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Atmosphere

Atmosphere is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal of scientific studies related to the atmosphere published monthly online by MDPI. The Italian Aerosol Society (IAS) and Working Group of Air Quality in European Citizen Science Association (ECSA) are affiliated with Atmosphere and their members receive a discount on the article processing charges.

Open Access— free for readers, with article processing charges (APC) paid by authors or their institutions.
High Visibility: indexed within Scopus, SCIE (Web of Science), Ei Compendex, GEOBASE, GeoRef, Inspec, CAPlus / SciFinder, Astrophysics Data System, and other databases.
Journal Rank: CiteScore - Q2 (Environmental Science (miscellaneous))
Rapid Publication: manuscripts are peer-reviewed and a first decision is provided to authors approximately 16.9 days after submission; acceptance to publication is undertaken in 2.9 days (median values for papers published in this journal in the first half of 2025).
Recognition of Reviewers: reviewers who provide timely, thorough peer-review reports receive vouchers entitling them to a discount on the APC of their next publication in any MDPI journal, in appreciation of the work done.
Testimonials: See what our editors and authors say about Atmosphere.
Companion journals for Atmosphere include: Meteorology and Aerobiology.

Impact Factor: 2.3 (2024); 5-Year Impact Factor: 2.5 (2024)

Imprint Information Journal Flyer Open Access ISSN: 2073-4433

Latest Articles

19 pages, 9733 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Complementary Relationship-Based Validation and Analysis of Evapotranspiration in the Permafrost Region of the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau

by Wenjun Yu, Yining Xie, Yanzhong Li, Amit Kumar, Wei Shao and Yonghua Zhao

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 932; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080932 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025

The Complementary Relationship (CR) principle of evapotranspiration provides an efficient approach for estimating actual evapotranspiration (ET_a), owing to its simplified computation and effectiveness in utilizing meteorological factors. Accurate estimation of actual evapotranspiration (ET_a) is crucial for understanding surface energy [...] Read more.

The Complementary Relationship (CR) principle of evapotranspiration provides an efficient approach for estimating actual evapotranspiration (ET_a), owing to its simplified computation and effectiveness in utilizing meteorological factors. Accurate estimation of actual evapotranspiration (ET_a) is crucial for understanding surface energy and water cycles, especially in permafrost regions. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of two Complementary Relationship (CR)-based methods—Bouchet’s in 1963 and Brutsaert’s in 2015—for estimating ETa on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP), using observations from Eddy Covariance (EC) systems. The potential evapotranspiration (ET_p) was calculated using the Penman equation with two wind functions: the Rome wind function and the Monin–Obukhov Similarity Theory (MOST). The comparison revealed that Bouchet’s method underestimated ET_a during frozen soil periods and overestimated it during thawed periods. In contrast, Brutsaert’s method combined with the MOST yielded the lowest RMSE values (0.67–0.70 mm/day) and the highest correlation coefficients (r > 0.85), indicating superior performance. Sensitivity analysis showed that net radiation (Rn) had the strongest influence on ET_a, with a daily sensitivity coefficient of up to 1.35. This study highlights the improved accuracy and reliability of Brutsaert’s CR method in cold alpine environments, underscoring the importance of considering freeze–thaw dynamics in ET modeling. Future research should incorporate seasonal calibration of key parameters (e.g., ε) to further reduce uncertainty. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

27 pages, 15404 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Machine-Learning Models for Surface Ozone Forecast in Mexico City

by Mateen Ahmad, Bernhard Rappenglück, Olabosipo O. Osibanjo and Armando Retama

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 931; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080931 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025

Mexico City frequently experiences high near-surface ozone concentrations, and exposure to elevated near-surface ozone causes harmful effects to the inhabitants and the environment of Mexico City. This necessitates developing models for Mexico City that predict near-surface ozone levels in advance. Such models are [...] Read more.

Mexico City frequently experiences high near-surface ozone concentrations, and exposure to elevated near-surface ozone causes harmful effects to the inhabitants and the environment of Mexico City. This necessitates developing models for Mexico City that predict near-surface ozone levels in advance. Such models are crucial for regulatory procedures and can save a great deal of near-surface ozone detrimental effects by serving as early warning systems. We utilize three machine-learning models, trained on seven-year data (2015–2021) and tested on one-year data (2022), to forecast the near-surface ozone concentrations. The trained models predict the next day’s 24-h near-surface ozone concentrations for up to one month; before forecasting the following months, the models are trained again and updated. Based on prediction results, the convolutional neural network outperforms the rest of the models on a yearly scale with an index of agreement of 0.93 for three stations, 0.92 for nine stations, and 0.91 for one station. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Air Pollution Data Analysis: From Classical Geostatistics to Big Data and Artificial Intelligence)

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18 pages, 3114 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Heavy Rainfall Induced by Typhoon Yagi-2024 at Hainan and Vietnam, and Dynamical Process

by Venkata Subrahmanyam Mantravadi, Chen Wang, Bryce Chen and Guiting Song

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 930; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080930 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025

Typhoon Yagi (2024) was a rapidly moving storm that lasted for eight days and made landfall in three locations, producing heavy rainfall over Hainan and Vietnam. This study aims to investigate the dynamical processes contributing to the heavy rainfall, concentrating on enthalpy flux [...] Read more.

