1. Introduction
Chile has undergone a rapid increase in industrialization over the last 50 years and has achieved a high rating by the Human Development Index [
1]. These economic changes have been linked with a nutrition transition [
2], as the prevalence of stunting in Chile has greatly declined [
3] while the prevalence of childhood obesity more than doubled between 1987 and 2000 [
4]. Data from 2015 suggest as many as a third of middle school children are overweight [
5]. Similar to the rest of the Latin American region [
6,
7], rapid increases in SSB intake have occurred concomitantly with the increases in overweight and obesity. Per capita SSB sales in Chile is the highest of any country (188 kilocalories per capita per day), and Chile also experienced the fastest absolute growth in SSB sales of any country in the world from 2009–2014 (+31 kilocalories per capita per day) [
8]. This is a serious public health concern for Chile as SSBs are associated with obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease risk [
9].
In response to the growing prevalence of obesity, the Chilean government has implemented a number of policies to reduce SSB consumption along with other unhealthy ultra-processed foods among children. First, in October 2014, the government increased its tax on high-sugar beverages from 13% to 18% and decreased its tax on lower-sugar beverages from 13% to 10%. Recent evaluations of this tax found that household purchases of high-sugar beverages decreased about 3% after the tax, and that higher-income households showed greater declines [
10]. Second, in June 2016, the Chilean government implemented marketing and labeling regulations on all foods and beverages containing added sugar, sodium, or saturated fat that exceed nutrient thresholds (
Table S1). Specifically, the marketing regulations restricted the use of child-directed marketing techniques (i.e., the use of characters, movie tie-ins, or other techniques that uniquely appeal to children) and also restricted the advertisement of regulated products on programs and websites with a high proportion of child viewers. The regulations also prohibited the sales and promotion of regulated products in schools [
11]. Packaged products that exceed the nutrient thresholds are required to carry a warning label (an octagon containing the words “high in” sugar, sodium, saturated fat, or calories) to clearly inform consumers of the high energy or nutrient density. While the initial nutrient thresholds were implemented in 2016, the Chilean nutrient thresholds become increasingly strict over time to allow industry manufacturers to reformulate the sugar content of beverage products. The regulations have three phases of implementation, with each phase lowering the critical nutrient thresholds for regulation (
Table S1). The third and final phase of regulations will be implemented in June 2019.
Despite the rapid implementation of these policies to reduce SSB intake, levels of SSB consumption among children and adolescents after the tax but before the marketing, labeling, and school regulations is unknown. Understanding Chilean children’s SSB intakes prior to the implementation of these policies is important as a baseline measurement to which future changes in intake can be compared. Second, and more generally, understanding SSB intakes in childhood and adolescence is especially important, as SSB intake in these groups is associated with obesity and greater adult weight gain later in life [
12,
13,
14].
The objectives of this study were to examine SSB intake in two cohorts of Chilean preschoolers and adolescents using data from 24-h recalls collected in 2016, after the SSB tax but before the marketing, labeling, and school restrictions, and to determine the proportion of beverages which would be regulated under the new Chilean policies. Aggregate sales data from Euromonitor International were also provided to present national-level beverage sales trends.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Sample
Data were obtained in 2016 from two longitudinal cohort studies: the Food Environment Chilean Cohort (FEChiC) which consists of children between 3 to 5 years of age and the Growth and Obesity Chilean Cohort Study (GOCS) which consists of adolescents now 12 to 14 years of age; both cohorts represent low–middle income Chilean population.
The Growth and Obesity Chilean Cohort Study (GOCS) began in 2006 as part of a collaboration between the Chilean National Preschool Program (JUNJI) and the Chilean National School Board Program (JUNAEB). Children recruited to participate in the study were between the ages of 2.6 and 4.0 years in that year and attended the kindergartens of six counties (“comunas”) in the South-East area of Santiago, Chile. The cohort has since grown to 26 counties in Santiago, and approximately two thirds of the children are from South-East Santiago. Children were invited to participate if they were singleton births, had a birth weight between 2500 and 4500 g, and did not have any physical and psychological conditions that could affect their growth. Further details on recruitment have been previously described [
15].
