5.1. The Impact of SLO on OJC
Based on the research on OJC such as those conducted by Chen [
8] and Chen [
10], a model to study the impact of SLO on OJC was built as follows:
If the regression coefficient is not significant, it shows that the salary regulation has no impact on the on-the-job consumption of executives. The first half of Hypothesis 2 was verified. The fixed effect regression model was used on Model 2, with results shown in
Table 3. The first column is the result of the regression for all SOEs in the sample company, and the second and third columns are the results of grouping regressions for central enterprises and local SOEs, respectively. As shown in
Table 3, the coefficient of LIM was not significant in the full sample regression equation and the grouping regression equation of central enterprises and local SOEs, which indicates that the SLO policy in 2015 did not change the OJC of executives, and the first half of Hypothesis 2 was confirmed. The possible reason is that during this period, the central anti-corruption efforts increased, so that executives did not obtain implicit incentives through OJC.
It can also be observed that LNAPAY was significantly positively correlated with OJC, which is consistent with the findings of Chen et al. [
10]. This may be because the explicit incentive of executive compensation and the implicit incentive of OJC reflect the position level of executives. Executives with higher salary can enjoy more OJC.
Analysis of the intermediary effect of executive OJC. According to the research of Wen and Ye [
27], there are three commonly used methods for mediating effect test, namely step-by-step, Sobel, and bootstrap methods. Among these, Baron and Kenny’s stepwise method is the most commonly used, and its test result is stronger than the Sobel test result [
28]. However, as the Sobel method relies on the assumption of normal distribution of test coefficients, the bootstrap method is instead used here. Given that the model has been verified, here the impact of SLO on OJC, and the impact of OJC on business performance was examined. If the impact is significant, the indirect effect is established, otherwise it needs to be tested by bootstrap method. However, the results of Model 2 (
Table 3) showed that the coefficient of SLO was not significant. Verified by bootstrap method, this paper finds that the indirect effect of OJC does not exist.
Table 4 shows the results of bootstrap 1000 times and that the confidence interval of indirect effect R (ind_eff) includes 0, and the indirect effect are not significant. Therefore, Hypothesis 2 can be confirmed.
5.2. Analysis on the Influence of SLO on Executive Behavior and Its Intermediary Effect
Referring to the research models set by Chen et al. [
29], Li et al. [
30] the model constructed in this paper to study the impact of SLO on the investment efficiency of SOEs was as follows:
Model 3 was used to study the impact of SLO on investment level. If the regression coefficient of is significantly negative, it indicates that SLO leads to the decline of investment level, the first half of Hypothesis 3 is verified. Model 3 selects fixed effect regression, and the regression results of the impact of SLO on investment level are shown in
Table 5. The first column is the result of regression for all SOEs in the sample company, and the second and third columns are the results of grouping regression for central enterprises and local SOEs, respectively.
As can be seen in
Table 5, the coefficient of LIM was significantly negative in the regression of the whole sample, the grouping of central enterprises and local SOEs, which means that under the condition that other factors remain unchanged, the SLO policy led to the reduction of investment expenditure of central enterprises and local SOEs. The first half of Hypothesis 3 was confirmed.
Referring to the setting of the Zhang et al. [
19], the model constructed to study the impact of SLO on M and A frequency was as follows:
where, if the regression coefficient is significantly negative, it indicates that SLO leads to the decline of M and A frequency, so the first half of Hypothesis 4 was verified. The explanatory variable in Model 4 is the M and A frequency, which is a discrete non-negative integer in a finite interval. The least square method is not suitable for this model. When making descriptive statistics on the variables, it is found that the variance of M and A frequency (Y) is significantly greater than its mean value, that is, there is “excessive divergence” in the M and A frequency of the explained variable, and negative binomial regression is adopted.
Table 6 shows the regression results of the impact of SLO on M and A frequency.
