1. Introduction
Scaling is an essential feature of many phenomena ranging from those of cosmology to those of quantum physics [
1]. Many human activities, from the stock market [
2] to ecology [
3] and many more, are also impacted by scaling. The science of scaling “helps reveal what factors determine … the …level of impact in a different place, in a different situation, and with a different population. How big is it? How long does it last? These are [some of] the most basic questions a scientist can ask.” ([
4], p. 107).
With respect to direct physical impacts on mankind, this is especially true for rainfall. Moreover, it has been shown [
5] that the temporal and spatial structures of rain are not equivalent because they are orthogonal dimensions but also in part because the unknown advection of the rain affects the temporal observations. Furthermore, until recently [
6], studies of spatial scaling have all been confined to the surface. However, the vertical dimension retains particular relevance not only with respect to the evolution of rain but also because observations at the surface are only an ambiguous expression of what is happening aloft. That is, the structure and statistical characteristic above the ground will not necessarily be unambiguously reflected on the surface because of storm motion and boundary layer surface winds. Furthermore, rain evolves as it descends, altering what is seen aloft from what may appear at the ground. Thus, in general, the physical/statistical structure and scales at the surface will likely be somewhat different from those observed in the vertical [
6]. Thus, combining observations in both dimensions may yield more generally applicable results.
However, whether in the vertical or horizontal, the different scales of rainfall are obvious even to the most casual observer. Specifically, proceeding from the smallest scales we have, soil erosion (e.g., [
7]) and agricultural run-off and pollution, up to larger scales which influence flash flooding and urban water management (e.g., [
8]), and finally up to the largest scales (e.g., [
9]) which play a major role in the world climate. Consequently, downscaling—going from the large dimensions of, for example, a numerical model, a measurement using a spaceborne instrument [
10], or even a coarse resolution radar measurement down to smaller scales [
11]—and upscaling—going from essentially point measurements, such as using a rain gauge or disdrometer up to the larger scales just mentioned [
12,
13]—are both equally important depending upon the situation.
In the literature, there is an assortment of techniques for downscaling, such as the so-called multiplicative cascading method [
14,
15,
16] with improvements proposed by Seed et al. [
17]. An alternative approach that reproduces the observed power spectrum uses the observed correlation functions (when valid) or the power spectrum [
12,
13,
18] to downscale observations to smaller domains while maintaining the physical and statistical character of the observed rain. This will be illustrated in
Appendix A.
Methods for upscaling, however, are more limited, although a few exist. Some involve smoothing [
19] or Kriging of the observations [
19,
20]. The primary limitation of such techniques is that they are filters of the power spectra [
21] leading to a reduction of information as discussed in [
22]. A different approach uses the Bayesian components of the rainfall and the observed power spectrum (or correlation function for statistically homogeneous rain) to generate rain over many different scales with the appropriate statistical properties consistent with the observations [
12]. This will be briefly mentioned in
Appendix A as well with appropriate references for the interested reader to pursue.
Regardless of methodology, however, the statistical properties of the rain must be properly characterized and preserved. In the next sections, we report on improved re-analyses of time–height observations presented in [
6] to produce radial power functions for scaling, which more accurately represent the data. In this work, results are presented using micro-rain radar (MRR) vertical-pointing Doppler radar observations in four cases in two different locations using two different radars—three from observations at the NASA Wallop’s Island Virginia facility and the other from measurements collected using the College of Charleston’s MRR radar near Charleston, South Carolina. An example of downscaling using a similar but not identical power law fit is given in an appendix with references to view for upscaling examples.