Typhoon Yagi (2024) was a rapidly moving storm that lasted for eight days and made landfall in three locations, producing heavy rainfall over Hainan and Vietnam. This study aims to investigate the dynamical processes contributing to the heavy rainfall, concentrating on enthalpy flux (EF) and moisture flux (MF). The results indicate that both EF and MF increased significantly during the typhoon’s intensification stage and were high at the time of landfall. Before landfalling at Hainan, latent heat flux (LHF) reached 600 W/m², while sensible heat flux (SHF) was recorded as 80 W/m². Landfall at Hainan resulted in a decrease in LHF and SHF. LHF and SHF subsequently increased to 700 W/m² and 100 W/m², respectively, as noted prior to the landfall in Vietnam. The increased LHF led to higher evaporation, which subsequently elevated moisture flux (MF) following the landfall in Vietnam, while the region’s topography further intensified the rainfall. The mean daily rainfall observed over Philippines is 75 mm on 2 September (landfall and passing through), 100 mm over Hainan (landfall and passing through) on 6 September, and 95 mm at over Vietnam on 7 September (landfall and after), respectively. Heavy rainfall was observed over the land while the typhoon was passing and during the landfall. This research reveals that Typhoon Yagi’s intensity was maintained by a well-organized and extensive circulation system, supported by favorable weather conditions, including high sea surface temperatures (SST) exceeding 30.5 °C, substantial low-level moisture convergence, and elevated EF during the landfall in Vietnam. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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28 pages, 3057 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Exploring the Role of Energy Consumption Structure and Digital Transformation in Urban Logistics Carbon Emission Efficiency

by Yanfeng Guan, Junding Yang, Rong Wang, Ling Zhang and Mingcheng Wang

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 929; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080929 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025

As the climate problem is getting more and more serious and the “low-carbon revolution” of globalization is emerging, the logistics industry, as a high-end service industry, must also take the road of low-carbon development. Improving logistics carbon emission efficiency (LCEE) is gradually becoming [...] Read more.

As the climate problem is getting more and more serious and the “low-carbon revolution” of globalization is emerging, the logistics industry, as a high-end service industry, must also take the road of low-carbon development. Improving logistics carbon emission efficiency (LCEE) is gradually becoming an inevitable choice to maintain sustainable social development. The study uses the Super-SBM (Super-Slack-Based Measure) model to evaluate the urban LCEE from 2013 to 2022, explores the contribution of efficiency changes and technological progress to LCEE through the decomposition of the GML (Global Malmquist–Luenberger) index, and reveals the influence of digital transformation and energy consumption structure on LCEE by using the Spatial Durbin Model, concluding as follows: (1) LCEE declines from east to west, with large regional differences. (2) LCEE has steadily increased over the past decade, with slower growth from east to west. It fell in 2020 due to COVID-19 but has since recovered. (3) LCEE shows a catching-up effect among the three major regions, with technological progress being a key driver of improvement. (4) LCEE has significant spatial dependence. Energy consumption structure has a short-term negative spillover effect, while digital transformation has a positive spillover effect. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Carbon Emissions (2nd Edition))

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32 pages, 7263 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Time Series Prediction and Modeling of Visibility Range with Artificial Neural Network and Hybrid Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

by Okikiade Adewale Layioye, Pius Adewale Owolawi and Joseph Sunday Ojo

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 928; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080928 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025

The time series prediction of visibility in terms of various meteorological variables, such as relative humidity, temperature, atmospheric pressure, and wind speed, is presented in this paper using Single-Variable Regression Analysis (SVRA), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Hybrid Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) [...] Read more.

