New Methods for the Assessment of Flow Regime Alteration under Climate Change and Human Disturbance
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area, Data, and Methodology
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data
2.3. Methodology
2.3.1. Mann-Kendall Statistical Test
2.3.2. The IHA Method for Hydrologic Alteration Assessment
- (1)
- Divide the daily discharge data into two parts, i.e., a baseline pre-impact period (here from 1959–1996) and a perturbed post-impact period (here from 1997–2010).
- (2)
- Calculate the median and interquartile range of the magnitude and variability of each IHA, respectively.
- (3)
- Count the number of indicators falling within its target range and identify the alteration degrees of the flow regime.
2.3.3. Accounting for Alteration of Indicators in the RVA
2.3.4. Accounting for the Alteration of Indicators Based on the Concept of Similarity/Diversity
2.3.5. Integrated Measure for Alteration Degree of Flow Regime
3. Results
3.1. Changes in Annual Mean Streamflow
3.2. Changes in the Hydrologic Parameters
3.3. Alteration Degree of the Hydrologic Parameters
3.3.1. Alteration of Monthly Streamflow
3.3.2. Alteration of Magnitude of Annual Extreme Streamflow
3.3.3. Alteration of Timing of Annual Extreme Water Conditions
3.3.4. Alteration of Frequency and Duration of High and Low Pulses
3.3.5. Alteration of Streamflow Variability
3.3.6. Overall Alteration of Flow Regime
3.4. Comparison of Alteration Degree by Different Methods
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- The concept of similarity/diversity was introduced to formulate the assessment method for flow regime alteration. Two metrics, and , were constructed based on the dynamic time warping (DTW) distance and Euclidean distance, respectively. The metrics concentrate on describing the deviation from the prospective of process behaviors in the time series for IHAs, which are supplements of the RVA method that describes the frequency changes of these IHAs.
- (2)
- The metrics, and , were incorporated with the metric of RVA, respectively. Thereafter, two composite metrics ( and ) were constructed to comprehensively evaluate the alteration of the flow regime. The composite metrics represent not only the changes in the frequency deviated from the target range, but also the process changes deviated from the pre-impact process. Those composite metrics consistently reveal that the Jinghe Basin suffers a high-level alteration of flow regime, while the conventional RVA method evaluate it as moderate-level. The mean value of all the 12 monthly discharge decreases by 42.87%, the mean value of all the 10 annual extreme discharge decreases by 47.63% and the number of low pulses each year increase by 90% (Figure 4), which may be strong evidence for the high-level alteration of flow regime. The composite metrics are recommended rather than RVA for assessment on flow regime alteration due to the complex changes of flow regime under climate change and human activities.
- (3)
- suggests a low degree of overall alteration, while S suggests a moderate degree. is theoretically more advanced as the time series inputs of the pre-impact and post-impact do not need to be of equal length. Hence, the metric based on dynamic time warping (DTW) distance is recommended for assessment on process changes in the time series of IHAs. The is more recommended than .
- (4)
- The high-level changes of IHAs (Table 4) (decreased magnitude of flow, increased number of low pulses) explain the decrease in the biological integrity of fish to some degree. The magnitude of monthly flow and extreme flow decreases (42.87% and 47.63%, respectively), leading to lower river depth and decreased nutrient exchanges between rivers and floodplains. The number of low pulses each year increases obviously (90%), leading to increased biotic interaction, such as competition and predation.
