Knowledge-Based Economy Capacity Building for Developing Countries: A Panel Analysis in Southern African Development Community
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Comparatively, this current study performs the investigation on nexus between knowledge-based economy and economic growth in SADC, a region with countries that have in recent years undoubtedly receded in terms of international rankings when it comes to transition into knowledge-based economies. Thus, this study provides a concrete breakdown with respect to assessing the effect of various proxies measuring the pillars of knowledge-based economy on economic growth, rather than only focusing on a composite index.
- Contributively, this is the first study to the best of our familiarity in SADC region and African KBE studies to examine the effect of various dimensions (pillars) of KBE in hierarchical form from the most impactful KBE pillar to the least impactful affecting the economic growth with the aim of determining which KBE dimension should be afforded more attention as it may be the missing link to fill the gap between latecomer and frontier countries in the knowledge economy.
- This study will help low- and middle-income, undeveloped, and developing countries like those in the SADC region lessen chances of misplaced KBE policy initiatives, which are not incorporating the specificities of the latecomer status but rather are just inspired by the beauty of the KBE-transition success stories of the advanced frontier countries they want to catch up with.
- From the theory perspective, most empirical research focusing on the connection amid knowledge-based economy and economic growth in a panel setting only investigates the nexus amid the aforesaid variables by ignoring the standard econometric procedure of testing for the existence or absence of cross-sectional residual dependency. According to the report from [27], the existence or non-existence of residual cross-sectional connectedness present in a panel data system is vital with regard to selecting the appropriate econometric approach. Thus, this current research proofs that the panel data possess no issues of cross-sectional dependencies through the cross-sectional reliance test of [28] together with slope homogeneity checks of [29]. In view of this, efficient, econometric approaches are employed to provide reliable outcomes.
2. Review of Literature
2.1. Economic and Institutional Regime and Economic Growth
2.2. Education and Skills and Economic Growth
2.3. Efficient Innovation System and Economic Growth
2.4. Information and Communication Technology (ICT) Infrastructure and Economic Growth
3. Methods
3.1. Theoretical Model Design
3.2. Analytical Approach
3.3. Data
3.4. Descriptive Statistics
3.5. Correlation and Multi-Collinearity Analysis
4. Results
4.1. Cross-Sectional Dependence Test
4.2. Panel Unit Root Examination
4.3. Panel Co-Integration Test
4.4. Model Determination
4.5. Long-Run Estimation
4.6. Average Impact Estimation
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions and Policy Suggestions
6.1. Conclusions
6.2. Policy Suggestions
7. Limitations of the Study
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Pillars and Their Respective Proxies | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Pillar | Measurement Var. | Abbreviation | Definition | Data Source |
Economic and institutional regime | Trade | TRA | Trade is the sum of exports and imports of goods and services measured as a share of gross domestic product. | World Bank [66] |
Government effectiveness | GOE | Reflects perceptions of the quality of public services, civil service, policy formulation, and implementation, as well as the credibility of the government’s commitment to such policies. | Worldwide Governance Indicators [67] | |
