1. Introduction
Many developing countries in Asia are currently facing an ageing population without sufficient preparation for active ageing. “Active ageing” is a framework used by
WHO (
2002), viewing old age as the opportunity to be healthy, to participate in society, and to be secure (including economic security). This framework has been widely followed in Europe since 2005 as a policy response to challenges brought about by the ageing population (
Foster and Walker 2014;
Principi et al. 2018). This concept refuted the “dependency” concept, which emphasizes the passivity of older people, as elaborated by
Foster and Walker (
2021). Instead, active ageing stresses the importance of activity and that older people are not simply recipients or even burdens to society.
The active ageing concept has triggered the debate on delaying retirement age, extending employment, and working towards the sustainability of the pension system (
Foster 2018). Earlier,
Foster (
2012) argued that pension policies should be able to provide options for older people that would allow them to work and create old-age financial adequacy, which is a crucial element in active ageing. However,
ILO and ASEAN (
2020) reported that no country in Southeast Asia has reached the same stage of old-age financial adequacy as those in Europe. In Southeast Asia, where Indonesia is located, the retirement payout is not sufficient to let older people live actively, as defined in the active ageing framework. At most, the pension functions as a subsidy or an “accessory” to the old-age financial adequacy. Older people still need financial support from their own employment and/or transfers from families, communities, or other government interventions.
In contrast, a generous pension system was originally seen as a celebration of the success of modern western countries to reward their older people. This system was put in place to avoid poverty in old age. The generous retirement payout is financed by the current taxpayers—a system called pay-as-you go (PAYG). However, this system becomes questionable on the ground of state financial sustainability, when the ratio of the number of pension recipients to number of taxpayers is becoming higher and rising rapidly, as a consequence of an ageing population (
Danzer et al. 2016;
Mertl et al. 2019;
Wang 2021).
Therefore, these countries have begun to search for an alternative pension system and how to restructure their pension system to provide adequate financial support for older people, but also guarantee state budget sustainability. Along with the emergence of neo-liberal economic policies, an emphasis on individual responsibility following market mechanism, there is an increasing trend among European or OECD countries to shift from a defined benefit, PAYG pension system, to a defined contribution pension system. Unlike in the PAYG system, where the responsibility of providing adequate pension is in the hands of government, the defined contribution pension system puts the responsibility of creating old-age financial adequacy in individuals themselves. The employees contribute to the savings, sometimes topped up by the employers, which are then to be invested by the employers and to be distributed back to the employees when they retire or during paid retirement period. (
OECD 2016;
Foster 2018).
Nevertheless, shifting to a defined contribution system, where individuals actually save for themselves, may not necessarily create old-age financial adequacy.
Lin et al. (
2021) indicated that the shift to the defined contribution system is often problematic. They suggested a reform within the PAYG by reducing the pension benefit, starting from the new cohort. Their study showed that this reform within PAYG brought about higher economic growth and welfare in the long run.
With large informal employment, an underdeveloped pension system, and an anticipated ageing population, Indonesia faces similar challenges in its pension system. Civil servants account for the majority of public services remuneration in many countries, including Indonesia. They are the only large group covered by a formal and stable pension system. Yet, the number of civil servants has been declining mostly because of rapidly increasing number of new retirees (
Asian Development Bank 2021). To improve the welfare of the retired civil servants through its pension system, the government of Indonesia has been considering restructuring the pay-as-you-go (PAYG), defined benefit system used for civil servants, the military, and the police.
Under the existing pension system for civil servants, the amount of monthly retirement payout is meagre. The government regulation no. 18 in 2019 on the basic pension of civil servants and their spouses
1 stated that the highest monthly retirement payout of a director at grade IV/d, the second highest rank, is only IDR 4,246,300 or US 303.3. This amount is slightly lower than the minimum wage in the capital of Jakarta (IDR 4,276,344), which is the highest provincial minimum wage in Indonesia. Therefore, to help create state budget sustainability in anticipation of an ageing population and to create old-age financial adequacy, the restructuring plan proposes to shift the system into a defined contribution system. With this proposed reform, the responsibility of providing a pension is shifted from the government to the individuals themselves, guaranteeing state budget sustainability.
