Perceptive Biases in Construction Mediation: Evidence and Application of Artificial Intelligence
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Understanding the impact of quasi-imposition on the practice of mediation: The evolution of the construction industry has led to a shift from purely voluntary mediation processes to quasi-imposed ones. Yet, there is limited knowledge as to how these evolving dynamics, particularly in an industry that has been laden with disputes, handle parties’ perceptions of the mediation’s genuineness and fairness.
- Exploring AI’s Role in Mediation: As AI and big data increasingly permeate every sector, their potential role in reshaping how disputes are resolved in the construction industry remains largely unexplored. There is a pressing need to understand how AI can be harnessed to address the challenges arising from the aforementioned shift in mediation processes.
- Given the identified research gap, our study aims to:
- Investigate the often-neglected aspect of quasi-imposition and its impact on mediation in the context of Construction Industry 4.0.
- Identify Perceptive Biases: To unveil the potential perceptive biases arising during quasi-imposed mediation processes. Specifically, biases related to fairness, opportunism, and timeliness are examined.
- Examine the potential of AI in reducing the perceptive biases that might arise during these mediation processes. This exploration seeks to offer a forward-looking agenda of how technology can be used to enhance the effectiveness and fairness of dispute mediation in the construction sector.
2. The Conceptual Bases of the Study
2.1. Quasi-Imposition
2.2. Bona Fide Mediation
2.3. Fairness
2.4. Opportunism
2.5. Timeliness
2.6. Positive Mediation Outcomes
3. The Study
3.1. Data Collection
- Government staff involved in construction projects from works departments;
- The Hong Kong Institute of Engineers (HKIE);
- The Hong Kong Institute of Surveyors (HKIS);
- The Hong Kong Institute of Architects (HKIA);
- The Hong Kong International Arbitration Centre (HKIAC);
- The Hong Kong Mediation Accreditation Association Limited (HKMAAL);
- The Chartered Institute of Arbitrators (CIArb).
3.1.1. Personal Particulars
3.1.2. Particulars of the Mediation Cases
3.1.3. Particulars of the Mediated Disputes
3.2. Stage I: Development of Constructs for the Study
3.2.1. Perception of Bona Fide Mediation
3.2.2. Positive Mediation Outcomes
3.2.3. Quasi-Imposition
3.2.4. Reliability Analysis
3.2.5. Validity Analysis
3.3. Stage II: Testing of the Hypothesised Relationships between the Constructs
- Assessing the structural model for potential collinearity issues;
- Evaluating the significance and relevance of the relationships within the structural model.
3.3.1. Assess the Structural Model for Collinearity Issues
3.3.2. Assess the Significance and Relevance of the Relationships Framework
3.3.3. The Complete Relationship Framework
4. Discussion and Recommendations
5. Conclusions
- To Theory: This research expanded the theoretical perspective of construction mediation by incorporating the impact of Industry 4.0 advancements. It enriched the literature by introducing the concept of perceptive biases arising from quasi-imposition and the potential of AI in alleviating these biases.
- To Practice: The findings highlight the caveats of perceptive biases and their detrimental effects on having a bona fide negotiation. A clearer understanding of perceptive biases can guide disputing parties towards more objective and fruitful discussions. Professionals in the construction industry can leverage our findings to adopt more cost-effective and time-efficient dispute-resolution methods. By addressing these biases, parties can approach mediation in good faith, which may lead to better outcomes and reduced disputes. In addition, this study suggests the potential of AI use to reduce biases in construction mediation, pointing to ways to leverage Construction 4.0 in improving the construction mediation process.
- To Policy: Our findings offer insightful comments for policymakers in the construction sector. First, the necessity of acknowledging and confronting potential biases is raised. Recognising these biases is paramount, as it paves the way for the development and implementation of strategies that can neutralise them. Second, mediation, whether it is court-encouraged, contractually stipulated or court-directed, remains a meaningful method to resolve construction disputes. This is even more crucial in light of the growing incorporation of technology within the construction industry.
