Driving Mechanisms of Cropland Abandonment from the Perspectives of Household and Topography in the Poyang Lake Region, China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Sources
2.3. Farming Household Division Criteria
2.4. Assumptions
- (1)
- The majority of laborers of pure households are fully engaged in farming, and agricultural profits are their main goal, therefore, the behavioral decisions of pure households are close to Schultz’s “rational peasant” [38]. Due to high input of agricultural materials, machinery and labor costs, and low output and low profits of agriculture, the plots that require large investments of time and energy are not cost-effective or not enough to make ends meet will be abandoned by pure households [38].
- (2)
- Most of the laborers in part-time households are engaged in non-farm and farming work at the same time, or they only work in farming during the busy farming season. The non-farm jobs of the laborers working in non-farm work while working in farming work are generally unstable, and yields maximization is the goal of agricultural production for these households to ensure maximum agricultural output and to meet basic survival requirements, so they will not easily abandon the cropland [38]. However, the non-farm jobs of the laborers who work in farming only during the busy farming season are generally stable, and the household income can be secured through non-farm income, so some plots will be abandoned due to labor shortage. In addition, farming for these households is not focused on maximizing yields, but rather on obtaining basic household needs, or to obtain a sense of value and happiness in life; thus, the possibility of cropland abandonment will be relatively higher. In these cases, plots requiring more time and energy which are unfavorable to cultivation will be abandoned first.
- (3)
- The driving factors of cropland abandonment for non-farm households are the most complex. The laborers of non-farm households are mainly engaged in non-farm work, and their household income is mainly non-farm income, which is enough to secure their survival. If their farming plots cannot be transferred, non-farm households may abandon them for many reasons.
2.5. Methods
3. Variable Selection and Descriptive Statistical Analysis
3.1. Variable Selection and Definition
3.2. Descriptive Statistical Analysis
4. Results
4.1. Statistical Data-Based Analysis of Farming Households and Abandonment Characteristics
4.2. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Pure Households
4.2.1. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Pure Households in the Mountainous Topographic Region
4.2.2. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Pure Households in the Hilly Topographic Region
4.2.3. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Pure Households in the Plain Topographic Region
4.3. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Part-Time Households
4.3.1. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Part-Time Households in the Mountainous Topographic Region
4.3.2. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Part-Time Households in the Hilly Region
4.3.3. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Part-Time Households in the Plain Topographic Region
4.4. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Non-Farm Households
4.4.1. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Non-Farm Households in the Mountainous Region
4.4.2. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Non-Farm Households in the Hilly Region
4.4.3. The Driving Factors of Cropland Abandonment by Non-Farm Households in the Plain Region
5. Robustness Check
6. Discussion
6.1. Characteristics of Cropland Abandonment
6.2. Abandonment Driving Factors
6.3. Innovation and Shortcomings
7. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
7.1. Conclusions
7.2. Policy Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variables | Definition and Description |
---|---|
Abandonment | If the farming household has abandoned the cropland (0 = no; 1 = yes) |
Pure household | Farming household with mainly pure farming laborers |
Part-time household | Farming household with mainly part-time laborers |
Non-farm household | Farming household with mainly non-farm laborers |
Farming household characteristics | |
Gender ratio | Male/Female |
Household size | Number of household members (1: ≤3 people; 2: 3–7 people; 3: ≥7 people) |
Average health level | Average health level of household members (1 = good; 2 = fair; 3 = poor; 4 = very poor) |
Average education level | Average education level of household members (1 = illiterate; 2 = elementary school education; 3 = junior high school education; 4 = higher secondary school education; 5 = college education and above) |
Farming laborers | Farming household’s farming laborers (number) |
Non-farm laborers | Farming household’s non-farm laborers (number) |
Economic characteristics | |
Agricultural income and expenditure | Agricultural income minus agricultural expenditure (1 = positive; 2 = equilibrium; 3 = negative) |
Proportion of non-farm income | The proportion of non-farm income in household income (%) |
Existence of large domestic animals | 1 = yes; 2 = no |
Existence of economic forestry operations | 1 = yes; 2 = no |
Policy evaluation | |
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | Farming household’s evaluation of existing agricultural subsidy policies (1 = very good; 2 = better; 3 = fair; 4 = not very good; 5 = very bad) |
Evaluation of grain purchase price | Farming household’s evaluation of existing grain purchase prices (1 = too low; 2 = low; 3 = fair; 4 = high) |
Is the direct grain subsidy policy conducive to cropland conservation | If farming household thinks the existing direct grain subsidy policy is beneficial to cropland conservation (1 = yes; 2 = unable to say; 3 = no) |
Disaster pollution awareness | |
Changes in the number of droughts in recent years | Farming household’s perceptions of droughts changes (1 = increase; 2 = no change; 3 = decrease; 4 = fluctuating change) |
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | Farming household’s perceptions of rainstorms changes (1 = increase; 2 = no change; 3 = decrease; 4 = fluctuating change) |
Plot characteristics | |
Plot size | Size of each plot (mu *) |
Plot type | Is this plot dry or paddy (1 = paddy field; 2 = dryland) |
Distance to home | Distance of the plot to home (km) |
Use of agricultural machinery | Use of agricultural machinery on the plot (1 = use; 2 = occasional use; 3 = no use) |
Irrigation conditions | The irrigation condition on the plot (1 = rainfed; 2 = irrigated) |
Plot quality | The quality of the plot (1 = high; 2 = medium; 3 = low) |
Landform | Landform of the plot (1 = flat land; 2 = sloping land) |
Variables | Pure Households | Part-Time Households | Non-Farm Households | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | |
Farming household characteristics | ||||||
Gender ratio | 1.39 | 0.82 | 1.37 | 0.85 | 1.43 | 0.88 |
Household size | 1.78 | 0.44 | 2.08 | 0.67 | 2.30 | 0.57 |
Average health level | 1.78 | 0.83 | 1.24 | 0.50 | 1.32 | 0.50 |
Average education level | 2.33 | 0.71 | 2.32 | 0.62 | 2.53 | 0.70 |
Farming laborers | 4.11 | 1.97 | 4.13 | 2.60 | 1.76 | 1.86 |
Non-farm laborers | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 1.43 | 4.71 | 2.54 |
Economic characteristics | ||||||
Agricultural income and expenditure | 2.17 | 0.98 | 2.15 | 0.74 | 1.95 | 0.56 |
Proportion of non-farm income | 91.67% | 0.13 | 88.97% | 0.22 | 95.96% | 0.14 |