Time–height data are challenging since in the spatial dimension, power spectra yield the number of waves per unit length, while in the temporal dimension, the power spectra yield the frequency. In order to determine the spatial radial power spectra used to perform the rainfall rescaling. (the power spectrum as a function of distance along any radial) for all directions, the two must be combined [
21]. The radial power spectrum is calculated by first computing the 2D horizontal–vertical coordinate system of the original 2D power spectrum using the fft2 routine in Matlab
® and then multiplying by its complex conjugate. This 2D power spectrum of values in (Δz, Δh) coordinates is then converted into 2D polar coordinate system of (Δr, Δθ) values of the power spectrum. Finally, the radial power spectra can then be computed by integrating over all the angles Δθ for each Δr. The first-order standard approach for transforming time to space is to use an average advection velocity for the storm combined with Taylor’s frozen turbulence hypothesis. The frozen turbulence advection velocity is that velocity that transform the turbulence spectra in time to that in space. In one horizontal dimension, the velocity becomes a speed. In past work, this was performed arbitrarily so that the quality of the results was uncertain even if it was “reasonable”. As we show below, there is a much better, more objective approach for better estimating an advection speed consistent with frozen turbulence that involves comparing the independent spatial and advection transformed temporal spectra. This likely differs from an estimate of a storm’s advection velocity based upon the movement of storm features undergoing constant changes since frozen turbulence is not identical to frozen structures. Importantly, under conditions with a proper advection speed, time–height profiles using one radar can offer observations over a large spatial domain when more expensive networks of instruments are not available. This is further developed in the next section.
2. Background
2.1. Basic Considerations
In order to be able to fully scale the rain rate,
R, in any spatial direction, it is most useful to have access to the radial power spectra that, in the case of statistically homogeneous rain, can also be transformed into the radial correlation function. (e.g., for a discussion, see [
23]. Accomplishing estimates of the rainfall rates at high resolution is a challenging task that is perhaps best addressed using vertical-pointing Doppler radar data in rain. Thus, one of the most potentially useful radars for collecting such observations in a number of different locations and meteorological settings is the micro-rain radar (MRR) described in [
24]. This is a lightweight, highly transportable, low-power, vertical-pointing continuous wave radar operating at a frequency of 24.23 GHz.
There are challenges, however. The rainfall rate is calculated from the drop sizes deduced from the Doppler spectra using well-established relations between the fall speed of a drop and its size [
25] with the drop concentration determined from the radar backscatter cross-section in relation to drop size for the particular wavelength being used. Both of these quantities (the apparent fall speed and observed radar backscattered power), however, require adjustments. In particular, the observed Doppler velocity is the sum of the true fall speed of the drop and the vertical air motion, which must be removed in order to estimate the correct drop fall speed and size. Similarly, at the wavelength of the MRR instrument, attenuation by the rain can become significant at times depending upon the rain intensity and distance of the sampling bin (range) from the radar. Both of these concerns have been addressed in [
6], so an interested reader can refer to that paper for elaboration. Here, we take the deduced rainfall rates from that work for the data mentioned above and use them for further analyses.
The challenge explored in this work is how best to address the fact that space and time are orthogonal dimensions such that a method must be identified in order to combine measurements in each. That is, radar time–height observations are the sequential temporal measurements of the rainfall rate, R, at each sampling bin spatially sequentially in the vertical. For the data used here, data were collected over 10 m depths from about 30 m above the ground up to a height of 1280 m. At each location the Doppler spectra and radar backscattered powers were measured over sequential 10 s sampling periods for each determination of R at each height and time. Over an interval of observations, these data can then be considered in two ways, namely as a sequential ensemble of vertical spatial profiles or, alternatively, as the ensemble of times series of observations at each height. Using the Fourier transform for each of these, one can compute both the ensemble of vertical spatial power spectra and, simultaneously, a different ensemble of the temporal power spectra at each height. As we shall see, this allows for a better estimation of the frozen turbulence advection speed.
2.2. An Example
To make this all more concrete, we initially consider the opening 950 s of observations for a line of intense convective rainstorms that passed over the NASA Wallop’s Island Flight Facility on 3 June 2019, as illustrated in
Figure 1.
