Abstract
This paper investigates the randomly stopped sums, minima and maxima of heavy- and light-tailed random variables. The conditions on the primary random variables, which are independent but generally not identically distributed, and counting random variable are given in order that the randomly stopped sum, random minimum and maximum is heavy/light tailed. The results generalize some existing ones in the literature. The examples illustrating the results are provided.
Keywords:
heavy tail; light tail; randomly stopped sums; randomly stopped minima; randomly stopped maxima MSC:
60E05; 60G50; 91B05
1. Introduction
This paper is devoted to the randomly stopped sums, minima and maxima of heavy- and light-tailed random variables (r.v.s). Such objects appear when the number of the random variables under consideration is unknown and is described by some random integer. In particular, randomly stopped sums appear in such fields as insurance and financial mathematics, survival analysis, risk theory, computer and communication networks, etc. The area of randomly stopped sums for heavy-tailed r.v.s has been well developed for more than 50 years and covers mainly the case of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) r.v.s. In this paper, we consider the case where the underlying r.v.s are not necessarily identically distributed, although they are independent.
Specifically, suppose that are r.v.s defined on the probability space . Define a sequence of partial sums by
The main subject of the paper lies in the study of randomly stopped sums:
where n in (1) is replaced by a random variable , taking values in . Throughout this paper, we assume that is not degenerate at zero, i.e., . We will call such a counting random variable.
Further, we will assume that r.v.s are independent and counting r.v. is independent of the sequence . In general, r.v.s can be not identically distributed, each having a distribution function (d.f.) , respectively. Consider the d.f.
The main task considered in this paper is to give conditions guaranteeing that is heavy-/light-tailed, provided that some of the d.f.s or are heavy-/light-tailed.
Other objects of the paper are the randomly stopped minima and maxima. By the randomly stopped minimum of sums, we call the minimum of partial sums:
and by the rrandomly stopped maximum of sums, we call the maximum of partial sums:
Also, we provide some results for the randomly stopped minimum,
and the randomly stopped maximum,
Similarly, we are interested in when , , and are heavy-tailed or light-tailed. The most attention we pay is to the closure of heavy-tailed and light-tailed classes of distributions with respect to random transformations under consideration. For example, Proposition 1 (see parts (iii), (iv)) below implies that a randomly stopped sum remains heavy-tailed if at least one of the primary r.v.s reached by the counting r.v. is heavy-tailed. Proposition 2 (see parts (i), (ii)) shows that the randomly stopped maximum has an analogous property. Meanwhile, Proposition 3 (i) shows that the randomly stopped minimum remains heavy-tailed if the first primary r.v. is heavy-tailed, and the tails of other primary r.v.s are asymptotically compared to the distribution tail of the first primary r.v. Proposition 5 (iii) implies that the randomly stopped maximum of sums for any counting r.v. remains heavy-tailed if the first primary r.v. is heavy tailed. Meanwhile, according to Proposition 4 (i), in order for the randomly stopped maximum to remain heavy-tailed, it is necessary that the other primary r.v.s obtain some nonnegative values. Similar facts about the closure of the class of light-tailed distributions with respect to the considered transformations can also be obtained from Propositions 1–5 below. For various distribution classes, similar questions on the closure with respect to various transformations have been studied in [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30]. In particular, regularly varying distributions were considered in [23], consistently varying distributions in [2,15], long-tailed distributions in [18,19,21] and dominatedly varying distributions in [6,18,19]. Maxima and sums of nonstationary random-length sequences of random variables with regularly varying tails were studied in [31]. We mention also paper [32], where two independent heavy-tailed r.v.s, such that their minimum is not heavy tailed, were constructed.