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Terminology | Description |
---|---|
Discharge | In hydrology, discharge is the volumetric flow rate of water that is transported through a given cross-sectional area. |
Streamflow | Streamflow, or channel runoff, is the flow of water in streams, rivers, and other channels, and is a major element of the water cycle. |
Biological integrity | Biological integrity is associated with how “pristine” an environment is, and its function relative to the potential or original state of an ecosystem before human alterations were imposed. Biological integrity is built on the assumption that a decline in the values of an ecosystem’s functions are primarily caused by human activity or alterations. The more an environment and its original processes are altered, the less biological integrity it holds for the community as a whole. |
Base-flow | Base-flow is the portion of the streamflow that is sustained between precipitation events, fed to streams by delayed pathways. |
Extreme flow | It is usually descripted as annual extreme discharge events with different durations, such as annual 1-,3-,7-,30-,90-day minimum flow, annual 1-,3-,7-,30-,90-day maximum flow. |
Julian data of annual 1-day minimum/maximum | It is a terminology used in indicators of hydrologic alteration (IHAs). If there are multiple days in the water year with the same flow value, the earliest date is reported. |
Low pulse | It is a terminology used in indicators of hydrologic alteration (IHAs). A day is classified as a low pulse if it is less than a specified threshold, which can be set by the user. |
High pulse | It is a terminology used in indicators of hydrologic alteration (IHAs). A day is classified as a high pulse if it is greater than a specified threshold, which can be set by the user. |
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IHA Parameters Group | Hydrologic Parameters | Examples of Ecosystem Influences |
---|---|---|
1. Magnitude of monthly water conditions | Mean discharge for each calendar month (12 parameters) (m3/s) | Provide availability of habitat, soil moisture, water and food; access by predators to nesting sites; functional link to water temperature, oxygen levels, photosynthesis |
2. Magnitude of annual extreme discharge events with different durations | Annual 1-,3-,7-,30-,90-day minimum flow (m3/s) | Creation of sites for plant colonization; structuring of river channel morphology and physical habitat conditions; nutrient exchanges between rivers and floodplains; distribution of plant communities in lakes, ponds and floodplains |
Annual 1-,3-,7-,30-,90-day maximum flow (m3/s) | ||
Base-flow index (m3/s) | ||
3. Timing of annual extreme water conditions | Julian data of annual 1-day minimum | Provide special habitats during reproduction or to avoid predation; influences spawning for migratory fish, evolution of life history strategies |
Julian data of annual 1-day maximum | ||
4. Frequency and duration of high/low pulses | Number of low pulses each year | Connection to soil moisture and anaerobic stress for plants; Provide floodplain habitats; ensure nutrient and organic matter exchanges between river and floodplain, soil mineral availability Influences bedload transport, channel sediment textures and duration of substrate disturbance (high pulses) |
Mean duration of low pulses (d) | ||
Number of high pulses each year | ||
Mean duration of high pulses (d) | ||
5. Rate/frequency of flow condition changes | Rise rate Fall rate Number of reversals | Drought stress on plants (falling levels) Entrapment of organisms on islands, floodplains (rising levels) Desiccation stress on low-mobility stream edge (varial zone) organisms |
Group | Hydrologic Parameters | Median | Variation | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-Impact | Post-Impact | |||
1 | Mean discharge for January | 18.6 | 14.13 | −24.03% |
Mean discharge for February | 28.6 | 18.7 | −34.62% | |
Mean discharge for March | 39.7 | 21.7 | −45.34% | |
Mean discharge for April | 31.85 | 13.85 | −56.51% | |
Mean discharge for May | 25.1 | 15.4 | −38.65% | |
Mean discharge for June | 25.75 | 14 | −45.63% | |
Mean discharge for July | 50 | 25.6 | −48.80% | |
Mean discharge for August | 67.8 | 30.9 | −54.42% | |
Mean discharge for September | 53.3 | 23.15 | −56.57% | |
Mean discharge for October | 44.7 | 29.9 | −33.11% | |
Mean discharge for November | 36.9 | 21.55 | −41.60% | |
Mean discharge for December | 23.9 | 15.5 | −35.15% | |
2 | Minimum 1-day | 9.84 | 1.48 | −84.96% |
Minimum 3-day | 10.5 | 3.183 | −69.69% | |
Minimum 7-day | 11.84 | 5.863 | −50.48% | |
Minimum 30-day | 16.51 | 10.13 | −38.64% | |
Minimum 90-day | 21.92 | 13.83 | −36.91% | |
Maximum 1-day | 792 | 535 | −32.45% | |
Maximum 3-day | 515.3 | 363 | −29.56% | |
Maximum 7-day | 307.9 | 174.9 | −43.20% | |
Maximum 30-day | 158.8 | 83.77 | −47.25% | |
Maximum 90-day | 102.1 | 58.06 | −43.13% | |
Base-flow index | 0.204 | 0.140 | −31.37% | |
3 | Julian data of annual 1-day minimum | 168 | 178 | 10 day |
Julian data of annual 1-day maximum | 217 | 214 | −3 day | |
4 | Number of low pulses each year | 10 | 19 | 90% |
Mean duration of low pulses (day) | 4 | 3.5 | −0.5 day | |
Number of high pulses each year | 12 | 10 | −16.67% | |
Mean duration of high pulses (day) | 3 | 2 | −1 day | |
5 | Rise rate | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0% |
