1. Introduction
China’s economy has transformed from a phase of high-speed growth to high-quality development; therefore, it is essential to improve the self-dependent innovation of firms and enhance their competitiveness (reports of 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, 2017). The main characteristic of global value chains (GVCs) is the fragmentation of production across countries, which means the different stages of production occur in different regions around the world (Chor et al., 2014) [
1]. Since GVCs have fundamentally transformed international trade and development in recent decades, production processes have fragmented across firm boundaries and country borders (Baldwin, 2016; Antràs, 2021; World Development Report, 2020; Chor et al., 2021) [
2,
3,
4]. Therefore, various government policies have been implemented to encourage firms to participate in GVCs (Manova and Yu, 2021) [
4]. The tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises, aiming to support and encourage self-dependent innovations, is a typical example of one of these policies. Government innovation policy may create an incentive by encouraging firm innovation activities and reducing transaction costs, and it may cause a crowding-out effect because of technology spillover and policy preference. This begs the question: Which effect is greater? This paper aims to discuss the “net” effect of the tax reduction and exemption policy of high-technology enterprises and how it affects their GVC position at a micro level.
This paper relates to two research threads. The first thread concerns the measurement of the GVC position, and the existing literature can further be divided into two topics. (1) The first topic concerns the measurement of the relative position of a production line, which is an indirect way of evaluating the GVC position. Koopman et al. (2014) first proposed the concept and measurement of the GVC position, based on the export value-added decomposition framework [
5]. Whether a country is in the relative upstream of the GVC depends on whether the indirect domestic value-added rate of a country’s exports is higher than the foreign rate. Considering domestic production, Wang et al. (2017, 2022) further split the total production length into three parts, including a pure domestic segment [
6,
7].
(2) The second topic concerns direct ways to measure the GVC position based on production stages. Fally (2012) proposed the measurement of upstreamness and downstreamness indexes [
8]. Antràs and Chor (2013) measured the distance from production to final use [
9]. The above two methods are essentially the same, since they both use a specific index to measure the GVC position based on the number of production stages (Antràs et al., 2012) [
10]. When the specific industrial upstreamness index is larger, the distance from production to the final use is farther. However, the above-mentioned research was based on the framework of a single-country (region) input–output (I-O) analysis model. Miller and Temurshoev (2017) then measured the input downstreamness with a multi-country (region) input–output (I-O) analysis model [
11]. Later, Antràs and Chor (2018) published a comprehensive overview of the output upstreamness and input downstreamness of a country’s sectors in the GVC [
12].
Recently, computation has become more specific to a firm level. Chor et al. (2014, 2021) computed the weighted-average upstreamness of firms’ imports and exports, which was the average positioning of firms’ activities within GVCs relative to final demand [
1,
4]. Tang et al. (2018) also discussed the firm heterogeneity following Chor et al. (2014) with the industry-level data [
1,
13]. This paper measures the upstreamness of firms’ exports with the method of Chor et al. (2014, 2021) [
1,
4].
This paper also draws comparisons to research of the impact of government innovation incentive policies on improving the firm GVC position. These can be divided into two concepts. (1) The first concept concerns the specific effects of government innovation incentive policies, which can be further divided into two categories: direct support and indirect support. Direct support mainly includes government grants, government procurement, etc., while indirect support mainly includes tax preference, R&D loans, etc. (Montmartin and Herrera, 2015) [
14]. Direct support should be controlled in an appropriate range, so that it can stimulate growth in domestic private R&D expenditure. Otherwise, it will create a crowding-out effect (Görg Holger and Strobl Eric, 2007) [
15]. However, this effect only occurs in the early stage, and then it returns to neutral (Boeing, 2016) [
16]. Direct subsidies can also encourage private R&D activities via indirect methods since they have a certification effect on subsidized enterprises, which can ease the financing constraints of SMEs by better obtaining debt financing (Miguel and Wouter, 2008) [
17]. The effectiveness of policies on innovation efficiency also differs from objectives, which arerelatively more successful in regions where the innovation capability is less than average. Aside from the above reasons, these effects also differ from different management and governance methods. Specifically, decentralized governance is more conducive to firms’ technological innovation output than centralized governance (Guo et al., 2016) [
18].