- Sample Size and Diversity: One limitation of our study is the sample size and its potential lack of diversity. However, the sample size was statistically adequate and we mitigated this limitation by ensuring rigorous data quality checks.
- Temporal Nature: Our study is cross-sectional, meaning it captures a snapshot in time. Longitudinal studies could provide more insights into how perceptions and outcomes evolve over time.
- Common Source Bias: The data collected for this study originate from a singular source, raising concerns related to common source bias. While efforts were made to minimize this bias, the potential for its presence remains. This limitation could result in inflated relationships between variables, and readers should interpret the findings with this consideration in mind [43,74].
- Causality and SEM: Although structural equation modelling (SEM) was employed to analyse the relationships among the study’s variables, it is important to emphasise that SEM, in the context of this research, does not establish causality. The current study is correlational in nature, and, as such, any observed relationships should not be interpreted as definitive evidence of cause and effect. Future experimental or longitudinal designs are required to provide clearer insights into causal links among the constructs of interest [75].
- Longitudinal Examination: Future research could adopt a longitudinal approach to investigate the evolution of perceptive biases and the long-term effectiveness of AI-mediated interventions.
- Expanded Sample Diversity: Further studies could focus on expanding the sample pool across different geographical regions, ensuring an holistic understanding of the phenomenon.
- Integration of Additional Technologies: As Industry 4.0 encompasses various technologies beyond AI, future studies could explore the impact of other technological integrations, like Blockchain or Augmented Reality, on mediation processes in the construction industry.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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No. Description (Number, %) (Sum = 133, 100%) | ||
A1 Professional background/practice (the most relevant to this study) | ||
Architect (5, 4%) | Arbitrator (11, 8%) | Building surveyor (7, 5%) |
Barrister (12, 9%) | Builder (11, 8%) | Building services engineer (9, 7%) |
Mediator (15, 11%) | Claim consultant (6, 5%) | Civil engineer (23, 17%) |
Solicitor (3, 2%) | Quantity surveyor (17, 13%) | Project manager (3, 2%) |
Others (8, 6%) | Structural engineer (3, 2%) | |
A2 Years of experience in the construction industry | ||
Below 5 years (4, 3%) | 5–10 years (12, 9%) | 11–15 years (16, 12%) |
16–20 years (15, 11%) | Above 20 years (98, 74%) | |
A.3 Years of experience in construction dispute resolution | ||
Below 3 years (29, 22%) | 3–6 years (12, 9%) | 7–10 years (16, 12%) |
11–15 years (16, 12%) | 16–20 years (15, 11%) | Above 20 years (45, 34%) |
No. Description (Number, %) (Sum = 133, 100%) | |||
B1 The role of survey respondent in the Mediation: | |||
Claim Consultant (9, 7%) | Claimant (24, 18%) | Respondent (24, 18%) | Mediator (49, 37%) |
Legal representative of one of the disputing parties (12, 9%) | Expert Witness (15, 11%) | ||
B2 The organisation of the claimant | |||
Domestic subcontractor (16, 12%) | Engineering consultant (5, 4%) | ||
Government department (14, 11%) | Incorporated owners (5, 4%) | Main contractor (44, 33%) | |
Nominated subcontractor (9, 6%) | Private developer (11, 8%) | ||
Professional consultant (9, 6%) | Quantity surveying consultant (4, 3%) | ||
Specialist contractor (6, 5%) | Others (10, 8%) | ||
B3 The organisation of the respondent | |||
Domestic subcontractor (10, 8%) | Engineering consultant (6, 5%) | ||
