1. Introduction
The way we consume food influences our health, but also has a huge impact on the future of our society and the whole planet [
1]. However, more and more consumers are questioning our actual eating habits, in particular the way we consume meat [
2]. The proportion of vegans and vegetarians has been steadily growing. In 2018, around 8% of the Austrian population was considered to be vegan or vegetarian [
3]. In 2023, this proportion is assumed to be above 10% [
4].
A significant reduction in global livestock is an imperative action to move towards a more sustainable food supply chain and to reach the climate targets of The Paris Agreement [
5]. Food production is assumed to be responsible for 20 to 30% of overall global gas emissions (GGE) [
6]. Meat and meat related products (such as milk) are the largest GGE driving forces [
7], with a 57% share of GGE–besides using 83% of agrarian surface. Simultaneously, the meat sector only delivers 37% of protein and 18% of calories [
8]. These well-known facts demonstrate that our eating habits have to change. One alternative that could reduce the environmental impact of meat production would be, for instance, integrated crop-livestock systems that increase biodiversity [
9,
10]. Another option would be an increase in plant-based eating behavior, as the planetary healthy diet developed by the Lancet Commission recommends [
1]. However, it is noteworthy that plant-based meat alternatives are quite often ultra-processed foods, which are related to an increase in non-communicable diseases worldwide [
11,
12].
Meat production is considered to be one of the core drivers of the global climate crisis [
13]. As demand for meat is still rising on a global level, factory farming and all the negative consequences related to it have been increasing, too [
13]. Thereby, the production of beef is considered to be the food sector with the worst GGE balance, in particular because of methane, land consumption, and water needs [
14]. For instance, a US study assumed that 46 to 72% of GGE in 2020 could have been saved if all calories and proteins from beef had been replaced with plant-based ingredients [
15]. A switch to grass-fed beef production, which is considered to be more environmentally friendly compared to grain-finishing feedlot systems, is not really a viable option if current consumption levels are to be maintained. Hayek and Garret [
16] found that the existing pastureland grass resource in the US could only support 27% of the current US beef supply. They also state that “… a nationwide shift to exclusively grass-fed beef would require increasing the national cattle herd from 77 to 100 million cattle, an increase of 30%”, thus leading to higher methane emissions. Saget et al. [
17] estimate, with life cycle assessment, that plant-based patties are associated with 85% lower climate change and approx. 90% lower marine eutrophication than grass-fed beef patties from Brazil or Ireland.
If the actual global nutrition trends continue as they have in the past, methane and nitrous oxide emissions (two highly effective greenhouse gases) might double [
18]. Meanwhile, the meat market has doubled in the last two decades due to a growing global population and economic growth. It is estimated that global meat consumption amounted to about 360 million tons in 2018 [
19]. While meat consumption rises significantly in countries such as China (which has a huge impact on the global meat production sector) [
20], meat consumption per capita stagnates or even goes down in high-income countries (but is, in fact, still at a very high level); for instance, in Austria, meat consumption and production has decreased significantly, a trend which has been observable for years, and amounts to about 90 kg meat consumption per capita (all meat parts included) with a 58 kg eatable share [
21]. The global situation can be expected to become even more serious as the global population still grows to reach a level of almost 10 billion people by 2050 [
22].
Consumers are more and more concerned about the effects of their nutrition on their own health, on the environment, and the well-being of living beings. Amongst other factors, social media and the growing importance of influencers and famous people has helped to promote the vegan and vegetarian trend [
23]. This had also led to growing market shares (an estimated growth rate of around +6% per year from 2019 to 2023 in Germany), increasing demands on retails shelves, and, consequently, an expanded vegan/vegetarian assortment [
24]. The challenge for the industry will, therefore, be to develop nutritious, healthy, economic PBMAs that meet the expectations of consumers in view of texture and taste [
25]. The increase in consumers’ demand for PBMAs is not only caused by people getting more and more worried about global climate change, but is also due to rising prices in the meat production sector and a clear trend towards veganism, vegetarianism, and flexitarianism (where consumers reduce their meat consumption and eat meat much less often) [
25]. Although the total market share for meat substitutes is still low at around 1% of the total meat market (USD 14 bn), experts assume that market growth potential is extremely promising with an annual increase of around 10%, which would result in a total market of around USD 140 bn by 2029 [
26]. In Europe, the total volume of meat substitutes amounts to about EUR 1.5 bn, and by 2025 the market could grow to reach up to EUR 2.4 bn [
27]. Other sources assume a huge market growth for PBMAs in the future, reaching USD 31 bn by 2026 [
28]. In Europe, the growth rate in sales of plant-based meat alternatives (PBMAs) amounted to approximately 22% between 2020 and 2022. Meanwhile, conventional meat sales decreased by 8% [
29]. All these economic outlooks assume a constant growth of the PBMA market in Austria, where it doubled between 2018 and 2020 from EUR 5.5 million to EUR 9.6 million [
4].