This paper examines to what extent the proposed defined contribution system for civil servants can contribute to active ageing through old-age financial adequacy (as an indicator of economic security) in Indonesia, a developing Asian country anticipating an ageing population.
This paper addresses three questions regarding old-age financial adequacy in the proposed defined contribution system. First is whether the retirees will receive better payout than in the existing pay-as-you-go system. Second is whether the retirees will receive decent payout, measured by a higher payout than the capital city’s minimum wage, the highest provincial minimum wage in Indonesia. Third is whether the retirees will be able to maintain their pre-retirement standard of living.
This paper conducts a literature review and a set of simulations to examine whether the proposed defined contribution pension system can help civil servants to age actively through the expected retirement payout. The simulation uses a present value approach, which considers inflation rate to calculate purchasing power of the future payout. This simulation also assumes that the accumulated savings are re-invested during the retirement period, to prevent declining purchasing power of the payout as the retirees age.
The findings are expected to provide lessons for other groups in Indonesia or other developing countries, who want to transform its pension system into defined contribution systems. The assumptions in other groups may be different, but the important lesson from this study is that a defined contribution system alone is not necessarily sufficient to create old-age financial adequacy and therefore is less likely to let the retirees age actively.
The next section is a literature review, discussing old-age financial adequacy, a defined contribution pension system, active ageing, and Indonesian pension system. The third section deliberates the method and assumptions of the simulation. The fourth section provides the results of simulation. The paper is closed with concluding remarks, discussing the main conclusion from the simulation and policy recommendations derived from the active ageing framework, beyond pension system.
3. Simulation Method and Assumptions
3.1. Method
This paper uses simulations of employees’ life throughout the working and retirement periods. All retirement payouts are calculated in their present values. This calculation evaluates the future purchasing power in 2020 prices, as the value of money in the future is less than the value of money today. This is to break the ”money illusion”, as if having a larger amount of money, yet the purchasing power is much lower. The present value of the payout in the simulation scenarios can then be compared with the existing, pre-retirement level of basic salary and take-home income.
During the working period, employees contribute monthly premiums or pension contributions to be invested by state-owned enterprises. This results in an accumulated saving by the end of the working period. The investment is carried out yearly using a compound technique. An innovation in our simulation is that the calculation of the premium is based on take-home income, rather than the basic salary as in the current defined benefit, PAYG system. In the existing system, take home income consists of basic salary, standard allowance, and other allowances. Other allowances widely vary. The basic salary in the existing system is much below the take-home income, resulting in very low premium to be saved and invested and therefore low payout.
This accumulated saving is then distributed during a 20-year paid retirement period, and there will not be any payout after this period.
2 Another innovation is made by allowing re-investment of the accumulated saving. Without re-investment, the nominal payout will be the same from year to year, resulting in a declining present value of the payout as the retirees age, erased by inflation. This innovation anticipates rising expenditure because of declining health as the retirees become older.
The third innovation is that when the retirees die before the end of the 20-year retirement period, the spouses/relatives will continue receiving the full payout. In the existing system, the spouses/relatives do not receive the full payout.
At the start of the retirement period, the accumulated saving is divided by 20 years × 12 months to obtain the monthly payout during the first year of retirement. The remaining saving is then re-invested, with the same rate of return as that in the working period. At the start of the second year of retirement, the new accumulated saving is divided by 19 years × 12 months, to have monthly payout during the second year of retirement. The remaining payout is again re-invested. The same procedure is carried out until the last year of the 20-year paid retirement period, except that the remaining accumulated saving is completely spent in the last paid retirement year.
The simulated payout is then compared with the existing payout to examine whether the proposed system is better or worse than the existing one. Second, it is also compared with the capital city (Jakarta) minimum wage, the highest among provinces in Indonesia, to examine whether or not the retirees are out of poverty in the proposed system. The highest minimum wage is selected as the threshold of poverty because it is not applied to the whole Indonesian population, but to the few who are working as civil servants. As reported in
Kompas (
2019), working as civil servants is a dream for many people, as it offers a steady job and income, health insurance, and pension. The civil servants are joining the rising middle class in Indonesia. Third, the payout is also compared with the pre-retirement take-home income to learn whether the retirees can maintain the pre-retirement standard of living.
