1. Introduction
At present, China’s economy has changed from the stage of high growth to the stage of high quality development. Promoting the green development of the social economy is a key link in high quality development, while continuous structural adjustment, especially industrial restructuring, is a necessary condition for green economic growth; this is important to guarantee in order to realize the dual integration and promotion of the economy and the environment. The most widely used industrial policy to promote industrial restructuring is the establishment of development zones [
1].
Development zones have long been responsible for stabilizing growth, promoting employment, and increasing exports. Many scholars have conducted quantitative studies on the economic performance of the establishment of development zones, focusing mainly on macroeconomic and micro-enterprise aspects. Many scholars believe that the preferential policies and institutional arrangements of the development zones have had a significant impact on economic development [
2,
3], industrial structure upgrading [
4,
5], technological innovation [
6], foreign investment [
7], and total factor productivity, and firm growth has been identified [
8,
9]. However, the construction and development of development zones have contributed to both problems and solutions. Some scholars believe that although the policies of development zones have promoted regional economic growth, they have widened the economic gap between cities [
10]. On the other hand, at the enterprise level, the preferential policies of development zones have inhibited the innovation capacity of enterprises [
11,
12].
A review of the existing literature reveals that quantitative studies on development zones have mostly focused on the impact on economic indicators, with fewer studies related to green development, especially the impact on the environmental performance of national high-tech industrial development zones (hereinafter referred to as national high-tech zones), which are capital- and technology-intensive, is still lacking in quantitative assessment. In the literature related to the research question of this paper, some scholars argue that the construction of development zones can reduce pollution emission intensity and improve urban environmental performance [
13,
14,
15,
16]. Among them, there are many studies on the quantitative evaluation of environmental performance established by national high-tech zones, focusing on green innovation efficiency, green economic growth, and green total factor productivity [
17,
18,
19]. Therefore, this paper attempts to take the microscopic perspective of environmental performance as the starting point to further explore the influence effect and mechanism of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution.
According to the 2020 China Ecological Environment Bulletin, about one-third of cities’ air quality does not meet the national secondary standard, and the frequency of regional air pollution from weather continues to be high, which means that China is currently facing many problems and challenges in air-pollution management. Pollution management is an important part of high-quality economic development; thus, we ask whether national high-tech zones, which gather high technology and new industries, suppress urban air pollution? Based on useful insights from previous scholars, their role in suppressing air pollution should not be ignored. Theoretically, on the one hand, the construction of national high-tech zones can promote the upgrading of industrial structure and thus play a role in improving air pollution; on the other hand, the construction of national high-tech zones can improve the technological innovation capacity of cities and thus have a suppressive effect on air pollution. Therefore, this paper considers the establishment of national high-tech zones as a “quasi-natural experiment” to assess the net effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution, and tries to verify the suppression effects of industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation on air pollution, as well as to investigate the spatial spillover effect using SDM-DID.
The marginal contribution of this paper is divided into two aspects: firstly, there are a great number quantitative studies on the economic indicators of cities in development zones, but there are few studies on environmental performance, especially from a micro perspective, with air pollution as the entry point, making this study a much needed contribution; secondly, it clarifies how national high-tech zones affect urban air pollution through the “industrial structure upgrading effect” and the “technological innovation effect”, which enrich the relevant studies on national high-tech zones in terms of empirical evidence.
Firstly, scholars have mostly studied the economic and environmental performance of national high-tech zones from 285 prefecture-level cities, but related scholars found that the government prefers to set up development zones in provincial capitals [
20], which will lead to more serious endogenous problems, resulting in large deviations in the estimation results. Based on this, the current paper excludes the national high-tech zone of the provincial capital city, and uses PSM-DID as the robustness test, which alleviates the endogenous problem and provides estimation results which are more objective. Secondly, based on the proximity and geographic distance matrices, the spatial double difference method is used to investigate the spatial spillover effects of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution, providing empirical evidence for the “positive externalities” of national high-tech zones.