Existence of large domestic animals | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.94 | 0.23 | 1.96 | 0.20 |
Existence of economic forestry operations | 1.86 | 0.38 | 1.64 | 0.49 | 1.73 | 0.45 |
Policy evaluation | ||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | 2.56 | 0.73 | 2.45 | 1.12 | 2.68 | 0.96 |
Evaluation of grain purchase price | 2.63 | 0.92 | 2.46 | 0.86 | 2.41 | 0.76 |
Is the direct grain subsidy policy conducive to cropland conservation | 1.71 | 0.76 | 1.29 | 0.52 | 1.42 | 0.63 |
Disaster pollution awareness | ||||||
Changes in the number of droughts in recent years | 2.22 | 1.39 | 1.65 | 0.78 | 1.89 | 0.93 |
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 2.14 | 1.35 | 2.13 | 1.07 | 2.15 | 1.08 |
Plot characteristics | ||||||
Plot size | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
Plot type | 1.39 | 0.50 | 1.38 | 0.49 | 1.34 | 0.47 |
Distance to home | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.99 | 2.84 | 0.77 | 1.06 |
Use of agricultural machinery | 2.50 | 0.76 | 2.67 | 0.69 | 2.30 | 0.89 |
Irrigation conditions | 1.92 | 0.29 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.62 | 0.61 |
Plot quality | 2.17 | 0.38 | 2.06 | 0.59 | 2.09 | 0.71 |
Landform | 1.06 | 0.24 | 1.38 | 0.49 | 1.49 | 0.50 |
Variables | Pure Households | Part-Time Households | Non-Farm Households | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | |
Farming household characteristics | ||||||
Gender ratio | 1.44 | 0.90 | 1.14 | 0.72 | 1.30 | 0.76 |
Household size | 1.93 | 0.59 | 2.09 | 0.42 | 2.38 | 0.59 |
Average health level | 1.54 | 0.78 | 1.09 | 0.29 | 1.17 | 0.38 |
Average education level | 2.20 | 0.41 | 2.57 | 0.90 | 2.05 | 0.80 |
Farming laborers | 2.87 | 1.06 | 3.09 | 1.28 | 1.30 | 0.80 |
Non-farm laborers | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.57 | 1.34 | 4.58 | 2.49 |
Economic characteristics | ||||||
Agricultural income and expenditure | 1.40 | 0.51 | 1.52 | 0.68 | 1.82 | 0.55 |
Proportion of non-farm income | 54.68% | 0.44 | 79.4% | 0.27 | 97.25% | 0.08 |
Existence of large domestic animals | 1.93 | 0.27 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 0.21 |
Existence of economic forestry operations | 1.93 | 0.26 | 1.82 | 0.40 | 1.94 | 0.23 |
Policy evaluation | ||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | 2.18 | 0.87 | 2.71 | 1.26 | 2.37 | 0.92 |
Evaluation of grain purchase price | 2.00 | 0.71 | 2.25 | 0.86 | 2.20 | 0.81 |
Is the direct grain subsidy policy conducive to cropland conservation | 1.50 | 0.76 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.57 | 0.68 |
Disaster pollution awareness | ||||||
Changes in the number of droughts in recent years | 2.62 | 1.39 | 1.73 | 1.16 | 1.37 | 0.78 |
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 2.55 | 1.13 | 1.76 | 1.14 | 2.01 | 0.94 |
Plot characteristics | ||||||
Plot size | 2.06 | 2.13 | 0.96 | 0.84 | 1.92 | 11.30 |
Plot type | 1.39 | 0.50 | 1.39 | 0.49 | 1.40 | 0.49 |
Distance to home | 0.93 | 1.05 | 1.11 | 1.29 | 0.98 | 1.40 |
Use of agricultural machinery | 2.00 | 0.74 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 1.76 | 0.91 |
Irrigation conditions | 1.65 | 0.49 | 1.70 | 0.51 | 1.71 | 0.55 |
Plot quality | 1.82 | 0.39 | 1.90 | 0.44 | 1.82 | 0.60 |
Landform | 1.25 | 0.44 | 1.21 | 0.41 | 1.29 | 0.47 |
Variables | Pure Households | Part-Time Households | Non-Farm Households | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | |
Farming household characteristics | ||||||
Gender ratio | 1.17 | 0.6 | 1.56 | 0.76 | 1.30 | 0.54 |
Household size | 2.16 | 0.69 | 2.29 | 0.75 | 2.69 | 0.56 |
Average health level | 1.27 | 0.46 | 1.30 | 0.47 | 1.28 | 0.48 |
Average education level | 2.32 | 0.75 | 2.32 | 0.84 | 2.41 | 0.74 |
Farming laborers | 2.11 | 0.94 | 3.29 | 1.81 | 1.56 | 1.07 |