As can be seen in
Table 6, the coefficients of LIM were significantly negative, indicating that the frequency of mergers and acquisitions of central enterprises and local SOEs had decreased significantly after the promulgation of SLO policies, which verifies the first half of Hypothesis 4 in this paper. The regression results show that the coefficient of executive compensation (LNAPAY) was significantly positive, which is consistent with the regression results of Zhang et al. [
19]. This shows that the higher the salary level of senior executives, the more motivated they are to initiate mergers and acquisitions and expand the scale of enterprises.
Analysis of the intermediary effect of executive behavior. According to the test process proposed by Wen and Ye [
25], to verify the second half of Hypotheses 3 and 4 according to Baron and Kenny’s step-by-step method [
26], we first tested the impact of SLO on business performance, which has been experienced in the previous article. The second step was to test the impact of SLO on investment level and acquisition rate, which has also been confirmed above. The third step was to test the impact of investment level and M and A frequency on operating performance. Therefore, based on Model 1, add two indicators: investment level (INV) and M and A frequency (y), and build the model as follows:
If the regression coefficient of sum is significant, according to the stepwise method of intermediary effect test, this shows that the investment level and M and A frequency have intermediary effect between SLO and the operating performance of SOLCs. Hypotheses 3 and 4 have been fully verified.
The fixed effect regression model was selected for Model 5, and the regression results are shown in
Table 7. The first column is the regression results of all SOEs in the sample company, and the second and third columns are the results of grouping regression for central enterprises and local SOEs, respectively.
For clarification, ROA was used as a performance indicator because it reflects the rate of return on assets, which fully reflects the extent to which SOEs’ assets are fully utilized, and it is also the evaluation indicator of SOEs by the state-owned assets supervision and administration commission of China. Additionally, management fees after the deduction of the annual total compensation management are used as OJC indicators. This is because usually management includes management personnel salary, welfare enterprises, management department for daily produce and other chores. As state-owned assets supervision and administration of SOEs have led to the worsening of state-owned assets management behavior, so the management approach is more greatly negative than M and As. Moreover, as the purchase of assets leads to a deduction of corporate cash flow, this will be able to partly reflect risk management and enthusiasm.
The control variables selected in this paper include company size (LNSIZE), asset-liability ratio (LEV) and other financial indicators. At the corporate governance level, dual (DUAL) corporate governance indicators, such as the shareholding ratio of the largest shareholder (LSH) and the proportion of independent directors (IDD); executive compensation (LNAPAY) indicators; at the level of economic environment, GDP growth rate has an impact on a company’s business performance (ROA). For example, GDP growth rate reflects the economic cycle, and asset-liability ratio reflects the robustness of an enterprise. In addition, these indicators are also commonly used in domestic literature to study business performance.
It can be seen from
Table 7 that in both full sample and group regression, there is a significant positive correlation between investment level and operating performance, which shows that investment activities for enterprise fixed assets, intangible assets and other long-term assets can improve the company’s performance. Acquisition rate is also significantly positively correlated with business performance, which verifies the synergy theory of M and A value creation, that is, M and A makes the resources of both sides complement each other and create value.
In the intermediary effect test, from
Table 7, the regression results of Model 5 confirm that the investment level and acquisition rate can have a significant positive impact on business performance. The regression results of Model 1 show that for the whole sample of SOLCs, SLO will lead to the decline of operating performance. The results of Models 3 and 4 show that SLO will lead to a significant decline in the investment level and Acquisition rate of SOEs, respectively. The results of Model 5 show that when considering the impact of SLO, investment level and acquisition rate on business performance, the investment level and M and A frequency are significantly positively correlated with business performance, so the indirect effect of investment level and Acquisition rate is significant. The SLO coefficient of Model 5 is still significantly negative, and its absolute value is smaller than that of Model 1, indicating that the indirect effect of financial behavior characterized by investment level and acquisition rate belongs to partial intermediary effect, and Hypotheses 3 and 4 are confirmed.
In addition, the grouping test is also a kind of robustness test. It can be seen from
Table 2,
Table 5,
Table 6 and
Table 7 that some intermediary effects of investment level and acquisition rate also exist in the two sub samples of central enterprises and local SOEs and are consistent with the whole sample of SOEs. Therefore, the conclusion of this paper is robust.