Government department (16, 12%) | Incorporated owners (4, 3%) | Main contractor (50, 37%) | |
Nominated subcontractor (5, 4%) | Private developer (19, 14%) | ||
Professional consultant (5, 4%) | Quasi government organisation (6, 4%) | ||
Specialist contractor (3, 2%) | Others (9, 7%) |
No. Description (Number, %) (Sum = 133, 100%) | ||
B.3 The contract value (HKD) of the concerned project | ||
Below 50 million (53, 40%) | 50–200 million (27, 20%) | |
200–500 million (15, 11%) | Above 500 million (34, 26%) | N/A (4, 3%) |
B.4 The quantum of dispute(s) that was subject to the Mediation | ||
Below 50 million (82, 62%) | 50–200 million (24, 18%) | |
200–500 million (9, 7%) | Above 500 million (15, 11%) | N/A (3, 2%) |
Forms | Items | Mean | Std. | Skew | Kurt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairness | D1 The Party had been able to express their views and feelings. | 4.73 | 1.69 | 0.46 | 0.59 |
D2 The Party considered the outcome to reflect the effort. | 4.35 | 1.59 | 0.37 | 0.54 | |
D3 The Party considered the counterpart had refrained from improper remarks/comments. | 4.21 | 1.45 | 0.06 | 0.53 | |
D4 The Party considered the counterpart had been candid in communicating with them. | 4.00 | 1.55 | 0.06 | 0.65 | |
Opportunism | D5 The Party only talked to the counterpart to get information for their benefit. | 3.53 | 1.61 | 0.25 | 0.72 |
D6 The Party enjoyed being able to exercise control over the proceeding. | 3.71 | 1.61 | 0.33 | 0.46 | |
D7 The Party was more concerned about winning than achieving a win-win outcome. | 4.01 | 1.61 | 0.25 | 0.76 | |
D8 The Party dislikes committing to the counterpart because they didn’t trust them. | 3.52 | 1.47 | 0.20 | 0.57 | |
Timeliness | D9 The Party considered the Mediation had been initiated at an appropriate time. | 4.55 | 1.57 | 0.18 | 0.48 |
D10 The Party considered the Mediation caucuses had been organized in a timely manner. | 4.76 | 1.55 | 0.34 | 0.17 | |
D11 The Party considered the overall Mediation had been carried out within an acceptable time frame. | 4.64 | 1.66 | 0.33 | 0.43 | |
D12 The Party considered they had timely feedback from me. | 4.89 | 1.55 | 0.38 | 0.43 |
Forms | Items | Mean | Std. | Skew | Kurt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Positive Mediation Outcomes | E1 The work arrangement of the agreed outcome met their needs. | 4.37 | 1.59 | 0.21 | 0.50 |
E2 The schedule arrangement of the agreed outcome met their needs. | 4.45 | 1.58 | 0.18 | 0.51 | |
E3 The compensation arrangement of the agreed outcome met their needs. | 4.11 | 1.54 | 0.04 | 0.39 | |
E4 Issues in dispute were narrowed down. | 4.80 | 1.65 | 0.34 | 0.63 | |
E5 Full settlement was achieved. | 4.33 | 1.84 | 0.25 | 0.75 | |
E6 No change to our positions. | 4.27 | 1.56 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
Forms | Items | Mean | Std. | Skew | Kurt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quasi-Imposition | F1 Participation because of contractual requirement. | 4.49 | 1.95 | 0.47 | 0.88 |
F2 Participation because of court directive. | 2.89 | 1.78 | 0.65 | 0.35 | |
F3 Participation because of incentive provided by the Mediation initiator. | 3.04 | 1.68 | 0.36 | 0.70 | |
F4 Participation to avoid adverse publicity. | 3.74 | 1.84 | 0.13 | 0.98 | |
F5 Participation irrespective of all the above. | 3.87 | 1.64 | 0.19 | 0.38 |
Corrected Item-Total Correlation (CITC) | Cronbach’s Alpha if Item Deleted | Cronbach’s Alpha | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation | Fairness | D1 | 0.613 | 0.859 | 0.890 |
D2 | 0.688 | 0.854 | |||
D3 | 0.624 | 0.859 | |||
D4 | 0.694 | 0.854 | |||
Opportunism | D5 | 0.443 | 0.870 | 0.740 | |
D6 | 0.550 | 0.863 | |||
D7 | 0.254 | 0.881 | |||
D8 | 0.338 | 0.875 | |||
Timeliness | D9 | 0.628 | 0.858 | 0.897 | |
