Understanding China’s Economic Engagement in Africa: An Exploration of the FDI-Trade Nexus
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Overview of China’s Economic Engagement in the African Continent
3. Hypotheses
4. Empirical Analysis
4.1. Method and Data
4.2. Main Results
4.2.1. The Trade-Promoting Effect of China’s OFDI in Africa
4.2.2. China’s OFDI and Exports to African Countries
4.2.3. China’s OFDI and Imports from African Countries
4.2.4. The Role of SOEs in China’s Economic Involvement in the African Continent
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variables | Definition | Data Sources | |
---|---|---|---|
Dependent Variable | The volume of China’s exports to the African country in year | China Customs and Trade Statistics Database | |
The volume of China’s imports to African country in year | |||
The total volume of trade between China and African country in year | |||
Independent Variables | Chinese outward FDI flow into African country in year | 2003–2014 Statistical Bulletin of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment | |
Control Variables | China’s GDP in t year | World Bank Development Indicators | |
GDP of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
The bilateral geographical distance between China and African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
Population of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
Exchange rate of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
The share of trade without China’s trade in the total GDP of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
Inflation rate of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicators | ||
The percentage of total natural resources rent in GDP of African country in year | World Bank Development Indicator |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Total Trade | Total Trade | Total Trade | Exports | Imports |
0.042 *** | 0.011 * | 0.008 | 0.009 * | 0.000 | |
(0.011) | (0.006) | (0.006) | (0.005) | (0.018) | |
0.033 *** | 0.010 * | 0.009 * | 0.018 *** | 0.016 | |
(0.010) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.016) | |
0.836 *** | 2.876 *** | 1.827 *** | 0.604 ** | 2.140 ** | |
(0.051) | (0.285) | (0.320) | (0.285) | (0.978) | |
−0.012 | 1.652 *** | −0.720 | 2.741 *** | −0.503 | |
(0.044) | (0.593) | (0.714) | (0.636) | (2.207) | |
−0.005 | −0.001 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.004 | |
(0.005) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.009) | |
−0.000 *** | 0.000 ** | 0.000 *** | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
0.033 *** | 0.022 *** | 0.017 *** | −0.011 *** | 0.038 *** | |
(0.003) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.014) | |
−0.819 *** | −0.301 ** | −0.420 *** | −0.173 | −0.83 | |
(0.142) | (0.130) | (0.126) | (0.112) | (0.384) | |
Country Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Year Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||
Observations | 424 | 424 | 424 | 424 | 415 |
Number of countries | 46 | 46 | 46 | 46 | |
R-squared | 0.865 | 0.767 | 0.798 | 0.858 | 0.362 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Total Exports | Exports of Consumption Goods | Exports of Primary Goods | Exports of Processed Goods | Exports of Capital Goods |
0.009 * | 0.008 | −0.021 | 0.007 | 0.009 | |
(0.005) | (0.006) | (0.042) | (0.007) | (0.008) | |
0.018 *** | 0.017 *** | 0.030 | 0.021 *** | 0.008 | |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.036) | (0.006) | (0.007) | |
0.604 ** | 0.409 | −0.353 | 0.837 ** | 0.219 | |
(0.285) | (0.315) | (2.169) | (0.367) | (0.454) | |
2.741 *** | 1.958 *** | 22.572 *** | 4.061 *** | 0.179 | |
(0.636) | (0.704) | (5.104) | (0.818) | (1.013) | |
YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
Country Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Observations | 424 | 424 | 399 | 424 | 424 |
Number of countries | 46 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 46 |
R-squared | 0.858 | 0.827 | 0.307 | 0.811 | 0.789 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Total Imports | Imports of Consumption Goods | Imports of Primary Goods | Imports of Processed Goods | Imports of Capital Goods |
0.000 | −0.378 *** | 0.019 | 0.071 | −0.003 | |
(0.018) | (0.088) | (0.067) | (0.090) | (0.136) | |
0.016 | −0.088 | 0.115 | 0.029 | −0.290 ** | |
(0.016) | (0.084) | (0.061) | (0.086) | (0.127) | |
2.140 ** | 4.644 *** | 1.955 | −1.736 | −0.861 | |
(0.978) | (1.676) | (1.225) | (1.733) | (2.568) | |
0.573 | 21.479 *** | −12.695 *** | 9.513 ** | 8.372 | |
(1.967) | (3.907) | (2.974) | (4.038) | (6.316) | |
YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
Country Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Observations | 415 | 315 | 306 | 309 | 306 |
R-squared | 0.362 | 0.388 | 0.428 | 0.311 | 0.140 |
Number of Countries | 46 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
R-squared | 0.362 | 0.388 | 0.428 | 0.311 | 0.140 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Domestic Private Firms and Consumption Goods | Domestic Private Firms and Primary Goods | Domestic Private Firms and Processed Goods | Domestic Private Firms and Capital Goods | State-Owned Firms and Consumption Goods | State-Owned Firms and Primary Goods | State-Owned Firms and Processed Goods | State-Owned Firms and Capital Goods | Foreign Firms and Consumption Goods | Foreign Firms and Primary Goods | Foreign Firms and Processed Goods | Foreign Firms and Capital Goods |
0.002 | −0.019 | 0.006 | −0.003 | 0.018 * | 0.019 | 0.023 ** | 0.019 | 0.024 ** | −0.009 | 0.016 | 0.034 ** | |
−0.007 | −0.029 | −0.008 | −0.012 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.011 | −0.013 | −0.01 | −0.029 | −0.011 | −0.015 | |
0.017 *** | −0.023 | 0.019 *** | −0.001 | 0.020 ** | −0.046 * | 0.021 ** | 0.013 | 0.031 *** | 0.007 | 0.034 *** | 0.017 | |
−0.006 | −0.024 | −0.007 | −0.01 | −0.008 | −0.026 | −0.009 | −0.011 | −0.008 | −0.025 | −0.01 | −0.013 | |
1.590 * | −4.339 | 2.086 ** | 0.371 | 3.843 *** | −2.578 | 6.005 *** | 2.351 | 4.149 *** | −2.209 | 4.755 *** | −0.479 | |
−0.903 | −3.497 | −0.945 | −1.422 | −1.154 | −3.674 | −1.309 | −1.526 | −1.152 | −3.539 | −1.367 | −1.804 | |
YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
Country Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Year Fixed Effect | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Number of countries | 46 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 46 | 46 |
Observations | 424 | 381 | 423 | 421 | 424 | 379 | 421 | 419 | 424 | 349 | 419 | 421 |
R-squared | 0.826 | 0.371 | 0.84 | 0.761 | 0.461 | 0.167 | 0.435 | 0.526 | 0.636 | 0.246 | 0.516 | 0.509 |
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Zhang, Q.; Wang, Z.; Okafor, G. Understanding China’s Economic Engagement in Africa: An Exploration of the FDI-Trade Nexus. Sustainability 2022, 14, 15632. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315632
Zhang Q, Wang Z, Okafor G. Understanding China’s Economic Engagement in Africa: An Exploration of the FDI-Trade Nexus. Sustainability. 2022; 14(23):15632. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315632
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Qiyue, Zheng Wang, and Godwin Okafor. 2022. "Understanding China’s Economic Engagement in Africa: An Exploration of the FDI-Trade Nexus" Sustainability 14, no. 23: 15632. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315632
APA StyleZhang, Q., Wang, Z., & Okafor, G. (2022). Understanding China’s Economic Engagement in Africa: An Exploration of the FDI-Trade Nexus. Sustainability, 14(23), 15632. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315632