3. Model Setting and Variable Description
3.1. Model Setting
In this paper, the difference-in-difference (DID) is used to assess the policy effects of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution. By the end of 2018, 169 national high-tech zones have been approved in China, which provides a good “quasi-natural experiment” for using the DID method. A total of 119 national high-tech zones were selected as the experimental group and 135 cities without approved national high-tech zones were chosen as the control group after screening and matching.
When using the DID method, the dummy variable of the experimental group and the dummy variable of the control group are set according to whether they are affected by the policy or not: the group affected by the policy is assigned as the experimental group with the value of one, and the group not affected by the policy is assigned as the control group with the value of zero. Meanwhile, the dummy variable of the experimental stage time is set according to the time of policy implementation, and the time of year of policy implementation, and is assigned with a value. Accordingly, the sample can be divided into four groups: the control group before the policy implementation (treat = 0, time = 0), the control group after the policy implementation (treat = 0, time = 1), the experimental group before the policy implementation (treat = 1, time = 0), and the experimental group after the policy implementation (treat = 1, time = 1). Among them, the interaction term treat × time for the two dummy variables of the experimental group and experimental staging is the net effect from the policy implementation.
Since the establishment of national high-tech zones has been approved year by year, not in the same year of unified planning and implementation, this paper assigns a value of one to the 119 prefecture-level cities in the experimental group that are approved as national high-tech zones and a value of zero to the 135 prefecture-level cities in the control group that are not approved as national high-tech zones. Considering the time difference in setting up a national high-tech zone, we assign a value of one to the year of setting up a national high-tech zone and a value of zero to the year before setting up; we then generate the dummy variable DID of setting up a national high-tech zone (DID = treat × time). Finally, a multi-period DID model was constructed to test the net effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution, based on the practice of Fan et al. (2021). The specific model settings are as follows [
34]:
where
is the explanatory variable indicating the air-pollution level of city
i in year
t.
is the dummy variable for the approval of the establishment of the national high-tech zone, and
is the core estimation coefficient, which indicates the net effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution, refer to Fang et al. (2022). If
is negative, it means that the establishment of national high-tech zones helps to reduce urban air-pollution levels [
35]: there is an elevating effect.
is a set of control variables, including real GDP per capita (Lnpgdp), a quadratic term of real GDP per capita (Lnpgdp)
2, R&D investment (Rd), population density (Pden), level of service development (Service), level of urbanization (Urban), and environmental regulation intensity (ER).
indicates urban fixed effects,
reflects the time fixed effects, and
is the random error term.
3.2. Variable Selection
- (1)
Explained variables: as a kind of respirable particulate matter, it is extremely harmful to human health and is a key indicator of concern for the air-pollution status. Therefore, we use the logarithm of the annual average of surface concentration to measure urban air-pollution levels. The data were obtained from the Columbia University Center for Socioeconomic Data and Applications in 2018, which published global concentration mean raster data.
- (2)
Core explanatory variables: The core explanatory variable in this paper is the national high-tech zone dummy variable DID, which is compiled and assigned according to the list of national high-tech zones in the China Torch Statistical Yearbook of previous years, combined with the approval and establishment time of national high-tech zones, and finally the core explanatory variable DID is obtained.
- (3)
Control variables: Based on the existing literature, the following control variables are selected to influence the level of urban air pollution: economic development level using the quadratic term of real GDP per capita and real GDP per capita after deflating the base period of 2006; R&D investment using the proportion of local budget expenditure on science and technology; population density using the number of people per unit of administrative area; service industry development level using the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP; urbanization level using the ratio of non-agricultural population to total regional population at the end of the year; and the intensity of environmental regulation is expressed by referring to Xin et al. (2018), who selected the comprehensive index of environmental regulation intensity by measuring industrial wastewater, sulfur dioxide, and smoke (dust) emissions per unit of GDP [
36].
