3. Uley South Recharge: Methods and Estimates
Werner [
2] discusses various approaches and data limitations on application of recharge estimate methods in karst aquifer systems, and in particular for the Uley South basin. Numerous studies on recharge estimation methods and their limitations are available. For details, the reader is directed to: Simmers [
13], Sharma [
14], Healy and Cook [
15], Scanlon
et al. [
16], and a summary of selected methods in Somaratne
et al. [
4].
With regard to obtaining consistent results and greater reliability of recharge, Scanlon
et al. [
16] hold the view that it is highly beneficial to apply multiple methods but Healey and Cook [
15] consider that consistency by itself should not be taken as an indication of accuracy [
4]. Concurring both with Scanlon
et al. [
16] and Healey and Cook [
15], Somaratne
et al. [
4] introduce a simple technique to assess reliability of recharge based on three distinct criteria: applicability of the method, reliability of data, and spatial coverage of the basin. Somaratne
et al. [
4] show that if the theory or method of recharge estimation is not valid, it always produces a “Low” reliable recharge value. This “Low” level will stand unless the theory or method is improved. Reliability of data and spatial coverage can be improved, if the method is applicable [
4].
With this background, underpinning assumptions of the conventional CMB method are provided below. Following Ericksson and Khunakasen [
17], the CMB equation can be expressed as:
where R is recharge (LT
−1); c
p+D (ML
−3) is the representative mean chloride concentration in rainwater including contributions from dry deposition; and c
R is chloride concentration in recharge (ML
−3). For Equation (1) to hold after replacing c
R with groundwater chloride (c
g), c
R must be in equilibrium with c
g (saturated version of CMB) [
3]. This is not the case with point recharge through sinkholes as Werner [
2] anticipates, as point recharge occupies mostly conduit porosity areas. Zhu
et al. [
18] highlights that for the saturated version of CMB to be applicable; groundwater movement in both unsaturated and saturated zones should be approximated as one-dimensional piston flow. This essentially means that chloride concentration of the mass flux crossing the piezometric surface (c
R) is at equilibrium with groundwater chloride (c
g) [
3]. When chloride concentrations of groundwater samples (c
g) are used as c
R values in Equation (1) for saturated zone application, the recharge rates determined from the conventional CMB apply to locations in the catchment where the samples are recharged, not where the samples are collected [
3]. This requires that hydrodynamic dispersion of chloride between the recharge point and sampling location be small, which essentially requires the piston flow requirement in the unsaturated and saturated zones of Zhu
et al. [
18]; and the necessity of minimal mixing for less variability within the aquifer (valid under steady-state condition), otherwise the conventional CMB equation must be viewed as a gross simplification as indicated by Subyani and Sen [
19]. Clearly, when point recharge is a contributing recharge source, fundamental assumptions of the conventional CMB are violated [
3]. It is noted here that the conventional CMB is the simplest form of the mass balance equation in hydrology, and is not applicable to account for mass balance in systems displaying complex groundwater mixing caused by point recharge [
3]. In particular, groundwater basins, such as Uley South, where the chloride in the aquifer originates from several sources and not just from precipitation directly on the aquifer, such application of the conventional CMB method is likely to provide a distorted recharge value. This is why Somaratne [
1] suggest incorporating duality of the recharge mechanism into the conventional CMB, as in the generalised CMB method [
3], if it is to be used for karst aquifers. The method must be valid in the first instance, and then parameterisation of the model is a different issue.
In the article of Somaratne [
1], point recharge is described as “highly transient and may occur in relatively short-time periods, yet is capable of recharging large volume of water, even from a single extreme rainfall event. Preferential groundwater flows are observed in karst aquifers with local fresher water pockets of low salinity that develop around point recharge sources”. Werner [
2] comments that “hence, the seemingly stable freshwater pockets in the vicinity of point recharge” but the word “stable” is not given in Somaratne [
1] nor is it implied.
Referring to Herczeg
et al. [
20], Werner [
2] states water chemistry and isotope interpretations indicated that point sources contribute less than 10% of total recharge, with diffuse recharge providing the remainder. This is used to justify a diffuse recharge estimate using the conventional CMB method in Uley South basin. For a valid comparison, it is prudent to consider the catchment area and number of sinkholes considered in the Herczeg
et al. [
20] study. Herczeg
et al. [
20] considered three large sinkholes (including the Poocher Swamp sinkholes), one swamp and a drainage bore in the > 500 km
2 Tatiara catchment, whereas hundreds of sinkholes (surveyed 161) are present in the Uley South basin (113 km
2), and 400 drainage wells and three sinkholes are present in the Mount Gambier capture zone (26.5 km
2). The diffuse recharge rate of the Tatiara catchment is 1–15 mm per year [
20] and in Uley South is 52.7 mm per year [
1].
