3.1. Modeling Description and Retrofitting Strategies
The reinforced concrete (RC) frame structure chosen for this purpose is a five-story hospital building having an approximate height of 65 ft, as a representative of a large class of buildings in the area. The numerical model generated for the said building is presented in
Figure 3. The plan of the building is presented in
Figure A1. The complete hospital building is comprised of six blocks separated by extension joints or seismic joints; thus, each block acts separately under the action of forces (gravity and lateral); therefore, only one block (highlighted in the figure) is modeled and analyzed as a representative of the whole building since all the data used is similar for other blocks. The hospital building was designed before the modern seismic codes; therefore, many structural deficiencies were encountered. For instance, no shear wall was provided in the building for lateral load resistance mechanism, which made the ground floor more vulnerable, as there is a demand for more open spaces on the ground floor usually. Thus, a soft story mechanism is encountered in the analysis, and for this reason, the retrofitting was applied at the ground floor columns, only to account for the effectiveness of the retrofitting in terms of the cost of retrofitting. Concrete with 3000 psi strength and steel of 40,000 psi yield strength are considered in the modeling assumptions. The material assumption is made on the recommendations given in ASCE/SEI-41-13 (Tables 4.2 and 4.3) [
107]. The retrofitted columns considering all four retrofitting strategies, i.e., RCJ, SPJ, SAJ, and ECJ, are also shown in
Figure 4. Various parameters were studied in detail among these four retrofitting options to find the optimum retrofitting solution. In RCJ, the concrete quality in the jacket, the number and size of longitudinal bars in the jacket, and the number and spacing of transverse bars in the jacket are kept constant; however, the thickness of the jacket is varied. The concrete strength used was 4000 psi, 8#5 rebars were used as longitudinal steel, and #3 rebars @ 6″ were used as transverse steel. In the case of SPJ, the thickness of steel plates/jackets is investigated. Similarly, in the case of SAJ, various angle sizes available in AISC14 [
108] were investigated along with various thicknesses. And lastly, in the case of ECJ, the thickness of the ECC jacket is considered in the optimization study. The ECC material used in jacketing possesses a compressive strength of 8000 psi, an ultimate strain of 0.1, a tensile strength of 80 psi, and a tensile strain of 0.05. A detailed description of the material can be found in [
90].
Table 1 presents the details of the parameters considered for the four retrofitting strategies. The aforementioned retrofit strategies necessitate altering the current lateral force-resisting system (i.e., columns of the ground floor only, in this case). The improvement of the cross-sections is assumed by the FEMA-547 [
109] guidelines and ASCE/SEI-41-13 [
107] suggestions, which emphasize the detailing approach, construction methods as well as seismic assessment of existing structures. In total, 21 models are generated, including the reference model and 20 retrofitted models (i.e., five options for each alternative as presented in
Table 1). Infill walls are very important to incorporate into the numerical model as their presence affects the overall behavior of the structure [
110,
111]. However, given the necessity for open spaces on the ground floor, the amount of infill in that area will be limited compared to the upper floors. This condition will also contribute to a soft story effect on the ground floor due to its reduced lateral stiffness relative to the other levels. Moreover, due to various complexities and the variations associated with the material of infill walls used in various parts of the world, it was decided not to model the infill elements, an approach that is also adopted by various other researchers [
65,
112,
113,
114,
115,
116,
117,
118,
119].
As already mentioned in the previous section, the FE models are generated in the commercially available finite element analysis program “ETABS V21.2” [
89], and the material models already available in the software are used for rebars, concrete, and steel; however, the material model was defined for the ECC material, as per Bora and Elnashai [
99]. The material models used for the definition of retrofitting materials, i.e., steel, concrete, rebars, and ECC, are presented in
Figure 5.
3.2. NSP Analysis Results
NSP analysis was conducted, lateral deformation was applied at the top of the structure, and the resulting base share was noted for each corresponding deformation. Signifying structural deformation in fundamental mode and calculating the response parameters even after the yielding since the deformation-controlled environment was adopted. Initial stiffness, ultimate strength, and ductility of the structure can be obtained from the resulting load-deformation curve of the structure to estimate the performance of the structure [
120].