One of the incentives to study the randomly stopped structures is related to the models describing the insurance business. According to the well-known Sparre Andersen model [33], the insurer’s wealth is described by the risk renewal model:
where is the initial capital, is a constant premium rate, is a counting process generated by a sequence of not negative r.v.s and is a sequence of independent random claims. Due to such a model, the behavior of the insurer’s wealth is driven by the randomly stopped sums
and the model ruin probability,
is related to maximum of the randomly stopped sums
It is well known that the behavior of , the selection of the premium rate p and the estimation of the ruin probability depends on whether the generating elements , and have light tails or heavy tails, even in the case that the distributions generating the model are identically distributed. For details, see [34,35,36,37,38].
We also note the well known duality of the homogeneous risk renewal model and the G/G/1 model from queuing theory, where the arrivals follow the counting process generated by distribution and service times have distribution . Then the probability of ruin coincides with the probability that the stationary waiting time exceeds u. For details see [34].
The structure of the paper is as follows. In Section 2, we introduce heavy- and light-tailed distributions and formulate two auxiliary lemmas. The main results are formulated in Section 3. Some examples of nonstandard heavy-tailed and light-tailed distributions are presented in Section 4. The heaviness of the distribution tails presented in Section 4 is determined on the basis of the statements formulated in Section 3. The proofs of the main results are presented in Section 5. The last Section 6 is devoted to the discussion of the obtained results in the broadest context together with the highlighting of future research directions.
2. Heavy-Tailed and Light-Tailed Distributions
For any distribution F, define its Laplace–Stieltjes transform as
A distribution F is said to be heavy-tailed, denoted , if
Otherwise, F is said to be light-tailed. Common examples of heavy-tailed distributions are Pareto, log-normal, Weibull with shape parameter , Burr and Student’s t distributions. For a detailed exposition of the heavy-tailed distributions and their properties, we refer to monographs [36,39,40,41,42,43,44].
We formulate two lemmas that will be used in the proofs of several main propositions. Although the results of the lemmas are well known and can be found, e.g., in [41,43,44], we provide the proofs for the sake of convenience. The first lemma gives equivalent conditions for the distribution F to be heavy-/light-tailed.
Lemma 1.
Suppose that F is a d.f. of a real-valued r.v. The following statements are equivalent:
- (i)
- F is heavy-tailed,
- (ii)
- for any ,
- (iii)
- .
Similarly, the equivalent are the following statements:
- (i’)
- F is light-tailed,
- (ii’)
- for some ,
- (iii’)
- .
Proof.
We prove only the first part of the lemma.
(i) ⇒ (iii). Suppose that for any . Let, on the contrary,
Then, there exist constants and such that for , or, equivalently,
For any , using (2) and the alternative expectation formula (see [45], for instance), we obtain
Since , the last integral is finite; hence,
leading to a contradiction.
(iii) ⇒ (ii). From the condition
we obtain that there exists an infinitely increasing sequence such that
For any given , this implies that there exists such that
for all . Equivalently,
Hence, tends to infinity as , and thus,
Since this holds for any , we have (ii).
(ii) ⇒ (i). Let
for any . For , write
Thus,
and Lemma 1 is proved. □
The next lemma implies that and are closed with respect to weak tail equivalence.
Lemma 2.
Let F and G be two distributions of real-valued r.v.s.
- (i)
- If andthen .
- (ii)
- If , and for some and large x (), then .
Proof.
Consider part (i). By condition (3), we obtain that
for some and sufficiently large x (). Therefore,
for any positive implying by Lemma 1 (ii).
The proof of part (ii) can be constructed in a similar way by using Lemma 1 (ii’), showing that
for some . Lemma 2 is proved. □
3. Main Results
In this section, we formulate the main results of the paper. We start with the randomly stopped sums. We notice that the d.f. can become heavy-tailed because of the heavy tail of some element in or because of the heavy tail of the counting random variable .
Proposition 1.
Let be independent real-valued r.v.s and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of the sequence . Distribution is heavy-tailed if at least one of the following conditions is satisfied:
- (i)
- for any , and ;
- (ii)
- for some , and ;
- (iii)
- for some , and for all ;
- (iv)
- for some and .
Distribution is light-tailed if at least one of the following conditions is satisfied:
- (v)
- , , for all and
- (vi)
- for some , and .