FEChiC is a new cohort that began in 2016. Children and their mothers were recruited using a similar approach as the GOCS participants, by working in partnership with JUNAEB, from 15 public nursery schools in the southeast area of Santiago, Chile. Children from participating schools were invited to join the cohort if they were single births and did not have any physical and psychological conditions that could affect their growth. Inclusion criteria required that they be singleton births, that they did not have any mental disabilities, and they were free from gastrointestinal diseases that could affect dietary habits and behaviors. In addition, mothers were required to be the main person responsible for feeding their children to ensure they could provide accurate information about their children’s dietary intake. Informed consent was obtained for both cohorts from the parents or guardians of the children. Study protocols for both cohorts were approved by the Ethics Committee of the Institute of Nutrition and Food Technology (INTA).
2.2. Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria
2.2.1. FEChiC
From the FEChiC cohort (3 to 5 years of age), dietary intake information was collected from 961 children. Three of the children were excluded for having implausible 24-h dietary recalls, defined as a total energy intake below 400 kilocalories (kcal) per day. After exclusions, there were 958 children 3 to 5 years of age in the final baseline sample for 2016.
2.2.2. GOCS
From the GOCS cohort (12 to 14 years of age), dietary data were collected from 768 adolescents. One adolescent was excluded for an implausible 24-h dietary recall, which reported a total energy intake of zero kilocalories. After this exclusion, 767 adolescents 12 to 14 years of age were included in the analysis.
2.3. Assessment of Dietary Intake
Dietary data were collected by trained nutritionists following a standardized 24-h recall method during scheduled visits of participants to CEDINTA (diagnostic center) during 2016. For preschool children, mothers primarily reported their child’s dietary intake, and the children helped assist with any missing details. To assist with estimation of portion size, the dietary assessment uses the Photographic Atlas of Chilean Food and Typical Preparations [
16], and the School Feeding Program (PAE) draft of JUNAEB. The collection process is performed using the 5-step multiple pass method assisted by software developed for this purpose (SER 24) following the USDA’s multiple-pass method [
17]. The software links food and beverage names reported in dietary recalls to nutrient profile data in the USDA Food Composition Databases [
18]. If a Chilean beverage did not exist in the USDA Food Composition Databases, then the closest possible match was selected on the basis of the most similar nutrient profile.
In 20% of the sample, a second recall was collected within the next month to assess variability. In cases where there were two dietary recalls, the recall rated as more reliable was chosen. This was determined according to whether it was a special occasion (such as a birthday or party), reported as eating more or less than usual, or rated by the nutritionist administering the recall as having low reliability. If neither of the days was rated as having lower reliability, the first recall day was chosen for consistency.
2.4. Beverage Classification System
To group beverages, we used a system previously developed to classify SSBs in the US [
19] and Mexico [
20], but adapted to the Chilean context. This allows us to compare beverage categories across countries while also ensuring that the beverage groups reflect Chilean’s typical beverage consumption patterns and that nutritionally similar beverages are grouped together. We classified beverages into seven broad categories: (1) Water (bottled or tap) and flavored water; (2) energy and sport drinks; (3) sodas; (4) fruit and vegetable juice drinks; (5) coffee and tea; (6) dairy based beverages and dairy substitutes (will be referred to as “dairy and substitutes”); (7) special formula and nutritional supplements. The water category contains tap, purified, or bottled water as well as industrialized flavored waters. For waters, coffee, and tea, only those which are ready to drink and include added sugar can be subject to regulations because addition of sugar after purchases was not considered in the regulation. Special formula and nutritional supplements (SFNS) include all infant, toddler (e.g., Pediasure), maternal, elderly (e.g., Ensure) special milks and nutritional supplements intended to meet the nutritional requirements for that time of life. Dairy and substitutes includes milk modifiers such as Nesquik, Milo, and Cola Cao.
Table S2 contains descriptions of each beverage analysis category.