The time series prediction of visibility in terms of various meteorological variables, such as relative humidity, temperature, atmospheric pressure, and wind speed, is presented in this paper using Single-Variable Regression Analysis (SVRA), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Hybrid Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) techniques for several sub-tropical locations. The initial method used for the prediction of visibility in this study was the SVRA, and the results were enhanced using the ANN and ANFIS techniques. Throughout the study, neural networks with various algorithms and functions were trained with different atmospheric parameters to establish a relationship function between inputs and visibility for all locations. The trained neural models were tested and validated by comparing actual and predicted data to enhance visibility prediction accuracy. Results were compared to assess the efficiency of the proposed systems, measuring the root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R²), and mean bias error (MBE) to validate the models. The standard statistical technique, particularly SVRA, revealed that the strongest functional relationship was between visibility and RH, followed by WS, T, and P, in that order. However, to improve accuracy, this study utilized back propagation and hybrid learning algorithms for visibility prediction. Error analysis from the ANN technique showed increased prediction accuracy when all the atmospheric variables were considered together. After testing various neural network models, it was found that the ANFIS model provided the most accurate predicted results, with improvements of 31.59%, 32.70%, 30.53%, 28.95%, 31.82%, and 22.34% over the ANN for Durban, Cape Town, Mthatha, Bloemfontein, Johannesburg, and Mahikeng, respectively. The neuro-fuzzy model demonstrated better accuracy and efficiency by yielding the finest results with the lowest RMSE and highest R² for all cities involved compared to the ANN model and standard statistical techniques. However, the statistical performance analysis between measured and estimated visibility indicated that the ANN produced satisfactory results. The results will find applications in Optical Wireless Communication (OWC), flight operations, and climate change analysis. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Atmospheric Modeling with Artificial Intelligence Technologies)

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13 pages, 2073 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Quantifying Ozone-Driven Forest Losses in Southwestern China (2019–2023)

by Qibing Xia, Jingwei Zhang, Zongxin Lv, Duojun Wu, Xiao Tang and Huizhi Liu

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 927; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080927 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025

As a key tropospheric photochemical pollutant, ground-level ozone (O₃) poses significant threats to ecosystems through its strong oxidative capacity. With China’s rapid industrialization and urbanization, worsening O₃ pollution has emerged as a critical environmental concern. This study examines O₃ [...] Read more.

As a key tropospheric photochemical pollutant, ground-level ozone (O₃) poses significant threats to ecosystems through its strong oxidative capacity. With China’s rapid industrialization and urbanization, worsening O₃ pollution has emerged as a critical environmental concern. This study examines O₃’s impacts on forest ecosystems in Southwestern China (Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, and Chongqing), which harbors crucial forest resources. We analyzed high-resolution monitoring data from over 200 stations (2019–2023), employing spatial interpolation to derive the regional maximum daily 8 h average O₃ (MDA8-O₃, ppb) and accumulated O₃ exposure over 40 ppb (AOT40) metrics. Through AOT40-based exposure–response modeling, we quantified the forest relative yield losses (RYL), economic losses (ECL) and ECL/GDP (GDP: gross domestic product) ratios in this region. Our findings reveal alarming O₃ increases across the region, with a mean annual MDA8-O₃ anomaly trend of 2.4% year⁻¹ (p < 0.05). Provincial MDA8-O₃ anomaly trends varied from 1.4% year⁻¹ (Yunnan, p = 0.059) to 4.3% year⁻¹ (Guizhou, p < 0.001). Strong correlations (r > 0.85) between annual RYL and annual MDA8-O₃ anomalies demonstrate the detrimental effects of O₃ on forest biomass. The RYL trajectory showed an initial decline during 2019–2020 and accelerated losses during 2020–2023, peaking at 13.8 ± 6.4% in 2023. Provincial variations showed a 5-year averaged RYL ranging from 7.10% (Chongqing) to 15.85% (Yunnan). O₃ exposure caused annual ECL/GDP averaging 4.44% for Southwestern China, with Yunnan suffering the most severe consequences (ECL/GDP averaging 8.20%, ECL averaging CNY 29.8 billion). These results suggest that O₃-driven forest degradation may intensify, potentially undermining the regional carbon sequestration capacity, highlighting the urgent need for policy interventions. We recommend enhanced monitoring networks and stricter control methods to address these challenges. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Coordinated Control of PM2.5 and O₃ and Its Impacts in China)

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18 pages, 4841 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Nocturnal Convection Along a Trailing-End Cold Front: Insights from Ground-Based Remote Sensing Observations

by Kylie Hoffman, David D. Turner and Belay B. Demoz

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 926; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080926 (registering DOI) - 30 Jul 2025

This study examines a convergence event at the trailing end of a cold front observed in the United States’ Southern Great Plains region on 28 September 1997, using an array of in situ and remote sensing instruments. The event exhibited a structure with [...] Read more.