Fall rate | −2.7 | −3 | −11.11% | |
Number of reversals | 136 | 168 | 23.53% |
Group | Hydrologic Parameters | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mean discharge for January | −0.55 | 0.48 | 0.18 | 0.77 | 0.63 |
Mean discharge for February | −0.55 | 0.46 | 0.16 | 0.76 | 0.62 | |
Mean discharge for March | −0.85 | 0.46 | 0.20 | 0.92 | 0.88 | |
Mean discharge for April | −0.85 | 0.50 | 0.19 | 0.93 | 0.88 | |
Mean discharge for May | −0.55 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.70 | 0.63 | |
Mean discharge for June | −0.40 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.59 | 0.51 | |
Mean discharge for July | −0.70 | 0.39 | 0.22 | 0.82 | 0.77 | |
Mean discharge for August | −0.25 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | |
Mean discharge for September | −0.85 | 0.52 | 0.22 | 0.93 | 0.88 | |
Mean discharge for October | −0.10 | 0.34 | 0.15 | 0.41 | 0.23 | |
Mean discharge for November | −0.55 | 0.37 | 0.20 | 0.71 | 0.64 | |
Mean discharge for December | −0.70 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.82 | 0.79 | |
2 | Minimum 1-day | −1.00 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Minimum 3-day | −1.00 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Minimum 7-day | −0.85 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.92 | 0.88 | |
Minimum 30-day | −0.85 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.92 | 0.88 | |
Minimum 90-day | −1.00 | 0.54 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Maximum 1-day | −0.10 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.29 | |
Maximum 3-day | −0.25 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.52 | 0.42 | |
Maximum 7-day | −0.70 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 0.84 | 0.77 | |
Maximum 30-day | −0.40 | 0.44 | 0.21 | 0.66 | 0.53 | |
Maximum 90-day | −0.70 | 0.42 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 0.78 | |
Base-flow index | −0.40 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.59 | 0.49 | |
3 | Julian data of annual 1-day minimum | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 0.46 |
Julian data of annual 1-day maximum | −0.55 | 0.37 | 0.20 | 0.71 | 0.64 | |
4 | Number of low pulses each year | −1.00 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Mean duration of low pulses (d) | 0.50 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.66 | 0.62 | |
Number of high pulses each year | −0.10 | 0.39 | 0.14 | 0.45 | 0.23 | |
Mean duration of high pulses (d) | −0.40 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.62 | 0.52 | |
5 | Rise rate | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
Fall rate | 0.50 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.64 | 0.58 | |
Number of reversals | −0.55 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.70 | 0.67 | |
Overall | ||||||
0.57 | 0.40 | 0.23 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
Hydrologic Parameters | Variation | Alteration Degree | Ecological Implication | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean discharge for each calendar month (m3/s) | −42.87% | −0.58 (M) | 0.41 (M) | 0.20 (L) | 0.74 (H) | 0.66 (H) | Aridification; River depth decreases; Index of biotic integrity decreases |
Magnitude of annual extreme discharge events with different durations (m3/s) | −47.63% | −0.69 (H) | 0.44 (M) | 0.27 (L) | 0.81 (H) | 0.76 (H) | Nutrient exchanges between rivers and floodplains decrease |
Number of low pulses each year | 90% | −1.00 (H) | 0.46 (M) | 0.42 (L) | 1.00 (H) | 1.00 (H) | Increase of biotic interactions, such as competition and predation; Aquatic plants reduce; Periphytic algae reduce |
Number of high pulses each year | −16.67% | −0.10 (L) | 0.39 (M) | 0.14 (L) | 0.45 (M) | 0.23 (L) | Delivery of nourishing subsidy decreases |
Mean duration of high pulses (d) | −1day | −0.40 (M) | 0.37 (M) | 0.21 (L) | 0.62 (M) | 0.52 (M) | Delivery of nourishing subsidy decreases |
Overall | 0.57 (M) | 0.40 (M) | 0.23 (L) | 0.74 (H) | 0.67 (H) | 7 kinds of fish were extinct in Wei river basin; Endangered species: Brachymystax (i.e., lenok); The least kinds of fish in Jinghe basin (23 in Jinghe, 51 in Wei river, 31 in Beiluo river) |
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Shi, P.; Liu, J.; Yang, T.; Xu, C.-Y.; Feng, J.; Yong, B.; Cui, T.; Li, Z.; Li, S. New Methods for the Assessment of Flow Regime Alteration under Climate Change and Human Disturbance. Water 2019, 11, 2435. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122435
Shi P, Liu J, Yang T, Xu C-Y, Feng J, Yong B, Cui T, Li Z, Li S. New Methods for the Assessment of Flow Regime Alteration under Climate Change and Human Disturbance. Water. 2019; 11(12):2435. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122435
Chicago/Turabian StyleShi, Pengfei, Jiahong Liu, Tao Yang, Chong-Yu Xu, Jie Feng, Bin Yong, Tong Cui, Zhenya Li, and Shu Li. 2019. "New Methods for the Assessment of Flow Regime Alteration under Climate Change and Human Disturbance" Water 11, no. 12: 2435. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122435
APA StyleShi, P., Liu, J., Yang, T., Xu, C. -Y., Feng, J., Yong, B., Cui, T., Li, Z., & Li, S. (2019). New Methods for the Assessment of Flow Regime Alteration under Climate Change and Human Disturbance. Water, 11(12), 2435. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122435