3.3. Mechanism Variables
(i) This paper analyzes the effect of industrial structure upgrading in terms of advanced industrial structure and rationalization of industrial structure, respectively. The advanced measure of industrial structure is as follows: Firstly, the GDP is divided into three parts according to the three industrial divisions, and the proportion of each part to the GDP is taken as a component of the spatial vector, thus forming a set of three-dimensional vectors,
Then, we calculate
The vectors with industries from low level to high level are then calculated separately. The vector of industries from low level to high level:
,
,
including angles of
,
, and
[
37]:
Finally, the formula for defining the Industrial Structure Advancement Index (
ISA) is as follows:
That is, the angle between the vector of the proportion of three industries and the corresponding coordinate axis reflects the advanced industrial structure. Among them, the larger the ISA value is, the higher the level of advanced industrial structure.
The industrial structure rationalization index refers to the structure-deviation index of Gan et al. (2011) and the Hamming closeness-evaluation method in fuzzy mathematics and combines them to construct the industrial structure rationalization index [
38]. The specific formula is as follows:
where
ISR denotes the structural deviation degree, i.e., the rationalization indicator of industrial structure, and the larger its value, the more the economy deviates from the equilibrium state. Therefore, a larger value of
ISR represents a better match between the output structure and employment structure, i.e., a higher degree of rationalization.
(ii) The technological innovation effect is measured using the number of green patent applications, drawing on Zang and Sun (2021) to examine whether the establishment of national high-tech zones can promote the level of green technological innovation in cities and thus provide technical support for urban air-pollution control fundamentally [
39]. The green patent list provided by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) was searched in the database of the State Intellectual Property Office of China (SIPO) and the relevant data were compiled, considering that some cities have zero green patents, the number of green patent applications was increased by one and then the logarithm taken as the proxy variable of technological innovation.
3.4. Data Sources and Descriptive Statistics
This paper uses panel data from 254 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006–2018 to study the impact of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution. The data from national high-tech zones were obtained from the China Torch Statistical Yearbook in previous years; the data of city-level economic indicators were obtained from the China City Statistical Yearbook and the China Regional Economic Statistical Yearbook. In addition, several scholars have used these data in their studies [
23], suggesting that they have a high degree of credibility. Some missing data were filled in by consulting the statistical yearbooks of each province or by interpolation. In addition, the sample was selected to exclude the cities that had undergone administrative reorganization at the prefecture-level city level during the study period, such as Chaohu, Bijie, and Tongren, and the Tibetan region was excluded from the study due to the poor quality of the data in Tibet.
Table 1 and
Table 2 show the definition and calculation of the variables and the descriptive statistics of the variables, respectively.
5. Mechanism Analysis
According to the previous analysis, the establishment of national high-tech zones reduces urban air-pollution levels through the “industrial structure upgrading effect” and “technological innovation effect”. Therefore, in order to verify the existence of the mechanism of action, this paper adopts the test method of mediating effects [
48]. The recursive regression equation is used to test the model as follows:
Among them,
is the mediating variable, and the industrial structure upgrading effect includes industrial structure advancement and industrial structure rationalization; the technology innovation effect includes the logarithm of the number of green patent applications. The remaining formula variables are consistent with the previous benchmark model. If
and
are significant, and
becomes smaller or less significant as
becomes smaller or less significant, it indicates a partial mediation effect; if
and
are significant, while
is insignificant, it indicates a full mediation effect; if at least one of
and
is not significant, then a bootstrap test is required. The regression results are shown in
Table 9.
Columns (1) to (4) in
Table 9 show the results of the mediating effect test for the industrial structure upgrading effect, designed to test whether the establishment of national high-tech zones reduces urban air-pollution levels by promoting an advanced and rationalized industrial structure. The regression results show that the establishment of national high-tech zones significantly promotes the industrial structure upgrading, and the coefficient value of the double difference term decreases after adding the indicator term in Column (2). In addition, the regression coefficient of industrial structure upgrading is significantly negative at the 1% level, i.e., industrial structure upgrading plays a part in the mediating effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones in reducing urban air pollution, and the indirect effect passes the bootstrap test. Further, it is calculated that the proportion of the mediating effect in this path is 10.13% of the total effect. In the regression results of Column (3), the establishment of national high-tech zones promotes the rationalization of industrial structure, but it is not significant at the 10% level, and the coefficient of industrial structure rationalization is significantly negative after adding the term of industrial structure rationalization in Column (4). At this point, a bootstrap test is needed, and it is found that the mediating effect of industrial structure rationalization is significant, i.e., the establishment of national high-tech zones can reduce urban air-pollution levels by helping in industrial structure rationalization. Further, it is found that the proportion of the mediating effect in this path is 18.58% of the total effect. Therefore, the establishment of national high-tech zones can suppress urban air pollution through the effect of industrial structure upgrading.