(2) The second concept is mainly about the empirical methods. Görg Holger and Strobl Eric (2007) combined the nonparametric matching procedure and difference-in-differences estimator, while González and Pazó (2008) proposed the improved matching estimators that corrected deviation based on the nearest-neighbor matching estimator [
15,
19]. Since then, the combination of a propensity-score-matching estimator with appropriate empirical methods based on the specific empirical model has been widely used (Guo et al., 2016; Boeing, 2016; Xin et al., 2016) [
16,
18,
20].
A country or region at the upstream of the GVC is at a high technological level in global trade and is capable of self-dependent innovation, i.e., there is a positive correlation between the firm GVC position and the capacity of self-dependent innovation. This paper chooses to investigate the tax incentive policies, which are the main form of indirect subsidies, because there is a competitive alternative effect between direct and indirect policies (Montmartin and Herrera, 2015), and tax incentive policies are relatively more effective (Lee, 2011) [
14,
21].
This paper makes several contributions to the existing literature. Firstly, we are among the first to study how specific tax preference policies affect the firm GVC position. The existing literature has mainly focused on the impact of the GVC position from the perspective of domestic and even global economies, which are limited to regional or industrial levels (Xu et al., 2012; Broekel, 2015; Hottenrott et al., 2017) [
22,
23,
24]. Importantly, few studies explore the impact of the GVC position on a firm level. Secondly, we shift our focus from firm innovation activities to the GVC and explore the impact of government tax incentive policies on improving the foundation capacity of enterprises and the level of the industrial chain, which provides a supplement to the existing literature. Previous research on the effectiveness of government innovation incentive policy on firms mostly focused on firm innovation activities (González and Pazó, 2008; Xu et al., 2012; Guo et al., 2016; Bernini and Pellegrini, 2011) rather than from the perspective of the GVC, which is essential in the context of the global economy [
18,
19,
22,
25]. Thirdly, this paper studies the effectiveness of the tax preferential policies by taking the specific tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises as an example, which is one type of the indirect government innovation policies. This helps us to alleviate the lack of research on tax preferential policies since most studies focused on the impact of direct policies (González and Pazó, 2008; Xu et al., 2012; Guo et al., 2016) [
18,
19,
22]. Finally, this paper also puts forward several policy recommendations to help China implement a new development pattern of modernization based on empirical results, which is dominated by a domestic economic cycle and is mutually promoted by domestic and international economies. This complements existing research and provides theoretical support for follow-up research.
The structure of this paper is as follows:
Section 2 introduces the institutional background of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises and the possible dual effects;
Section 3 explains the empirical model, the data and the indicators;
Section 4 includes basic regression, a robust test, heterogeneity analysis and a mechanism test;
Section 5 is the conclusion and enlightenment.
4. Empirical Results and Analysis
In this section, we first describe the analysis of how China’s tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises affects the firm GVC position (
Section 4.1). We then describe testing the parallel trend, which is the premise of the DID estimator (
Section 4.2). Thirdly, we describe a robust test that compares the results of basic regression with those of PSM-DID and the placebo test, and we also control the effect of parallel policies (
Section 4.3). Fourthly, we analyze the firm heterogeneity of factor intensity and regions (
Section 4.4). Finally, an influence channel test is described (
Section 4.5).
4.1. Basic Regression Results
The specific regression results are shown in
Table 3.
Column (1) controls firm fixed effect and time fixed effect without adding control variables. Columns (2) to (7) add control variables to the regression model one by one based on the benchmark model of column (1). The results of column (1) show that the coefficient of the interaction that we focused on is always significantly positive at the level of 1% regardless of whether control variables are added. This shows that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises plays a significant role in improving the firm GVC position, i.e., the policy has a positive effect on improving the firm GVC position. Overall, the “net” effect of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises on improving the firm GVC position is positive.
As shown from column (1) to column (8), when we gradually add control variables, the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises always maintains a significant positive effect on improving the firm GVC position. The coefficient of interaction always fluctuates within a range from 0.0007 to 0.002 around 0.0400, indicating that the estimation results are reliable.