Regulatory quality | REGQ | Reflects perceptions of the ability of the government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private sector development. | Worldwide Governance Indicators [67] | |
Education and skills | Adjusted saving on education expenditure | ADJS | Education expenditure refers to the current operating expenditures in education, including wages and salaries. | World Bank [66] |
Tertiary enrollment | TEREN | The percentage of total enrollment, regardless of age, in postsecondary institutions to the population of people within five years of the age at which students normally graduate high school. | World Bank [66] | |
Efficient innovation system | Scientific and technical journal articles | ST | Refers to the number of scientific and engineering articles published in the following fields: physics, biology, chemistry, mathematics, clinical medicine, biomedical research, engineering and technology, and earth and space sciences. | World Bank [66] |
Information and communication technology infrastructure | Internet users | INT | Internet users are individuals who have used the Internet in the last 12 months. | World Bank [66] |
Mobile cellular subscription | MCS | Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions are subscriptions to a public mobile telephone service that provide access to the PSTN using cellular technology. The indicator includes the number of postpaid subscriptions and the number of active prepaid accounts. | World Bank [66] | |
Constant variables in Cobb–Douglas function | ||||
Variable | Measurement var. | Abbreviation | Definition | Data source |
Economic growth | Gross domestic product per capita | Y | This variable is being used as an indicator of economic growth. GDP per capita is GDP divided by midyear population in the economy. | World Bank [66] |
Labor | Labor force total | L | Total labor force comprises people ages 15 and older who meet the International Labour Organization definition of an economically active population, which includes both the employed and the unemployed. | World Bank [66] |
Capital stock | Capital stock at constant national price (in mil. $US) | K | Capital stock includes the common stocks and preferred stock, which issue by the issuing companies. It is measured by the equity capital in the countries’ businesses. | Penn World Table |
Variable | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Skewness | Kurtosis | Jarque–Bera |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP | 315 | 23.1279 | 1.3723 | 0.5427 | 3.8927 | 25.9241 *** |
TRA | 315 | 4.3035 | 0.4533 | −0.1409 | 2.3916 | 51.8996 *** |
GOE | 315 | 3.1809 | 1.1138 | −1.2075 | 3.6177 | 81.5547 *** |
REGQ | 315 | 3.2420 | 1.0210 | −1.3546 | 4.3304 | 119.5735 *** |
ADJS | 315 | 19.5704 | 1.5302 | 0.5238 | 3.9660 | 26.6523 *** |
TEREN | 315 | 1.4507 | 1.0990 | −0.3314 | 2.6757 | 27.1477 *** |
ST | 315 | 3.9465 | 1.9540 | 0.1713 | 4.3417 | 25.1659 *** |
INT | 315 | 0.3183 | 2.5135 | −1.0916 | 4.0303 | 76.4863 *** |
MCS | 315 | 1.8734 | 3.3778 | −2.6149 | 13.3257 | 1758.362 *** |
L | 315 | 14.8901 | 1.5971 | −0.3914 | 1.7423 | 28.8041 *** |
K | 315 | 11.3694 | 1.3381 | 0.6489 | 3.0917 | 22.2184 *** |
Var. | GDP | L | K | TRA | GOE | REGQ | ADJS | GEDU | ST | INT | MCS | VIF | Tol. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP | 1.000 | - | - | ||||||||||
L | 0.708 *** | 1.000 | 4.366 | 0.229 | |||||||||
K | 0.954 ** | 0.622 *** | 1.000 | 3.964 | 0.252 | ||||||||
TRA | −0.073 | −0.355 *** | −0.04 | 1.000 | 1.807 | 0.553 | |||||||
GOE | 0.199 ** | −0.091 | 0.151 ** | 0.343 ** | 1.000 | 4.122 | 0.243 | ||||||