On a global scale, patterns of meat consumption vary significantly due to a combination of cultural, geographical, economic, and social factors. From a geographical perspective, historically lower levels of meat consumption in Asia are now reaching levels comparable to those in Europe, even though Hinduism and Buddhism promote vegetarianism. In predominantly Muslim countries, halal meat consumption is common, and in Hindu majority countries beef consumption may be lower, mainly due to religious beliefs. In China, meat should not only express nutritional value but also artistic and sensual attributes, and in Japan, meat consumption is way lower due to Buddhism and a long tradition of eating seafood [
30]. Research indicates that meat consumption is declining in some countries, particularly those with higher incomes [
31]. However, the decline is not uniform, with some countries still experiencing an increase in meat consumption [
32]. In several European countries, a steady decrease in beef and pork consumption, a rise in chicken consumption, and a flat curve for sheep consumption is noticeable [
33]. Weinrich [
34] noted that taste, eating habits, and convenience are barriers to meat substitute consumption in Germany, the Netherlands, and France. Bryant [
35] found that concern for animal welfare is a key driver of meat reduction in Germany. Consumers in France, Germany, and the United Kingdom evaluated pea and algae burgers as less tasty but more environmentally friendly and healthy compared to beef burgers [
36]. A systematic review of consumer acceptance of alternative proteins found that plant-based meat alternatives have the highest acceptance levels among protein alternatives, followed by insects and cultured meat. This review identified the following drivers of acceptance: taste, health, familiarity, attitudes, food neophobia, disgust, and social norms [
37]. A study in nine European countries investigated the influence of income and education on the consumption of processed meat. Higher education was associated with higher social and environmental awareness, higher health orientation, a preference for fresh and regional food, and lower levels of processed meat consumption. In general, consumers who are not interested in food tend to consume more processed meat [
38].
Besides vegans and vegetarians, flexitarians are a remarkable target group for PBMAs. They form a large proportion of the population, their numbers seem to be growing constantly as more and more appropriate meat alternatives are available in food markets [
39,
40]. Therefore, this study focuses on the acceptance of PBMAs, whereby the study object, burger patties, is a prominent revenue driver in the respective food market, is frequently consumed, and where there are a lot of plant-based alternatives available in supermarkets. There exists also, a valuable body of knowledge with a number of comparable studies using burger patties to investigate consumer behavior in PBMA markets [
41,
42,
43,
44]. In order to investigate PBMAs, Michel et al. [
45] recommended food products which imitate existing meat products (burger patties, chicken nuggets) and where available PBMAs come close to their meat originals. Manufacturing these products is much easier compared to alternatives based on meat products such as steaks. This study intends to deliver valuable information about the main characteristics of the PBMAs influencing the purchase decision of a very specific, young, and future-oriented target group, Generation Z. The eating habits of this generation, those born approximately after 1995, are influenced by concerns about the environment and are driven by health when making food choices [
46]. Their attitude towards alternative proteins is influenced by their preference for organic, local, and sustainable foods, which are associated with higher dietary quality [
47]. Bogueva and Marinova [
48] explored the attitude of Generation Z in Australia towards meat consumption in relation to climate change and alternative proteins. A significant portion of the participants (38%) recognized the environmental impact of livestock production and showed an interest in alternative proteins as a way to mitigate climate change effects. But the rest of participants had a low awareness of food habits as a major contributor to climate change. Kymäläinen et al. [
49] focused on Generation Z’s food waste, diet, and consumption habits in Finland, emphasizing the importance of sustainability in their food-related behaviors. Ford et al. [
50] found that meat reduction among young consumers is influenced by factors such as moving away from home and limited food budgets. Participants showed awareness of the environmental impact of food but had a knowledge gap when quantifying the effect, especially for dairy and seafood. Drivers for plant-based meat included convenience, positive sensory experiences, and influence from others, while barriers included negative health connotations and over-processing. Su et al. [
46] found Gen Z consumers with high environmental consciousness prioritize eco-friendly and healthy product attributes when purchasing sustainable food. Their study identified three segments within Gen Z: sustainable moderates, sustainable believers, and sustainable activists. Sustainable activist Gen Z consumers placed a higher importance on food choices associated with healthy eating habits compared to other environmentally conscious groups. Altogether, these scientific results underline the selection of the target group of this study as young consumers, who can be considered increasingly critical about harmful consumption behavior.