D10 | 0.626 | 0.858 | |||
D11 | 0.658 | 0.856 | |||
D12 | 0.628 | 0.858 | |||
Positive Mediation Outcome | E1 | 0.812 | 0.787 | 0.848 | |
E2 | 0.809 | 0.788 | |||
E3 | 0.761 | 0.798 | |||
E4 | 0.672 | 0.814 | |||
E5 | 0.627 | 0.824 | |||
E6 | 0.171 | 0.899 | |||
Quasi-Imposition | F1 | 0.149 | 0.697 | 0.630 | |
F2 | 0.431 | 0.552 | |||
F3 | 0.541 | 0.500 | |||
F4 | 0.580 | 0.468 | |||
F5 | 0.277 | 0.624 |
Manifestation of Perception of Bona Fide Mediation | Component | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | ||
Fairness | D1 The Party had been able to express their views and feelings. | 0.804 | 0.235 | 0.082 |
D2 The Party considered the outcome to reflect the effort. | 0.77 | 0.309 | 0.172 | |
D3 The Party considered the counterpart had refrained from improper remarks/comments. | 0.818 | 0.239 | 0.073 | |
D4 The Party considered the counterpart had been candid in communicating with them. | 0.871 | 0.232 | 0.155 | |
Opportunism | D5 The Party only talked to the counterpart to get information for their benefit. | 0.264 | 0.015 | 0.776 |
D6 The Party enjoyed being able to control over the proceeding. | 0.334 | 0.209 | 0.647 | |
D7 The Party was more concerned about winning than achieving a win-win outcome. | −0.079 | 0.083 | 0.727 | |
D8 The Party dislikes committing to the counterpart because they didn’t trust them. | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.769 | |
Timeliness | D9 The Party considered the Mediation had been initiated at an appropriate time. | 0.25 | 0.825 | 0.094 |
D10 The Party considered the Mediation caucuses had been organised in a timely manner. | 0.198 | 0.899 | 0.056 | |
D11 The Party considered the overall Mediation had been carried out within an acceptable time frame. | 0.228 | 0.88 | 0.106 | |
D12 The Party considered they had timely feedback from me. | 0.327 | 0.717 | 0.133 |
Indicator | VIF | Indicator | VIF |
---|---|---|---|
D1 | 2.496 | E1 | 5.914 |
D2 | 2.458 | E2 | 5.965 |
D3 | 2.979 | E3 | 2.456 |
D4 | 3.634 | E4 | 2.04 |
D5 | 2.04 | E5 | 1.748 |
D6 | 2.192 | E6 | 1.051 |
D7 | 1.391 | F1 | 1.063 |
D8 | 1.508 | F2 | 1.352 |
D9 | 2.806 | F3 | 1.524 |
D10 | 4.095 | F4 | 1.689 |
D11 | 3.86 | F5 | 1.143 |
D12 | 2.202 |
Original Sample (O) | Sample Mean (M) | Standard Deviation (STDEV) | T Statistics (|O/STDEV|) | p Values | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Fairness | 0.865 | 0.866 | 0.029 | 29.835 | 0 |
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Opportunism | 0.622 | 0.621 | 0.084 | 7.381 | 0 |
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Timeliness | 0.836 | 0.837 | 0.033 | 25.563 | 0 |
Quasi-Imposition → Perception of Bona Fide Mediation | 0.341 | 0.365 | 0.077 | 4.453 | 0 |
Original Sample (O) | Sample Mean (M) | Standard Deviation (STDEV) | T Statistics (|O/STDEV|) | p Values | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairness_ → Positive Mediation Outcomes | 0.349 | 0.353 | 0.107 | 3.274 | 0.001 |
Opportunism → Positive Mediation Outcomes | 0.224 | 0.227 | 0.089 | 2.521 | 0.012 |
Timeliness → Positive Mediation Outcomes | 0.348 | 0.349 | 0.094 | 3.7 | 0 |
Original Sample (O) | Sample Mean (M) | Standard Deviation (STDEV) | T Statistics (|O/STDEV|) | p Values | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Fairness | 0.865 | 0.865 | 0.03 | 29.177 | 0 |
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Opportunism | 0.618 | 0.62 | 0.08 | 7.729 | 0 |
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Positive Mediation Outcomes | 0.687 | 0.686 | 0.055 | 12.427 | 0 |
Perception of Bona Fide Mediation → Timeliness | 0.838 | 0.839 | 0.031 | 26.638 | 0 |
Quasi-Imposition → Perception of Bona Fide Mediation | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 4.14 | 0 |