REGQ | 0.117 ** | −0.176 ** | 0.101 ** | 0.235 ** | 0.437 *** | 1.000 | 3.836 | 0.261 | |||||
ADJS | 0.877 *** | 0.490 *** | 0.102 ** | 0.112 * | 0.438 *** | 0.353 *** | 1.000 | 2.120 | 0.472 | ||||
TEREN | 0.243 *** | −0.294 ** | 0.238 *** | 0.342 *** | 0.215 *** | 0.240 *** | 0.424 *** | 1.000 | 3.715 | 0.269 | |||
ST | 0.777 *** | 0.177 * | 0.393 *** | −0.116 *** | 0.461 ** | 0.338 *** | 0.093 | 0.316 *** | 1.000 | 3.910 | 0.256 | ||
INT | 0.232 *** | −0.152 * | 0.227 ** | 0.222 *** | 0.236 *** | 0.268 *** | 0.450 *** | 0.138 ** | 0.391 *** | 1.000 | 4.292 | 0.232 | |
MCS | 0.315 *** | 0.089 | 0.281 *** | 0.181 ** | 0.082 | 0.128 * | 0.438 ** | 0.285 *** | 0.409 ** | 0.180 ** | 1.000 | 3.252 | 0.233 |
Test | Statistic | p-Value |
---|---|---|
Breusch and Pagan LM | 0.929 | 0.353 |
Pesaran CD-LM | 1.247 | 0.213 |
Variables | IPS Test | ADF Fisher Test | PP Fisher | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Level | First Difference | Level | First Difference | Level | First Difference | |
lnGDP | 0.594 | −2.851 *** | 34.122 | 77.128 *** | 39.816 | 145.995 *** |
lnL | 1.707 | −2.166 *** | 24.474 | 50.467 ** | 23.679 | 51.327 *** |
lnK | 1.282 | −2.856 ** | 29.389 | 106.823 *** | 21.472 | 61.771 *** |
lnTRA | 1.012 | −5.373 *** | 37.476 | 102.493 *** | 33.338 | 33.338 *** |
lnGOE | 0.075 | −4.958 *** | 48.993 | 113.464 *** | 42.664 * | 186.634 *** |
lnREGQ | 0.160 | −4.589 *** | 34.151 | 96.595 *** | 27.211 | 178.054 *** |
lnADJS | 2.878 | −5.950 *** | 87.044 | 132.716 *** | 46.971 | 211.549 *** |
lnTEREN | 0.094 | −4.571 *** | 51.864 | 94.215 *** | 33.573 | 240.588 *** |
lnST | 3.266 | −8.023 *** | 73.566 | 167.374 *** | 37.802 | 429.180 *** |
lnINT | 11.123 | −5.370 *** | 55.695 * | 141.607 *** | 54.335 | 129.415 *** |
lnMCS | 3.187 | −23.084 *** | 39.211 | 201.347 *** | 26.110 | 310.312 *** |
Test Statistic | Test Value | Probability Value |
---|---|---|
Panel statistics | ||
v-statistics | −1.724 ** | 0.047 |
Rho-statistic | −1.729 ** | 0.039 |
PP-statistic | −1.690 ** | 0.055 |
ADF-statistic | −1.769 ** | 0.038 |
Group statistics | ||
Rho-statistic | −1.883 ** | 0.041 |
PP-statistic | −2.125 ** | 0.031 |
ADF-statistic | −1.723 ** | 0.042 |
LR Test Results | |||
Statistic | Prob. Value | ||
Cross-section F | 178.663 | 0.0000 | |
Hausman Test Results | |||
Chi-Square Statistic | Prob. Value | ||
Cross-section random | 49.600 *** | 0.000 | |
Variable | Fixed | Random | Var. (Diff) |
lnL | 0.100 | 0.234 | −0.134 *** |
lnK | 0.335 | 0.354 | −0.019 *** |
lnTRA | −0.006 | −0.017 | 0.010 *** |
lnGOE | 0.112 | 0.111 | 0.001 *** |
lnREGQ | −0.024 | −0.023 | −0.001 *** |
lnADJS | 0.131 | 0.126 | 0.004 *** |
lnTEREN | 0.069 | 0.055 | 0.013 *** |
lnST | 0.075 | 0.073 | 0.002 *** |
lnINT | 0.006 | 0.002 | 0.004 *** |
lnMCS | 0.0070 | 0.006 | 0.0004 *** |
Model | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pillar | Variable | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (7) (Full Model) |
c | 3.3604 *** (1.3958) | 16.5328 *** (1.260) | 13.2772 *** (1.6456) | 11.6397 *** (1.6668) | 16.9623 *** (1.0868) | |
L | 0.3503 *** (0.0985) | −0.0160 (0.0891) | 0.3563 *** (0.1170) | 0.5042 *** (0.1174) | −0.0357 (0.0789) | |
K | 0.3445 *** (0.03422) | 0.2749 *** (0.0284) | 0.3594 *** (0.0380) | 0.3487 *** (0.0393) | 0.2926 *** (0.0273) | |
Economic and institutional regime | TRA | −0.0060 (0.0293) | - | - | - | 0.0203 (0.0227) |
GOE | 0.1283 *** (0.0158) | - | - | - | 0.1121 *** (0.0126) | |
REGQ | 0.0778 *** (0.0170) | - | - | - | −0.0198 (0.0146) | |
Education and skills | ADJS | - | 0.1850 *** (0.0111) | - | - | 0.1361 *** (0.0128) |
TEREN | - | 0.0606 *** (0.0155) | - | - | 0.0913 *** (0.0140) | |
Efficient innovation system | ST | - | - | 0.1164 *** (0.0189) | - | 0.0565 *** (0.0130) |