Figure 6 and
Figure 7 present the capacity curve of the reference building, along with the proposed intervention strategies, in the longitudinal and transverse directions, respectively. The load-deformation curve offers significant details regarding the stiffness, ductility, and ultimate strength of the building. In general, it can be concluded that all the retrofitting alternatives have enhanced the structural performance (in terms of lateral load- and deformation-enhancement) considerably in both the principal directions, given that retrofitting was applied only to the columns of the ground floor, which makes the results very interesting since the cost of retrofitting is minimal. Moreover, the pushover curves were saturated and dropped in both directions for all the models; however, the drop was more obvious in the longitudinal direction.
To make the results more conclusive, the lateral load- and deformation-enhancement are normalized for each retrofit strategy w.r.t the reference structure (in both the principal directions) and are presented in
Figure 8. It can be seen that for lateral load enhancement in the transverse direction (
Figure 8b), the ultimate strength of the structure for SPJ1, SPJ2, SPJ3, SPJ4, and SPJ5 has been increased by 55.9%, 65.3%, 84.7%, 103.1%, and 105.8%, respectively. Similarly, in the case of SAJ alternative, the ultimate strength for SAJ1, SAJ2, SAJ3, SAJ4, and SAJ5 has been increased by 68.7%, 83.1%, 63.4%, 72.1%, and 80.2%, respectively. It can be seen that all the SAJ options give the strength enhancement that lies between the values provided by SPJ2 and SPJ3 so that SPJ2 can be compared directly with SAJ1 and SAJ3; however, SPJ3 can be compared directly with SAJ2 and SAJ5 in terms of strength enhancement. In the case of the RCJ alternative, the structure’s ultimate strength for RCJ1, RCJ2, RCJ3, RCJ4, and RCJ5 is increased by 57.7%, 66.2%, 73.1%, 80.0%, and 86.2%, respectively. Here, the results of RCJ1 and RCJ2 match very closely to those of SPJ1 and SPJ2; however, the % enhancement by RCJ3, RCJ4, and RCJ5 matches with the SAJ4, SAJ5, and SPJ3 (and SAJ2), respectively. In the case of the ECJ alternative, the structure’s ultimate strength for ECJ1, ECJ2, ECJ3, ECJ4, and ECJ5 is increased by 39.6%, 49.2%, 57.8%, 66.3%, and 74.3%, respectively.
Similarly, the lateral load enhancement in longitudinal direction and deformation capacity enhancement in both longitudinal and transverse direction can be compared among the various retrofit strategies. It can be simply stated that the retrofit strategies enhanced the load and deformation capacity of the structure, thus increasing their ductility and energy dissipation capacity and making them less vulnerable to earthquake demand.
Figure 8 clearly shows that the SPJ alternative shows better performance as compared to the other three alternatives, followed by SAJ and RCJ alternatives, where SAJ gives better strength enhancement; however, the RCJ performs better in enhancing the total deformation capacity. ECJ alternatives also depicted decent results on par with RCJ and SAJ alternatives.
Figure 9 presents the story shear at peak lateral response of the structure. When
Figure 9 is studied together with
Figure 7, important outcomes can be drawn as follows: First, the story shear value is enhanced the same amount for all the stories above as for the retrofitted story, regardless of the retrofitting strategy adopted. This gives a very important result that enhances the ground floor column’s strength, which also affects the load distribution and makes the columns of the above stories take more load and utilize their capacity, hence increasing the overall strength of the whole structure and making it less vulnerable to seismic loads. Second, the % enhancement in the story shear is the same for all the stories. For instance, if the story shear of the first story is doubled with SPJ-5, then the story shear of all other stories is also doubled, and the same kind of response is observed for all kinds of retrofitting alternatives.
