1. Introduction
Ocean waves are sea surface fluctuation phenomena caused by winds and are major dynamic processes in the upper ocean layers that are considered to play an important role in regulating the upper ocean turbulent mixing [
1]. Ocean waves are also key elements of the global climate system, and wave modeling on global scales is of much importance in ocean climate studies [
2]. The damages caused by ocean waves are important components of marine disasters. Ocean waves are the most important disaster-causing factors leading to human death or disappearance among various marine disasters, and they seriously affect the safety of marine development and production. The development of offshore structures requires attention to ocean wave information, and significant wave loads become crucial design factors [
3]. In recent years, numerical predictions of ocean waves have received close attention due to the scarcity of observational data and the importance of ocean waves. In short-term ocean wave numerical predictions, the accuracy of the initial fields cannot be ignored. It has been found that data assimilation technology is a relatively cost-effective method for the improvement of initial field predictions and the analysis of historical data.
With the vast improvement in temporal and spatial coverage of the ocean provided by satellite observations, ocean phenomena can be observed and understood more comprehensively [
4]. Large quantities of near real-time ocean wave observation data have been obtained in recent years due to the rapid development of ocean satellite remote sensing technology. Guaranteed reliable data have been made available for conducting research using ocean wave assimilation technology. The international community began studies of the applications of ocean wave data assimilations in the 1980s. In the 1990s, altimeter significant wave height (SWH) data assimilation technology was successfully applied to operational applications. The methods used in ocean wave assimilations included the gradual correction method [
5,
6]; optimal interpolation (OI) method [
7,
8,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13]; variational method [
14,
15,
16,
17,
18]; and the Kalman filter method [
19,
20], among which the most commonly used were OI and the variational method. The background error covariance of OI was derived from empirical formulae, which was not sufficient to describe the true status of the background errors. Evensen [
21] proposed the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) method, which combined ensemble predictions with the Kalman filter using the Monte Carlo principle. The operations of the models were driven by disturbance initial fields, and the background errors were estimated by forming multiple sets of ensemble samples through multiple sets of disturbance experiments. Since the background errors could be adjusted along with the integrating processes, it was possible to better characterize the variations of the errors over time and space. However, the computational complexity was enormous. Based on the OI method, Evensen [
22] also proposed ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) as a suboptimal method of the EnKF. Similarly to the EnKF method, the EnOI method also uses ensemble samples to estimate the covariance of the model background errors. However, EnKF evaluates the model errors based on the ensemble prediction fields, and its errors change in real time with the integration of the model. EnOI replaces the sampled ensemble required by EnKF with static historical samples. Therefore, when compared with EnKF, the EnOI method only requires analysis of a specific sample, which has the advantages of requiring only small amounts of computing resources and low system maintenance costs. As a reliable and efficient assimilation method, EnOI has been widely used in ocean model assimilations, but there has been less research conducted for ocean wave assimilations. Cao et al. [
23] applied the EnOI method to the assimilation of satellite altimeter SWH data in the South China Sea. It was found that the EnOI method could effectively improve the accuracy of the ocean wave simulations, indicating that the method had promising prospects in operational applications.
Currently, the satellite altimeter data commonly used in ocean wave assimilation research were mainly obtained from the ERS-1/2, Envisat series satellites [
24,
25,
26]; Geosat satellite [
8]; TOPEX, Jason-1/2/3 series satellites [
11,
23,
27,
28]; and the SARAL satellite [
12,
29]. In recent years, China independently launched the HY-2 series of satellites, which has changed the long-term dependence on foreign countries for satellite ocean wave data and provided large amounts of near real-time data for operational forecasting and verification processes. However, there has been relatively little research regarding the application of HY-2 satellite data to ocean wave assimilations. Wang et al. [
30] carried out application studies using HY-2 satellite altimeter wave data to SWAN model data assimilation of typhoon “Lipee”. They found that the assimilation using HY-2 satellite altimeter wave data could improve the accuracy of the initial field and forecasting field.
