According to field data from the Soil and Water Conservation Bureau of the Gansu Provincial Department of Water Resources, the total amounts of soil erosion were 2.96 × 108 t in the TaoheRiver Basin. This study concluded that the total amounts of soil erosion in the Taohe River Basin in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018 was 3.63 × 108, 3.05 × 108, 2.88 × 108, 2.80 × 108and 2.87 × 108 t, with relative errors of 22.63%, 3.04%, 2.70%, 5.41% and 3.04%, respectively. On the whole, the results of this study are close to the measured results, which can be further analyzed.
4.1. Spatial Variation of Soil Erosion Intensity
According to Formula (1), the spatial distribution of the soil erosion modulus of the Taohe River Basin in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018 was calculated based on the spatial distribution data of each factor in the RUSLE model. According to the “Classification standard of soil erosion intensity grades” issued by the Ministry of Water Resources of the People’s Republic of China [
32], the soil erosion in the Taohe River Basin is divided into six erosion intensity grades (
Table 2). The spatial distribution of soil erosion intensity levels in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018 was obtained (
Figure 6), and the areas and percentage of each erosion intensity level over the whole study area was statistically calculated (
Table 3;
Table 4).
In 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018, the range of soil erosion in the Taohe River Basin was basically the same, and most areas were dominated by micro erosion. The areas with severe erosion are mainly in the middle and lower reaches, distributed in the south and northeast of the basin (
Figure 6). In 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018, the areas of moderate erosion and below totaled 23,878.32, 24,213.90, 24,319.99, 24,374.41 and 24,335.56 km
2, respectively, accounting for 93.59%, 94.91%, 95.32%, 95.54% and 95.38% of the total area. The areas of strong erosion and above were 1634.81, 1299.24, 1193.14, 1138.71 and 1177.56 km
2, respectively, accounting for 6.41%, 5.09%, 4.68%, 4.46% and 4.62% of the total area (
Table 3;
Table 4).
The spatial distributions of soil erosion intensity grades in 2000, 2010 and 2018 were analyzed to clarify the characteristics of soil erosion intensity transfer (
Figure 7). From 2000 to 2010, the soil erosion intensity grade in the Taohe River Basin remained unchanged at 23,153.41 km
2, accounting for 90.75% of the total area. The area with a rise in the soil erosion intensity grade was 36.99 km
2, accounting for 0.14% of the total area. The area with a decline in the soil erosion intensity grade was 2322.73 km
2, accounting for 9.10% of the total area, which is mainly distributed in the middle and downstream areas. From 2010 to 2018, the soil erosion intensity grade in the Taohe River Basin remained unchanged at 24,475.79 km
2, accounting for 95.93% of the total area. The area with a rise in the soil erosion intensity grade was 509.43 km
2, accounting for 2.00% of the total area. It is mainly distributed in the lower reaches (East bank of the lower reaches of the Taohe River), but also sporadically distributed in the upper reaches. The area with a decline in soil erosion intensity grade was 527.91 km
2, accounting for 2.07% of the total area. It is mainly distributed in the lower reaches (west bank of the lower reaches of the Taohe River) and the middle reaches.
4.2. Time Variation of Soil Erosion Intensity
The average soil erosion modulus of the Taohe River Basin in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018 were 1423.76, 1195.12, 1192.26, 1099.16 and 1124.11 t·ha
−1·year
−1, respectively. The soil erosion modulus decreased by 16.06% from 2000 to 2005. The soil erosion modulus decreased by 5.51% from 2005 to 2010, the soil erosion modulus decreased by 2.67% from 2010 to 2015, the soil erosion modulus increased by 7.03% from 2015 to 2018, and the soil erosion modulus decreased by 21.04% from 2000 to 2018. The soil erosion modulus presents a downward trend from 2000 to 2015, with a slight increase in 2015–2018, and the overall downward trend is obvious (
Figure 8A). The total amount of soil erosion in the Taohe River Basin in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018 was 3.63 × 10
8, 3.05 × 10
8, 2.88 × 10
8, 2.80 × 10
8 and 2.87 × 10
8 t, respectively.