4.2. Parallel Trend Test
The most important premise of using the difference-in-difference model is to meet the parallel trend hypothesis, i.e., the control group and the treated group have the same time trend or development trend without the policy. This paper used an event study and set three kinds of dummies: pre, current and post. The coefficients of pre_1 to pre_4 represent the effectiveness in the first to third periods before implementation, while the coefficients of post_1 to post_4 represent the effectiveness from the first to the fourth period after implementation; the current coefficient represents the effectiveness during the current period. Considering collinearity, we took the previous five periods and the later four periods, discarding the previous first period before implementation and using this as the benchmark group.
As shown in
Table 4, the coefficients of pre_1 to pre_3 are not significant, which indicates that there is no significant difference between the control group and the treated group before implementation, which adheres to the parallel trend hypothesis. The coefficients of current enterprises and from post_1 to post_4 are significantly negative, indicating that, after implementation, there is a significant difference between the control group and treated group. As the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises was implemented in 2008, during the global economic crisis, the overall economic situation had a downward trend. However, in this study, the downward trend of the control group was more serious than that of the treated group, indicating that the implementation of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises offset the downward degree of the treated group to a certain extent, which can also confirm the incentive effect of the policy.
It is evident from
Figure 1 that the coefficients of pre_1 to pre_4 fluctuate around 0 during the previous three periods before implementation. From the current period to the following four periods after implementation, the coefficients of current and post_1 to post_4 greatly deviate from 0 and are significantly negative, which indicates that the policy is highly effective. The development trend of the control group and the treated group meets the parallel trend hypothesis and is comparable.
4.3. Robust Test
4.3.1. PSM-DID Test
Since the object of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises is the result of screening, enterprises with a strong innovation and development capacity are more likely to be recognized; therefore, there may be selective differences between groups. In order to eliminate the possible differences between the treated group and the control group, except for the effectiveness of the policy, and reduce the possible estimation bias to the greatest extent, we used a propensity score matching difference-in-differences (PSM-DID) estimator for further testing. The premise of PSM-DID is to meet the common support hypothesis and balance test hypothesis. We used the k nearest-neighbor matching method (k = 2, the radius is 0.05) (Wang Haicheng et al., 2016) [
29].
Figure 2 shows the balance test results of all matched covariates. The standard deviation of all covariates after matching is controlled within 10% and is significantly smaller than that before matching, indicating that the balance hypothesis is met.
Figure 3 shows the test results of the common support hypothesis.
Figure 3a,b show the kernel density distribution of the propensity scores before and after matching. There is a clear deviation in the kernel density curve before and after matching, but the change in the maximum value of the ordinate shows that the deviation has been reduced. The same conclusion can be drawn from the reduction in distance between the two mean lines, which shows that the propensity score matching meets the common support hypothesis.
Table 5 shows the comparison of the regression results of the basic model and PSM-DID after controlling the fixed effects and adding allcontrol variables. Column (2) shows the results of the PSM-DID model.
From the results of PSM-DID, it can be seen that, under the premise of balance hypothesis and common support hypothesis, the coefficient of the interaction is still significantly positive at the level of 1%, and the value of the coefficient is 0.0477, which is essentially consistent with the estimation results of the basic model. This further confirms the conclusion from the basic regression: the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises plays a positive role in improving the firm GVC position, and the incentive effect is greater than the crowding-out effect.
4.3.2. Placebo Test
This study also adopted the placebo test for further verification. The treated group is randomly selected and repeated 1000 times. We compared the real policy effect with the placebo test results of the coefficient, t value and P value.
After randomization, the mean value of the estimated kernel density of the coefficient is −0.000026, and that of the t value is −0.129796. Both of them greatly deviate from their true values (coefficient = 0.048, t = 5.41). The specific diagram of kernel density is shown from
Figure 4 and
Figure 5.
Figure 6 is a scatter diagram of
p values. It can be seen that, after randomization, most of the
p values of coefficients are above the dotted line of
p = 0.1, indicating that most coefficients are not significant at the level of 10%.
In summary, the robustness of the regression results can further be confirmed by the results of the placebo test, indicating that the effectiveness of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises on the firm GVC position is not caused by other random factors.
4.3.3. Control Concurrent Policy Impact
To verify the robustness of the basic regression results, we controlled the effect of other parallel policies. We mainly considered two policies: the value-added tax (VAT) reform from 2004 to 2008, and the corporate income tax reform in 2008, because they might affect the regression results since VAT reform was implemented before the implementation of tax reduction and the exemption policy of high-technology enterprises while the corporate income tax reform was implemented at the same time with the policy we studied.