In summary, as a reliable and efficient assimilation method, EnOI has not yet been attempted in global ocean wave assimilation, and there is also very little research on the application of China’s HY-2 satellite data in ocean wave data assimilation. The National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of China established a global ocean wave operational prediction system based on the WAVEWATCH III Model. In this study, based on the WAVEWATCH III global ocean wave model, an assimilation study of SWH data from the HY-2A satellite altimeter was conducted using the EnOI method. The applicability of the assimilation method in global ocean wave simulations was quantitatively evaluated. The results obtained in this study also provide references for the operational applications of Chinese ocean satellite data in ocean wave assimilation and prediction processes.
This paper is organized as follows:
Section 1 includes the introduction;
Section 2 describes the wave model and data;
Section 3 describes the EnOI assimilation method;
Section 4 presents the analysis of the assimilation results;
Section 5 includes the discussions; and
Section 6 provides the conclusions.
2. Wave Model and Data
The operational wave numerical prediction model WAVEWATCH III of the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center of China was used in this study. The WAVEWATCH III ocean wave model is a third-generation numerical ocean wave model developed by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States [
31]. The WAVEWATCH III model adopts a physical process different from that used by other third-generation ocean wave models. It utilizes a highly accurate third-order difference scheme in its numerical predictions and has developed a spatial averaging method to solve GSE effects. WAVEWATCH III uses the wave action density spectrum in the control equation, that is,
, where
is the wave number,
is the direction of wave propagation, and
is the natural frequency. Wave propagation is then described by
, where
represents the net source term. In deep water, the net source term
is generally considered to consist of a wind–wave interaction term
, a nonlinear wave-wave interaction term
and a dissipation (“whitecapping”) term
. In shallow water, it is also necessary to consider wave–bottom interactions
[
31]. Currently, WAVEWATCH III is being used in multiple operational centers, such as the United States NCEP, British Weather Service, and the Korean Weather Service.
The calculation area of the model was located at 78° S–78° N, 0–360°. The southern and northern boundary conditions were zero, and the east–west periodic boundary conditions were used. The spatial resolution of the model was 1/3° × 1/3°. In the two-dimensional spectral space of frequency and direction, the initial frequency of the spectrum was 0.04118 Hz, which was divided into 25 frequency bands. The relationship between each frequency band was fn+1 =1.1 × fn (n = 0, 1,…, 24). The wave directions were divided into uniform grids, with a total of 24 directions and a resolution of 15°. The maximum global time step and maximum CFL time step for x-y and k-theta were all 450 s, and the minimum source term time step was 300 s. The general bathymetric chart of the oceans (GEBCO) 30″ grid data were applied as the terrain data. The NCEP reanalysis wind field was used as the forced wind field with spatial and temporal resolutions of 0.5° × 0.5° and six hours, respectively.
This study used the orbital SWH data of the HY-2A satellite altimeter as the assimilation data. The HY-2A satellite is the first marine dynamic environment satellite independently launched by China. It integrates active and passive microwave remote sensors and is capable of high-precision orbital measurements and determinations, as well as 24/7 all-weather global detection. Its main mission is to monitor and investigate marine environments and obtain various marine dynamic environment parameters, including sea surface wind fields, wave heights, ocean currents, and sea surface temperatures. Remote sensing loads include microwave scatterometers, radar altimeters, and microwave radiometers. The HY-2A satellite orbit is a solar synchronous orbit with an orbital height of 971 km, an inclination angle of 99.34° and a repetition period of 14 days. Some scholars have conducted studies on error comparison and correction of the SWH data between HY-2A satellites and other satellites. Chen et al. [
32] evaluated HY-2A SWH data in the South China Sea using NDBC buoy data and Jason-1/2 altimeter data and corrected HY-2A data using the linear regression method. It was found that the root mean square error (RMSE) of HY-2A SWH data compared with NDBC buoy was 0.36 m, which was close to Jason-1/2 (0.35 m and 0.37 m, respectively). After calibration, the RMSE of the HY-2A data was 0.27 m, while that of Jason-1/2 was 0.27 m and 0.23 m, respectively. Xu et al. [
33] also used NDBC buoy data and Jason-1/2 altimeter data to evaluate the SWH data of HY-2A and calibrate the HY-2A data following the method used by Queffeulou [
34]. They found that there was a significant linear relationship between HY-2A SWH data and Jason-1/2 altimeter data, with correlation coefficients generally greater than 0.95. It indicated that HY-2A SWH data can accurately reflect the state of the ocean.