Columns (5) to (6) in
Table 9 show the results of the mediating effect test for the technological innovation effect, designed to test whether the establishment of national high-tech zones reduces urban air-pollution levels by enhancing the level of technological innovation. The regression results show that the establishment of national high-tech zones significantly promotes the level of green technology innovation, and the coefficient value of the double difference term decreases after adding the indicator term in Column (6). In addition, the regression coefficient of the green technology innovation level is significantly negative at the 1% level—that is, technology innovation plays a part in the mediating effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones in reducing urban air pollution, and the indirect effect passes the bootstrap test. Further, the proportion of the mediating effect in this path is 8.62% of the total effect. Therefore, the establishment of national high-tech zones improves urban air pollution through the effect of technological innovation, which proves Hypothesis 2.
7. Conclusions and Insight
Based on panel data from 254 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006–2018, the net effect of the establishment of national high-tech zones on urban air pollution was analyzed using multi-period double difference and spatial double difference models. The results found that: firstly, the air-pollution level in cities with national high-tech zones is reduced by 1.8% compared to cities without national high-tech zones, and this finding still holds after a parallel trend test, placebo test, endogeneity treatment, and other robustness tests. The analysis of spatial effects shows that national high-tech zones also have a significant positive spillover effect on air pollution in geographically close and neighboring cities. Second, the mechanism analysis shows that national high-tech zones reduce urban air pollution through the industrial structure upgrading effect and the technological innovation effect. Third, from the urban location heterogeneity, the national high-tech zones established in less developed cities in the west have a better effect on reducing urban air pollution than more developed areas in the east and central regions; from the city type heterogeneity, compared with non-resource-based cities, the national high-tech zones established in resource-based cities have a better effect on reducing urban air pollution than non-resource-based cities. In terms of city-type heterogeneity, the effect of reducing urban air pollution is not significant in resource-based cities compared with non-resource-based cities; in terms of the growth cycle of national high-tech zones, the effect of reducing urban air pollution is more significant in growing national high-tech zones compared with mature national high-tech zones.
This paper finds that the establishment of national high-tech zones has complex effects on urban air pollution but, in general, the establishment of national high-tech zones significantly reduces urban air pollution in China, which provides policy ideas for practicing the concept of green development and exploring high-quality development that harmonizes ecological civilization with economic prosperity. In response to the construction of national high-tech zones as a pioneer zone of high-quality development, this paper proposes the following insights:
- (1)
There should be reasonable use of the national high-tech zone “demonstration first, radiation driven” effect of the spatial layout, expanding the scope of the pilot to achieve a multi-regional policy and explore the full range of radiation-driven effects, to cement the role of the national high-tech zone in the new era of high-quality development of green pioneer areas.
- (2)
The government should strengthen top-level design, further optimize the business environment, create a favorable R&D environment for enterprises and research institutions in the park, increase the enthusiasm in social innovation, improve the quality of green technological innovation, and provide technical support and guarantees for achieving green development, in addition to taking the initiative to support relevant tax, financial, land, and other preferential policies in the process of national high-tech zone construction to absorb domestic and foreign high-tech enterprises. This should actively guide the transformation and upgrading of the city’s industrial structure.
- (3)
The construction of national high-tech zones needs to be constantly adjusted and improved in practice, gradually exploring programs suitable for different development stages and different development modes, implementing differentiated policies for the characteristics of different types and regional cities, and at the same time combining national high-tech zones with their own location advantages, industrial development goals, and technology development levels, designing a combination of policy tools according to local conditions and scientific conditions to achieve green development and economic prosperity The policy tools are scientifically designed to achieve green development and economic prosperity in a coordinated and unified manner.