This study examines a convergence event at the trailing end of a cold front observed in the United States’ Southern Great Plains region on 28 September 1997, using an array of in situ and remote sensing instruments. The event exhibited a structure with elevated divergence near 3 km AGL and moisture transport over both warm and cold sectors. Data from Raman lidar (RL), Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI), and Radar Wind Profilers (RWP) were used to characterize vertical profiles of the event, revealing the presence of a narrow moist updraft, horizontal moisture advection, and cloud development ahead of the front. Convection parameters, Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and Convective Inhibition (CIN), were derived from collocated AERI and RL. Regions of high CAPE were aligned with areas of high moisture, indicating that convection was more favorable at moist elevated levels than near the surface. RWP observations revealed vorticity structures consistent with existing theories. This study highlights the value of high-resolution, continuous profiling from remote sensors to resolve mesoscale processes and evaluate convection potential. The event underscores the role of elevated moisture and wind shear in modulating convection initiation along a trailing-end cold front boundary where mesoscale and synoptic forces interact. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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13 pages, 4029 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Performance of CMIP6 Models in Capturing Summer Maximum Temperature Variability over China

by Sikai Liu, Juan Zhou, Jun Wen, Guobin Yang, Yangruixue Chen, Xing Li and Xiao Li

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 925; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080925 - 30 Jul 2025

Previous research has primarily focused on assessing seasonal mean or annual extreme climate events, whereas intraseasonal variability in extreme climate has received comparatively little attention, despite its importance for understanding short-term climate dynamics and associated risks. This study evaluates the performance of nine [...] Read more.

Previous research has primarily focused on assessing seasonal mean or annual extreme climate events, whereas intraseasonal variability in extreme climate has received comparatively little attention, despite its importance for understanding short-term climate dynamics and associated risks. This study evaluates the performance of nine climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in reproducing summer maximum temperature (Tmax) variability across China during 1979–2014, with the variability defined as the standard deviation of daily Tmax anomalies for each summer. Results show that most CMIP6 models fail to reproduce the observed north–south gradient of Tmax variability with significant regional biases and limited agreement on temporal trends. The multi-model ensemble (MME) outperforms most individual models in terms of root-mean-square error and spatial correlation, but it still under-represents the observed temporal trends, especially over southeastern and central China. Taylor diagram analysis reveals that EC-Earth3, GISS-E2-1-G, IPSL-CM6A-LR, and the MME perform relatively well in capturing the spatial characteristics of Tmax variability, whereas MIROC6 shows the poorest performance. These findings highlight the persistent limitations in simulating intraseasonal Tmax variability and underscore the need for improved model representations of regional climate dynamics over China. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Extreme Climate Events: Causes, Risk and Adaptation)

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21 pages, 3996 KiB

Open AccessTechnical Note

Design of a Standards-Based Cloud Platform to Enhance the Practicality of Agrometeorological Countermeasures

by Sejin Han, Minju Baek, Jin-Ho Lee, Sang-Hyun Park, Seung-Gil Hong, Yong-Kyu Han and Yong-Soon Shin

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 924; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080924 - 30 Jul 2025

The need for systems that forecast and respond proactively to meteorological disasters is growing amid climate variability. Although the early warning system in South Korea includes countermeasure information, it remains limited in terms of data recency, granularity, and regional adaptability. Additionally, its closed [...] Read more.

The need for systems that forecast and respond proactively to meteorological disasters is growing amid climate variability. Although the early warning system in South Korea includes countermeasure information, it remains limited in terms of data recency, granularity, and regional adaptability. Additionally, its closed architecture hinders interoperability with external systems. This study aims to redesign the countermeasure function as an independent cloud-based platform grounded in the common standard terminology framework in South Korea. A multi-dimensional data model was developed using attributes such as crop type, cultivation characteristics, growth stage, disaster type, and risk level. The platform incorporates user-specific customization features and history tracking capabilities, and it is structured using a microservices architecture to ensure modularity and scalability. The proposed system enables real-time management and dissemination of localized countermeasure suggestions tailored to various user types, including central and local governments and farmers. This study offers a practical model for enhancing the precision and applicability of agrometeorological response information. It is expected to serve as a scalable reference platform for future integration with external agricultural information systems. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue ICT-Based High-Resolution Weather and Climate Research for an Early-Warning System for Agricultural Disasters)

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21 pages, 3828 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Can a Global Climate Model Reproduce a Tornado Outbreak Atmospheric Pattern? Methodology and a Case Study

by Paulina Ćwik, Renee A. McPherson, Funing Li and Jason C. Furtado

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 923; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080923 - 30 Jul 2025

Tornado outbreaks can cause substantial damage, injuries, and fatalities, highlighting the need to understand their characteristics for assessing present and future risks. However, global climate models (GCMs) lack the resolution to explicitly simulate tornado outbreaks. As an alternative, researchers examine large-scale atmospheric ingredients [...] Read more.