The orbital SWH data from the Jason-2 satellite altimeter and the NDBC buoy data, as well as China’s offshore buoy data, were used in this study for validation purposes. The Jason-2 satellite was jointly developed by the Centre National d’Études Spatiales (CNES), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), the European Organization for the Exploration of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States. The orbit altitude of the Jason-2 satellite was 1336 km, the inclination angle was 66.039°, and the repetition period was 9.9156 days. The NDBC buoy data were derived from the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) of the NOAA (
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/, accessed on 19 September 2022). It can provide standard meteorological output data, continuous wind data, one-dimensional spectral data of ocean waves, and so on. The data on China’s offshore buoys were obtained from the Marine Early Warning and Monitoring Department of the Ministry of Natural Resources of China. The elements observed included wind speeds, wind directions, temperature levels, atmospheric pressure levels, relative humidity, water temperatures, average wave heights, average wave periods, significant wave heights, significant wave periods, one-tenth wave heights, one-tenth wave periods, maximum wave heights, maximum wave periods, and so on. The buoy position accuracy was 0.01′, and the accuracy of the SWH data was 0.1 m. The positions of the NDBC buoys and China’s offshore buoys are shown in
Figure 1.
3. Assimilation Method
EnOI is based on OI, with the latter determining the background errors through empirical formulae, and the former using ensemble samples to estimate the background error covariance of the model. During the integration process of the model, only a static sample that does not change over time needs to be analyzed. The analytical equations for the EnOI assimilation method are as follows [
22]:
where
Xa is the SWH analysis field;
Xb is the SWH background field;
W denotes the gain matrix;
d indicates the observation field;
H is the observation operator;
P represents the background error covariance matrix;
R is the observation error covariance matrix; and
α represents the weight assigned to the background error covariance field. In the EnOI assimilation experiment conducted in this study,
α was set to 1;
A indicates an ensemble sample;
N denotes the number of ensemble sample members;
indicates the ensemble average and ensemble perturbation
; and
T denotes transposition.
The final analysis equation of the EnOI method was obtained as follows [
22]:
In this study, the assimilation data were extracted from the HY-2A SWH data. Therefore, the observation errors of the altimeter had to be considered during the assimilations. It was believed that the observation errors of the HY-2A SWH data conformed to a Gaussian distribution with a mean value of 0, and there was no significant correlation between the observation errors at different positions. The observation error covariance matrix
R was represented by the diagonal matrix
, where
is the observation error; and
is the function of
and
, when
and
and when
and
, respectively. In accordance with the estimations of previous related research regarding the observation errors of SWH in the HY-2A data, the accuracy of the HY-2A SWH data has greatly improved since April 2013 (with an error of 0.3 m), making the accuracy level similar to that of the Jason-2 satellite’s SWH data [
35]. Moreover, quality control was completed prior to the assimilation of the HY-2A data, including removing invalid data and SWH data that significantly exceed a reasonable range (>32 m). Multiple data retrieved from the satellite altimeter were mutually corrected. A horizontal consistency test was performed where a datum was removed if that datum was significantly different from the neighboring data. Finally, the outlier data were removed, and a linear regression correction was performed. The observation error
after quality control was set to 0.25 m. The assimilation time window was one hour (±30 min).
