The Effects of Migration on Unemployment: New Evidence from the Asian Countries
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. The Impact of Migration on Unemployment
3. Data, Research Hypothesis, Methodology, and Tests
3.1. Variables: Measurements and the Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Research Hypothesis
- How does migration affect unemployment in these Asian countries?
- If the above effect is established, are there any differences between countries with different levels of income per capita?
3.3. The Collinearity, Autocorrelation, and Heteroscedasticity Tests
4. The Effects of Migration on Unemployment in the Asian Countries
5. A Robustness Analysis: Upper-Income Asian Countries versus Lower-Income Asian Countries
6. Conclusions and Policy Implications
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Upper-income Asian Countries (25 Asian Countries) | Lower-income Asian Countries (22 Asian Countries) |
---|---|
Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Brunei Darussalam China Cyprus Georgia Iraq Israel Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kuwait Lebanon Malaysia Maldives Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Singapore Republic of Korea Thailand Turkey Turkmenistan United Arab Emirates | Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan Cambodia India Indonesia Iran Kyrgyzstan Lao People’s DR Mongolia Myanmar Nepal DPR of Korea Pakistan Philippines Sri Lanka Syrian Arab Emirates Tajikistan Timor Leste Uzbekistan Viet Nam Yemen |
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Variables | Description | Source |
---|---|---|
Unemployment rate | Unemployment, total (percent of the total labour force) (modelled ILO estimate) in destination and origin country | International Labor Organization |
International migration rate | The number of immigrants minus the number of emigrants over a period, divided by the person-years lived by the population of the receiving country over that period | United Nations |
Economic growth | Gross domestic product growth (percent) | World Development Indicators |
GDP per capita | GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2017 international USD) | World Development Indicators |
Inflation rate | Inflation, consumer price index (annual percent) | World Development Indicators |
Trade openness | Trade openness (Exports and Imports as a share of GDP, percent) | World Development Indicators |
Variable | Observations | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNEMPL | 329 | 5.6684 | 4.3138 | 0.1700 | 21.2060 |
MIGRATION | 329 | 2.2815 | 15.8831 | −70.7870 | 134.4140 |
GDPPC | 328 | 7.8812 | 1.5918 | 3.8972 | 11.1185 |
GROW | 329 | 4.2197 | 8.5747 | −33.4999 | 58.1000 |
INF | 265 | 11.0736 | 39.6561 | −3.8462 | 411.7596 |
TRADE | 281 | 87.9692 | 58.8893 | 0.0209 | 420.4305 |
TRADE | MIGRATION | GDPPC | GROW | INF | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
TRADE | 1.0000 | ||||
MIGRATION | 0.2173 | 1.0000 | |||
GDPPC | 0.3070 | 0.4450 | 1.0000 | ||
GROW | 0.0891 | 0.1252 | −0.1202 | 1.0000 | |
INF | 0.0927 | −0.1237 | −0.1830 | −0.1696 | 1.0000 |
Wooldridge Test | Breusch–Pagan Lagrangian Multiplier Test | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F-Test | p-Value | Present Autocorrelation | chi2(1) | p-Value | Present Heteroskedasticity | |
Model | 14.891 | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.95 | 0.3301 | x |
Random Effects | Fixed Effects | GLS | GMM | |
---|---|---|---|---|
UNEMPLt−1 | 0.9516 *** | |||
MIGRATION | 0.0116 | −0.0209 * | −0.0419 ** | −0.0273 *** |
MIGRATIONt−1 | −0.0119 ** | |||
GDPPC | −0.1665 | −0.1839 | 0.1629 | −0.3325 *** |
GROW | −0.1022 *** | −0.1182 *** | −0.0822 | −0.1573 *** |
INF | −0.0084 ** | −0.0088 ** | 0.0076 | 0.0492 *** |
INFt−1 | 0.0021 ** | |||
TRADE | 0.0112 * | 0.0233 *** | −0.0041 | 0.0023 *** |
_cons | 6.6050 *** | 5.7910 *** | 5.1753 *** | 3.3981 *** |
AR(2) | 0.739 | |||
Sargan | 0.694 | |||
Hansen | 0.615 | |||
No. of Obs. | 239.000 | 239.000 | 239.000 | 201.000 |
Random Effects | Fixed Effects | GLS | GMM | |
---|---|---|---|---|
The upper-income countries group | ||||
UNEMPLt−1 | 0.8202 *** | |||
MIGRATION | 0.0086 | 0.0160 | −0.0175 | 0.0061 |
MIGRATIONt−1 | −0.0160 *** | |||
GDPPC | −0.2582 | 0.1210 | −1.6259 *** | −0.4979 |
GROW | −0.1149 *** | −0.1246 *** | −0.1572 ** | −0.1235 *** |
INF | −0.0101 ** | −0.0073 | −0.0139 * | 0.0157 |
INFt−1 | −0.0006 | |||
TRADE | 0.0040 | 0.0224 * | −0.0030 | 0.0004 |
_cons | 8.6967 ** | 36.9010 | 22.3933 *** | 6.2115 * |
AR(2) | 0.608 | |||
Sargan | 0.562 | |||
Hansen | 0.999 | |||
No. of Obs. | 135.000 | 135.000 | 135.000 | 114.000 |
The lower-income countries group | ||||
UNEMPLt−1 | 0.3237 ** | |||
MIGRATION | 0.0873 * | 0.0821 * | 0.0692 | 0.0560 ** |
MIGRATIONt−1 | 0.0254 *** | |||
GDPPC | −0.2995 | −0.4730 * | −0.8107 ** | −0.7995 * |
GROW | −0.0768 * | −0.0888 ** | −0.0903 | −0.0583 ** |
INF | −0.0041 | −0.0279 | 0.1818 *** | −0.1357 ** |
INFt−1 | −0.0382 | |||
TRADE | 0.0224 ** | 0.0283 *** | −0.0014 | 0.0297 ** |
_cons | 6.2537 *** | 6.8746 *** | −1.1940 | |
AR(2) | 0.417 | |||
Sargan | 0.715 | |||
Hansen | 0.961 | |||
No. of Obs. | 104.000 | 104.000 | 104.000 | 68.000 |
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Huynh, H.H.; Vo, D.H. The Effects of Migration on Unemployment: New Evidence from the Asian Countries. Sustainability 2023, 15, 11385. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411385
Huynh HH, Vo DH. The Effects of Migration on Unemployment: New Evidence from the Asian Countries. Sustainability. 2023; 15(14):11385. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411385
Chicago/Turabian StyleHuynh, Hai Hien, and Duc Hong Vo. 2023. "The Effects of Migration on Unemployment: New Evidence from the Asian Countries" Sustainability 15, no. 14: 11385. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411385
APA StyleHuynh, H. H., & Vo, D. H. (2023). The Effects of Migration on Unemployment: New Evidence from the Asian Countries. Sustainability, 15(14), 11385. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411385