Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Sources
2.2.1. Station Data
2.2.2. PDIR-Now Satellite Product Data
2.3. Performance Evaluation Methods
- (1)
- Correlation Coefficient (R)
- (2)
- Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
- (3)
- Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE)
- (4)
- Relative Bias (RB)
3. Results
3.1. Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Satellite-Inferred Precipitation
3.2. Overall Performance Evaluation of Satellite Data
3.3. Performance Evaluation of Satellite Data
3.3.1. Performance Evaluation of Different Time
3.3.2. Performance Evaluation of Different Regions
4. Discussion
4.1. Impact of Nighttime Rain on Satellite Precipitation Retrieval
4.2. Impact of Typhoons on Satellite Precipitation Retrieval
5. Conclusions
- This study finds that, in terms of data quality, the PDIR-Now satellite products can capture the spatial distribution of extreme precipitation in the study area. In the assessment of consistency indicators, a moderate correlation is observed between the two datasets, and the assessment of annual data also shows a moderate correlation. In the assessment of error indicators, the values of RMSE and RRMSE are within an acceptable range. From the annual assessment results, the error results for 2010 and 2016 are slightly larger. The analysis attributes this to the fact that these two years were exceptionally wet in China, and due to the impact of the greenhouse effect, although the precipitation was high, the number of rainy days shortened, leading to abrupt alternations between drought and flood. While satellites can capture the occurrence of abnormal precipitation, there is often a significant deviation from the measured values at stations, with 2016 being particularly prominent as the wettest in the past 60 years. The assessment results for the other years fluctuate around the overall trend.
- The inversion error of extreme precipitation from PDIR-Now satellite products exhibits significant regional characteristics in the study area. From the spatial distribution of data, RMSE increases progressively from west to east and from north to south, consistent with the spatial characteristics of precipitation. The RRMSE, RB, and relative deviation of most stations are within the normal range, but larger errors are observed in the northwest, Tibetan Plateau, and coastal areas. Stations with underestimated precipitation are mainly located in semi-arid areas such as the Loess Plateau and its surroundings, while stations with overestimated precipitation are concentrated in arid areas such as the northwest.
- Although the annual maximum daily precipitation extracted from satellites and stations is not synchronized in time, this study reveals a relatively stable relationship between satellite and station data after analyzing the R, RB, RMSE, and RRMSE of 17 years of data from 2000 to 2016. This relationship can be applied to the estimation of rainstorm frequency curves, which is of great significance for flash flood warnings. Furthermore, based on previous research, we know that the larger the time scale, the smaller the simulation error. From the analysis of the annual maximum daily precipitation prediction results of PDIR-Now satellite products, we can infer that the prediction fitting results for 1 h intervals may have larger errors. The analysis also shows that the influence of geographical factors on satellite inversion is significant, indicating considerable room for improvement in satellite algorithms.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Indicators | R | RMSE | RRMSE | RB |
Result | 0.6 | 46.5 mm/d | 0.6 | −0.14 |
Year | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 |
R | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
Year | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |
R | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.53 |
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Zhu, Y.; Chang, G.; Zhang, W.; Guo, J.; Li, X. Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China. Water 2025, 17, 308. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17030308
Zhu Y, Chang G, Zhang W, Guo J, Li X. Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China. Water. 2025; 17(3):308. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17030308
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhu, Yanping, Gaosong Chang, Wenjiang Zhang, Jingyu Guo, and Xiaodong Li. 2025. "Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China" Water 17, no. 3: 308. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17030308
APA StyleZhu, Y., Chang, G., Zhang, W., Guo, J., & Li, X. (2025). Evaluation of the Artificial Neural Networks—Dynamic Infrared Rain Rate near Real-Time (PDIR-Now) Satellite’s Ability to Monitor Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Mainland China. Water, 17(3), 308. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17030308