Vegetation and precipitation are two main factors affecting soil erosion dynamics. In 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018, the maximum synthesis values of NDVI at the Taohe River Basin were 0.57, 0.54, 0.52, 0.44 and 0.46, respectively, and NDVI showed a decreasing trend (
Figure 8B). The higher the NDVI value, the better the vegetation coverage, and the soil erosion could be effectively reduced. However, the soil erosion modulus showed a decreasing trend in the Taohe River Basin. Therefore, the vegetation was not the main reason affecting the decrease of soil erosion modulus in the Taohe River Basin. In 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2018, the average annual precipitation erosivity factors of the Taohe River Basin were 110.15, 101.71, 86.62, 57.03 and 191.29 MJ⋅mm⋅ha
−1⋅h
−1⋅year
−1 (
Figure 8C). The higher the precipitation erosion factor was, the more serious the soil erosion was. The precipitation erosivity factor showed a downward trend from 2000 to 2015, and it increased significantly in 2015–2018 (the northwestern region had an abnormally abundant year in 2018 [
33]), which is consistent with the change of soil erosion modulus in the Taohe River Basin. Therefore, the change of precipitation is the direct cause of the change of soil erosion in the Taohe River Basin.
The areas of different erosion intensity grades were counted, and a transfer matrix of the soil erosion intensity grade was made. From 2000 to 2005, the stability rates of soil micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion in the Taohe River Basin were 99.92%, 81.43%, 73.24%, 58.74%, 62.41% and 67.27%, respectively (
Table 5). From 2005 to 2010, the stability rates of soil micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion in the Taohe River Basin were 99.34%, 91.20%, 86.26%, 78.17%, 80.11% and 81.18%, respectively (
Table 6). From 2010 to 2015, the stability rates of soil micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion in the Taohe River Basin were 99.16%, 90.31%, 85.90%, 79.34%, 82.18% and 86.37%, respectively (
Table 7). From 2015 to 2018, the stability rates of soil micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion in the Taohe River Basin were 98.63%, 91.63%, 87.32%, 79.45%, 82.68% and 87.80%, respectively (
Table 8). From 2000 to 2018, the stability rates of soil micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion in the Taohe River Basin were 95.57%, 80.81%, 73.70%, 60.02%, 69.47% and 99.50%, respectively (
Table 9). On the whole, the area change of violent soil erosion was the least in the Taohe River Basin. The area of strong soil erosion changed was largest in the Taohe River Basin.
In the Taohe River Basin from 2000 to 2018, the proportions of the area transferred from micro erosion to mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion were 0.14%, 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00% and 0.00%, respectively. Only an area of 24.48 km
2 changed from micro erosion to mild erosion. The proportions of the area which transferred from mild erosion to micro erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion were 21.45%, 0.23%, 0.01%, 0.00% and 0.00%, respectively. An area of 827.42 km
2 changed from mild erosion to micro erosion, and an area of 8.89 km
2 changed from mild erosion to moderate erosion. The proportions of the area which transferred from moderate erosion to micro erosion, mild erosion, strong erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion were 0.36%, 34.70%, 0.13%, 0.00% and 0.01%, respectively. An area of 673.17 km
2 changed from moderate erosion to mild erosion. The proportions of the area which transferred from strong erosion to micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, pole strong erosion and violent erosion were 0.08%, 2.31%, 50.09%, 0.14% and 0.02%, respectively. An area of 394.90 km
2 changed from strong erosion to moderate erosion, and an area of 18.24 km
2 changed from strong erosion to mild erosion. The proportions of the area which transferred from pole strong erosion to micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion and violent erosion were 0.07%, 0.22%, 7.81%, 42.38% and 0.07%, respectively. An area of 234.92 km
2 changed from pole strong erosion to strong erosion, and an area of 43.31 km
2 changed from pole strong erosion to moderate erosion. The proportions of the area which transferred from violent erosion to micro erosion, mild erosion, moderate erosion, strong erosion and pole strong erosion were 0.40%, 0.07%, 0.25%, 3.70%, and 40.77%, respectively. An area of 119.06 km
2 changed from violent erosion to pole strong erosion. From 2000 to 2018, the unchanged area of soil erosion intensity grade in the Taohe River Basin was 23,140.47 km
2, accounting for 90.70%; the weakened area of soil erosion intensity grade was 2333.26 km
2, accounting for 9.15%; the intensified area of soil erosion intensity grade was 39.40 km
2, accounting for 0.15%; and the overall soil erosion intensity grade was slightly weakened (
Table 9).