The following research questions will be answered: (1) Which attributes deliver the highest part-worth utility for the PBMA “plant-based burger patties” for the target group Generation Z? (2) How much are young consumers of Generation Z willing to pay for these attributes?
2. Materials and Methods
The research object of this study is plant-based burger patties, a well-known food product which has been available in the Austrian food market for years, and which has a similar taste and texture as conventional burger patties made of beef.
Conventional beef burger patties are a famous product category. For instance, in the USA an estimated amount of 50 bn burgers is consumed every year [
51]. McDonalds alone sold about 100 bn beef burger in the early 2000s [
52]. PBMA burger patties are, therefore, a product where consumer knowledge about the original taste and texture is considered to be high. In general, PBMAs are food products which have characteristics comparable to meat. Besides cultivated meat and insect-based meat alternatives, PBMAs are amongst the most important substitutes for conventional meat [
43]. Other innovative food products substituting meat are manufactured from microalgae and yeast [
53]. These products have a significant potential to replace meat as the main protein source for human nutrition.
In order to assess the importance of specific characteristics of plant-based burger patties, we used a convenient method of ideal product planning, the choice-based conjoint analysis (CBCA). The CBCA is frequently used in the food sector to assess the preferences of the consumer for quality seals such as organic [
54], to evaluate new manufacturing technologies in the food industry [
55], or to assess the importance of local feed in animal production [
56]. Similar to previous studies, such as those which assess the country-of-origin effect and locality of food [
56,
57], for example, or about labelling in the food sector [
54,
58], an experimental design was used to approximate consumer preferences and perceptions. A number of studies applying a CBCA were performed in the meat sector [
59,
60,
61], for instance, to approximate the importance of extrinsic and intrinsic attributes that are important for consumers when purchasing red meat [
62], to assess preferences on poultry meat in combination with food safety concerns [
63], or to evaluate important attributes for pork [
64]. The authors applied CBCA to approximate the willingness to pay (WTP) for meat substitutes, in this case manufactured microalgae [
65], or to compare meat-hybrids, burger patties from cultivated meat, with classic meat burger patties [
66].
The application of the CBCA is close to real shopping behavior as consumers have to make simple choices between several alternatives instead of assessing the importance of product attributes. Consumer choices are coded as binary data (choice/no-choice), and the importance of product attributes and attribute levels are then approximated based on the random utility theory [
67]. The choice decision of consumer
j can be expressed as
, with the deterministic element
and the stochastic element
.
is the vector of attributes with the
ith option of choice set
s;
is the (unknown) vector describing the preferences of the
jth individual.
is then approximated, confirming Equation (1) to approximate individual part-worth utilities of attributes by means of Hierarchical Bayes (HB) estimation:
Hierarchical Bayes (HB) estimation was used as “[r]ecent advances in Bayesian estimation make the estimation of these models computationally feasible, offering advantages in model interpretation over models based on indirect utility, and descriptive models that tend to be highly parameterized” [
68]. Consequently, it is possible to approximate WTP for specific product features (as the price attribute is part of the research design) which “is the marginal rate of substitution of particular attributes/levels for money (price levels)” [
69], confirming formula (2) where
β1 is denoted as the utility per level and
βprice as the linear price function [
69].
WTP is interpreted “as the price at which the respondent would switch away from the status quo product” [
70]. It is a compensation for the positive or negative deviation of the part-worth utility for a specific product feature by increasing/decreasing the price of the product.
