Stochastic Bias Correction and Uncertainty Estimation of Satellite-Retrieved Soil Moisture Products

To apply satellite-retrieved soil moisture to a short-range weather prediction, we review a stochastic approach for reducing foot print scale biases and estimating its uncertainties. First, we discuss a challenge of representativeness errors. Before describing retrieval errors in more detail, we clarify a conceptual difference between error and uncertainty in basic metrological terms of the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), and briefly summarize how current retrieval algorithms deal with a challenge of land surface heterogeneity. As compared to relative approaches such as Triple Collocation, or cumulative distribution function (CDF) matching that aim for climatology stationary errors at time-scale of years, we address a stochastic approach for reducing instantaneous retrieval errors at time-scale of several hours to days. The stochastic approach has a potential as a global scheme to resolve systematic errors introducing from instrumental measurements, geo-physical parameters, and surface heterogeneity across the globe, because it does not rely on the ground measurements or reference data to be compared with.