Each of these categories was further designated as either regulated or unregulated according to the critical nutrient thresholds in Chilean law, making a total of 14 categories into which all beverages were included. The term regulated refers to those products that would be considered regulated under the first phase of the Chilean law implemented in 2016. These beverages would be banned from marketing to children, from being sold in school, and, if packaged, would receive a front-of-package warning label(s). These products had either added sugars, sodium, or saturated fats and exceed the thresholds for kilocalories (kcal), sodium, saturated fats, or sugars of the first phase of the law (
Table S1). In addition, the nutrition thresholds become stronger over time, with more stringent thresholds implemented in 2018 and 2019. Thus, we also conducted analyses in which we assigned regulation status using the 2019 nutrition criteria in order to understand the proportion of beverages in our sample that would be regulated under the final phase of the regulation. Beverages that did not have added sugars, sodium, or saturated fats or did not exceed these thresholds were placed in the “unregulated” category in this analysis. This applied to beverages such as 100% juice, which contained sugars but no added sugars, and was therefore classified as unregulated. For beverages, sugar was the most common nutrient or ingredient that caused a beverage to exceed thresholds and be classified as regulated. Given that our main results refer to the regulation status of beverages that were consumed before the 2016 regulations were implemented, we will interpret our results as reflective of beverages that would be subject to regulations once they were implemented later that year.
Powdered beverages were reconstituted to reflect actual intake, based on being mixed with water. Powdered beverages included: powdered milk, coffee, tea, industrialized flavored waters prepared from powder, and milk modifiers. To reconstitute, first all powders were identified (e.g., “leche en polvo” is powdered milk). Next, if there was a liquid present at the same meal, then the liquid was combined with the powder to represent the beverage as consumed. Estimates for coffee and tea consumption included sugar that was added at the time of consumption. However, coffees and teas that contained sugar added by the consumer were not considered a regulated beverage because sugar was added after the product was purchased.
2.5. Sociodemographic Variables
Mother’s education was used as a proxy for socioeconomic status (SES) because we have found that mother’s education is a key determinant of a child’s diet. Mothers’ highest levels of education were categorized into three groups: less than high school complete, high school complete, and more than high school (i.e., the mother is either in pursuit of or has completed educational training beyond high school). Other SES related variables available in the data included home ownership and car ownership.
2.6. Beverage Sales Data
Data on beverage volume sales from Chile were retrieved from the Passport Global Market of Euromonitor International from 2003–2017 to provide context to the overall beverage consumption patterns at the national level in Chile over the past decade [
21]. Euromonitor mainly collects data on major brands and retail sales, acquired from the major global and national beverage companies. This includes key brands but does not include small local companies. All sales are updated at the end of the year and represent aggregate sales data for both on-trade and off-trade sales for the entire country of Chile. Off-trade sales are those that occur in retail locations such as supermarkets, and on-trade sales occur in bars, restaurants, and cafes. Previous work has discussed these methods in greater detail [
8]. Beverage classification groups used by Euromonitor International [
21] are provided in
Table S3.
For overall sales of regular and low calorie sodas versus bottled water, we analyzed sales trends of three main groups: total bottled water, SSBs, and low calorie (diet) cola carbonates. The category SSBs includes regular cola carbonates, non-cola carbonates, liquid concentrates, powder concentrates, juice drinks up to 24% juice, nectars (25–99% juice), ready-to-drink (RTD) coffee, RTD tea, and sports and energy drinks. 100% juice was analyzed as a separate group as it does not involve added sugar. Volume sales reported are total volume sales, which includes both on-trade and off-trade sources. Trends in beverage sales are displayed for SSBs versus diet carbonates and bottled waters, followed by trends in SSB categories other than carbonated sodas.