The simulation takes two scenarios of civil servants. One is from the best career path, where the civil servant ends up being a Director before retiring. Another one is a middle career path, where the civil servant finishes as a Head of Section before retiring. The two paths are selected as they may represent the best civil servants. This paper examines whether people with these paths can live well in the proposed defined contribution system. Others may face more challenging times during their retirement.
All payouts are presented in both Indonesian rupiah (IDR) and US dollars. An alternative is to present the purchasing power parity (PPP) of the US dollar, because USD 1.00 in Jakarta, Indonesia, may buy more goods and service than in New York. As described by IMF (in
Callen n.d.), this argument is especially true when the consumption does not involve internationally traded goods.
However, Indonesians, including and particularly the civil servants, have been increasingly consuming internationally traded goods and services. Indonesia, with its 270 million population, has become a lucrative market for many international goods and services (
Australian Government n.d.). Furthermore, as mentioned earlier, civil servants are part of the important middle class in Indonesia. Therefore, the civil servants may not be limited to consume locally non-traded goods, but they consume many internationally traded goods and services as Indonesia is open to international trade. As a result, this paper does not present the payout in the purchasing power parity (PPP). Nevertheless, as a reference for those who want to examine the payout in PPP, US
$1 is equivalent to IDR 4674 in 2020.
3 3.2. Assumptions
For convenience, the present value is calculated at the base year of 2020 prices. Employees are assumed to start working at age 25 in 2020 with an undergraduate degree and receive salary level of III/a based on the government regulation (PP) no. 15/2019 for basic salary; and no 156/2014 for allowances. The simulation uses two scenarios for the career path. The first path is for employees who later obtain master degrees and end up as Directors, receiving salary grade IV/d, the second highest rank in civil service. They will have 35 years of working period when they retire at age 60 in 2055. The second path is for employees who remain holding an undergraduate degree, works for 33 years, end with grade III/d as Heads of Section, and retire at age 58 in 2053.
4In each career path scenario, the accumulated premium during employment is invested yearly. The path of basic salary follows the government regulation no. 15/2019; and standard allowance follows government regulation no. 156/2014. The simulation assumes three scenarios for “other allowances”: 10%, 15%, and 20% from the sum of both the basic salary and standard allowance. The premium paid has three scenarios. First is the low premium scenario, with 10% of take-home income (and with other allowances at 10% of the basic salary and standard allowance). Second is the medium premium scenario with 15% of take-home income (and with other allowances at 15% of the sum of the basic salary and standard allowance). Third is the high premium scenario with 20% of take-home income (and with other allowances at 20% of the sum of the basic salary and standard allowance).
As mentioned earlier, payout is only paid during the first 20 years of retirement, not providing anything for those who can live longer. If the retirees die before the age of 80 or 78, the spouse or relatives will receive a full payout in the remaining 20-year period. There will be no more payout when the retirees reach 80 or 78 years old. As people live longer, future studies should relax this assumption, although it may lower the monthly payout.
The simulation also has three scenarios for investment rate of return,
5 both in the working and retirement periods: low rate (6% annually), medium rate (9% annually), and high rate (12% annually). During 2013–2020, as reported by
PT Taspen (
n.d.), the rate of return has been varying from 8.0% to 9.0%. Finally, the simulated future payout is discounted to the value in 2020, using a constant discount rate of 4.0% annually, as the average inflation rate in Indonesia during 2010–2020 was 4.32%.
6 For example, a monthly payout of IDR 20.28 million or USD 1448 in 2055 is equivalent to only IDR 5.0 million or USD 357 in 2020, assuming USD 1 is constant at IDR 14,000 for 35 years.
The simulation assumes constant aspiration throughout the working and retirement periods, as there is no data on changing aspiration. Higher aspirations may make the retirees worse financially and much less likely to have active ageing. Further studies should take this issue into consideration.
4. Results for Career Ending as a Director
4.1. Existing System
Based on the existing system,
Table 1 clearly shows that the basic salary of a Director holding a master degree with a salary level IV/d at the end of working period is very low, only IDR 5.5 million or USD 392 monthly. However, the take-home income is much higher, about five times the basic salary.