Werner [
2] and Ordens
et al. [
10] interpret the gap in the chloride
vs. δ
18O relation as evidence that the sinkhole is not directly recharging the aquifer. Somaratne contests [
1] that the gap is a sampling bias because of the inability to obtain water samples under solution sinkholes due to their complex architecture and inaccessibility. Sampling to reduce this bias is possible in drainage wells in Mount Gambier as Herczeg
et al. [
20] use a drainage well for their study. Average catchment areas contributing to a sinkhole in Uley South (0.07 km
2) [
1] and the drainage well in Mount Gambier (0.03–0.12 km
2) are similar. These small catchments generate small runoff volumes that occur mostly in conduit porosity.
Even though 400 drainage wells are spread across the capture zone in Mount Gambier, a gap of 43 mg·L
−1 exits between rainfall and monitoring well chlorides in the chloride
vs. δ
18O relation (
Figure 9). Any water samples taken from a well is generally considered to be mixture of waters from all flow lines reaching the well. The gap in chloride
vs. δ
18O relation does not mean drainage wells are not directly recharging the aquifer. This gap could only be filled by taking water samples from drainage wells themselves.
In previous recharge estimation efforts, Ward
et al. [
21] adopt a conceptual model of recharge for the Uley South basin that comprised the addition of runoff to the watertable via numerous sinkholes. This produced an average annual total recharge of 75 mm, whereas Ordens
et al. [
10] apply the conventional CMB method to the Uley South basin resulting in an average annual total recharge of 52–63 mm. The three criteria reliability analysis of Somaratne
et al. [
4] results in the total recharge to the basin calculations of both Ward
et al. [
21] and Ordens
et al. [
10] as “Low” reliability estimates [
4] as Ward
et al. [
21] ignored the diffuse recharge and Ordens
et al. [
10] ignored the effects of point recharge and leakage of TS water into the QL aquifer. However, the estimation of Ward
et al. [
21] of point recharge and that of Ordens
et al. [
10] of diffuse recharge yield moderately reliable recharge.
Figure 9.
Characteristics of chloride
vs. δ
18O relation, Mount Gambier Blue Lake capture zone (
a) Chloride
vs. δ
18O relation [
1]; (
b) Direct recharge through a drainage well.
Figure 9.
Characteristics of chloride
vs. δ
18O relation, Mount Gambier Blue Lake capture zone (
a) Chloride
vs. δ
18O relation [
1]; (
b) Direct recharge through a drainage well.
The implications of reliance on the conventional CMB estimated recharge in Uley South basin is clear in the long-term water level trends. Average annual pumping from the basin over the past 14 years (2000–2014) is about 60 mm per year (6.8 × 10
6 m
3 over 113 km
2), which is equivalent to the CMB estimated recharge range of Ordens
et al. [
10]. Based on extraction of 100% of estimated recharge, groundwater levels should be falling. However, the water level trend observed in the basin since 1999, is characterized by stable or slight water level rise (
Figure 10); the coastal saline wedge is stable [
5] and as shown before, groundwater salinities in both QL and TS aquifers are equivalent to 1961 levels. The rise and fall of basin water levels is primarily climate driven as indicated in cumulative rainfall deviation from the mean. Declining water levels from 1968 to 1977 have no relation to groundwater extraction as the extraction began in 1977. The year 1968 recorded the highest rainfall (917.4 mm) at the Big Swamp station (Station: 18017) in the last century and 1977 recorded the lowest rainfall of 414 mm during 1960–2014 period. With the average groundwater extraction during the 1977–1992 period of 5 × 10
6 m
3 (basin equivalent depth of 44.2 mm), water levels generally increased due to average annual rainfall being slightly higher (592.4 mm) than the mean annual average of 550 mm. The period from 1993 to 1999 is mostly dry, with an average 15% reduction in rainfall compared to the mean annual average. During this period water levels declined even though extraction remained unchanged. Years 2000 and 2001 featured up to about 20% higher annual rainfall and since then there has been generally average annual rainfall. During this period, the basin water levels were stable and steadily rising even though the average annual extraction increased to 6.8 × 10
6 m
3 (basin equivalent depth of 60 mm).
Monitoring wells ULE101 and ULE126 are not considered representative wells for the main limestone aquifer, even though they have long-term data sets. ULE101 is located at the edge of a swamp and terminates 5 m into the Tertiary Clay layer, and ULE126 is at the basin’s outer margin (
Figure 1b) of wet and dry limestone [
4]. The current water level of the most up-gradient well within the basin, ULE139, is the same as the pre-development water level of 1961. The most down gradient well, ULE102 is about 0.7 m lower than the 1961 level but steadily rising towards a new equilibrium level. Therefore, recharge estimates based on a conventional CMB are unrealistically low in this karstic setting. Similarly, the minimum average annual recharge value, 47 mm, reported by Ordens
et al. [
10] using the watertable fluctuation method (47–129 mm) is well below the annual extraction. This highlights the danger of presenting recharge values without assessing reliability levels of estimations.
Figure 10.
Water level trends in long-term monitoring wells, cumulative deviation from mean rainfall and groundwater extraction in Uley South basin.
Figure 10.
Water level trends in long-term monitoring wells, cumulative deviation from mean rainfall and groundwater extraction in Uley South basin.