2.7. Statistical Analysis
All analyses were performed using Stata 15 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA). Sociodemographic characteristics of the two study populations, including BMI-for-age
z-score were originally tabulated in Stata and presented in
Table 1. To describe beverage intake, mean volume (mL) and energy (kilocalories) intake per capita and per consumer for each beverage category were calculated using multiple linear regression models adjusted means for sex, age, mother’s education, total energy intake, and day of intake (weekday/weekend) in each age group (children 3 to 5 years of age and adolescents 12 to 14 years of age). We performed a sensitivity analysis that examined whether there were differences in mean intake for any beverage categories comparing weekdays versus weekends. We found that some groups had statistically significant differences in mean intakes, and as a result of this sensitivity analysis, models included a binary variable to adjust for whether dietary recall was collected on a weekday versus a weekend. Separate linear regression models were used to test for differences by sex and mother’s education, with beverage intake category (i.e., regulated or unregulated beverages) as the dependent variable. Total energy was controlled for in analyses that measured absolute intakes to ensure that differences in beverages intakes were not due to differences in total dietary energy intake. Graphs of results from Euromonitor were generated using Microsoft Excel version 16.16.3 (Microsoft, King County, WA, USA) after annual beverage sales data were retrieved from the Passport Global Market of Euromonitor International [
21].
4. Discussion
A key finding of this study is that there was a decline (8.2%) in per capita SSB consumption in Chile from 2013–2017. In absolute terms, since 2013, SSB sales have decreased 35 mL per capita per day while bottled waters and diet cola carbonates have increased 19 and 16 mL per capita per day, respectively. These amounts suggest that a small shift may be occurring in Chile away from some SSB sales which are being substituted for diet carbonates and bottled water products. These trends are in concordance with recent evidence that the tax on high-sugar SSBs implemented in October 2014 led to small decreases in purchases over the next year and increases in bottled water [
10].
However, SSB consumption remains high, with SSB consumption approximately seven times that of diet carbonates and nearly five times that of bottled waters [
21]. Overall, approximately a quarter of calories in the diets of the children and about a sixth in adolescent diets came from beverages. In children aged 4–6, the greatest contribution to beverage calories came from regulated dairy beverages and substitutes followed by unregulated dairy beverages and substitutes, and in adolescents 12 to 14 years of age the greatest contribution to beverage calories came from regulated carbonated sodas.
A key objective of this study was to examine whether the beverages that children consumed in early 2016, prior to the implementation of the Chilean regulations on marketing and labeling in June 2016, would be subject to the regulation according to the 2016 nutrient criteria. The regulation was implemented in Chile at the end of June 2016, after which all regulated beverages were subject to marketing restrictions, banned from being sold in schools, and, if packaged, received a warning label. The timing of this analysis is important because it provides a baseline for understanding beverage consumption patterns in 2016 prior to the regulations, enabling future studies of how beverage intake changed after the regulations. Future studies will be needed to evaluate changes in SSB consumption as a result of the Chilean regulations.
A key result of this study is that regulated beverages contributed more calories than unregulated beverages for preschoolers (185 kcal per capita from regulated compared to 139 kcal per capita from unregulated;
Table S4) and for adolescents (174 kcal per capita from regulated compared to 87 kcal per capita from unregulated;
Table S5). This is in concordance with previous work that found high sugary beverage consumption in Chilean children, including the national Food Consumption Survey In Chile (ENCA) 2010–2012, which found that 92% of Chilean school children consume some amount of sugar sweetened beverages daily, with a median intake of 424 mL [
22].
As a baseline analysis, this study suggests that the new Chilean marketing and front-of-package (FOP) labeling regulations are targeting a large portion of beverage calories in the Chilean diet. Experimental settings of FOP labeling show that simple, clear labeling schemes are linked to increased understanding and use, particularly among those who are interested in healthy eating and losing weight [
23,
24]. The simplicity of nutrition labels has also associated with greater improvements in nutrition understanding among lower socioeconomic status groups compared to more complex labels [
25], and overall FOP labels with a simple format are easier to evaluate than more complex ones [
26]. This evidence suggests that the straightforward warning labels for the high critical nutrients in Chile may facilitate understanding and behavior change better than in other countries with more complex labels, but more studies will be needed to determine the effects of the package of regulations that were implemented in 2016.