Under the existing pension system, the Director will retire with a meagre amount of payout, at maximum of IDR 4.25 million or USD 303 monthly, which is even smaller than the basic salary and slightly lower than the Jakarta minimum wage (IDR 4.28 million), the highest among provinces in Indonesia. This is a drastic decline from IDR 29.50 million, the last pre-retirement take-home income. The director will not live with the pre-retirement standard of living and even below the minimum wage of the capital city, Jakarta, if the retired director only relies on the payout from the civil servant system.
The loss of standard of living, even falling below minimum wage, during retirement brings about far reaching social and health consequences. The retiree is much less likely to age actively due to the income constraint. This may partly explain why Indonesian older people mainly do home bound life activities such as watching television, reading and less travelling (
Arifin et al. 2012;
Badan Pusat Statistik 2020).
4.2. Low Premium Scenario
The director who starts to retire at the age of 60 under the scenario of low premium and the highest rate of investment will receive the present value of the monthly payout at IDR 5.94 million in the first year of retirement (
Table 2). This is just slightly higher than the basic salary received in the final year of working period (
Table 1). However, this simulated payout is better than the payout provided under the existing pension system (IDR 4.25 million). The simulated payout is also higher than Jakarta minimum wage (IDR 4.28 million) in 2020. As the minimum wage varies across provinces and the value of payout is the same wherever the retirees reside, some may consider migrating to another province (
Rachmawati and Chotib 2018) such as Yogyakarta, which has the lowest provincial minimum wage (IDR 1.7 million), to have a better purchasing power during retirement. Yogyakarta is perceived to be one of the best places for retirement
7.
Under this scenario, although living above the minimum wage, the retired director will not be able to maintain the pre-retirement standard of living, as the simulated payout is much lower than the pre-retirement take-home income. This may result in financial insecurity. As many older people are not in good health (
Arifin 2015), and therefore facing higher health expenditure, the retired director may suffer worse financial insecurity. Moreover, if the accumulated savings are not reinvested, the retiree will become more miserable over time, especially when there are no other financial sources. The retired director will receive the same nominal payout during the 20-years retirement period. Therefore, the present value of the payouts will decline as the retired director ages.
By re-investing the remaining accumulated saving, the simulation shows that the present value of the monthly payout will rise, when the retirees become older. For instance, at the age of 79, with the highest rate of return (12%), the present value of monthly payout can be IDR 24.28 million, or 82.31% of pre-retirement take-home income. It can be relatively large by the end of the paid retirement period. Yet, at age 79, the retirees may spend more for their health. If the retirees can be active through their old age, this amount of money may give an assurance for financial security. In other words, if the retired Director follows scenarios of lower rate of return (either 6.0% or 9.0%), the daily life activities can be affected severely.
4.3. Medium Premium Scenario
The medium premium scenario together with the highest rate of return provides the payout in the first year of retirement of IDR 9.31 million per month, which is more than double the existing payout and much higher than the basic salary. Nevertheless, it is only about one-third of the pre-retirement take-home income, which can still prevent the retirees from having better health and active life. Without re-investment, the payout will become smaller as the retired director ages, and make the retiree much less likely to age actively.
With re-investment, the monthly payout at the end of the 20th year of retirement will be IDR 38.06 million, larger than the final pre-retirement take home income. In other words, by the end of the paid retirement period, approaching 79 years old, the retired Director may enjoy a better standard of living than prior to the retirement, assuming the health condition remains the same throughout the retirement period. With a lower rate of return (9.0% and below), the retired Director will suffer from a lower level of living standard in the whole retirement period, making this retiree less able to age actively.
4.4. High Premium Scenario
The combination of large “other allowances”, high premium and high rate of return provides the highest payout in the first year of retirement than other combinations/scenarios. The retired Director will receive the monthly payout of IDR 13.00 million, which is three times the existing payout, or more than double the basic salary. Yet, it is still far below (43.91%) the last pre-retirement take-home income. In this best scenario (high premium scenario), the retiree will still be far below the pre-retirement standard of living in the first year of retirement. Without re-investment, the retired director will face more difficulty in maintaining the pre-retirement standard of living.