VAT policy is an important method of national macro control, and it mainly refers to the transformation from “production VAT” to “consumption VAT”. In 2004, in order to speed up the revitalization of the old industrial base in the northeast of China, the first choice for VAT reform was eight industries in the three provinces there. After that, it gradually expanded to 26 cities in six central provinces in 2007. In 2008, it continued to expand to five cities in the Inner Mongolia League and the areas badly affected by the Wenchuan earthquake. Until 2009, the consumption-oriented VAT tax system was officially established in China. The main content of the corporate income tax reform is “Two taxes in one” for domestic and foreign-funded firms of China, which is applied to all the firms of China.
To qualify VAT reform, we took 2004, 2007 and 2008 as the three time points of policy impact and set three VAT reform dummies: VAT2004, VAT2007 and VAT2008, which are represented by the interaction of whether they belongs to the pilot region and the pilot industry and whether they are in the effective year of the policy. As for the corporate income tax reform, we set a dummy “income tax” to qualify it, which equals to 1 after 2008 and equals to 0 before 2008.
Table 6 shows the regression results after taking the concurrent policies as control variables. Column (1) shows the results that only controlled the effect of VAT reform, while column (2) shows the results that only controlled the effect of corporate income tax reform, and column (3) shows the results that controlled both the effect of the VAT reform and the effect of the corporate income tax reform. It shows that the coefficients of the interaction are still significantly positive at the level of 1%, which is basically consistent with the basic regression results. The basic estimated results are still robust after considering the effectiveness of concurrent policies.
4.4. Heterogeneity Analysis
In order to further test firm heterogeneity, we divide the entire sample into two subsample groups according to two factors: factor intensity and region.
4.4.1. Heterogeneity of Factor Intensity
Different factor intensities mean different divisions of the labor position in the GVC, so it may affect the GVC position of different firms. The factor intensities of different firms can be mainly divided into three types: labor-intensive firms, capital-intensive firms and technology-intensive firms.
Table 7 shows the classification of the factor intensities of the manufacturing industry.
Columns (1) to (3) in
Table 8 show the estimation results of three different factor intensities. The results show that the estimated coefficient of labor-intensive firms is significantly positive at the level of 1%, while the estimated coefficient of capital-intensive firms is significantly positive at the level of 5%. The impacts of the policy on labor-intensive firms and capital-intensive firms are significantly greater than technology-intensive firms, and the policy has the greatest impact on labor-intensive firms. This is because labor-intensive firms are responsible for the production of primary components or processing and assembly in the GVC, which means they are more dependent on intermediate inputs. Innovation-intensive policy can encourage firms to perform R&D activities, which can indirectly help reduce the cost of intermediate inputs, i.e., it can help firms climb to the upstream of the GVC.
4.4.2. Heterogeneity of Different Regions
There may be differences in the effectiveness of the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises because of differences in geographical conditions, economic development level, infrastructure, resource endowment and other aspects of different regions. According to the general economic zoning, this paper divides the entire sample into three regional subsample groups: eastern, central and western. Columns (1) to (3) in
Table 9 report the test results of different regions. This shows that the coefficient of eastern enterprises is significantly positive at the level of 1%, while the coefficients of central and western enterprises are not significant. In conclusion, the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises significantly improves the GVC position of eastern firms, but the effectiveness on central firms and western firms is not significant; the policy does not play a significant role in improving the GVC position of central and western enterprises.
4.5. Influence Channels
The above basic regression results confirm that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises has a significant incentive effect on improving the firm GVC position. This section further describes the verification of the mechanism from two approaches: production efficiency and foreign investment. Based on the mediating effect model, the mechanism test is taken with two mediating variables: foreign investment (foreign investment is quantified by the proportion of foreign investment (fdi) of enterprises. The proportion of foreign investment = (the amount of foreign capital of the enterprise + the amount of capital of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan)/total paid-up capital) (fdi) and production efficiency (TFP) (this study uses the total factor productivity (TFP) to measure the production efficiency. We applied a fixed effect (FE) to estimate firms’ TFP).