Our next statement is about the randomly stopped maximum of r.v.s. We observe that some conditions under which the distribution of the randomly stopped maximum becomes heavy-tailed are the same as in Proposition 1. Unfortunately, we did not find how to make a heavy-tailed distribution from the light-tailed primary r.v.s .
Proposition 2.
Let be independent real-valued r.v.s and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of the sequence .
- (i)
- If for some and for all , then ;
- (ii)
- If for some , then ;
- (iii)
- Distribution belongs to the class if , for all , and
The statement below is on the distribution of the randomly stopped minimum of r.v.s. From the formulation below, we observe that the tail of the d.f. has much less chance of becoming heavy compared to the d.f.s and .
Proposition 3.
Let be independent real-valued r.v.s and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of the sequence .
- (i)
- If andfor , then and
- (ii)
- If for , then .
The next two statements are on the heaviness of randomly stopped minimum of sums and randomly stopped maximum of sums. It can be seen from the presented formulations that some of the conditions were already present in the previous statements. However, for the sake of clarity, we present the full statements on the heaviness of and .
Proposition 4.
Let be independent real-valued r.v.s and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of the sequence .
- (i)
- If and for , then and
- (ii)
- If , then for any r.v. ν.
Proposition 5.
Let and ν be r.v.s. such as in Propositions 1–4. Then if at least one of the following conditions is satisfied:
- (i)
- for all and ;
- (ii)
- for some and ;
- (iii)
- ;
- (iv)
- for some in the case of infinite or for some in the case of finite .
Distribution is light-tailed if:
- (v)
- for some and .
In the i.i.d. case, Proposition 1 immediately implies the following corollaries. Note that the first two corollaries can be found in monograph [41] as Problems 2.12 and 2.13.
Corollary 1.
Let be i.i.d. real-valued r.v.s with common distribution , and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of . If and , then .
Corollary 2.
Let be i.i.d. nonnegative not degenerate at zero r.v.s, and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of . If , then .
Corollary 3.
Let be i.i.d. real-valued r.v.s with common distribution , and let ν be a counting r.v. independent of . If then .
Analogous corollaries can be formulated for randomly stopped minima and maxima.
4. Examples
In this section, we present two examples showing how one concretely can construct heavy-tailed distributions by using the above randomly stopped structures.
Example 1.
Let be a sequence of independent r.v.s such that the first member has the Pareto distribution
and other elements of the sequence are identically exponentially distributed:
According to Proposition 1 (parts (iii) and (iv)) and Proposition 5 (iii), distributions and are heavy-tailed for any counting r.v. independent of the sequence . This is due to the fact that the first of all primary distributions has a significantly heavier tail than the other elements of the infinite primary sequence. For instance, in the case of the discrete uniform counting r.v. with parameter , we have that distributions with the tail
belong to the class . Proposition 2 (ii) implies that distribution belongs to the class for any counting r.v. independent of . Meanwhile Proposition 3 (i) and Proposition 4 (i) imply that and are heavy-tailed for counting r.v. under condition . In the case of the discrete uniform counting r.v. with parameter , we have that and distributions with the following tails are heavy-tailed:
Example 2.
Let be a sequence of independent r.v.s uniformly distributed on the interval , i.e.,
for each .
Obviously,
for any and all . Therefore, by Proposition 1 (i) and Proposition 5 (i), we obtain that distributions and are heavy-tailed for an arbitrary heavy-tailed counting r.v. independent of . Suppose that counting r.v. is distributed according to the zeta distribution with parameter 2:
where
denotes the Riemann zeta function. Such is heavy-tailed. Propositions 1 (i) and 5 (i) imply that distribution
belongs to class , where
is the well-known Irwin–Hall distribution with parameter n; see [46,47] or Section 26.9 in [48]. Meanwhile, Propositions 3 (ii) and 4 (ii) imply that distributions with tails
are light-tailed despite the fact that the counting r.v. distributed according to the zeta distribution is heavy-tailed.
