Proposal for the Preparation of New Building Standards in Poland to Protect against Earthquakes in the Next 50 Years
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Risk of Earthquakes in Central Europe
3. Methodology
- −
- The seismic hazard is certainly not increasing. It is just that we are increasing our knowledge of fault systems, and as humans we have had a very short observation time compared to geological times, and therefore we have certainly missed several past events. We must consider the risk of earthquakes as part of the risk scenario for the socio-ecological system of the historical areas, namely: the built environment; the natural environment; the economic dimension; the social dimension; the cultural dimension (both tangible and intangible); and the political dimension, Table 1.
- −
- Exposure may be higher (e.g., densely populated areas; highly interdependent critical infrastructures) where the loss of one could lead to the loss of others (e.g., telecommunications); high-value and vulnerable industries (e.g., high technology).
- −
- The vulnerability of buildings and infrastructures may be high (because they were designed without consideration of seismic design codes) and may increase as buildings age and require structural retrofitting.
4. Results and Discussion
5. Conclusions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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HA Social-Ecological-Systems Dimensions | Natural Environment | Built Environment | Economic | Social | Cultural | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exposed elements within the HA’s SES dimensions | Water resources | Terrestrial and coastal ecosystems | Soil | Critical infrastructure | Historic city centre/urban environment | Buildings | Agriculture, Forestry livestock and fisheries | Tourism | Health and Security | Movable heritage | Archeological resources | Buildings & structure | Cultural landscapes | |
HAZARDS | ||||||||||||||
Precipitation | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |
Heatwaves, extreme day and night temperature | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
RESULTS | ||||||||||||||
Precipitation | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 3.1 | ||||||||
Heatwaves, extreme day and night temperature | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.6 |
Grade 1 | Grade 2 | Grade 3 | |
---|---|---|---|
Ground motions | Historical earthquakes and existing information Geological maps Interviews with local residents | Microtremor Simplified geotechnical study | Geotechnical Investigation Ground response analysis |
Slope Instability | Historical earthquakes and existing information Geological and geomorphological maps | Air photos and remote sensing Field studies Vegetation and precipitation data | Geotechnical investigation Analyses |
Liquefaction | Historical earthquakes and existing information Geological and geomorphological maps | Air photos and remote sensing Field studies Interviews with local residents | Geotechnical investigation Analyses |
Scale of mapping. | 1:1,000,000~1:50,000 | 1:100,000~1:10,000 | 1:25,000~1:5000 |
Ratio (2019) [51] | Minimal Losses k$ (2019) [51] | Maximal Losses k$ (2019) [51] | Ratio (2023) | Minimal Losses k$ (2023) [57] | Maximal Losses k$ (2023) [57] | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Dolnośląskie | Lower Silesian Voivodeship | 0 | 518 | 912 | 0.02 | 610 | 1074 |
2. Kujawsko-Pomorskie | Warmian–Masurian Voivodeship | 0.01 | 179 | 518 | 0.01 | 212 | 610 |
3. Lubelskie | Lublin Voivodeship | 0 | 518 | 912 | 0.01 | 610 | 1074 |
4. Lubuskie | Lubusz Voivodeship | 0 | 56 | 179 | 0 | 66 | 212 |
5. Łódzkie | Łódź Voivodeship | 0 | 518 | 912 | 0.01 | 610 | 1074 |
6. Małopolskie | Lesser Poland Voivodeship | 0.03 | 3343 | 4569 | 0.05 | 3934 | 5376 |
7. Mazowieckie | Masovian Voivodeship | 0.01 | 912 | 3343 | 0.03 | 1074 | 3943 |
8. Opolskie | Opole Voivodeship | 0.01 | 518 | 912 | 0.03 | 610 | 1074 |
9. Podkarpackie | Subcarpathian Voivodeship | 0.01 | 518 | 912 | 0.03 | 610 | 1074 |
10. Podlaskie | Podlaskie Voivodeship | 0 | 56 | 179 | 0 | 66 | 212 |
11. Pomorskie | Pomeranian Voivodeship | 0 | 56 | 179 | 0 | 66 | 212 |
12. Śląskie | Upper Silesia | 0.02 | 912 | 3343 | 0.04 | 1074 | 3934 |
13. Świętokrzyskie | Holy Cross Voivodeship | 0.01 | 518 | 912 | 0.03 | 610 | 1074 |
14. Warmińsko-Mazurskie | Warmian–Masurian Voivodeship | 0 | 56 | 179 | 0 | 66 | 212 |
15. Wielkopolskie | Greater Poland Voivodeship | 0 | 179 | 518 | 0.01 | 212 | 610 |
16. Zachodniopomorskie | The West Pomeranian Voivodeship | 0 | 179 | 518 | 0.01 | 212 | 610 |
Total k$ | 144.98 | 269.9 | 357.54 | 702.37 |
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Lewandowski, K. Proposal for the Preparation of New Building Standards in Poland to Protect against Earthquakes in the Next 50 Years. Buildings 2023, 13, 2090. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13082090
Lewandowski K. Proposal for the Preparation of New Building Standards in Poland to Protect against Earthquakes in the Next 50 Years. Buildings. 2023; 13(8):2090. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13082090
Chicago/Turabian StyleLewandowski, Krzysztof. 2023. "Proposal for the Preparation of New Building Standards in Poland to Protect against Earthquakes in the Next 50 Years" Buildings 13, no. 8: 2090. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13082090
APA StyleLewandowski, K. (2023). Proposal for the Preparation of New Building Standards in Poland to Protect against Earthquakes in the Next 50 Years. Buildings, 13(8), 2090. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13082090