Tornado outbreaks can cause substantial damage, injuries, and fatalities, highlighting the need to understand their characteristics for assessing present and future risks. However, global climate models (GCMs) lack the resolution to explicitly simulate tornado outbreaks. As an alternative, researchers examine large-scale atmospheric ingredients that approximate tornado-conducive environments. Building on this approach, we tested whether patterns of covariability between WMAXSHEAR and 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies, previously identified in ERA5 reanalysis, could approximate major U.S. May tornado outbreaks in a GCM. We developed a proxy-based methodology by systematically testing pairs of thresholds for both variables to identify the combination that best reproduced the leading pattern selected for analysis. These thresholds were then applied to simulations from the high-resolution MPI-ESM1.2-HR model to assess its ability to reproduce the original pattern. Results show that the model closely mirrored the observed tornado outbreak pattern, as indicated by a low normalized root mean square error, high spatial correlation, and similar distributions. This study demonstrates a replicable approach for approximating tornado outbreak patterns, applied here to the leading pattern, within a GCM, providing a foundation for future research on how such environments might evolve in a warming climate. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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14 pages, 2075 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Quantifying Polar Mesospheric Clouds Thermal Impact on Mesopause

by Arseniy Sokolov, Elena Savenkova, Andrey Koval, Nikolai Gavrilov, Karina Kravtsova, Kseniia Didenko and Tatiana Ermakova

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 922; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080922 - 30 Jul 2025

The article is focused on the quantitative assessment of the thermal impact of polar mesospheric clouds (PMCs) on the mesopause caused by the emission of absorbed solar and terrestrial infrared (IR) radiation by cloud particles. For this purpose, a parameterization of mesopause heating [...] Read more.

The article is focused on the quantitative assessment of the thermal impact of polar mesospheric clouds (PMCs) on the mesopause caused by the emission of absorbed solar and terrestrial infrared (IR) radiation by cloud particles. For this purpose, a parameterization of mesopause heating by PMC crystals has been developed, the main feature of which is to incorporate the thermal properties of ice and the interaction of cloud particles with the environment. Parametrization is based on PMCs zero-dimensional (0-D) model and uses temperature, pressure, and water vapor data in the 80–90 km altitude range retrieved from Solar Occultation for Ice Experiment (SOFIE) measurements. The calculations are made for 14 PMC seasons in both hemispheres with the summer solstice as the central date. The obtained results show that PMCs can make a significant contribution to the heat balance of the upper atmosphere, comparable to the heating caused, for example, by the dissipation of atmospheric gravity waves (GWs). The interhemispheric differences in heating are manifested mainly in the altitude structure: in the Southern Hemisphere (SH), the area of maximum heating values is 1–2 km higher than in the Northern Hemisphere (NH), while quantitatively they are of the same order. The most intensive heating is observed at the lower boundary of the minimum temperature layer (below 150 K) and gradually weakens with altitude. The NH heating median value is 5.86 K/day, while in the SH it is 5.24 K/day. The lowest values of heating are located above the maximum of cloud ice concentration in both hemispheres. The calculated heating rates are also examined in the context of the various factors of temperature variation in the observed atmospheric layers. It is shown in particular that the thermal impact of PMC is commensurate with the influence of dissipating gravity waves at heights of the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT), which parameterizations are included in all modern numerical models of atmospheric circulation. Hence, the developed parameterization can be used in global atmospheric circulation models for further study of the peculiarities of the thermodynamic regime of the MLT. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Observations and Analysis of Upper Atmosphere (2nd Edition))

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19 pages, 9566 KiB

Open AccessArticle

A Zenith Tropospheric Delay Modeling Method Based on the UNB3m Model and Kriging Spatial Interpolation

by Huineng Yan, Zhigang Lu, Fang Li, Yu Li, Fuping Li and Rui Wang

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 921; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080921 - 30 Jul 2025

To accurately estimate Zenith Tropospheric Delay (ZTD) for high-precision positioning of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), this study proposes a modeling method of ZTD based on the UNB3m model and Kriging spatial interpolation, in which the optimal spatial interpolation parameters are determined [...] Read more.

To accurately estimate Zenith Tropospheric Delay (ZTD) for high-precision positioning of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), this study proposes a modeling method of ZTD based on the UNB3m model and Kriging spatial interpolation, in which the optimal spatial interpolation parameters are determined based on the errors corresponding to different combinations of the interpolation parameters, and the spatial distribution of the GNSS modeling stations is determined by the interpolation errors of the randomly selected GNSS stations for several times. To verify the accuracy and reliability of the proposed model, the ZTD estimates of 132,685 epochs with 1 h or 2 h temporal resolution for 28 years from 1997 to 2025 of the global network of continuously operating GNSS tracking stations are used as inputs; the ZTD results at any position and the corresponding observation moment can be obtained with the proposed model. The experimental results show that the model error is less than 30 mm in more than 85% of the observation epochs, the ZTD estimation results are less affected by the horizontal position and height of the GNSS stations than traditional models, and the ZTD interpolation error is improved by 10–40 mm compared to the GPT3 and UNB3m models at the four GNSS checking stations. Therefore, this technology can provide ZTD estimation results for single- and dual-frequency hybrid deformation monitoring, as well as dense ZTD data for Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) inversion. Since the proposed method has the advantages of simple implementation, high accuracy, high reliability, and ease of promotion, it is expected to be fully applied in other high-precision positioning applications. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue GNSS Remote Sensing in Atmosphere and Environment (2nd Edition))

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24 pages, 3832 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Temperature and Precipitation Extremes Under SSP Emission Scenarios with GISS-E2.1 Model

by Larissa S. Nazarenko, Nickolai L. Tausnev and Maxwell T. Elling

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 920; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080920 - 30 Jul 2025

Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which [...] Read more.

Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which include an intensification of precipitation extremes. Using the GISS-E2.1 climate model, we present the future changes in the coldest and hottest daily temperatures as well as in extreme precipitation indices (under four main Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)). The increase in the wet-day precipitation ranges between 6% and 15% per 1 °C global surface temperature warming. Scaling of the 95th percentile versus the total precipitation showed that the sensitivity for the extreme precipitation to the warming is about 10 times stronger than that for the mean total precipitation. For six precipitation extreme indices (Total Precipitation, R95p, RX5day, R10mm, SDII, and CDD), the histograms of probability density functions become flatter, with reduced peaks and increased spread for the global mean compared to the historical period of 1850–2014. The mean values shift to the right end (toward larger precipitation and intensity). The higher the GHG emission of the SSP scenario, the more significant the increase in the index change. We found an intensification of precipitation over the globe but large uncertainties remained regionally and at different scales, especially for extremes. Over land, there is a strong increase in precipitation for the wettest day in all seasons over the mid and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. There is an enlargement of the drying patterns in the subtropics including over large regions around Mediterranean, southern Africa, and western Eurasia. For the continental averages, the reduction in total precipitation was found for South America, Europe, Africa, and Australia, and there is an increase in total precipitation over North America, Asia, and the continental Russian Arctic. Over the continental Russian Arctic, there is an increase in all precipitation extremes and a consistent decrease in CDD for all SSP scenarios, with the maximum increase of more than 90% for R95p and R10 mm observed under SSP5–8.5. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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13 pages, 2414 KiB

Open AccessArticle

In Silico Characterization of Molecular Interactions of Aviation-Derived Pollutants with Human Proteins: Implications for Occupational and Public Health

by Chitra Narayanan and Yevgen Nazarenko

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 919; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080919 - 29 Jul 2025

Combustion of aviation jet fuel emits a complex mixture of pollutants linked to adverse health outcomes among airport personnel and nearby communities. While epidemiological studies showed the detrimental effects of aviation-derived air pollutants on human health, the molecular mechanisms of the interactions of [...] Read more.

Combustion of aviation jet fuel emits a complex mixture of pollutants linked to adverse health outcomes among airport personnel and nearby communities. While epidemiological studies showed the detrimental effects of aviation-derived air pollutants on human health, the molecular mechanisms of the interactions of these pollutants with cellular biomolecules like proteins that drive the adverse health effects remain poorly understood. In this study, we performed molecular docking simulations of 272 pollutant–protein complexes using AutoDock Vina 1.2.7 to characterize the binding strength of the pollutants with the selected proteins. We selected 34 aviation-derived pollutants that constitute three chemical categories of pollutants: volatile organic compounds (VOCs), polyaromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), and organophosphate esters (OPEs). Each pollutant was docked to eight proteins that play critical roles in endocrine, metabolic, transport, and neurophysiological functions, where functional disruption is implicated in disease. The effect of binding of multiple pollutants was analyzed. Our results indicate that aliphatic and monoaromatic VOCs display low (<6 kcal/mol) binding affinities while PAHs and organophosphate esters exhibit strong (>7 kcal/mol) binding affinities. Furthermore, the binding strength of PAHs exhibits a positive correlation with the increasing number of aromatic rings in the pollutants, ranging from nearly 7 kcal/mol for two aromatic rings to more than 15 kcal/mol for five aromatic rings. Analysis of intermolecular interactions showed that these interactions are predominantly stabilized by hydrophobic, pi-stacking, and hydrogen bonding interactions. Simultaneous docking of multiple pollutants revealed the increased binding strength of the resulting complexes, highlighting the detrimental effect of exposure to pollutant mixtures found in ambient air near airports. We provide a priority list of pollutants that regulatory authorities can use to further develop targeted mitigation strategies to protect the vulnerable personnel and communities near airports. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality and Health)

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20 pages, 3936 KiB

Open AccessArticle

ARIMAX Modeling of Hive Weight Dynamics Using Meteorological Factors During Robinia pseudoacacia Blooming

by Csilla Ilyés-Vincze, Ádám Leelőssy and Róbert Mészáros

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 918; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080918 - 29 Jul 2025

Apiculture is among the most weather-dependent sectors of agriculture; however, quantifying the impact of meteorological factors remains challenging. Beehive weight has long been recognized as an important indicator of colony health, strength, and food availability, as well as foraging activity. Atmospheric influences on [...] Read more.

