Analysis of Socio-Economic Factors That Influence Loss of Life in Sediment-Related Disasters
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review of Human Suffering Caused by Sediment-Related Disasters
3. Method
4. Results
4.1. Topography, Geology, and Rainfall Conditions
4.2. Land Use
- Type of agricultural area
- Changes in land use
4.3. Population and Its Change
- Population size and population trends in recent years
- Long-term population trends (1995–2015)
4.4. Residency Status
- Length of residence
- Housing type
4.5. Characteristics of Municipal Administration
- Number of staff members in municipalities
- Financial status of municipalities
5. Discussion
- The study showed that development activities in hazard areas can have an impact even after a considerable number of years of development. On the other hand, sediment-related disasters with significant human losses have also occurred in areas that have been afforested. The main reason for not evacuating is the lack of anticipation of landslides (see, for example, [38]). Forests may lead people to believe that the threat of landslides is low and that there is no need to evacuate.
- The total population, sex ratio, and population over 65 years of age in the units examined in this study were not relevant. This is inconsistent with previous reports, e.g., [39], which have concluded that older people are more likely to be victims. The combined effect of total population and sex ratio, such as the presence or absence of people to support the elderly, may have influenced the results.
- The fact that more landslides occur in areas where more people live in owner-occupied houses is consistent with reports [6] that people living in rented houses, who probably do not plan to live there for a long time, are less likely to make individual household emergency plans. It may be that people who do not plan to remain in their residence for a long time perceive the need to be prepared less strongly than those who intend to stay in their residence for an extended period of time. However, disasters with significant human suffering have occurred in areas where people have lived for relatively long periods of time. A report concluded that memory of floods depends on living witnesses, and that it diminishes within two generations [7]. Given the frequency of sediment-related disasters, which may occur only once every few hundred years, the relatively long residence period of more than 20 years may still have been too short for people to have experienced a disaster, which would explain the result that a long period of residence did not result in a reduction in human losses.
- The positive relationship between the number of disasters in a municipality and high rates of population decline and small staff and financial resources relative to the area is consistent with examples of existing disasters in which inadequate disaster management systems led to damage [40]. Differences in municipal disaster management systems may affect the number of human casualties.
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Years | Natural Phenomena | Prefecture | Agricultural Community (Study Area) |
---|---|---|---|
2004 | TY Meari (0421) | Mie | Takiya |
TY Tokage (0423) | Okayama | Uno | |
2006 | Heavy rain of July 2006 | Nagano | Hanaoka |
2008 | The Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku Earthquake in 2008 | Miyagi | Koei |
2009 | Heavy rain in Chugoku-Kyushu of July 2009 | Yamaguchi | Nango |
2011 | The 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake | Fukushima | Iizawa |
STS Talas (1112) | Wakayama | Ichinono | |
Iseki-1 | |||
Nagano-6 | |||
Nara | Ui | ||
Nojiri | |||
2012 | Heavy rain in Kyushu of July 2012 | Kumamoto | Fukuoka |
2013 | Heavy rain of August 2013 | Akita | Sendatsu |
TY WIPHA (1326) | Tokyo | Motomachi | |
2014 | Heavy rain of August 2014 | Hiroshima | Yashiki |
Kobara | |||
Kamirakuchi | |||
Muroya | |||
2016 | The 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake | Kumamoto | Kurokawa |
2017 | Heavy rain in Kyushu of July 2017 | Fukuoka | Ishizume |
Tachi | |||
2018 | – | Ooita | Kajigaharu-yukihiro |
Heavy rain of July, 2018 | Hiroshima | Kawasumi | |
Tenjin | |||
Oonishi | |||
Koyaura | |||
Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake, 2018 | Hokkaido | Yoshino | |
2021 | Heavy rain of July 2021 | Shizuoka | Kidani |
Study Area | Elevation (m) | Slope (°) | Geology | Annual Precipitation (mm) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yoshino | 33.4 | 3.6 | Sedimentary rock | 1028.4 |