Example 3.
Let be a sequence of independent r.v.s distributed according to the Burr type XII law, i.e.,
and let the counting r.v. ν be independent of and distributed according to the shifted Poisson law, i.e.,
Since and
we obtain from Proposition 3 (i) that and
with
Figure 1.
Comparison of tails (blue line) and (red line) from Example 3.
We note that Proposition 3 (i) can also be applied to other Burr type XII distributions whose distribution functions have the form
where are positive parameters; see [49], for instance.
Example 4.
Let be a sequence of independent r.v.s such that is distributed according to the Weibull law with the scale parameter 1 and the shape parameter , i.e.,
Since , due to Proposition 4 (i), we obtain that the d.f. of the randomly stopped minimum of sums is heavy-tailed and
if for .
Figure 2.
Tail of d.f. (blue line) and its bounds (red lines) from Example 4.
5. Proofs of the Main Results
In this section, we present the proofs of all main propositions. We assign a separate subsection to the proof of each proposition.
5.1. Proof of Proposition 1
Proof of part (i).
For any and an arbitrary , we have
From the condition
we derive that the estimate
holds for some . Therefore, for all , we obtain
This, together with (9), implies that
Since , we have
Hence, implying by definition. Part (i) of the proposition is proved. □
Proof of part (ii).
Let us fix an arbitrary . Due to the conditions of part (ii), for such , we have
Hence, the assertion of part (ii) follows from part (i) of the proposition. □
Proof of part (iii).
The requirement for all implies that counting r.v. has an unbounded support. Thus, we can find such that . Let be any positive number and . Then,
because and for each . Therefore, . By representation (9), we obtain that
implying . This completes the proof of part (iii) of the proposition. □
Proof of part (iv).
Let K be such that and . Clearly, the conditions of part (iv) imply the existence of such K. To finish the proof of this part, it is sufficient to repeat the arguments of part (iii). □
Proof of part (v).
Condition (4) implies
for some , all and all . Therefore, by the alternative expectation formula (see, for instance, [45]), we derive from (12) that
for any , where for , and
Since are independent r.v.s, we obtain
Hence, by inequality (11) and condition we derive that
if is chosen as sufficiently small.
This implies that . □
Proof of part (vi).
The statement of this part can be proved analogously to the statement of part (v). Namely, the conditions of part (vi) imply that
for some constants and . Therefore, using the alternative expectation formula, we derive
for all and . The last estimation and inequality (11) imply that
If is sufficiently small, then the last expectation is finite because of . Hence, as well. Part (vi) of the proposition is proved. □
5.2. Proof of Proposition 2
Proof of part (ii).
By the standard representation, we have
for and any K such that , . Due to the conditions of part (ii), there exists a sequence of numbers K with the above property. Obviously,
Proof of part (ii).
The proof of this part is similar to the proof of part (i), because the conditions of part (ii) imply that there exists at least one K such that and . □
Proof of part (iii).
The standard representation implies that
for positive x.
Due to Lemma 1, there is such that
It follows from the estimate (15) that
Condition (5) of part (iii) implies that
for all , for some and for sufficiently large . Therefore, by (17) and (18), we obtain that
The assertion of part (iii) follows now by Lemma 1. □
5.3. Proof of Proposition 3
Proof of part (i).
By the standard representation we have
and
for each positive x. In addition, conditions of part (i) give that for all positive x. Therefore,
We obtain from this, by using Lemma 2, that if . Hence, to prove the assertion of part (i) it is enough to prove that for .
Due to the condition and Lemma 1, we have
for an arbitrary . The requirement
implies that
for some positive , sufficiently large x and for all . Therefore, for any positive and large we obtain
By relation (20) we derive that
implying that . Part (i) of the proposition is proved. □
Proof of part (ii).
According to inequality (19) and Lemma 2, if . Since is finite, conditions , and Lemma 1 imply that
for some and each . For this and an arbitrary positive x, we have
Since , due to (21),
for each . Therefore,
implying that by Lemma 1. Hence, as well, and part (ii) of the proposition is proved. □
5.4. Proof of Proposition 4
Proof of part (i).