Third, the ultimate lateral load and story shear values are enhanced with the same percentage for all the retrofitting options apart from SPJ-1, where the ultimate lateral load is enhanced by 56% and the story shear for all the stories is enhanced by 45%. The enhancement in ultimate lateral load and story shear for SPJ-2, SPJ-3, SPJ-4, and SPJ-5 are 65%, 84%, 102%, and 105%, respectively. Similarly, for SAJ-1, SAJ-2, SAJ-3, SAJ-4, and SAJ-5, the enhancement in ultimate lateral load and story shear is 68%, 82%, 63%, 71%, and 79%, respectively. In the case of RCJ-1, RCJ-2, RCJ-3, RCJ-4, and RCJ-5, the enhancement in ultimate lateral load and story shear is 58%, 66%, 73%, 80%, and 86%, respectively. The enhancement in ultimate lateral load and story shear in the case of ECJ-1, ECJ-2, ECJ-3, ECJ-4, and ECJ-5 are 40%, 49%, 58%, 66%, and 74%, respectively. Fourth, the enhancement in ultimate lateral load and story shear is maximum in the case of SPJ retrofitting where SPJ-5 showed an increment of 105% of enhancement. The maximum enhancement in the case of SAJ, RCJ, and ECJ are 82%, 86%, and 74%, respectively. Thus, a combined study of
Figure 8 and
Figure 9 makes it very clear that the application of retrofitting is proven to be very effective in enhancing the structure’s global performance, most importantly when behavior is primarily controlled by column capacities and story response. And since no shear wall was provided in the case study building, it was very clear that the behavior will be governed by the column capacities, and that too will be directed by the ground floor since it exhibits the soft story mechanism. Thus, enhancing the strength of ground story columns resulted in better performance of the whole structure, thus proving retrofitting to be an effective methodology.
3.3. Quantification of Structural Response Based on Collapse Fragility Function
Determining the response of the building from the numerical model necessitates generating collapse fragility and developing a performance model for the building. In this case study, a suite of 22 earthquake records was used to create the collapse fragility, performing THA on generated numerical models and chronologically raising the IMs of earthquakes following an IDA procedure. The details of the chosen earthquakes are provided in
Table A1 [
102]. The peak floor response is denoted as a point in
Figure 10a,b. A total of 22 points are presented for each floor denoting inter-story drifts (IDRs) and peak floor acceleration (PFA) under chosen earthquake histories with an IM of 0.4 g. Then, the IMs are modified, and THA is conducted to get IDRs for building models considering IDA methodology.
Figure 11 presents the collapse fragilities generated by following the method defined in
Section 2.1.
Figure 11a shows IDA outcomes on the reference model with IMs up to 2 PGA. The IDA procedure is employed to estimate the total collapses for the IM. The structure is assumed to collapse due to numerical instability or extensive drifts experienced. The total collapses for the IMs for the reference model with distinct retrofit strategies were determined, and it was noticed that by increasing the IMs, the collapse ratio rises. Moreover, the collapse ratio is maximum for the reference model, and with the application of distinct retrofit strategies, the number of collapses is reduced, subject to the retrofit option. Lastly, a lognormal cumulative distribution function is tailored contrary to the total collapses for the IMs employing the maximum probability method precisely given in Equations (1) and (2), and the fragilities are calculated for all retrofit models as presented in
Figure 11b–e.
Before proceeding to the estimation of component-level damages, it was decided to select one out of five options for each retrofit alternative. For this purpose, the retrofit option that gives the result closer to the mean values of the whole group was considered.
Therefore, the four retrofitting alternatives used for further analysis are SPJ-3, i.e., steel plate jacketing with a plate thickness of 0.2 in (5 mm); SAJ-5, i.e., steel angle jacketing with an angle size of 6 × 6 × 5/8 in; RCJ-3, i.e., reinforced concrete jacketing with jacket thickness of 2.5 in; and ECJ-3, i.e., ECC concrete jacketing with jacket thickness of 2.5 in. These strategies will be considered in the quantification of direct and indirect losses, and the most effective option will be selected as the optimal solution.
3.4. Quantification of Losses Based on Component-Level Damages
To perform the consequence assessment, the first step is the selection of seismic hazard levels and the construction of a building information model. The seismic hazard levels selected in this study are presented in
Table 2. To study the impact on component damage level (thus resulting in economic, social, and environmental losses) by changing intensity level, seven hazard levels are considered.
