [
54], key companies in natural resource and environmental sectors, such as agriculture and insurance, seafood, and forestry, have a financial incentive to avert the worldwide biodiversity crisis. It is in the interests of the TNC in these sectors to agree on targets for protecting forests, increasing marine stocks and reserves, preserve and protect habitats of wild pollinators and conserving coastal wetlands. TNC should pledge to establish and achieve such goals, as well as contributing assistance in terms of financial aid and technological development for natural resources and environmental conservation in developing countries. The increase in TNC revenues and profits for seafood, forestry and insurance firms from meeting such goals, targets and investments, could provide as much as USD 25–50 billion each year for global conservation [
54]. Agricultural corporations, such as the dominant producers of commodities listed in
Table 1, also have a financial incentive to sustain and restore the habitats of wild pollinators. Together with managed pollinators, these wild pollinators enhance global crop production by USD 235 billion to 577 billion each year [
66]. Transitioning to more sustainable corporate responsibility and investment may be challenging for TNCs, and require support and a suitable framework for reporting and assessment [
41,
42,
43,
44,
45].
6. Conclusions
In this paper, we discussed how planetary boundaries can be used to determine “safe operating spaces” for key environmental and natural resource assets. A safe operating space can be treated as a natural capital stock that is available for extraction or exploitation up until the point where the stock is depleted. Given that more and more of the key environmental and natural resources that comprise safe operating spaces are being exploited by a handful of large firms with considerable market power, we compare and contrast the perfectly competitive exploitation decision with that under monopolistic conditions. We also look at the constraints and opportunities that may arise for conservation and sustainable management of the safe operating space under conditions where market power is in the hands of a few dominant firms. We explore the role of voluntary contributions and the need for government intervention to achieve sustainable management, protection and restoration of critical environmental and natural resource assets.
This article shows that resource exploitation in a monopolistic market can lower the rate of extraction and extend the time to depletion of the safe operating space compared to that under perfect competition. Given this, monopolistic conditions may be considered to be compatible with more sustainable use of the safe operating space. However, these sustainability benefits of monopolistic extraction come at the cost of a loss in efficiency and also at the expense of monopolistic firms capturing excessive resource rents, or profits, from exploitation. Furthermore, if large, powerful corporations use their market power to protect their market share and lobby for less oversight of their resource extraction and environmental emissions, then the potential beneficial environmental impacts of monopolies may be undermined.
However, dominant corporations that are concerned with sustainably managing their environment and natural resource assets for their own private interests and for broader corporate environmental responsibilities that embrace stewardship of the biosphere, can potentially have an important role in leading international efforts to promote and finance global conservation of Earth systems and processes. Their ability to create excessive revenue through monopoly power can provide an important opportunity for TNCs to channel funds and investments into sustainable management, protection and regeneration of natural resource and environmental assets. The importance of corporate social responsibility is being increasingly recognized by TNCs, and is creating incentives for more sustainable business practices [
67,
68,
69]. Further research is required to explore the conditions under which it is in the interests of TNCs to take a positive, leading role in managing their environmental and natural resource assets and embracing broader planetary environmental safeguards.
In the absence of voluntary environmental sustainability action by TNCs, government intervention may be required and any royalties or license fees need to be designed in such a way as to capture some of the monopoly rents without compromising the monopolists’ more conservative extraction and exploitation of the safe operating space. This tax revenue can be channeled into investments in new technologies to reduce dependence on the environmental asset, protect or regenerate natural assets that are essential for global environmental sustainability, and offset or reduce any external costs resulting from the loss of the wider environmental and social values associated with these assets. If such efforts are sufficiently substantial, then the safe operating space may be conserved indefinitely. More research is required to explore the potential for such investments and interventions to protect planetary boundaries and extend the lifetime of the environmental and natural resource assets contained within the safe operating space.
Although the presence of a few dominant firms managing the extraction of key environmental and natural resource assets can lead to inefficiencies and a loss of economic welfare compared to the competitive market situation, it can also provide an important opportunity for TNCs to reduce the rate of exploitation, lengthen the life of the safe operating space, and more broadly contribute towards broader global environmental objectives. As dominant firms continue to expand and exert market power over the planet’s remaining environment and resources that constitute safe operating spaces, it will become increasingly important that their corporate environmental responsibility and role as stewards of the biosphere is recognized, promoted and enforced.
In sum, this paper applies an optimal depletion model to the extraction of exhaustible assets contained within a safe operating space, as designated by planetary boundaries, under monopolistic conditions. Our results show that the monopoly may be compatible with more sustainable use of the safe operating space, by extending the life of the exploitable, depletable stock, at the expense of firms capturing excessive resource rents from exploitation. Policies implemented to tax the excessive monopoly rents can be designed without compromising the sustainable use of the environment. The revenue raised may be channeled into protecting or regenerating natural assets that are essential for global environmental sustainability. If technological innovation, investment in regeneration, or internalization of the wider social and environmental values associated with the exhaustible assets, are sufficiently large then the safe operating space may be conserved indefinitely. This topic has not been previously addressed in the existing literature, and in this way, this paper makes an original and important contribution to our understanding and analysis of the sustainable use of the environment, in the presence of planetary boundaries, under conditions of market power.