Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Monolepta signata (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) Based on the Maximum Entropy Model
Abstract
:Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Collection and Screening of Sample Data
2.2. Environmental Variables
2.3. Model Establishment and Optimization
2.4. Suitable Area Prediction
2.5. Accuracy of the Prediction Results of the MaxEnt Model
3. Results
3.1. Modeling Performance
3.2. Contribution Analysis of Environmental Variables
3.3. Current Potentially Suitable Region
3.4. Potential Suitability Regions Change for M. Signata under Future Climate Scenarios
3.5. Potential Suitability Regions Change of M. Signata under Future Climate Scenarios
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Percentage Contribution (%) | Permutation Importance |
---|---|---|
Annual Mean Temperature (bio1, °C) | - | - |
Mean Diurnal Range (bio2,°C) | 4.2 | 8.3 |
Isothermality (bio3) | - | - |
Temperature Seasonality (standard deviation ×100) (bio4) | 9.9 | 6.9 |
Max Temperature of Warmest Month (bio5, °C) | - | - |
Min Temperature of Coldest Month (bio6, °C) | - | - |
Temperature Annual Range (bio7, mm) | - | - |
Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter (bio8, °C) | - | - |
Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter (bio9, °C) | - | - |
Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter (bio10,°C) | 12.2 | 56.7 |
Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter (bio11, °C) | - | - |
Annual Precipitation (bio12, mm) | - | - |
Precipitation of Wettest Month (bio13, mm) | 55.3 | 1.7 |
Precipitation of Driest Month (bio14, mm) | - | - |
Precipitation Seasonality (bio15) | 7.8 | 2.1 |
Precipitation of Wettest Quarter (bio16, mm) | - | - |
Precipitation of Driest Quarter (bio17, mm) | 3.7 | 4 |
Precipitation of Warmest Quarter (bio18, mm) | 5.1 | 15.5 |
Precipitation of Coldest Quarter (bio19, mm) | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Elevation (bio20, m) | 1 | 3.6 |
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Share and Cite
Liu, Q.; Zhao, J.; Hu, C.; Ma, J.; Deng, C.; Ma, L.; Qie, X.; Yuan, X.; Yan, X. Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Monolepta signata (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) Based on the Maximum Entropy Model. Insects 2024, 15, 575. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects15080575
Liu Q, Zhao J, Hu C, Ma J, Deng C, Ma L, Qie X, Yuan X, Yan X. Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Monolepta signata (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) Based on the Maximum Entropy Model. Insects. 2024; 15(8):575. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects15080575
Chicago/Turabian StyleLiu, Qingzhao, Jinyu Zhao, Chunyan Hu, Jianguo Ma, Caiping Deng, Li Ma, Xingtao Qie, Xiangyang Yuan, and Xizhong Yan. 2024. "Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Monolepta signata (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) Based on the Maximum Entropy Model" Insects 15, no. 8: 575. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects15080575