Economic and Clinical Benefits of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F (RSVpreF) Maternal Vaccine for Prevention of RSV in Infants: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Mexico
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Population
2.2. Epidemiology
2.3. Mortality
2.4. Vaccine Effectiveness and Strategy
2.5. Utilities
2.6. Costs
2.6.1. Direct Costs
2.6.2. Indirect Costs
2.7. Sensitivity Analysis
2.8. Scenario Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Base Case Analysis
3.2. One-Way Sensitivity Analysis
3.3. Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis
3.4. Scenario Analysis
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Infant Age (Months) | Rates of RSV Encounters (per 1000) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Hospitalization | Emergency Department | Outpatient | |
<1 | 34.0 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
1–<2 | 60.1 | 29.5 | 29.5 |
2–<3 | 43.1 | 21.2 | 21.2 |
3–<4 | 30.2 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
4–<5 | 26.3 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
5–<6 | 21.1 | 10.3 | 10.3 |
6–<7 | 18.6 | 9.1 | 9.1 |
7–<8 | 15.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 |
8–<9 | 14.1 | 6.9 | 6.9 |
9–<10 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
10–<11 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
11–<12 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
Maternal Vaccine | No Intervention | ∆ | |
---|---|---|---|
Clinical outcomes (events) | |||
RSV hospitalization | 32,437 | 48,206 | −15,768 |
RSV ED encounter | 18,166 | 23,671 | −5505 |
RSV outpatient encounter | 18,166 | 23,671 | −5505 |
No. of RSV-related deaths | 383 | 553 | −171 |
Life years (discounted) | 38,060,131 | 38,056,730 | 3402 |
QALYs (discounted) | 35,700,767 | 35,697,274 | 3493 |
Caregivers’ QALYs lost (discounted) | 437 | 610 | −173 |
Economic outcomes (MXN M) | |||
Medical care | 3131.90 | 4885.87 | −1753.96 |
Maternal vaccination * | 2659.80 | 0 | 2659.80 |
Total | 5791.71 | 4885.87 | 905.84 |
ICER | |||
Cost per LY | 266,299 | ||
Cost per QALY | 247,102 |
Parameter | Percent over Base Case | ICER (MXN per QALY) |
---|---|---|
Effectiveness of maternal vaccine | +25% | 101,969 |
−25% | 489,004 | |
Incidence of RSV hospitalization | +25% | 104,380 |
−25% | 480,282 | |
Incidence of RSV ED encounters | +25% | 244,423 |
−25% | 249,805 | |
Incidence of RSV outpatient encounters | +25% | 245,528 |
−25% | 248,690 | |
Cost of RSV maternal vaccine | +25% | 408,859 |
−25% | 85,345 | |
Cost of RSV hospitalization | +25% | 129,458 |
−25% | 364,745 | |
Cost of RSV ED encounters | +25% | 245,561 |
−25% | 248,642 | |
Cost of RSV outpatient encounters | +25% | 246,671 |
−25% | 247,532 | |
General infant mortality | +25% | 249,014 |
−25% | 245,202 | |
Case fatality due to RSV hospitalization | +25% | 203,040 |
−25% | 315,627 | |
Case fatality due to RSV ED encounters | +25% | 247,102 |
−25% | ||
Case fatality due to RSV outpatient encounters | +25% | 247,102 |
−25% | ||
Healthy infant utility | +25% | 244,961 |
−25% | 249,280 | |
Disutility due to RSV hospitalization | +25% | 243,137 |
−25% | 251,197 | |
Disutility due to RSV-ED encounters | +25% | 246,550 |
−25% | 247,655 | |
Disutility due to RSV outpatient encounters | +25% | 246,550 |
−25% | 247,655 | |
Caregiver QALY loss due to RSV hospitalization | +25% | 245,401 |
−25% | 248,826 | |
Caregiver QALY loss due to RSV ED encounters | +25% | 246,505 |
−25% | 247,701 | |
Caregiver QALY loss due to RSV outpatient encounters | +25% | 246,505 |
−25% | 247,701 |
Incremental Outcomes * | Scenario 1: 3% Discount for Costs; 0% for Outcomes | Scenario 2: 7% Discount for Both Costs and Outcomes | Scenario 3: Societal Perspective | Scenario 4: Seasonal Vaccination Strategy | Scenario 5: 40% Vaccine Uptake | Scenario 6: 80% Vaccine Uptake | Scenario 7: Lower Case Fatality Rate | Scenario 8: Higher Case Fatality Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total costs discounted (MXN M) | 889.97 | 921.19 | 803.88 | 287.40 | 603.89 | 1207.79 | 905.70 | 906.00 |
QALYs (discounted) | 12,829 | 2837 | 3666 | 2724 | 2444 | 4888 | 2330 | 5085 |
ICER (cost per QALY) | 69,375 | 324,705 | 219,287 | 105,529 | 247,102 | 247,102 | 388,725 | 178,192 |
% of 1×GDPpc/QALY gained | 28.1 | 131.3 | 88.7 | 42.7 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 157.2 | 72.1 |
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Huerta, J.L.; Kendall, R.; Ivkovic, L.; Molina, C.; Law, A.W.; Mendes, D. Economic and Clinical Benefits of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F (RSVpreF) Maternal Vaccine for Prevention of RSV in Infants: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Mexico. Vaccines 2025, 13, 77. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13010077
Huerta JL, Kendall R, Ivkovic L, Molina C, Law AW, Mendes D. Economic and Clinical Benefits of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F (RSVpreF) Maternal Vaccine for Prevention of RSV in Infants: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Mexico. Vaccines. 2025; 13(1):77. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13010077
Chicago/Turabian StyleHuerta, José Luis, Robyn Kendall, Luka Ivkovic, Carlos Molina, Amy W. Law, and Diana Mendes. 2025. "Economic and Clinical Benefits of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F (RSVpreF) Maternal Vaccine for Prevention of RSV in Infants: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Mexico" Vaccines 13, no. 1: 77. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13010077
APA StyleHuerta, J. L., Kendall, R., Ivkovic, L., Molina, C., Law, A. W., & Mendes, D. (2025). Economic and Clinical Benefits of Bivalent Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prefusion F (RSVpreF) Maternal Vaccine for Prevention of RSV in Infants: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Mexico. Vaccines, 13(1), 77. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13010077