Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Dynamics in Relation to Shifting Inundation and Fire Regimes: Disentangling Environmental Variability from Land Management Decisions in a Southern African Transboundary Watershed
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Datasets
2.2.1. AVHRR Data
2.2.2. MODIS Data
2.2.3. Fire and Flood Indices
2.3. Data Analysis Methods
2.3.1. Temporal Dynamics of NDVI in the CRB
Basin-Level Analysis
Cell-by-Cell Level Analysis
Mean-Variance Analysis
2.3.2. Spatial Dynamics of NDVI in the CRB
2.3.3. Two-Date Image Differencing: NDVI-Inundation-Fire Coincidence Analysis
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Productivity and Variability in CRB from 1985 to 2010 Using AVHRR and MODIS NDVI Data
Mean-Variance Analyses of Vegetation Productivity in CRB
3.2. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Productivity in Relation to Annual Flooding and Fire Extents in CRB from 2000 to 2010
2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
flood (+NDVI) | 11.11 | 4.59 | 7.73 | 10.65 | 0.60 | 6.19 | 9.86 | 6.85 | 5.69 |
flood (−NDVI) | 1.23 | 3.09 | 3.20 | 5.86 | 7.84 | 3.77 | 1.64 | 2.58 | 9.95 |
fire (−NDVI) | 11.26 | 7.95 | 5.37 | 9.28 | 7.43 | 19.56 | 16.62 | 18.14 | 13.32 |
fire (+NDVI) | 1.71 | 1.77 | 1.33 | 1.68 | 1.27 | 2.31 | 2.91 | 4.94 | 1.22 |
25.31 | 17.39 | 17.62 | 27.47 | 17.14 | 31.83 | 31.03 | 32.51 | 30.18 | |
fire (−) prev. year | 20.96 | 11.54 | 7.53 | 4.37 | 9.27 | 5.95 | 19.07 | 16.58 | 17.47 |
fire (+) prev. year | 3.51 | 1.43 | 2.18 | 1.33 | 1.69 | 3.64 | 2.80 | 2.96 | 2.45 |
24.47 | 12.97 | 9.71 | 5.70 | 10.96 | 9.59 | 21.87 | 19.53 | 22.92 | |
Total | 49.78 | 30.37 | 24.34 | 33.17 | 28.10 | 41.42 | 52.90 | 52.04 | 50.10 |
3.3. Two-Date Growing Season NDVI Change Detection in Relation to Multi-Annual Flooding Extent Index (FEI) and the Multi-Annual Fire Return Interval (FRI) for CRB
2000–2001 | 2001–2002 | 2002–2003 | 2003–2004 | 2004–2005 | 2005–2006 | 2006–2007 | 2007–2008 | 2008–2009 | 2009–2010 | 2001–2009 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
> 25% Decrease | 3.73 | 13.38 | 2.32 | 0.31 | 17.18 | 0.17 | 2.40 | 9.65 | 0.86 | 1.68 | 1.72 |
> 25% Increase | 1.73 | 0.64 | 2.51 | 20.20 | 0.09 | 16.43 | 2.17 | 2.20 | 3.51 | 0.63 | 6.63 |
Total NDVI Change > 25% | 5.46 | 14.02 | 4.83 | 20.51 | 17.27 | 16.60 | 4.57 | 11.85 | 4.37 | 2.31 | 8.35 |
4. Conclusions
Supplementary Files
Supplementary File 1Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Pricope, N.G.; Gaughan, A.E.; All, J.D.; Binford, M.W.; Rutina, L.P. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Dynamics in Relation to Shifting Inundation and Fire Regimes: Disentangling Environmental Variability from Land Management Decisions in a Southern African Transboundary Watershed. Land 2015, 4, 627-655. https://doi.org/10.3390/land4030627
Pricope NG, Gaughan AE, All JD, Binford MW, Rutina LP. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Dynamics in Relation to Shifting Inundation and Fire Regimes: Disentangling Environmental Variability from Land Management Decisions in a Southern African Transboundary Watershed. Land. 2015; 4(3):627-655. https://doi.org/10.3390/land4030627
Chicago/Turabian StylePricope, Narcisa G., Andrea E. Gaughan, John D. All, Michael W. Binford, and Lucas P. Rutina. 2015. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Vegetation Dynamics in Relation to Shifting Inundation and Fire Regimes: Disentangling Environmental Variability from Land Management Decisions in a Southern African Transboundary Watershed" Land 4, no. 3: 627-655. https://doi.org/10.3390/land4030627