Optimizing Land Use to Mitigate Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs Using Multi-Scenario Simulation in the Luo River Basin
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Source
2.3. Research Methods
2.3.1. Ecosystem Services Assessment
- (1)
- Water yield
- (2)
- Carbon storage
- (3)
- Habitat quality
- (4)
- Soil conservation
2.3.2. Identification of Trade-Off Areas Based on Production Possibility Frontier
2.3.3. Scenario Setting
3. Results
3.1. Spatial and Temporal Changes in Ecosystem Services
3.2. Trade-Off Region Identification and Nonlinear Characterization
3.3. Multi-Scenario Modelling Projections
3.4. Changes in ES Trade-Offs under Different Scenarios
4. Discussion
4.1. ESs Quantification and Nonlinear Characterization of Trade-Offs/Synergies
4.2. Multi-Scenario Projections of Ecosystem Services
4.3. Implications for the Sustainability of Ecosystem Services
4.4. Limitations
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Scenarios | Inflection Point | Synergy Potential | Trade-Off Intensity | Changes in Synergy Potential | Changes in Trade-Off Intensity |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | (6.90, −0.388) | 17.464 | 0.69 | -- | -- |
Scenario I | (7.50, −0.406) | 18.040 | 0.61 | 3.30% | −11.59% |
Scenario II | (7.75, −0.242) | 19.013 | 0.58 | 8.87% | −15.94% |
Scenario III | (7.54, −0.104) | 21.345 | 0.46 | 22.22% | −33.34% |
Scenario IV | (7.98, −0.192) | 20.638 | 0.53 | 18.17% | −23.19% |
Scenarios | Inflection Point | Synergy Potential | Trade-Off Intensity | Changes in Synergy Potential | Changes in Trade-Off Intensity |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | (0.17, −0.804) | 2.833 | 0.62 | -- | -- |
Scenario I | (0.35, −0.729) | 2.843 | 0.58 | 0.35% | −6.45% |
Scenario II | (0.25, −1.091) | 2.761 | 0.49 | −2.51% | −20.97% |
Scenario III | (0.21, −0.430) | 3.043 | 0.38 | 7.41% | −40.32% |
Scenario IV | (0.25, −0.407) | 2.869 | 0.44 | 1.27% | −29.03% |
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Dai, Y.; Qiao, X.; Yang, Y.; Liu, L.; Chen, Y.; Zhang, J.; Zhao, T. Optimizing Land Use to Mitigate Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs Using Multi-Scenario Simulation in the Luo River Basin. Land 2024, 13, 1243. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13081243
Dai Y, Qiao X, Yang Y, Liu L, Chen Y, Zhang J, Zhao T. Optimizing Land Use to Mitigate Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs Using Multi-Scenario Simulation in the Luo River Basin. Land. 2024; 13(8):1243. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13081243
Chicago/Turabian StyleDai, Yulong, Xuning Qiao, Yongju Yang, Liang Liu, Yuru Chen, Jing Zhang, and Tongqian Zhao. 2024. "Optimizing Land Use to Mitigate Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs Using Multi-Scenario Simulation in the Luo River Basin" Land 13, no. 8: 1243. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13081243