Information and communication technology infrastructure | INT | - | - | - | 0.0471 *** (0.0104) | 0.0033 (0.0070) |
MCS | - | - | - | 0.0003 (0.0041) | 0.0080 *** (0.0026) | |
R2 | 0.9959 | 0.9969 | 0.9942 | 0.9938 | 0.9977 | |
Adjusted R2 | 0.9953 | 0.9964 | 0.9934 | 0.9930 | 0.9974 | |
Prob. (F. Statistic) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | |
D-W test stat | 0.3217 | 0.4856 | 0.2628 | 0.1363 | 0.6074 |
Model | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pillar | Variable | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (7) (full Model) |
c | −0.766 *** (0.283) | 1.084 ** (0.554) | 0.462 (0.400) | 1.864 *** (0.554) | 3.078 *** (0.706) | |
GDP (−1) | 0.902 *** (0.029) | 0.796 *** (0.030) | 0.862 *** (0.027) | 0.869 *** (0.027) | 0.779 *** (0.034) | |
L | 0.201 *** (0.043) | −0.025 (0.017) | 0.173 *** (0.041) | 0.264 *** (0.050) | 0.040 (0.048) | |
K | 0.038 *** (0.012) | 0.177 *** (0.041) | 0.285 *** (0.017) | 0.179 *** (0.018) | 0.043 ** (0.019) | |
Economic and institutional regime | TRA | −0.013 (0.019) | - | - | 0.003 (0.007) | |
GOE | 0.478 *** (0.024) | - | - | 0.031 *** (0.108) | ||
REGQ | 0.399 *** (0.028) | - | - | −0.006 (0.009) | ||
Education and skills | ADJS | - | 0.038 *** (0.006) | - | - | 0.036 *** (0.006) |
TEREN | - | 0.045 *** (0.008) | - | - | 0.018 ** (0.008) | |
Efficient innovation system | ST | - | - | 0.022 *** (0.006) | - | 0.013 ** (0.006) |
Information and communication technology infrastructure | INT | - | - | - | 0.077 ** (0.003) | 0.003 (0.002) |
MCS | - | - | - | 0.004 (0.002) | 0.007 ** (0.003) | |
Post-estimation examination | ||||||
Sargan test | 10.779 | 10.103 | 11.485 | 12.837 | 2.049 | |
p-value | 0.682 | 0.583 | 0.343 | 0.354 | 0.995 | |
AR [2] test | −0.739 | −1.355 | −1.151 | −1.145 | −1.166 | |
p-value | 0.460 | 0.176 | 0.249 | 0.252 | 0.244 |
Pillar | Variable | Mean | Coefficient | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
First pillar: economic and institutional regime | TRA | 4.3035 | 0.0203 | 0.0989 | 0.1586 |
GOE | 3.1809 | 0.1121 | 0.3566 | ||
REGQ | 1.0210 | −0.0198 | 0.0202 | ||
Second pillar: education and skills | ADJS | 1.5302 | 0.1361 | 0.2083 | 0.1704 |
TEREN | 1.4507 | 0.0913 | 0.1324 | ||
Third pillar: innovation system | ST | 3.9465 | 0.0565 | 0.2229 | 0.2229 |
Fourth pillar: information and communication technology infrastructure | INST | 0.3183 | 0.0033 | 0.0011 | 0.0160 |
MCS | 1.8734 | 0.0080 | 0.0149 |
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Phale, K.; Li, F.; Adjei Mensah, I.; Omari-Sasu, A.Y.; Musah, M. Knowledge-Based Economy Capacity Building for Developing Countries: A Panel Analysis in Southern African Development Community. Sustainability 2021, 13, 2890. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13052890
Phale K, Li F, Adjei Mensah I, Omari-Sasu AY, Musah M. Knowledge-Based Economy Capacity Building for Developing Countries: A Panel Analysis in Southern African Development Community. Sustainability. 2021; 13(5):2890. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13052890
Chicago/Turabian StylePhale, Koketso, Fanglin Li, Isaac Adjei Mensah, Akoto Yaw Omari-Sasu, and Mohammed Musah. 2021. "Knowledge-Based Economy Capacity Building for Developing Countries: A Panel Analysis in Southern African Development Community" Sustainability 13, no. 5: 2890. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13052890
APA StylePhale, K., Li, F., Adjei Mensah, I., Omari-Sasu, A. Y., & Musah, M. (2021). Knowledge-Based Economy Capacity Building for Developing Countries: A Panel Analysis in Southern African Development Community. Sustainability, 13(5), 2890. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13052890