The building information model contains fragility curves along with consequence functions. The fragility curves associate certain demands with the probability of damage; however, consequence functions interpret those damages into economic, social, and environmental losses. The component-level damages, i.e., damage/collapse of NSCs, are presented in
Table 3. The component fragility curves (shown in
Figure 12) and consequence functions opted for the case study (presented in
Table 4) are obtained from [
82,
83,
121]. The component fragility curve and consequence function for several kinds of retrofitted elements are absent from the published literature. Thus, in this study, retrofitting of the NSEs is not considered; therefore, normal fragility curves and consequence functions are employed. The population model signifies several persons existing at a specific time during the day and a specific day in the week for a certain realization. The fatality rate and injury rate for the proposed RC frame was 0.9 and 0.1, respectively, which specifies that 90% will endure fatalities during the failure and the remaining 10% will face major injury [
83].
Details of damage states for NSCs, obtained by numerical simulations, are shown in
Table 5. At lower values of S
a, approximately all the damages are due to NSCs since they are more vulnerable and they were not retrofitted. As the intensity level rises, the ratio of structure to nonstructural damages also increases, reaching the maximum threshold value at S
a of 0.861 g for the reference structure; however, for the retrofitted case, the threshold value does not reach until the last considered intensity level, i.e., 1.156 g, thus indicating that all the structural elements do not completely damage. Thus, it can be concluded that NSCs are vulnerable components that can be damaged at even low-intensity levels and, therefore, can cause disruption of the functionality of the building.
In addition to the distribution of components in SC and NSC categories, the NSCs were further distributed into drift- and acceleration-sensitive elements. The damages associated with the nonstructural elements only are presented in
Table 5, where storywise % damages of each category (i.e., drift-sensitive and acceleration-sensitive) of NSCs are determined for various intensity levels (i.e., S
a (g)). For example, on the first floor with S
a of 0.71 g, 100% of story drift-sensitive NSCs were damaged, 53.85% of acceleration-sensitive NSCs were damaged, and 75% of all NSCs on that floor were damaged, considering both drift- and acceleration-sensitive elements. A relation of nonstructural damages with the S
a is shown in
Figure 13.
The social losses in terms of several expected fatalities, the economic losses in terms of expected repair cost, and environmental consequences in terms of expected CO
2 emission and embodied energy for all seven hazard scenarios are presented in
Figure 14. The case study building before retrofitting exhibited a maximum number of probable fatalities. However, these losses decrease considerably after employing retrofitting strategies, with SPJ, SAJ, and RCJ showing the most efficient results in mitigating the social losses. In the case of financial and environmental losses, the engineering demand parameters (i.e., story drifts and accelerations) obtained are associated with damage via fragility curves and losses via consequence functions.
The total economic, social, and environmental losses obtained from Equations (2) and (3) are presented in
Figure 14. All the losses intensify with rising IM levels. The original structure before retrofitting bears the maximum losses decreased via retrofit strategies. All three losses are plotted against the PGA level to show the effect of hazard level on the consequences. Hazard levels with PGA of 0.124, 0.271, and 0.419 do not show any fatalities for all the structures. However, the economic losses (for reference structure and the considered retrofitting alternatives) turn out to be the same. Increasing the hazard level tends to change the pattern, and at PGA of 0.566, the reference structure possesses 10 fatalities, while all the retrofitting alternatives showed 0 fatalities at this hazard level. Similarly, the repair costs for reference structure, SPJ, SAJ, RCJ, and ECJ, are 5.2, 2.1, 2.8, 3.1, and 3.7 million USD, respectively. The pattern continues for the following hazard levels of PGAs 0.714 and 0.861, and details can be obtained from the results presented in
Figure 14. For a hazard level with a PGA of 1.009 that has a return period of 2475 years, the fatality number rises to 45 for reference structure. However, these fatalities are reduced considerably by retrofitting alternatives, and several expected fatalities for SPJ, SAJ, RCJ, and ECJ are 12.5, 12.5, 15.5, and 18.5, respectively, thus making an immense impact on the social consequences and making retrofitting an inevitable option. Nevertheless, the repair cost of all the retrofitting alternatives becomes equal to that of the reference building, indicating the irreparability of the structure primarily due to the damage of NSEs since the NSEs are not considered to be seismically enhanced in this study. Still, the casualties and fatalities are reduced considerably by retrofitting the columns of ground floor only.
