5.1. Image Classification
The present study assessed the cover of the invasive species
C. edulis through the land cover classification of multispectral imagery (orthomosaics) of different resolutions. The supervised random forest classification presented satisfactory results in identifying
C. edulis (
Table 5) for all three analysed resolutions, if compared to similar studies [
40,
41]. However, despite the satisfactory accuracies, the areas classified as
C. edulis varied considerably in size. The difference was more prominent for the 10 cm GSD image classification, which estimated the
C. edulis area was 33% and 25% less than the area estimated for the 2.5 cm GSD and the 5 cm GSD image classifications, respectively.
Examination of
Table 5 (Classification) indicates that some aspects deserve further investigation in order to (i) determine where the differences in the area of
C. edulis between classifications occur; (ii) identify the different attributed classes for the different resolutions and investigate the possible reasons for these differences; and (iii) assess if the reference raster-estimated area can be utilised with the mean vegetation values to estimate the total AGB, considering that the estimated
C. edulis areas for the reference rasters for all three resolutions were within the 95% confidence intervals of each other.
Notice that, even though all resolutions presented some relevant results, the total biomass of C. edulis obtained from the 2.5 cm GSD images captured by the MicaSense RedEdge-MX was considered the most accurate. This was justified by the higher image spatial resolution, and thus more detailed information was available, by the higher number of bands available for classification (five bands as opposed to the four bands from the lower-resolution images), which provided more spectral information, probably resulting in better classification results, and the better DW-VI regression model results, which increase the confidence in the total AGB estimation.
To better understand the marked differences between resolutions in the areas classified as
C. edulis, the classifications were compared in detail (
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8). A representative area of the orthomosaics cover changes is presented in
Figure 9. The comparison between the 2.5 GSD classification and the other imagery classifications showed that the changes from smaller to larger GSD are characterised by the reduction in the
C. edulis classified cover area (
Table 5), replaced mainly by green and dry vegetation. These changes occur in small patches, close to the border of
C. edulis areas and inside bigger
C. edulis areas (
Figure 9). The observed differences may be due to a scale effect of the resolution, an imprecision in the superposition of orthomosaics, a misclassification due to overlapping spectral signatures, or a mixture of these effects. The scale effect can be defined as the influence of the spatial resolution on the classification accuracy [
6].
The different cover classes observed at the border of the
C. edulis areas might be attributed to imprecision in the superposition of the orthomosaics and to the scale effect. These effects are more relevant at the border of the classified cover areas, where the reflectance of the
C. edulis areas may mix with the reflectance of neighbouring covers due to the larger GSD. As seen in
Figure 9, some of these changes are at the border between the
C. edulis and green vegetation cover, which are the two classes with the less distinct spectral signatures. It is also interesting to notice that these differences are distributed on all sides of the
C. edulis borders, suggesting that these changes cannot be explained by orthomosaic superposition imprecisions alone (as these would produce a lateral shift). Some changes are also on the border between
C. edulis and dry sand, where
C. edulis pixels (according to the 2.5 cm classification) were classified as green vegetation, also likely due to the scale effect and spectral signature inaccuracy in larger pixels, which are more likely to display mixed cover than smaller pixels.
Larger areas of cover change, especially in the central part of the
C. edulis classified areas, cannot be explained by superposition imprecision or by the scale effect. These changes are probably related to misclassifications due to overlapping spectral signatures.
Table 5 and
Figure 6 show that, even though there was sufficient differentiation between the spectral signature of green vegetation and of
C. edulis to provide a satisfactory classification accuracy result, a considerable overlapping of these signatures must be acknowledged. This overlapping results in uncertainties and the misclassification of
C. edulis and green vegetation covers.
Misclassifications may further be accentuated by the lack of the RedEdge band in the plane-based aerial images, i.e., the 5 and 10 cm GSD images. Analysing the pairwise comparisons (
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8), it is possible to see that most cover changes occurred between
C. edulis and green vegetation, which may point to an inaccuracy related to the lower spectral resolutions from the 5 and 10 cm GSD. The extra RedEdge band of the UAV camera seems to provide some additional information that enhances the classification accuracy.
A further and deeper investigation may allow for the identification of the most significant factors influencing cover discrepancies between resolutions in larger areas. An analysis of the classification confidence map for these areas may provide some helpful information.