Apiculture is among the most weather-dependent sectors of agriculture; however, quantifying the impact of meteorological factors remains challenging. Beehive weight has long been recognized as an important indicator of colony health, strength, and food availability, as well as foraging activity. Atmospheric influences on hive weight dynamics have been a subject of research since the early 20th century. This study aims to estimate hourly hive weight variation by applying linear time-series models to hive weight data collected from active apiaries during intensive foraging periods, considering atmospheric predictors. We employed a rolling 24 h forward ARIMAX and SARIMAX model, incorporating meteorological variables as exogenous factors. The median estimates for the study period resulted in model RMSE values of 0.1 and 0.3 kg/h. From numerous meteorological variables, the hourly maximum temperature was found to be the most significant predictor. ARIMAX model results also exhibited a strong diurnal cycle, pointing out the weather-driven seasonality of hive weight variations. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change and Agriculture: Impacts and Adaptation (2nd Edition))

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18 pages, 3081 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Surface Wind Monitoring at Small Regional Airport

by Ladislav Choma, Matej Antosko and Peter Korba

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 917; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080917 - 29 Jul 2025

This study focuses on surface wind analysis at the small regional airport in Svidnik, used primarily for pilot training under daytime VFR conditions. Due to the complex local terrain and lack of prior meteorological data, an automatic weather station was installed, collecting over [...] Read more.

This study focuses on surface wind analysis at the small regional airport in Svidnik, used primarily for pilot training under daytime VFR conditions. Due to the complex local terrain and lack of prior meteorological data, an automatic weather station was installed, collecting over 208,000 wind measurements over a two-year period at ten-minute intervals. The dataset was processed using hierarchical filtering and statistical selection, and visualized via wind rose diagrams. The results confirmed a dominant southeastern wind component, supporting the current runway orientation (01/19). However, a less frequent easterly wind direction was identified as a safety concern, causing turbulence near the runway due to terrain and vegetation. This is particularly critical for trainee pilots during final approach and landing. Statistical analysis showed that easterly winds, though less common, appear year-round with a peak in summer. Pearson correlation and linear regression confirmed a significant relationship between the number of easterly wind days and their measurement frequency. Daytime winds were stronger than nighttime, justifying the focus on daylight data. The study provides practical recommendations for training flight safety and highlights the value of localized wind monitoring at small airports. The presented methodology offers a framework for improving operational awareness and reducing risk in complex environments. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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32 pages, 3694 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Decoding Urban Traffic Pollution: Insights on Trends, Patterns, and Meteorological Influences for Policy Action in Bucharest, Romania

by Cristiana Tudor, Alexandra Horobet, Robert Sova, Lucian Belascu and Alma Pentescu

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 916; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080916 - 29 Jul 2025

Traffic-related pollutants remain a challenging global issue, with significant policy implications. Within the European Union, Romania has the highest yearly societal cost per capita due to air pollution, which kills 29,000 Romanians every year, whereas the health and economic costs are also significant. [...] Read more.

Traffic-related pollutants remain a challenging global issue, with significant policy implications. Within the European Union, Romania has the highest yearly societal cost per capita due to air pollution, which kills 29,000 Romanians every year, whereas the health and economic costs are also significant. In this context, municipal authorities in the country, particularly in high-density areas, should place a strong focus on mitigating air pollution. In particular, the capital city, Bucharest, ranks among the most congested cities in the world while registering the highest pollution index in Romania, with traffic pollution responsible for two-thirds of its air pollution. Consequently, studies that assess and model pollution trends are paramount to inform local policy-making processes and assist pollution-mitigation efforts. In this paper, a generalized additive modeling (GAM) framework is employed to model hourly concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), i.e., a relevant traffic-pollution proxy, at a busy urban traffic location in central Bucharest, Romania. All models are developed on a wide, fine-granularity dataset spanning January 2017–December 2022 and include extensive meteorological covariates. Model robustness is assured by switching between the generalized additive model (GAM) framework and the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) framework when the residual autoregressive process needs to be specifically acknowledged. Results indicate that trend GAMs explain a large amount of the hourly variation in traffic pollution. Furthermore, meteorological factors contribute to increasing the models’ explanation power, with wind direction, relative humidity, and the interaction between wind speed and the atmospheric pressure emerging as important mitigators for NO₂ concentrations in Bucharest. The results of this study can be valuable in assisting local authorities to take proactive measures for traffic pollution control in the capital city of Romania. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sources Influencing Air Pollution and Their Control)

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12 pages, 3234 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Shooting Activities as the Potential Influence on the Environment at the Pokljuka Biathlon Center, Slovenia

by Valentina Pezdir and Mateja Gosar

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 915; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080915 - 29 Jul 2025

Biathlon activities can have negative effects on the environment due to the processes occurring during shooting, as the biathlon ammunition contains significant amounts of Pb, Cu and Sb. To determine these effects, we looked into the presence of lead-bearing particles in the vicinity [...] Read more.