Let us now suppose that . Due to the conditions of part (i)
for some and all . Hence, by the standard decomposition, we obtain that for positive x
On the other hand, similarly, as in the case , we have
Proof of part (ii).
The statement of this part follows immediately from the estimate (23) and Lemma 1 because
for any . □
5.5. Proof of Proposition 5
Proof of part (i).
Proof of this part is similar to the proof of part (i) of Proposition 1. Namely, for and by using (10), we obtain that
with . The condition implies that
Therefore, for an arbitrary , i.e., . Part (i) of the proposition is proved. □
Proof of part (ii).
The assertion of this part is obvious because condition with implies that for any . The details of this implication are presented in the proof of Proposition 1 (ii). □
Proof of part (iii).
For positive x, we have
The assertion of part (iii) follows now from Lemma 1 because by (24)
for an arbitrary positive . □
Proof of part (iv).
Conditions of this part and and Proposition 1 (parts (iii) and (iv)) imply that . In addition, for positive x,
Hence, , according to the Lemma 2. Part (iv) of the proposition is proved. □
Proof of part (v).
Let be a positive number from the condition of part (v), i.e.,
with some positive constant . For this , we have
where for . Due to Proposition 1(vi), d.f. belongs to the class with r.v. .
According to the standard representation, for positive x, we have
By applying Lemma 2, we obtain that d.f. is light-tailed due to the light tail of d.f. . Part (v) of the proposition is proved. □
6. Concluding Remarks
In this paper, we show that both heavy-tailed and light-tailed classes of distributions have quite a number of interesting properties related to the randomly stopped structures. Based on our results, various heavy-tailed or light-tailed distributions can be constructed. On the other hand, according to the propositions we proved, in most cases, it is easier to determine whether the considered distribution is light-tailed or heavy-tailed. The main novelty of our work consists in the fact that we study randomly stopped structures in a set of independent but possibly differently distributed primary random variables. In Section 1, it was mentioned that randomly stopped structures together with heavy-tailed distributions appear in such fields as insurance and financial activity, survival analysis, risk management, computer and communication networks, etc. Recently, many articles have been written on the heavy-tailed distributions, both in scientific and popular science journals. Let us mention a few such works. Heavy-tailed distributions applied to financial losses and stochastic returns are described and discussed in [50,51,52]. The influence of heavy-tailed distributions on actuarial statistics is examined in [53,54,55,56]. The performance of heavy-tailed distributions in social and medical research is discussed in [57,58]. The application of heavy-tailed distributions of a special form to study computer systems and telecommunication networks is presented in [59,60,61]. More concretely, the results of the current paper related to the randomly stopped sums are applied not only to the standard areas such as insurance models ([62,63], etc.), but also to information ranking algorithms ([64,65]) and teletraffic arrivals [66].
From the content of the mentioned works, it can be seen that in many cases, it is quite difficult to fit heavy-tailed distributions to the real data. Therefore, our proposed transformations of heavy-tailed distributions increase the chances of choosing the right distribution. So, in our opinion, it makes sense to continue research on transformations for heavy-tailed distributions. In addition to the randomly stopped structures examined in this paper, moment transformations, random effects, and randomly stopped products can be considered, for instance.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, R.L. and J.Š.; methodology, J.Š.; software, S.D.; validation, R.L., S.D. and J.K.; formal analysis, J.K.; investigation, S.D. and J.K.; resources, J.Š; writing—original draft preparation, S.D.; writing—review and editing, R.L.; visualization, S.D. and J.K.; supervision, J.Š.; project administration, R.L.; funding acquisition, J.Š. and J.K. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Data Availability Statement
Data are contained within the article.
Acknowledgments
The authors are very grateful to the editors and the anonymous referees for their constructive and valuable suggestions and comments which have helped to improve the previous version of the paper.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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