Table 10 shows the results of the mechanism test. Column (1) shows that the coefficient of the interaction is significantly positive at the level of 1%, which means that the policy plays a significant positive role in promoting the production efficiency. The coefficient of the interaction in column (3) decreases from 0.0407 to 0.038 compared with that of the basic regression and is significantly positive at the level of 1%, indicating that TFP has a strong mediating effect on the impact of the policy on the firm GVC position; the production efficiency is able to be the mediating variable.
The results in column (2) show that the coefficient of the interaction is significantly negative at the level of 1%, which means the policy has an inhibitory effect on attracting foreign investment, while the coefficient of fdi in column (4) is significantly negative at the level of 10%, indicating that increasing foreign investment will inhibit the improvement in the firm GVC position, but there is a strong mediating effect, so the proportion of foreign investment is also a reasonable mediating variable. This differs from the above mechanism analysis, showing that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises improves the firm GVC position by inhibiting foreign investment. A possible explanation is that the entry of foreign investment will intensify the industry-level competition, so that the enterprises with a low productivity cannot survive and eventually leave the market, while the surviving enterprises with a high productivity face the temptation of higher interests and choose to move to the low end of the GVC. Therefore, there is a negative correlation between the increase in foreign investment and the improvement in the firm GVC position. The coefficient of the interaction decreases from 0.0407 to 0.035 in column (4) and is significantly negative at the level of 1%, indicating that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises has played a positive role in improving the firm GVC position by reducing the proportion of foreign investment.
The coefficient of TFP is significantly positive at a level of 1%, while the coefficient of fdi is significantly negative at a level of 10%, indicating that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises mainly promotes the firm GVC position by improving the production efficiency.
5. Conclusions
In this paper, we examine the impact of China’s preferential tax policies on the GVC position at a micro level with a multi-period DID estimator, taking the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises as an example, as well as using the CCTs, CIFD, WIOD and a list of recognized high-technology enterprises. We are among the first to study how government indirect innovation policy affects the firm GVC position and shifts the focus from private innovation to the GVC. The main conclusions are summarized as follows.
Firstly, the basic regression results show that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises has a significant positive impact on the firm GVC position. Secondly, the results of the heterogeneity analysis show that the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises plays a clearer role in improving the GVC position of labor-intensive firms, capital-intensive firms and eastern firms. Finally, the results of the mechanism test indicate that the main mechanism for the tax reduction and exemption policy for high-technology enterprises to improve the firm GVC position is to stimulate growth in production efficiency.
The empirical results of this paper lead to the following conclusions. Since the scientific and technological innovation capability of Chinese enterprises is still at an intermediate and low level around the world, a series of government innovation incentive policies must be relied upon to modernize the industrial chain and reach the high end of the GVC. In order to escape the current dilemma of an insufficient foundation capacity and poor self-dependent innovation ability, we must improve the protection of intellectual property rights. Alternatively, we must strengthen the government’s policy support for high-technology enterprises and encourage them to increase investments in technological innovation through tax reduction and exemption, so that China can improve its foundation capacity and strengthen self-dependent innovation. The results of a firm heterogeneity analysis show that the government should take specific factor intensities and regions into account when formulating policies so that it can maximize their effectiveness.
Finally, we suggest the following improvements and future research directions. (1) Since the Chinese Government’s innovation incentive policies can mainly be divided into two types, direct and indirect, we only studied the effectiveness of tax preference policies, which is the indirect form. Although we made our best effort to guarantee the preciseness of the methods used in the empirical process, possible selective deviation cannot be completely avoided. Therefore, we plan to expand the types of policies to be studied and further systematize innovation incentive policies. (2) The functional upgrading of a country’s exports means that it can expand from processing and manufacturing to R&D management and market services, forming the high-value-added and high-tech links at both ends of the “smile curve” (Meng et al., 2020) [
30]. Thus, functional upgrading will help China climb to the high end of the GVC and realize the structural transformation from high-speed growth to high-quality development. In the future, we will investigate the effectiveness of different forms of innovation incentive policies from the perspectives of GVC functional specialization and the domestic value added. (3) Specifically, the effectiveness of government innovation policies may differ between different industries. As mentioned above, it is essential to encourage the development of high-value-added and high-tech industries so that China can realize this transformation and improve its self-dependent innovation. Therefore, we plan to further study how innovation incentive policies affect firms from different industries.