Based on the results presented in
Figure 14, loss indices were estimated by the relative normalization method, where for a specific intensity level, the maximum performance is taken, and the performance of all the retrofitting alternatives, along with the reference structure, was divided by the maximum performance value. In this way, a normalized relative index value is obtained for each case at all considered intensity levels by referring to 1 as the greatest value and showing the best relative performance in terms of that specific loss. The same methodology was adopted to determine the direct social losses (
Table 6) and direct economic losses. For EQ-4 and EQ-5, the maximum losses are encountered. It is because at these intensity levels, the retrofitted structures perform very well and, therefore, the relative difference in maximum in these cases. However, in the subsequent intensity levels, i.e., EQ-6 and EQ-7, the retrofitted structures also experienced damages; therefore, the relative performance of the reference structure seems to enhance (
Table 7) direct environmental losses. These tables provide the data (based on rigorous calculations) in the simplest possible way so it can be used for further processing to determine the optimized retrofitting alternative (
Table 8), and indirect social and economic losses (
Table 9). It should be noted that social, economic, and environmental losses need sensitivity analysis and, therefore, are recommended for future studies in the field.
Table 6,
Table 7,
Table 8 and
Table 9 reveal the impact of retrofitting strategies more clearly on direct and indirect losses that the structure may face under any given earthquake intensity. For EQ-1 and EQ-2, the reference structure shows better responses, and the losses are not significant and can be comparable to the retrofitting cases. So it can be stated that up to PGA of 0.271 g, the reference structure does not need any retrofitting intervention, and it performs well. Retrofitting might only increase the cost. However, for PGA beyond 0.271, retrofitting becomes inevitable, and the structure faces great losses (both direct and indirect) in each following intensity level with increasing PGA.
For EQ-4 and EQ-5, the maximum losses are encountered. It is because at these intensity levels, the retrofitted structures perform very well and, therefore, the relative difference in maximum in these cases. However, in the subsequent intensity levels, i.e., EQ-6 and EQ-7, the retrofitted structures also experienced damages; therefore, the relative performance of the reference structure seems to enhance.
These tables provide the data (based on rigorous calculations) in the simplest possible way so it can be used for further processing to determine the optimized retrofitting alternative.
3.5. Quantification of Indirect Losses Based on Functionality Recovery
To estimate the seismic resilience, the initial step is to obtain the downtime for every damageable assembly in a structure. Table 8 of Almufti and Willford framework [
115] presents the downtime functions for the assumed damage state, employed to estimate downtimes for all the elements in a specified story. After estimating the downtime, the following step is to generate a rational sequence of repair for the repair time of a structure. The structure’s repair begins by fixing the SEs in sequence, i.e., the first story’s elements are repaired first before going to the higher stories. It is to be noted that the nonstructural assemblies cannot be repaired concurrently, i.e., the fire sprinklers should be repaired before the repair of ceilings. Similarly, partitions should be repaired to do finishes. In the case study, it is assumed that sprinklers, partitions, and HVAC will be repaired side by side, and after that, the ceilings and curtain walls will be done. Other impeding delays, i.e., inspection and permission, project mobilization, and financing, and utility availability are taken into account through lognormal distribution functions. The restoration of the structure’s utilities can be taken from the utility disturbance functions, which can be verified from past earthquake records and respective simulation investigations [
115]. The utility disturbances rely on the level of damage to the supply chain system (at the local level within a structure and global level throughout the distribution system) and, hence, are calculated by repair rate (RR), which is calculated based on the peak ground velocity at the structure’s site. Then associated lognormal distribution function is chosen for RR, as per Figure 19 of Almufti and Willford framework [
115].
Before the hazard, the structure is assumed to perform its proposed function and is fully efficient, i.e., facilities are completely serviceable and no damage (either structural or non-structural) obstructs the usual proposed function. Following the hazard, the structure could be in any performance state, as shown in
Figure 15, depending on damage to the systems and utilities. The functionality curves show the loss of functionality of the reference structure (
Figure 15a) for all the seven hazard levels and retrofitting alternatives (
Figure 15b) for EQ4 and EQ6 hazard levels (as per
Table 2) for comparing the loss of functionality among various options. The recovery times could be estimated, and a performance recovery function is made that provides the dissemination of performance states to complete functionality under the considered time period. The function could be employed to generate resilience using Equation (5).