Koei | 578.5 | 7.4 | Igneous rock | 2124.9 |
Sendatsu | 266.8 | 2.5 | 2354.1 | |
Iizawa | 366.1 | 4.5 | 1456.7 | |
Motomachi | 54.9 | 4.0 | 2858.9 | |
Hanaoka | 798.7 | 12.5 | 1301.5 | |
Kidani | 193.8 | 13.6 | 2012.7 | |
Takiya | 183.8 | 10.5 | Accretionary wedge | 3369.0 |
Ui | 418.4 | 5.8 | Sedimentary rock, Accretionary wedge | 2538.2 |
Nojiri | 329.0 | 27.1 | Accretionary wedge | 2538.2 |
Nagano-6 | 219.6 | 7.8 | Aedimentary rock, Accretionary wedge | 2581.3 |
Ichinono | 72.6 | 8.8 | Sedimentary rock | 3784.7 |
Iseki-1 | 30.8 | 5.2 | 3332.9 | |
Uno | 11.1 | 4.4 | Igneous rock | 1038.5 |
Muroya | 48.3 | 10.6 | 1678.3 | |
Kamirakuchi | 17.2 | 2.2 | 1678.3 | |
Kobara | 32.4 | 8.2 | 1678.3 | |
Yashiki | 14.0 | 3.1 | 1572.2 | |
Tenjin | 80.7 | 8.7 | 1572.2 | |
Oonishi | 27.9 | 6.6 | 1417.2 | |
Kawasumi | 227.4 | 1.4 | 1417.2 | |
Koyaura | 19.3 | 3.6 | 1417.2 | |
Nango | 44.9 | 3.5 | 1653.7 | |
Tachi | 103.6 | 8.0 | 1876.3 | |
Ishidume | 195.2 | 8.6 | 1876.3 | |
Fukuoka | 605.8 | 13.5 | 3009.6 | |
Kurokawa | 449.3 | 3.8 | 3009.6 | |
Kajigaharu-yukihiro | 217.0 | 11.3 | 1944.9 | |
Average | 201.4 | 7.5 | ― | 2075.8 |
Land Use | Change of Study Area (m2) |
---|---|
Building sites | 44,555.6 |
Forests | 19,666.5 |
Saltwater areas | 16,740.4 |
Other sites (including golf courses) | 2299.1 |
Land for transportation | 1457.8 |
River and lakes | 1082.0 |
Beaches | −300.8 |
Other agricultural land | −7669.5 |
Wastelands | −27,168.8 |
Rice paddies | −30,706.3 |
2005 | 2015 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Population | Ratio of Female to Male | Ratio of Aged 65 and Over | Population | Ratio of Female to Male | Ratio of Aged 65 and Over | |
Yoshino | 54 | 1.35 | 0.37 | 32 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
Koei | 126 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 64 | 0.64 | 0.45 |
Sendatsu | 145 | 1.13 | 0.35 | 117 | 1.17 | 0.48 |
Iizawa | 1098 | 1.03 | 0.18 | 979 | 1.05 | 0.31 |
Motomachi | 2789 | 1.04 | 0.26 | 2461 | 0.97 | 0.32 |
Hanaoka | 1551 | 1.09 | 0.28 | 1304 | 1.05 | 0.36 |
Kidani | 1024 | 1.15 | 0.27 | 898 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
Takiya | 64 | 1.29 | 0.42 | 30 | 1.14 | 0.47 |
Ui | 108 | 1.16 | 0.30 | 26 | 1.00 | 0.58 |
Nojiri | 40 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 18 | 1.25 | 0.44 |
Nagano-6 | 177 | 1.16 | 0.34 | 115 | 1.21 | 0.45 |
Ichinono | 775 | 1.25 | 0.28 | 632 | 1.32 | 0.40 |
Iseki-1 | 664 | 1.14 | 0.31 | 467 | 1.22 | 0.41 |
Uno | 5472 | 1.12 | 0.29 | 4771 | 1.04 | 0.38 |
Muroya | 1093 | 0.81 | 0.17 | 1231 | 0.88 | 0.19 |
Kamirakuchi | 1540 | 1.06 | 0.17 | 1168 | 1.02 | 0.25 |
Kobara | 1137 | 1.08 | 0.17 | 832 | 1.04 | 0.25 |
Yashiki | 2355 | 1.08 | 0.16 | 2330 | 1.13 | 0.20 |
Tenjin | 1598 | 1.07 | 0.20 | 1396 | 1.09 | 0.38 |
Oonishi | 535 | 1.25 | 0.24 | 486 | 1.20 | 0.38 |
Kawasumi | 4556 | 1.12 | 0.15 | 4465 | 1.09 | 0.24 |
Koyaura | 2333 | 1.12 | 0.26 | 1871 | 1.09 | 0.39 |
Nango | 173 | 1.54 | 0.61 | 83 | 1.02 | 0.42 |
Tachi | 102 | 1.17 | 0.19 | 80 | 1.29 | 0.26 |
Ishidume | 77 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 57 | 1.85 | 0.33 |
Fukuoka | 40 | 1.11 | 0.28 | 35 | 1.19 | 0.37 |
Kurokawa | 1222 | 0.89 | 0.23 | 1149 | 0.89 | 0.28 |
Kajigaharu-Yukihiro | 78 | 1.05 | 0.33 | 59 | 1.03 | 0.42 |
Average | 1104.5 | 1.12 | 0.28 | 969.9 | 1.10 | 0.37 |
Fiscal Capacity Index | Current Account Balance Ratio | Real Bond Cost Ratio | Future Burden Ratio | Laspeyres Index | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2005 | Average of Japan | 0.52 | 90.2 | 14.8 | 11.4 * | 98.0 |
Average of Study areas | 0.52 | 93.0 | 15.2 | 12.5 * | 95.2 | |
FY2019 | Average of Japan | 0.51 | 93.6 | 5.8 | 27.4 | 99.1 |
Average of Study areas | 0.50 | 94.1 | 8.4 | 62.7 | 97.4 |
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Chiba, M.; Furuido, H.; Shibasaki, S.; Haga, K. Analysis of Socio-Economic Factors That Influence Loss of Life in Sediment-Related Disasters. Water 2022, 14, 2408. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14152408
Chiba M, Furuido H, Shibasaki S, Haga K. Analysis of Socio-Economic Factors That Influence Loss of Life in Sediment-Related Disasters. Water. 2022; 14(15):2408. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14152408
Chicago/Turabian StyleChiba, Miki, Hiromichi Furuido, Shigemitsu Shibasaki, and Kazuki Haga. 2022. "Analysis of Socio-Economic Factors That Influence Loss of Life in Sediment-Related Disasters" Water 14, no. 15: 2408. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14152408