Biathlon activities can have negative effects on the environment due to the processes occurring during shooting, as the biathlon ammunition contains significant amounts of Pb, Cu and Sb. To determine these effects, we looked into the presence of lead-bearing particles in the vicinity of a shooting range in Rudno polje, Pokljuka, in Slovenia. Particles were collected from snow and later analysed using SEM/EDS, where we focused on the lead-bearing particles. These particles are composed of mainly lead or lead oxides/hydroxides with trace presence of Cu and Sb, both of which are commonly related to ammunition used in biathlon shooting and other shooting activities. To confirm that the particles originated from shooting, we compared them with particles taken from an indoor shooting range as dust and residue in ammunition casings. Lead-bearing particles show morphological changes that are caused by high temperatures and pressures during the shooting process. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Biosphere/Hydrosphere/Land–Atmosphere Interactions)

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27 pages, 3840 KiB

Open AccessArticle

A Study of Monthly Precipitation Timeseries from Argentina (Corrientes, Córdoba, Buenos Aires, and Bahía Blanca) for the Period of 1860–2023

by Pablo O. Canziani, S. Gabriela Lakkis and Adrián E. Yuchechen

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 914; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080914 - 29 Jul 2025

This study investigates the long-term variability and extremes of monthly precipitation during 150 years or more at 4 locations in Argentina: Corrientes, Córdoba, Buenos Aires, and Bahía Blanca. Annual and seasonal trends, extreme dry and wet months over the whole period, and the [...] Read more.

This study investigates the long-term variability and extremes of monthly precipitation during 150 years or more at 4 locations in Argentina: Corrientes, Córdoba, Buenos Aires, and Bahía Blanca. Annual and seasonal trends, extreme dry and wet months over the whole period, and the relationships between large-scale climate drivers and monthly rainfall are considered. Results show that, except for Córdoba, the complete anomaly timeseries trend analysis for all other stations yielded null trends over the centennial study period. Considerable month-to-month variability is observed for all locations together with the existence of low-frequency decadal to interdecadal variability, both for monthly precipitation anomalies and for statistically significant excess and deficit months. Linear fits considering oceanic climate indicators as drivers of variability yield significant differences between locations, while not between full records and seasonally sampled. Issues regarding the use of linear analysis to quantify variability, the dispersion along the timeline of record extreme rainy months at each location, together with the evidence of severe daily precipitation events not necessarily coinciding with the ranking of the rainiest months at each location, highlights the challenges of understanding the drivers of variability of both monthly and severe daily precipitation and the need of using extended centennial timeseries whenever possible. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)

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17 pages, 3919 KiB

Open AccessArticle

On the Links Between Tropical Sea Level and Surface Air Temperature in Middle and High Latitudes

by Sergei Soldatenko, Genrikh Alekseev and Yaromir Angudovich

Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 913; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080913 - 28 Jul 2025

Change in sea level (SL) is an important indicator of global warming, since it reflects alterations in several components of the climate system at once. The main factors behind this phenomenon are the melting of glaciers and thermal expansion of ocean water, with [...] Read more.

Change in sea level (SL) is an important indicator of global warming, since it reflects alterations in several components of the climate system at once. The main factors behind this phenomenon are the melting of glaciers and thermal expansion of ocean water, with the latter contributing about 40% to the overall rise in SL. Rising SL indirectly indicates an increase in ocean heat content and, consequently, its surface temperature. Previous studies have found that tropical sea surface temperature (SST) is critical to regulating the Earth’s climate and weather patterns in high and mid-latitudes. For this reason, SST and SL in the tropics can be considered as precursors of both global climate change and the emergence of climate anomalies in extratropical latitudes. Although SST has been used in this capacity in a number of studies, similar research regarding SL had not been conducted until recently. In this paper, we examine the links between SL in the tropical North Atlantic and North Pacific Oceans and surface air temperature (SAT) at mid- and high latitudes, with the aim of assessing the potential of SL as a predictor in forecasting SAT anomalies. To identify similarities between the variability of tropical SL and SST and that of SAT in high- and mid-latitude regions, as well as to estimate possible time lags, we applied factor analysis, clustering, cross-correlation and cross-spectral analyses. The results reveal a structural similarity in the internal variability of tropical SL and extratropical SAT, along with a significant lagged relationship between them, with a time lag of several years. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Climatology)

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