Figure 16 presents the resilience of the case study structure for the considered hazard scenarios. It can be noted that at the hazard level with a return period of 40 years, the structure exhibited better performance in terms of resilience; however, for other hazard states, it exhibited deprived performance as resilience is considered.
Retrofitting decreases the damages, hence enhancing the performance and resilience of the structure. The enhancement in seismic resilience for ECC intervention is less as compared to the other strategies, but it is because the ECC jacketing assumed in this study is without any longitudinal and transverse reinforcement; thus, the cost comparison might make it more feasible and useful as compared to the other alternatives, but the considered performance was less in this scenario, whereas substantial enhancement is noted for the SPJ, SAJ, and RCJ retrofit alternatives. By considering the functionality of the structure subjected to various hazard levels and then estimating the seismic resilience over the given period, it is concluded that SPJ is the most effective retrofitting alternative followed by SAJ and RCJ. The ECJ also enhances seismic resilience considerably, but its impact is relatively less as compared to the other alternatives.
To get an optimal solution based on structural and nonstructural damages and considering the direct and indirect losses, it is important to define the weightage factors for all the parameters presented in
Table 6,
Table 7,
Table 8 and
Table 9 to select the option that is suitable for specific seismic intensity levels. For this reason, weightage factors of 0.40, 0.20, 0.20, and 0.20 were assigned to direct social losses, direct economic losses, environmental losses, and indirect (social and economic) losses, respectively. The weightage factors selected are subjective and depend on several factors defined by the decision-makers, designers, evaluators, and other stakeholders. In this study, a higher weightage is assigned to direct social losses since, under any given circumstance, the loss of human life is the most serious consequence, which should be avoided at any cost. Hence, a higher weightage means that the retrofitting alternative that offers more safety will have more impact on decision-making as compared to the other parameters.
Table 10 presents the details of optimized values based on the methodology discussed above. It can be seen that for any given earthquake, different alternatives are performing in different ways. Since the results are based on normalized values, the relative performance of these options can be checked very easily. At EQ-1 and EQ-2, almost all the alternatives, along with reference structure, perform relatively well. However, from EQ-3 onwards, the difference in performance is becoming more obvious. Hence at EQ-3, the reference structure performs 56% to that of SPJ-3, which makes a huge impact considering both direct and indirect losses. Similarly, at EQ-4 and EQ-5, the performance of the reference structure is 30% and 31%, respectively, as compared to that of SPJ-3. Results of EQ-7 are somewhat different than the pattern discussed above because, at this intensity level, the functionality of all structures was also non-recoverable; hence, the indirect losses at EQ-7 are not included, and only direct losses are calculated and presented. Based on these results, the SPJ-3 retrofitting alternative turns out to be the most effective solution to minimize the direct and indirect losses from both SEs and NSEs in the form of social, economic, and environmental consequences. SAJ-5, RCJ-3, and ECJ-3 also performed very well at all intensity levels, with the performance above 94%, 87%, and 80%, respectively, apart from EQ-5, where ECJ-3 yielded 54% performance relative to SPJ-3.
Since the hospitals are provided with delicate and fragile equipment that can be drift- or acceleration-sensitive, the damage to that equipment is not considered in this study. Damages of SEs and NSEs were calculated, which led to the estimation of direct and indirect losses (in terms of economic, social, and environmental losses). It will also be worth mentioning here that since the retrofitting costs, i.e., initial costs and maintenance costs, along with many other parameters, i.e., fire protection, durability aspects of retrofitting material, etc., are not considered in this study, which could have a huge impact on the decision-making. Thus, the optimized retrofitting option should be evaluated under the limitations of the current study. However, the authors aim to address the issues mentioned here in the next study to bring together all the parameters that could affect the decision-making process. Finally, optimization reveals that SPJ-3 is the best retrofit alternative under the limitations of the current study; however, it is subject to many factors and the weightage of those factors and depends on the stakeholders and decision-makers to consider all or some of those factors partially or completely.