When comparing the consumption of total regulated versus total unregulated beverage categories, there were few differences in regulated or unregulated consumption when analyzed by sex or socioeconomic level, except for one finding of a lower regulated beverage consumption by adolescents with the highest educated mothers. This is a similar result to a study using data from ENCA 2010 that found higher consumption of certain SSB types in children from lower socioeconomic level households [
22]. Male adolescents consumed more calories from regulated beverages compared to females, but calories from regulated beverages did not differ when adjusted for total energy, which suggests the greater regulated beverage consumption may be due to greater total energy intake and not differences in consumption patterns. This finding agrees with previous work that found no sex differences in SSB intake in Chilean schoolchildren [
22].
One of the major findings is that dairy is consumed in high quantities, particularly in the younger cohort. This is important because so few countries have chosen to consider dairy products under the sugar-sweetened beverage category that most tax and regulate, including dairy drinks with added sugars. Although they remain untaxed also in Chile, dairy drinks with added sugar are regulated and will be subject to marketing restrictions, school sales restrictions, and front of package label warnings if they exceed nutrient levels established by the Chilean law. Subsequent evaluations of the Chilean regulations may provide a unique opportunity to understand one option for countries to use in addressing dairy products with excessive or any added sugar in the future.
Another interesting result of comparing Euromonitor data to the dietary intake data in these two cohorts is the difference in consumption of energy drinks in the children versus the sales of energy drinks in the general population. In relative terms, energy drinks are the fastest growing beverage category according to Euromonitor data, but intake remains negligible in children and small in adolescents. This presents an opportunity for prevention in the youth if prevention is possible before the youth begin to drink energy drinks in large amounts.
This study has several limitations. One limitation of this study is that the nutrient data associated with the standardized 24-h dietary recalls is linked with USDA nutrient data and not a Chilean food composition table. Although all food and beverage items have been matched with the best possible listing in the USDA food composition table, this is a source of measurement error in our results because there may be differences in nutrient composition for certain foods in the US and Chilean food supplies. However, despite these limitations, packaged beverages are more similar and easier to match than foods, which often require creating recipes to group individual ingredients. We have now collected nutrient data from more than 15,000 food products including beverages so future studies will be able to assess the potential impact of using USDA nutrient data. Other sources of measurement error are those inherent to using a 24-h recall to assess dietary intake. For example, even if the diet interview was deemed to be reflective of a typical day, people do not typically consume the same foods and beverages every single day, and therefore some participants may have been non-consumers of regulated beverages even if they typically consume them. Such episodically consumed foods may not be captured as well using a 24-h dietary recall versus other methods of diet assessment such as food frequency questionnaires. Although not the focus of this analysis, our data may have limited power to detect differences in estimated beverage intake between subgroups in our two cohorts. The small effect sizes and large standard errors reported in this study make it less likely to detect a statistically significant difference if one truly exists. To improve these limitations related to both repeated measures of dietary intake and study power, a larger national sample that is representative with repeated days of recall will be needed to understand usual intake and understand whether there are differences in sex and mother’s education or other measures of socioeconomic status. This would include a proportionate representative sample of weekends and holidays in order to understand usual intake of SSBs. In addition, methods such as the National Cancer Institute method for usual intake assessment could be adapted for use in this data. These data are also collected from children and adolescents from low and middle income households living in the South East of Santiago, the capital city of Chile. Therefore, these children may not be representative of the dietary habits of all children living in other regions of Santiago, and there may also be differences in SSB consumption for urban versus rural households that we are not able to determine with these data.
The main strength of this study is that it provides a baseline measurement of SSB intake in Chilean children and adolescents after the 2014 SSB tax increase but before the regulations on marketing, labeling, and school sales went into effect in June 2016. This is important because baseline measurements will be needed to determine the effects of the marketing, labeling, and sales regulations that occurred after the SSB tax. The strength of including data from Euromonitor International in this paper is that it provides additional information about the national level beverage sales in Chile. Both of these sources of data will be valuable moving forward in evaluating the effects of the marketing, labeling, and sales restrictions on beverage intake in Chile.