As time passes toward older age and the accumulated savings continue to be invested, the retiree will enjoy a much higher standard of living. Based on this scenario, at the age of 79, the payout can be IDR 52.96 million, even almost double the pre-retirement standard of living. Assuming the health expenditure will not rise more than double as the retiree ages, the retired Director will be more likely to age actively.
5. Results for Career Ending as Head of Section
5.1. Existing System
The government regulations no. 15/2019 stated that the basic salary of the Head of Section by the end of the working period is only IDR 4.80 million. This is about 12 percent higher than the Jakarta minimum wage. However, total allowance is much higher (
Table 3). As a result, the take-home income is about three times the basic salary.
When the Head of Section retires at the age of 58, under the existing system, with the government regulation no. 18/2019 on premium pension, this person will only receive a maximum monthly payout at IDR 3.60 million, which is about 75 percent lower than the basic salary and 84 percent lower than minimum wage in Jakarta. Furthermore, the payout is of course much lower than (precisely 25% of) the pre-retirement take-home income. That means the existing pension system will force the retired Head of a Section to lower the standard of living drastically. The retiree may even live in poverty as the payout is below Jakarta minimum wage. As time passes, the payout declines in its present value. This retiree is much less likely to age actively if he/she does not have any other financial sources.
5.2. Scenarios of Future Payout
The same pattern is seen between the Head of Section and the Director that the monthly payout in the first year of retirement is lower than the pre-retirement take-home pay for whatever the scenarios of simulation. The retired Head of Section will receive a higher monthly payout in the last year of retirement (the 20th year of retirement, at age 77), only when the remaining accumulated saving is re-invested. Without re-investment, the present value of the monthly payout will decline as the retiree ages. The difference between the payout in the first year and 20th year of retirement becomes larger with a higher investment rate of return and a higher premium (
Table 4).
In the best scenario, a rate of return at 12% and a high premium, the present value of the last payout reached IDR 41.14 million, more than four times the present value of the first payout at IDR 10.1 million. In this scenario, the payout in the first year is already much better than the payout in the existing system, and is closer to the last pre-retirement take-home income. The payout is above the minimum wage of Jakarta, and the retiree may even be able to maintain the standard of living, as it is closer to the last pre-retirement take-home income. The retiree’s wellbeing will possibly be better at older ages, and ultimately will be likely to age actively, assuming that the health status does not deteriorate.
However, if both the investment rate of return and premium are low, the present value of the payout is much smaller (IDR 1.40 million in the first year of retirement and IDR 2.00 million in the last year of retirement) than the payout given by the existing system. This clearly shows misery of life during retirement. This is an undesirable scenario.
The middle scenario seen in
Table 4 is with the rate of return at 9.0% (the currently observed rate of investment) and medium premium. In the first year of retirement, the retired Head of Section will receive IDR 3.90 million monthly, which is lower than the basic salary and lower than the Jakarta minimum wage; though higher than the payout in the existing system. Moreover, the payout is much below the last pre-retirement take-home income. The retired Head of Section will be tough to maintain the standard of living in the first year of retirement. Even with the high premium, the first payout can only be IDR 5.43 million, less than half of the last pre-retirement income take-home income.
With the re-investment of the accumulated saving, the payout will be better (IDR 9.52 million) based on the medium premium scenario at the end of paid retirement period. However, this payout is 65% lower than the last pre-retirement take-home income. Even without health deterioration, the retiree under this career path is less likely to be able to maintain a pre-retirement standard of living, though at age 77, the difference between the payout and last pre-retirement take-home income is getting smaller.
6. Concluding Remark
This paper provides lessons from the expected pension reform in Indonesia’s civil servants, particularly with respect to its contribution on active ageing through financial adequacy. The most important lesson is that the reform from a defined benefit pension system to a defined contribution system is not necessarily sufficient to let retirees age actively through their old-age financial adequacy.