Non-farm laborers | 2.63 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.50 | 5.95 | 3.55 |
Economic characteristics | ||||||
Agricultural income and expenditure | 1.32 | 0.67 | 1.21 | 0.51 | 1.37 | 0.52 |
Proportion of non-farm income | 42.92% | 0.40 | 64.15% | 0.29 | 79.65% | 0.31 |
Existence of large domestic animals | 1.67 | 0.49 | 1.87 | 0.34 | 1.88 | 0.33 |
Existence of economic forestry operations | 1.94 | 0.24 | 1.87 | 0.34 | 1.98 | 0.15 |
Policy evaluation | ||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | 2.58 | 1.07 | 2.17 | 0.92 | 2.41 | 0.93 |
Evaluation of grain purchase price | 1.58 | 0.51 | 1.92 | 0.83 | 1.79 | 0.70 |
Is the direct grain subsidy policy conducive to cropland conservation | 1.21 | 0.54 | 1.13 | 0.34 | 1.22 | 0.52 |
Disaster pollution awareness | ||||||
Changes in the number of droughts in recent years | 1.59 | 0.87 | 1.53 | 0.84 | 1.51 | 0.77 |
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 2.53 | 0.87 | 2.29 | 1.01 | 2.07 | 0.89 |
Plot characteristics | ||||||
Plot size | 4.01 | 6.35 | 4.35 | 5.65 | 3.55 | 5.23 |
Plot type | 1.01 | 0.12 | 1.03 | 0.18 | 1.01 | 0.12 |
Distance to home | 1.76 | 1.17 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
Use of agricultural machinery | 1.07 | 0.31 | 1.10 | 0.42 | 1.15 | 0.45 |
Irrigation conditions | 1.99 | 0.12 | 2.01 | 0.12 | 1.99 | 0.10 |
Plot quality | 1.87 | 0.34 | 1.75 | 0.55 | 1.75 | 0.61 |
Landform | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | 0.12 | 1.01 | 0.09 |
Farming Households | The Mountainous Topographic Region | The Hilly Topographic Region | The Plain Topographic Region | Sum |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pure households | 9 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
Ratio (%) | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 10% |
Part-time households | 38 | 23 | 24 | 85 |
Ratio (%) | 30.9% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 21% |
Non-farm households | 76 | 127 | 84 | 287 |
Ratio (%) | 61.8% | 77.0% | 66.1% | 69% |
Sum | 123 | 165 | 127 | 415 |
Ratio (%) | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Plot size | 0.403 | 0.087 * | 1.497 | ||||||
Distance to home | 1.390 | 0.035 ** | 4.014 | 1.789 | 0.088 * | 5.986 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Disaster Pollution Awareness | |||||||||
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 2.773 | 0.087 * | 16 | ||||||
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Plot type | 2.639 | 0.019 ** | 14 | ||||||
Irrigation conditions | −1.654 | 0.022 ** | 0.191 | ||||||
Plot quality | 2.374 | 0.057 * | 10.739 | ||||||
Landform | 1.935 | 0.003 *** | 6.924 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Farming Household Characteristics | |||||||||
Household size | −2.145 | 0.017 ** | 0.117 | ||||||
Average health level | −1.586 | 0.013 ** | 0.205 | ||||||
Average education level | 1.501 | 0.028 ** | 4.484 | ||||||
Farming laborers | −0.502 | 0.05 ** | 0.605 | ||||||
Economic Characteristics | |||||||||
Proportion of non-farm income | 0.275 | 0.009 *** | 1.316 | ||||||
Policy Evaluation | |||||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | −2.526 | 0.027 ** | 0.08 | ||||||
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Use of agricultural machinery | 1.547 | 0.035 ** | 4.696 | 1.131 | 0.017 ** | 3.097 | |||
Irrigation conditions | −3.481 | 0.000 *** | 0.031 | 1.204 | 0.081 * | 3.335 | |||
Plot quality | −2.197 | 0.025 ** | 0.111 | 1.489 | 0.009 *** | 4.431 | |||
Landform | 2.548 | 0.000 *** | 12.779 | −1.219 | 0.040 ** | 0.295 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Plot size | 0.116 | 0.098 * | 1.123 | ||||||
Distance to home | 3.447 | 0.048 ** | 31.398 | 1.779 | 0.093 * | 5.924 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Disaster Pollution Awareness | |||||||||
