3.3. Rheological Parameters and RSM Study
It is vital to understand the correlation between shear stress and the shear rate in order to analyze the behavior of a drilling mud and its potential to suspend and carry drilled cuttings. The development of an appropriate rheological model is essential for a comprehensive description of the rheological properties of drilling muds. Drilling fluids are non-Newtonian in nature, showing a non-linear relationship between shear rate and shear stress. In this work, three mud blends including CMTS 0 (Control), CMTS 1, and CMTS 5 were selected for rheological modeling. In the first blend, no CMTS was added, while in CMTS 1 and CMTS 5, the concentrations of 1 ppb and 5 ppb were added. The rheometer readings in terms of shear stress and shear rate were plotted and are presented in
Figure 5a–c. The figures show a nonlinear relationship between shear stress and the shear rate. After comparing the rheograms, it was found that the shear stress values of the CMTS 5 sample were higher than those of CMTS 0 and CMTS 1. This is due to the increased flow resistance caused by the higher starch content in the mud.
The obtained modeling parameters of each model are given in
Table 4. From the obtained data, it was concluded that all studied samples’ data were best fitted with the Power law model (PLM) with R
2 values of 0.99, 0.97, and 0.99 for CMTS 0, CMTS 1, and CMTS 5, respectively. The flow behavior indices for the samples were 0.30, 0.23, and 0.21, while the consistency indices were 5.6, 12.2, and 15.12 for CMTS 0, CMTS 1, and CMTS 5, respectively. From the obtained data, it was noticed that the value of the flow behavior index was reduced with an increase in the CMTS concentration. On the other hand, the introduction of starch enhanced the consistency index of the blends.
None of the studied mud samples showed an agreement with the Bingham plastic model because all the blends showed the R
2 value to be less than 0.80 when fitted with the Bingham model. The
n and k values for all the mud blends showed almost the same behavior of pseudoplasticity (
Table 4).
3.4. Model Fitting and Statistical Analysis
Different models (linear, 2FI, quadratic, cubic, and quartic models) were fitted with the experimentally obtained data to opt for the most appropriate regression equations. In
Table 5, the efficacy of each model is given in terms of various parameters. Both the R
2 and
p-value were taken into consideration for the selection of the most suitable model for the studied responses. According to this criterion, the model would not be acceptable if the R
2 value is close to one, whereas the
p-value is not significant and vice versa. Based on the above criterion, the best statistical models were quadratic and cubic for PV and YP, respectively. Similarly, the lack of fit was insignificant for both models.
The model selection has been made as suggested by the RSM tool. In terms of coded factors, the obtained final equations are given below:
where
X1 and
X2 represent the CMTS concentration and temperature, respectively.
The model adequacy was further evaluated through an analysis of variance. Here, the quadratic and cubic regression coefficients, as well as the correlation between the variables in the model, were calculated. At a
p-value (probability of error value) of <0.05, each independent factor’s effect was considered significant. The
p-value represents each regression coefficient’s significance (i.e., the interaction effect of each cross product). The significance of the regression coefficient is inversely related to the
p-value.
Table 5 summarizes the ANOVA details for the model’s regression. For both models, the lower error probability value indicated that the generated models were statistically significant for describing the experimental results.
It is considered that the model with a higher coefficient of determination value, “R
2”, can have high levels of multicollinearity which validates the regression models. In the current work, the standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the model were insignificant; thus, the models were considered adequate to predict the rheological properties of the formulated mud, with an acceptable adjusted R
2 value. The R
2 and adjusted R
2 values are given in
Table 6.
Here, for the plastic viscosity, the predicted R
2 of 0.896 is in close agreement with the adjusted R
2 of 0.922, suggesting that the difference is <0.2. Besides, the adequate precision which measures the signal to noise ratio for plastic viscosity was found to be 28.88, which is higher than 4, which is desirable. Hence the generated model can be applied to navigate the design space. Likewise, for the yield point, the predicted R
2 of 0.947 is in reasonable agreement with the adjusted R
2 of 0.983; i.e., the difference is <0.2. Moreover, the adequate precision for the yield point was reported to be 42.04. Thus, the generated model for YP can be considered appropriate for the design space. These findings were in close agreement with the results reported by Betiha, et al. [
28].
Figure 6a,b illustrates the plot of the predicted versus actual values of the responses. The predicted values were uniformly and closely distributed to the actual responses and showed a reasonable agreement (R
2 = 0.93). This showed that the generated regression models can efficiently describe the relationship between the factors and the responses in the studied range. Since the data points are uniformly spread close to or on a straight line, the error is thus negligible within the operational parameter boundaries.
The adequacy of the generated models was also investigated using residuals. It is the difference between the observed and predicted responses. This analysis was accomplished using the normal probability plots as well as residual vs. predicted plots.