For the selection process of the ensemble samples, 100 samples were randomly selected from the same month within three years of the models’ integration as the ensemble samples for that month. To avoid any computational problems caused by a large number of observations, the sample covariance matrix of the model state vector was localized. The maximum distance from the observation point to the grid point (influence radius) was determined (taken as 1500 km in the EnOI assimilation experiment in this study), and it was assumed that only observations within the influence radius would affect the analysis of that grid point. Then, the observational data impacting that point were filtered out, and each grid point was analyzed and calculated.
The observation update (dH was weighted during the actual numerical implementation process to avoid significant discontinuity emerging after assimilations at the boundary between the assimilated and non-assimilated regions. This was expected to reflect that the closer the grid points were to the observation points, the greater the update effects were on the grid points during the assimilation process. However, the effects were actually observed to become gradually less impactful until the grid points exceeded the influence radius and were not affected by the assimilations whatsoever.
WAVEWATCH III is a full-spectrum spatial wave model that predicts ocean waves by calculating their spectra. Since the object in the assimilation module was the SWH, it was necessary to reconstruct new ocean wave spectra using the SWH analysis fields. In this study, the method used by Cao [
23] was referenced, and different reconstruction formulae were adopted for wind waves and swells. Firstly, it was assessed whether the wave propagation direction
and phase velocity
conformed to
, where
indicates friction velocity and
indicates wind direction. If they did, it was a swell; otherwise, it was a wind wave. Then, the following formulae were used to reconstruct the wind waves and swells [
23]:
Swell:
where
and
are the wave spectra before and after reconstruction on the grid points (
i,
j);
and
are the significant wave heights before and after assimilation on the grid points (
i,
j), namely, the background field and the analysis field; and
and
are the wave frequency and direction.
5. Discussions
In this study, an EnOI global ocean wave assimilation system was constructed based on the WAVEWATCH III ocean wave model. An analysis of the assimilations of SWH data from the HY-2A satellite altimeter was conducted. The assimilation results were evaluated using the NDBC data, Chinese offshore buoy data and Jason-2 satellite data.
The assimilations of the HY-2A SWH data using the EnOI method played a positive role in improving the accuracy of the global ocean wave simulations and effectively improved the deviations in the SWH simulations. The RMSEs of the NDBC buoy validations were improved by 7 to 44% following the assimilations, and those of the Chinese offshore buoy validations were improved by 3 to 11%. The improvement effects of the assimilations were not obvious near the shoreline. However, the farther the distance the buoys were from the shoreline, the better the assimilation effects. The main reason for this may be that the accuracy of the HY-2A SWH data tends to be reduced in shallow-water shoreline regions. The RMSEs of the Jason-2 satellite data validations were improved by 17% after assimilation, with 8 to 25% improvements each month. The improvements had mainly occurred in the global oceans, particularly in the Southern Ocean, the Eastern Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean.
6. Conclusions
Based on the WAVEWATCH III global ocean wave model, the assimilation effect of the EnOI method using SWH data from HY-2A was analyzed and evaluated. It was found that the results obtained using the EnOI and HY-2A data for global ocean wave assimilation were encouraging, which effectively improved the positive deviations of the model simulations and alleviated the overestimations of SWH by the model. Various statistical indicators showed varying degrees of improvement. The EnOI method only needs to integrate a specific sample with a low computational cost. As a reliable and efficient assimilation method, EnOI can be considered for operational application in global wave assimilation. The results obtained in this study also provide references for the operational applications of Chinese ocean satellite data in ocean wave assimilation.
This study has not yet researched the impact of the EnOI assimilation method on the global ocean wave prediction stage. In the next step, the assimilation method used in this study will be applied to conduct assimilation research by using the HY-2B/2C and CFOSAT satellite data on the ocean wave analysis and prediction stages, with the goal of comprehensively mastering the applications of China’s ocean satellite data in global ocean wave simulations and predictions.