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 2.89 | 0.074 * | 18 | ||||||
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Plot type | 1.747 | 0.022 ** | 5.736 | ||||||
Irrigation conditions | −1.575 | 0.076 * | 0.207 | ||||||
Plot quality | 2.2 | 0.048 ** | 9.026 | ||||||
Landform | 2.794 | 0.000 *** | 16.354 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | B | Sig | Exp(B) | |
Farming Household Characteristics | |||||||||
Household size | −2.327 | 0.01 *** | 0.098 | ||||||
Average health level | −1.649 | 0.032 ** | 0.192 | ||||||
Average education level | 1.513 | 0.024 ** | 4.541 | ||||||
Farming laborers | −0.477 | 0.071 * | 0.621 | ||||||
Economic Characteristics | |||||||||
Proportion of non-farm income | 0.286 | 0.007 *** | 1.331 | ||||||
Policy Evaluation | |||||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | −2.526 | 0.027 ** | 0.08 | ||||||
Plot Characteristics | |||||||||
Use of agricultural machinery | 1.338 | 0.071 * | 3.812 | 1.213 | 0.011 ** | 3.365 | |||
Irrigation conditions | −7.063 | 0.000 *** | 0.001 | 1.241 | 0.077 * | 3.458 | |||
Plot quality | −2.127 | 0.015 ** | 0.119 | 1.285 | 0.022 ** | 3.616 | |||
Landform | 2.561 | 0.000 *** | 12.953 | −1.293 | 0.031 ** | 0.275 |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | B | Sig | B | Sig | |
Plot Characteristics | ||||||
Plot size | 0.402 | 0.002 *** | ||||
Distance to home | 2.127 | 0.004 *** |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | B | Sig | B | Sig | |
Disaster Pollution Awareness | ||||||
Changes in the number of rainstorms in recent years | 23.472 | 0.089 * | ||||
Plot Characteristics | ||||||
Plot type | 1.152 | 0.076 ** | ||||
Irrigation conditions | −0.905 | 0.127 * | ||||
Plot quality | 1.785 | 0.092 * | ||||
Landform | 4.005 | 0.014 ** |
Variables | The Mountainous Topographic Region (Wenquan Township) | The Hilly Topographic Region (Sujiadang Township) | The Plain Topographic Region (Songhu Township) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | Sig | B | Sig | B | Sig | |
Farming Household Characteristics | ||||||
Household size | −1.441 | 0.086 * | ||||
Average health level | −1.831 | 0.019 ** | ||||
Average education level | ||||||
Farming laborers | −0.517 | 0.111 * | ||||
Economic Characteristics | ||||||
Proportion of non-farm income | 0.438 | 0.014 ** | ||||
Policy Evaluation | ||||||
Evaluation of agricultural subsidies | −37.332 | 0.01 *** | ||||
Plot Characteristics | ||||||
Use of agricultural machinery | 1.423 | 0.083 * | 2.236 | 0.007 *** | ||
Irrigation conditions | −6.531 | 0.001 *** | 0.972 | 0.197 * | ||
Plot quality | −2.526 | 0.02 ** | 1.429 | 0.014 ** | ||
Landform | 2.409 | 0.001 *** | −1.033 | 0.096 * |
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Ding, G.; Ding, M.; Xie, K.; Li, J. Driving Mechanisms of Cropland Abandonment from the Perspectives of Household and Topography in the Poyang Lake Region, China. Land 2022, 11, 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060939
Ding G, Ding M, Xie K, Li J. Driving Mechanisms of Cropland Abandonment from the Perspectives of Household and Topography in the Poyang Lake Region, China. Land. 2022; 11(6):939. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060939
Chicago/Turabian StyleDing, Guohua, Mingjun Ding, Kun Xie, and Jingru Li. 2022. "Driving Mechanisms of Cropland Abandonment from the Perspectives of Household and Topography in the Poyang Lake Region, China" Land 11, no. 6: 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060939
APA StyleDing, G., Ding, M., Xie, K., & Li, J. (2022). Driving Mechanisms of Cropland Abandonment from the Perspectives of Household and Topography in the Poyang Lake Region, China. Land, 11(6), 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060939