5.2. Biomass Estimation
For the quantification of vegetation through regression models, the RDVI, ENDVI, and GCI exhibited the best performance for the 2.5, 5, and 10 cm GSD, respectively. Several previous investigations have achieved promising outcomes when employing the NDVI to assess various measurable attributes of vegetation [
42,
43,
44,
45,
46], consolidating the NDVI’s status as the predominant index in vegetation research [
47]. However, within the context of this study, the NDVI occupied a relatively low position as the eighth, seventh, and fifth most effective model for DW prediction for the 2.5, 5, and 10 cm GSD, respectively (
Appendix A—
Table A4). This corroborates prior research indicating that various vegetation indices (VIs) may exhibit stronger correlations with vegetation AGB and quantitative attributes, compared to the conventional NDVI [
45]. Consequently, the development of a specific methodology for evaluating the predictive accuracy of diverse VIs in relation to vegetation attributes still requires investigation. To do so, it is crucial to consider a wide spectrum of variables, including species diversity and topographical features, as well as weather and lighting conditions [
45]. Additionally, opposed to commercial crops, the inherent morphological variability among natural vegetation species poses an additional challenge when seeking a universal relationship between image-derived data and quantifiable vegetation attributes. Consequently, a possible relationship between plant AGB and the VI must be investigated and modelled case by case [
45].
Even though there is a significant difference in the
C. edulis classified area between resolutions, the total AGB estimated presented similar values for the 2.5 and 5 cm GSD, yet a considerably different value for the 10 cm GSD images. For the above-mentioned reasons, the AGB estimates for the 2.5 cm resolution images were considered the most accurate. In comparison, the 5 cm GSD
C. edulis area was 25% smaller but the AGB 3% larger, and the 10 cm GSD area was 33% smaller, with a 22% smaller AGB. These values show that the discrepancy in the results of the classified areas is somewhat compensated for by the estimated vegetation densities, obtained from the empirical model, as the AGB per square meter was higher for the aeroplane images than for the UAV images (
Table 5).
To investigate alternative calculations for the AGB estimation, a comparison was undertaken between the already-presented total AGB obtained using the VI of individual classified
C. edulis pixels and the total AGB derived using the mean VI in conjunction with the reference raster-estimated
C. edulis area. The results (
Table 5) suggest that the mean VI and the reference raster-estimated area of
C. edulis can reasonably estimate the total AGB in the study area. Even though the errors were higher, since the 95% CI area was used, relative errors of up to 0.17 show that this method might still provide relevant insights. The final result can be compared with the result using the classified area, with both sharing a relevant overlap considering the errors. However, there is a fundamental difference between these estimations; while the total AGB based on the classified area has a geospatial distribution, meaning that it is possible to locate the
C. edulis AGB inside the study area, the total AGB based on the estimated area has no spatiality, it only provides an overall estimate for the total AGB inside the study area.
5.3. Estimation Uncertainties
While this investigation has achieved favourable outcomes in forecasting DWgreen through VIs, uncertainties in the computation of the total aboveground biomass (AGB) have to be recognised. There are the widely acknowledged uncertainties inherent to classification and regression models. The orthorectification may have uncertainties, although, as the visual alignment with the sample areas (squares) displayed in the images suggested, the orthorectification did not have significant errors. And some uncertainties remain unquantifiable. For instance, the WW–DW ratio demonstrates a linear correlation, and employing a mean ratio can be a reasonable approximation. Nevertheless, this approach involves many variables that exhibit spatial and temporal variations. For instance, certain plants may thrive in more humid microenvironments compared to others, and their life stages may also differ, potentially affecting the ratio.
An even higher uncertainty is associated with the morphology of C. edulis, characterised by the presence of two distinct layers: an upper succulent green layer and a drier brown layer. This peculiarity poses a considerable challenge when estimating the AGB for a generic location using a model-based approach. Notably, no identifiable correlation was noticed between DWgreen and DWbrown, and all the regression models presented p-values greater than 0.05. Consequently, the most viable approach used a mean ratio as the best estimate. This ratio could be influenced by many factors, including plant age, growth rate, decay velocity, seasonality, and availability of water and light.
The ability to distinguish between various vegetation covers may be more or less successful, depending upon the season and the plants’ state, with spectral signatures likely varying between seasons and across regions. In the current investigation, data collection occurred during the spring season, specifically prior to flowering. This choice was made based on the belief that flowers could potentially influence the classification outcomes and biomass estimation via vegetation indices. However, a recent study [
48], which involved the classification of
C. edulis during the flowering season, revealed that flowers do not pose a significant impact on image classification results.
The estimation of C. edulis’ AGB plays an important role in the management of invasive species, where the biomass estimates offer critical insights for planning and executing removal campaigns. Nonetheless, the approach adopted in this study holds the potential for broader applications, extending beyond C. edulis and can be reproduced with various low-stratum plant species. Furthermore, it can be leveraged for estimating the total carbon content in ecosystems, employing established biomass–carbon correlations.
Moreover, the exploration of the feasibility of constructing a general model for predicting C. edulis DW-VI relationships could be an interesting future investigation. This endeavour requires conducting an array of new tests, mirroring the methodology employed in the current investigation, to recognise potential patterns associating the VIs with the AGB. These future investigations can also search into the utility of VIs for refining land cover classifications, thus assessing their viability in enhancing the identification of C. edulis. Relevant future research may also include an evaluation of the applicability and precision of this methodology using imagery characterised by even lower resolutions, including satellite-based images. Such assessments can serve to monitor the distribution and biomass of C. edulis on a regional scale.