Quasi-Imposition → Positive Mediation Outcomes | 0.122 | 0.132 | 0.077 | 1.579 | 0.114 |
Hypotheses | PLS-SEM Analysis Results | Findings |
---|---|---|
H1: Quasi-Imposition has negative impacts on the perception of bona fide mediation. | Positively correlated | Not supported. |
H2: Disputants’ perception of fairness has positive impacts on achieving positive mediation outcomes. | Positively correlated | Supported |
H3: Disputants’ perception of opportunism has negative impacts on achieving positive mediation outcomes | Insignificant correlation | Not supported. |
H4: Disputants’ perception of timeliness has positive impacts on achieving positive mediation outcomes. | Positively correlated | Supported. |
H5: Quasi-Imposition has negative impacts on achieving positive mediation outcomes. | Insignificant correlation | Not supported. |
Use of AI | Potential Impact on Perception Bias in Mediation | Hypotheses Correlation with AI’s Role | Findings | Usage | References |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neural Network Models | Predict potential bias patterns from historical mediation data | H1: Quasi-Imposition has negative impacts on the perception of bona fide mediation | AI can potentially predict the obstacles. | User: Mediator. How: By analysing past mediation cases. Purpose: To understand patterns of bias in historical cases. | Surden [9]. |
Natural Language Processing (NLP) | Analyses linguistic patterns to determine bias in mediation conversations | H2: Perception of fairness impacts positive outcomes | AI with NLP supports unbiased understanding and enhances fairness. | User: Both. How: By processing transcripts of mediation sessions. Purpose: To detect linguistic indications of bias. | Ashley [66]. |
Bias Detection Algorithms | Actively detects and highlights potential biases in real-time mediation processes | H3: Perception of opportunism impacts positive outcomes | AI could address but more research required. | User: Mediator. How: By actively monitoring the mediation process. Purpose: To instantly identify and address instances of bias. | Bellamy et al. [71] |
AI-Driven Mediation Bots | Provides initial stages of mediation to ensure timely and unbiased handling | H4: Perception of timeliness impacts positive outcomes | AI supports timely mediation processes. | User: Both. How: Virtual sessions conducted before face-to-face mediation. Purpose: To quickly address easily solvable issues. | Gregory et al. [72] |
Data-Driven Feedback | Uses data analytics to give feedback on mediation process and potential bias | H5: Quasi-Imposition impacts positive outcomes | AI can offer insights but direct correlation not evident. | User: Mediator. How: Post-session analysis for improvement. Purpose: Continuous refinement of the mediation process based on data. | Chouldechova and Roth [73] |
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Cao, N.; Cheung, S.-O.; Li, K. Perceptive Biases in Construction Mediation: Evidence and Application of Artificial Intelligence. Buildings 2023, 13, 2460. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13102460
Cao N, Cheung S-O, Li K. Perceptive Biases in Construction Mediation: Evidence and Application of Artificial Intelligence. Buildings. 2023; 13(10):2460. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13102460
Chicago/Turabian StyleCao, Nan, Sai-On Cheung, and Keyao Li. 2023. "Perceptive Biases in Construction Mediation: Evidence and Application of Artificial Intelligence" Buildings 13, no. 10: 2460. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13102460
APA StyleCao, N., Cheung, S. -O., & Li, K. (2023). Perceptive Biases in Construction Mediation: Evidence and Application of Artificial Intelligence. Buildings, 13(10), 2460. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13102460