Figure 7a,b demonstrates that the errors are normally distributed in a straight line in the normal probability plots of the residuals and are considered trivial. In addition, the plots of residuals vs. predicted responses (
Figure 8a,b) are less organized; they depict that both models are appropriate, and there is no infringement of the concept of independence or continual variance in any model.
Plastic viscosity and the yield point are believed to be the most essential rheological parameters of drilling muds. The CMTS concentration was observed to influence the performance of the drilling mud formulations significantly.
Figure 9 presents the 3D response surface plots that show the interaction effect on the plastic viscosity in terms of the CMTS concentration and temperature. In
Figure 9a, it was determined that the plastic viscosity was reduced with an increase in the hot roll temperature, demonstrating an inverse relationship. This decline is due to the partial thermal degradation of the xanthan gum and starch in the mud. However, the PV was found to be maximum with the highest CMTS concentration used in this study at a temperature of 180 °F. Below 180 °F, the increase in the CMTS concentration also increased the PV values, showing no adverse effect of temperature on the modified starch in this range. This increase in PV values is attributed to the fact that the starch granules become soluble in the mentioned range, which further aids in the increase in overall viscosity of the fluid by developing a gel-like structure with other additives. However, above 180 °F, the plastic viscosity showed an inverse relationship with the temperature. The combined effect of the CMTS concentration and temperature on PV is prominent in comparison with an individual effect. Furthermore, owing to the thermal degradation of the mud samples’ components, shear stress values reduced as the temperature rose for all the samples. All the obtained PV values were within the API’s suggested range when the modified starch was used as a potential additive. Since the minimum PV is often recommended in drilling operations in order to accelerate the rate of penetration (ROP), lower energy is required for mud circulation, and this provides efficient cooling and lubrication features for the downhole tools.
Similarly, the potential of the drilling mud to take the drilled cuttings from the annulus can be determined by the YP values, which should be fairly strong for the proper transport of the cuttings. It is an indicator of the drilling mud’s thixotropic characteristics at flow conditions, and its value can be regulated using different chemical additives. High YP values, however, produce additional pump pressure which should be prevented. Under flowing conditions, the yield strength is dependent on the electro-chemical charges in the drilling fluid.
Figure 9b shows the combined effect of the CMTS concentration and temperature on the yield point of the mud blends. It was found that the yield point values are decreasing with an increase in temperature. An increased YP value was induced by the predominance of an attraction between the solid particles present in the mud. Conversely, a reduction in the yield point value was observed when repulsive forces prevailed. Since the yield point of WBM is proportional to its PV, thus the influence of temperature on the YP is identical to the influence of temperature on the PV. The maximum YP value in the current study was recorded at the highest CMTS concentration with a temperature of 180 °F. The YP value of the control mud at 240 °F was 7 lb/100 ft
2, while at the same temperature, CMTS showed an improved YP of 19 lb/100 ft
2. It is worth mentioning that the optimum YP values of the CMTS based mud blends remained in the range recommended by API standards.
3.5. Numerical Optimization and Confirmation
After evaluating the impact of each factor on the selected responses, numerical optimization was performed to generate a combination of factors using the software. The range of the factors (CMTS concentration and temperature) was set between lower and upper levels, which were coded to cover a broad range. All the factors were ranged, while a target for PV was set as 15 cP.
Table 7 summarizes the input parameters.
The desirability function (D) was applied to define an appropriate solution to establish the optimal conditions. The overall desirability (D) is the geometric (multiplicative) mean of all individual desirabilities (
di) that range from 0 (least) to 1 (most). The following equation was used for the desirability function.
where
n is the number of responses.
Using the DOE software, various sets of optimum operating variables and corresponding parameters were generated. To reflect the accuracy between the experimental findings and suggested solutions, the desirability of the optimal solutions was found to be 0.70. The parameters’ optimization solutions are given in
Figure 10 and
Table 8.
Confirmation of the models was performed by conducting extra experiments by selecting the new CMTS concentration and temperature. The CMTS concentration and temperature were set to 3.5 ppb and 250 °F, respectively. Three extra experimental runs were performed, and the obtained data are presented in
Table 9.
All the obtained results showed a good agreement with the predicted mean which showed the accuracy of the generated models.
Overall, the rheological properties in terms of plastic viscosity and the yield point were improved by utilizing the modified starch. The improvement was due to the enhanced solubility and thermal stability at higher temperature conditions. The emergence of new groups improved the suspension capabilities of the bentonite free mud system. In addition, such muds could improve the rate of penetration as well as the reduced formation damage which is caused due to the filtration of solids into the exposed formation. Furthermore, the generated empirical models were found adequate based on the insignificant p values and highest R2 values.