Hence, over these 900 s of observations collected every 10 s, we obtained 90–128 rainfall rate estimates in height from the Doppler measurements. Therefore, for each of these 10 s periods, we could compute the power of the rainfall rate spectrum as a function of height. Furthermore, corresponding to each height, there would be 90 temporal observations of the rainfall rates. Thus, we could compute the power of the rainfall rate spectrum in time at each height. That is, these data allowed for the generation of 90 power–rainfall rate–distance spectra corresponding to the 90 10 s intervals and 128 power–rainfall rate spectra in time corresponding to each 10 m separation in height. However, since we are most interested in the average properties of all these data, all the power spectra were averaged in their own dimensions to yield the mean power–rainfall rate–height and temporal spectra, as illustrated in
Figure 2.
The two spectra are clearly different. This is, of course, not surprising since one is necessarily expressed as a temporal frequency, while the other is written in terms of the wave number. If one desires to have a radial power spectrum for spatial scaling, is there a way to combine these two observations taken along two different orthogonal axes? To express it slightly differently, can the frequency ω be transformed into reasonable estimates of k? The assumption when trying to make this transformation is that the temporal observations are considering approximately the same phenomenon but along a different axis, i.e., ω = Va × k where Va is defined to be the mean advection speed, providing that it can be determined.
While the motion of the rain is undoubtedly complicated, moving at different speeds at different locations and times, the simplest first approximation is to use the Taylor hypothesis that the rain is moving as a whole at Va so that the observed frequencies are truly the consequence of the mean motion of the spatial structures. Can Va be determined?
The answer is yes if a speed can be found that transforms most of the temporal power spectra into something that more closely approximates the observed spatial power spectra. To see how this may work, the temporal power spectra in
Figure 2 were transformed from ω to
k using a range of possible advection velocities. That is, for a particular spatial wavelength, in the temporal domain, the velocity can be viewed as a stretching of the wavelength. Consequently, the transformed wave number will be smaller than in the spatial domain. Another way to consider this is that if the characteristic spatial domain size is
while the total temporal interval of observations is
T, then the equivalent spatial domain size corresponding to
T would be
=
Va ×
T, where
Va is a characteristic advection speed. For a fixed spatial wavelength, λ, then there would be
k =
L/λ number of wavelengths in the spatial domain, but there would be
kω =
/λ such wavelengths in the velocity transformed from the temporal to spatial domain. Hence, the
kω associated with that λ would be much larger than
k, i.e.,
kω = (
/
L) ×
k. Thus, in order to match the two wavenumbers so that they correspond to the same λ,
kω must be multiplied by
L/
, as illustrated in
Figure 3a for this example.
Other examples will be shown below as well, but this velocity also allows us to rescale all the spatial data in
Figure 1, as shown in
Figure 4, thereby reducing the overly exaggerated appearance of the vertical structures.
4. Summary of Results
This work explored, in detail, an option for using time–height Doppler radar spectra for estimating rainfall rate over a large spatial domain in order to compute radial power spectra for any subsequent rescaling of new input observations or numerical model outputs. Using the rainfall rates determined through an earlier analyses of these data [
6], a method was found to convert the temporal observations into spatially equivalent measurements using the concept of a mean advection speed so that the temporal frequency power fluctuations could be interpreted as the temporal reflection of moving spatial structures, thus satisfying the meaning of frozen turbulence. Moreover, under the assumption of approximate spatial isotropy, an optimal physically based advection speed could be estimated by comparing the spatially transformed temporal power spectra to the purely spatial power in the vertical. In each set of data, a unique frozen turbulence advection speed was found such that the total differences between the spatial power spectra and the transformed temporal power spectra were minimized. Using these advection speeds, all of the time–height observations were then converted into vertical and horizontal spatial data, which were subsequently used to compute the spatial radial power spectra for all the different sets of data. In the appendix, an example is provided of how such radial spectra can be used to downscale a uniform mean rainfall rate over a one-kilometer area into a set of statistically homogeneous “data” with the structures of various dimensions consistent with the radial power spectrum.
A significant advantage illustrated by these results is that such data from a single works of instruments in order to determine radial power spectra for rescaling, and it provides observations in the vertical not otherwise possible to obtain. Thus, it opens up the possibility that such measurements may be made in locations where such networks of instrumentation may not even be possible or feasible but also when mobility is important for collecting observations in widely varying meteorological situations.