To develop adequate stimuli for consumers within a CBCA study design, we have to identify the most important product attributes. The stimuli are then presented to respondents, asking them to make a choice between a limited number of product alternatives. They might also decide not to buy any of the presented stimuli of the choice set. This further increases the reliability of a CBCA; efficiency rises and choice behavior can be reproduced better [
71]. To identify the most relevant product features (“attributes”) and options per feature (“attribute levels”), previous publications served as references. For instance, Apostolidis and McLeay [
72] name fat content, origin, type of production, and price as the most important attributes when consumers buy meat or meat substitutes. Michel et al. [
45] investigated relevant attributes of meat and meat substitutes, in particular, taste, texture, price, ease of preparation, protein content, fat content, and environmental friendliness. As consumers are usually not able to assess sensory attributes of meat (substitutes) at the point of sale, these specific attributes (taste, texture) were skipped. Based on recent studies, the following product attributes were selected: (1) primary ingredient of the PBMA [
44,
66,
72,
73,
74], which might consist of wheat protein, pea protein, soy, etc.; (2) production type [
61,
65,
66,
75], with the PBMA being produced either organically or conventionally; (3) origin [
61,
72,
76] (domestic: Austria, imported from an EU country, imported from outside EU, third-country imports); (4) fat content [
61,
72,
76] (10, 15, 20%); and the attribute (5) price which is a central product feature in any consumer study applying CBCA [
44,
45,
61,
65,
66,
73,
75,
76,
77]. The attribute levels of price were determined by scanning usual market prices for PBMAs (burger patties) in Austrian supermarkets. In general, the price span lies between slightly below EUR 3 to EUR 6 for a pack of two burger patties. The price levels in this study amounted to EUR 2.99, EUR 3.99, EUR 4.99, and EUR 5.99. All attributes and attribute levels can be taken from
Table 1.
We used the conventional MS Excel add-in XLSTAT (Version 2018.1.1) to develop an appropriate study design with a limited number of choice sets. Altogether, 288 different combinations of product attributes (=profiles) would be possible; the reduced design consisted of 12 profiles (
Table 2). Each choice set consisted of three profiles and the no choice option. Consumers decided between these three options (comparable to
Figure 1) or not to buy one (the no choice option). The respondents had to make 12 choices (
Table 3).
4. Discussion and Limitations
Overall, these results allow us to answer our research questions. Concerning the first (“Which attributes deliver the highest part-worth utility for the PBMA ‘plant-based burger patties’ for the target group Generation Z?”), it became clear that origin and price are the most important attributes for Gen Z consumers. Concerning the second (“How much are young consumers of Generation Z willing to pay for these attributes?”), domestic origin, in particular, has an outstanding positive WTP factor, while young consumers expect a large discount if the primary ingredients of a PBMA are imported from outside the EU.
Of course, these results have limitations which are, first of all, due to the recruitment of respondents. As the sample is a convenient one, the transferability of results is limited. Therefore, the results are not one-to-one transferable to the general population, more so, as some of the socio-demographic variables seem to have a significant influence on results. The large proportion of vegetarians/vegans within the sample reveals clear evidence that, in average, respondents might have a higher interest in PBMAs compared to the overall population. Therefore, the value of this study does not lie in representativeness, but in gaining first important insights into consumer behavior of the consumer segment “Generation Z”. The main focus refers to a very specific product category (PBMA) supporting the food value chain towards higher (mainly ecological) sustainability.
We obtained the data by means of an online survey. In view of the target group of this study, online recruitment and the application of mobile devices were not considered to be an issue, particularly as the target group of the study were “digital natives”, having grown up with technology [
79]. Confirming Nissen and Janneck [
80], the application of mobile devices has increased significantly in the last decade (from 4% in 2011 to more than 33% in 2018). Given the low termination rate of 17%—up to 50% was possible [
81]—the data acquisition approach worked out well. To increase the reliability of the CBCA, the no-choice option was included. Respondents were not forced to choose one of the three products in each choice set even though none of them might fulfill the basic expectations of the respondent. However, if a respondent decided not to choose any of the presented profiles, there is no information available about the attractiveness of the available product alternatives [
71].