Under the existing defined benefit pension system for civil servants, the military, and the police in Indonesia, the monthly payout for the retirees is meagre, even below the capital city minimum wage. However, Indonesia is preparing to shift to a defined contribution system. The question is whether the proposed change can help the retirees age actively. Specifically, the questions are whether the proposed defined contribution system can provide better retirement payout, whether it can make the retirees live out of poverty (higher than Jakarta minimum wage, the highest provincial minimum wage in Indonesia), and whether it allows the retirees to enjoy the pre-retirement living standard.
The paper concludes that the payout in the proposed system can provide a better payout than that in the existing, pay-as-you-go system, except in scenarios with low investment rate of return (6.0%), and medium investment rate of return (9.0%) combined with low premium. It can help the retirees out of poverty only with investment rate of return at least 9.0% combined with medium premium for the retired Director, and high premium for the retired Head of Section. Civil servants with lower levels than the Head of Section may face more challenging time to maintain pre-retirement standard of living, and even to live with pension payout above the capital city’s minimum wage.
Moreover, regardless of the investment rate of return and premium scenarios, the payout in the first year of retirement remains much below the amount needed to maintain the pre-retirement standard of living. Even for a retired Director with the highest investment rate of return (12.0%), the retiree will only have higher standard of living (compared to the pre-retirement) by the end of paid retirement period. This better standard of living assumes that the retiree’s health does not deteriorate during the first 20 years after retirement. However, this assumption may not be tenable for many older people.
Therefore, this paper concludes that reliance on the pension system alone is not sufficient to help the retirees having old-age financial adequacy. In turn, the retirees are less likely to age actively—to be healthy, able to participate in society’s socio-economic activities, and to be socially as well as economically secured. There should be other ways to improve the wellbeing of the civil servant retirees, including changing the mindset into the one that older people are social and economic assets, rather than a burden or a dependency. There should not be any barrier for older people to participate in social and economic activities, as participation is one of the rights of older people.
This paper provides three recommendations to enable civil servants to age actively. First is through increasing the monthly retirement payout. Second is through raising transfer from families/friends, societies, and government. Third, is going beyond the pension system and embracing the broader active ageing framework. This active ageing framework, with its life-course approach, will particularly benefit the younger generations—who are the future older people.
6.1. Improving the Retirement Payout
First, the accumulated saving should be re-invested during the retirement period. Otherwise, the saving will decline in value overtime.
Second, the premium should be based on take-home income, not basic salary. The basic salary is too small compared to the take-home income.
Third, the investment rate of return during working and retirement period should be targeted at 12.0%, higher than the current rate of return (9.0%).
Fourth, retirement age should be raised and made optional, allowing employees to accumulate more savings. Meritocracy should also be considered, neither seniority nor juniority, along with the higher retirement age.
Fifth, the national inflation rate should be stabilized at a low rate, to raise the present value of the payout.
Sixth, take-home salary should be increased, along with continuous growth of the economy.
Seventh, by raising labour productivity, taxpayers can be much more productive, and the government can have more money for direct and indirect social assistances to the older people.
6.2. Enhancing Transfer from Families, Communities and Government
First, policies can be made to revive the disappearing extended family networking. Digital technology can connect physically far-away relatives, creating a new “super extended family” network.
8 This network can function to help each other, sharing information and relieving the financial burden of this family members.
Second, policies can be designed to encourage philanthropic activities, including religious ones such as zakat and wakaf in Islam. A generous tax-deduction can be offered to those providing contribution/philanthropic activities, including non-monetary contribution.
Third, a universal assistance to older people can be considered to guarantee that older people live above minimum wage. Special assistance on healthcare for older people should also be considered.
6.3. Beyond Pension: Active Ageing Framework
An active ageing framework can help to create old-age financial adequacy. When retirees are healthy, able to participate in society, and secured, the need of government assistance will be less. The retirees themselves are better in contributing to their own financial adequacy, by having (more) income and/or less health expenditure. Below are three recommended policies for consideration.
First, policies should be made following a life-course approach to promote healthy life styles since an early life. Economic policies should be conducive to the creation of healthy life styles.
Second, policies should create older people-friendly infrastructure in the public place, housing complex, and within the house to minimize older people’s mobility capability deprivation.
Third, policies should be made to equip older people with digital skill and produce older people friendly digital technology. With the ability to utilize digital technology, older people will become empowered and improve their quality of life.