Even though a CBCA delivers reliable, valid approximations, it is not possible to completely avoid the so-called attitude–behavior gap (in surveys, there is a clear gap between consumers’ perceptions and their real shopping behavior) and the social desirability bias [
82]. In particular, WTP estimations are somewhat biased, as higher values are approximated as consumers are not really forced to spend money [
83]. In general, studies, such as the one of Sichtmann et al. [
84], which are comparable to this survey show average WTP over-estimations when applying a CBCA. However, numerous studies have applied a comparable WTP approach [
61,
75,
76,
77,
85,
86,
87,
88,
89], which is clear evidence that, in general, this WTP approximation method works fine even though the metric values might be overestimated. Therefore, it is of upmost importance to interpret the WTP results carefully. They should be considered as guidelines rather than as reference values. A last point refers again to the above-mentioned attitude–behavior gap. Particularly in view of environmental issues, there is a clear gap between statements in consumer surveys and real behavior [
90]. Usually, consumers tend to significantly overestimate their environmental friendliness, in particular, because true environmentally friendly behavior (e.g., purchase of organic food) is quite often associated with higher expenses [
91]. Also, domestic food is quite often more expensive than imported. Therefore, the approximations might reflect social desirability and not so much real shopping behavior, which is still an issue in market research, as recent publications point out [
82]. There are visionary approaches to reducing the social desirability bias by combining eye-tracking techniques with CBCA approaches [
54], for example. Comparable approaches could further improve the validity of CBCA results.
5. Conclusions and Future Research
Our results show that origin and price are the most important PBMA attributes for our target group, Gen Z. Published PBMA studies come to comparable results. For instance, Elzerman et al. [
92] identified the price attribute to be the most significant barrier for purchasing PBMAs (besides missing information on packaging, which was not part of our CBCA model). Therefore, the food industry has to consider that the target group Gen Z is, in general, rather not willing to pay a premium for PBMAs, whilst origin has an outstanding priority. By contrast, more health-related attributes (fat content) and the production method (organic vs. conventional) have no priority; the latter because the production method of highly processed food might get less important when compared to fresh food. However, these outcomes might also be triggered by individual environmental and health consciousness, which was not part of the empirical design. In future research, the inclusion of these (and probably other) dimensions might further increase the reliability of results. This will become even more important as the above-mentioned recommendations of the planetary healthy diet [
1] might lead to an increased intake of ultra-processed foods [
11,
12], for example, which could be avoided by more health-oriented consumers, even though these foods might be more environmentally friendly. This future research task is not limited to Gen Z studies. Also, the general image of PBMAs as more environmentally friendly is not undisputed, as quite often PBMAs are ultra-processed foods and also other meat production systems (e.g., the above-mentioned integrated crop-livestock systems [
9,
10] or grass-fed beef [
16]) are available. It could be interesting to see if Gen Z agrees with the estimation of life cycle assessments revealing that plant-based burger patties are much less climate harming with significantly lower marine eutrophication [
17].
In view of the refusal of the primary ingredient soy (negative part-worth utility), the application of this low-cost ingredient could be reflected by the industry. Although soy has some highly appreciated characteristics, such as nutritional value and beneficial functional qualities [
25], food manufactures should consider that consumers might not so much appreciate this ingredient in a PBMA. There are alternatives available, for instance pea protein, with a positive perception in our study but also a growing market segment [
93]. However, as the literature shows, meat consumption and probably also the perception of meat substitutes is related to cultural and social aspects [
30,
31,
32,
36,
37]. The refusal of the ingredient “soy” might, therefore, be influenced by cultural particularities in eating behaviors. And conclusions are, therefore, only valid for the empirical field of the relevant study and are not one-to-one transferable to other geographical regions. In our case—including the above-mentioned limitation of convenient sampling—this means that the general outcome might be comparable to high-income cultures with Western diets, but not so much for other parts of the world, such as Asian or South American countries. Future research could address this issue by implementing cross-national studies. And finally, it seems wise to address the discussed social desirability bias in future research, e.g., by combing CBCA with other appropriate methods such as above-mentioned eye-tracking [
54] or sensory methods [
77].
Altogether, this study delivers valuable information about a very specific food market segment, Gen Z, defined as young consumers below 30 years old. Future research should, therefore, focus on evaluating the outcome of this study with representative samples because these consumers will have a huge impact on future food markets. Due to a potential lack of data, it might be demanding to conduct representative studies with the target group, Gen Z. Nevertheless, more representative, cross-national samples will further improve the validity and reliability of the outcomes and deduced conclusions. As there is obviously a clear tendency towards meat alternatives in particular, when analyzing young consumers’ eating habits, as shown in our literature research [
46,
47,
48,
49,
50], the outcome of these studies is of exceptional value for food companies, which are eager to develop future-oriented, sustainable food strategies. Future actions could involve promoting collaboration between science and the food industry, thereby generating relevant expertise and facilitating the transfer of research findings into practical applications and concrete strategies aimed at meeting consumer expectations for plant-based meat alternatives.