Age-Specific Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness against Different Influenza Subtypes in the Hospitalized Population in Lithuania during the 2015–2019 Influenza Seasons
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Objectives
2.2. Study Design, Population, Setting, and Recruitment Procedure
2.3. Outcome
2.4. Exposure
2.5. Covariates
2.6. Laboratory Analysis
2.7. Statistical Analysis
2.8. Ethical Considerations
2.9. Sample Size Calculation
2.10. Sample
3. Results
Vaccine Effectiveness Analysis
4. Discussion
Limitations and Strengths
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Chronic Underlying Conditions | ICD-10 Codes |
---|---|
Anemia, Spleen pathology | D50–75 S36.0 Q89.01,09 |
Cancer | C00–96 C7A, B |
Cardiovascular conditions | A52.01 |
G46 | |
I00–I09 I20 I21–I23 I24.0,1,8,9 I25 I27–28 134–37 124.1–9 143–6 148 I49 I50 I51–2 O90.3 Q20–28 | |
Cirrhosis | K74 |
Dementia, stroke | F01–06 F10 F19 G30.9 G31.01,1,09 G91.0–1 G35 G36.0 G37.0–3,5,8,9; G93.0-2,4,5,41,49 I60–64 I67.83 I69 |
Endocrine disorders, diabetes | E10 E11–14 E15 E16.0–3 E16.8–9 E20–32 E35 E70–79 E83–5,7,8 E89.1 |
Immunocompromised conditions | D80.0–4,8,9 K71–77, excl. K74 E06.3–5,9 E07 E90 M11 M83 Z94.0–2,5–7 Z95.3 B20–24 R75 Z21 |
Lung diseases | A15.0 C30.0 C31–2 C33–4 C38.1-4 C39 C45.0,7 D14.0–4 D19.0 I26 J33 J34.1–3,8 J38–9 J43–4 J45–6 J47 J60–70 J80–2,4 J90–1 J92–3,6,8,9 J94 M40–1 M43.8–9 Q30–34 Q65–79 R09.1 Z90.2 |
Nutritional deficiency | E32.0,1,8,9 E24.0,2,3,8,9 E25.0,8,9 E26.01,102,09,9,81 E34.0 E40,41,43–6 E50,51 |
Obesity | E65–68 |
Renal diseases | I12.0,9 M10.30 N00.3,8–9 N01.3 N02.2 N03.2–3,5,8 N04.0,3–4 N05 N07–8 N10–11 N13.30,721,729 N14 N15.0,8 N16 N17–19 N25 N27 N28.9 Q60–4 |
Rheumatologic diseases | M05.00,10 M06.4,9 M08.00,40 M15.0–2,9 M12,00 M30–31 M32–35 |
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Influenza Season | Vaccine Composition | Vaccine Type |
---|---|---|
2015–2016 | - California/7/2009(H1N1)-like - A/Switzerland/9715293/2013(H3N2)-like - B/Phuket/3073/2013-like (B/Yamagata lineage) | Trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, non-adjuvanted |
2016–2017 | - California/7/2009(H1N1)-like - A/Hong Kong/4801/2014(H3N2)-like - B/Brisbane/60/2008-like (B/Victoria lineage) | Trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, non-adjuvanted |
2017–2018 | - A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like - A/Hong Kong/4801/2014 (H3N2)-like - B/Brisbane/60/2008-like (B/Victoria lineage) | Trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, non-adjuvanted |
2018–2019 | - A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like - A/Singapore/INFIMH-16-0019/2016 (H3N2)-like - B/Colorado/06/2017-like (B/Victoria/2/87-lineage) | Trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, non-adjuvanted |
Influenza Season | Controls | A(H1N1pdm09) | A(H3N2) | A (Untyped) | B/Yamagata | B/Victoria | B (Untyped) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N(%) | |
Season 2015–2016 | 91 (55.8) | 50 (30.7) | – | 14 (8.6) | – | 7 (4.3) | 1 (0.6) |
Season 2016–2017 | 104 (53.9) | – | 83 (54.6) | – | 5 (2.6) | – | 1 (0.5) |
Season 2017–2018 | 91 (42.9) | 5 (2.4) | 8 (3.8) | 2 (0.9) | 97 (45.8) | 2 (0.9) | 7 (3.3) |
Season 2018–2019 | 81 (46.6) | 29 (16.7) | 61 (35.1) | 3 (1.7) | – | – | – |
All seasons | 367 (49.5) | 84 (11.3) | 152 (20.5) | 19 (2.6) | 102 (13.7) | 9 (1.2) | 9 (1.2) |
Variables | Age Group 18–64 | p-Value | Age Group ≥65 | p-Value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Influenza-Positive N = 121 (40.1%) | Influenza-Negative N = 81 (59.9%) | Influenza-Positive N = 254 (47.0%) | Influenza-Negative N = 286 (53.0%) | |||
Influenza season | ||||||
Season 2015–2016 | 40 (33.1) | 31 (38.3) | 0.057 a | 32 (12.6) | 60 (21.0) | 0.052 a |
Season 2016–2017 | 17 (14.0) | 21 (25.9) | 72 (28.3) | 83 (29.0) | ||
Season 2017–2018 | 38 (31.4) | 15 (18.5) | 83 (32.7) | 76 (26.6) | ||
Season 2018–2019 | 26 (21.5) | 14 (17.3) | 67 (26.4) | 67 (23.4) | ||
Male | 61 (50.4) | 40 (49.4) | 0.886 a | 108 (42.5) | 131 (45.8) | 0.443 a |
Urban | 84 (69.4) | 51 (75.3) | 0.362 a | 195 (76.8) | 237 (82.9) | 0.077 a |
Age (median, min; max) | 54.0 (19; 64) | 54.0 (21; 64) | 0.692 d | 77.0 (65; 96) | 76.0 (65; 92) | 0.274 d |
Education | ||||||
High (college, university) | 57 (47.9) | 34 (42.5) | 0.453 a | 59 (23.4) | 64 (22.4) | 0.775 a |
Low (primary, unfinished, secondary, professional) | 62 (52.1) | 46 (57.5) | 193 (76.6) | 222 (77.6) | ||
Occupation | ||||||
Intellectual or/and physical work | 62 (51.2) | 46 (56.8) | 0.438 a | 18 (7.1) | 15 (5.2) | 0.372 a |
Retired/handicapped/jobless | 59 (48.8) | 35 (43.2) | 236 (92.9) | 271 (94.8) | ||
Smoking | ||||||
Never | 50 (41.3) | 35 (43.2) | 0.512 a | 172 (68.0) | 185 (64.7) | 0.447 a |
Former | 31 (25.6) | 25 (30.9) | 60 (23.7) | 81 (28.3) | ||
Current | 40 (33.1) | 21 (25.9) | 21 (8.3) | 20 (7.0) | ||
Pregnant | 17 (14.0) | 4 (4.9) | 0.038 a | – | – | – |
Chronic condition (at least 1) | 109 (90.1) | 77 (95.1) | 0.199 a | 221 (87.0) | 269 (94.1) | 0.005 a |
At least one hospitalization due to exacerbation of underlying conditions in the previous 12 months | 22 (18.3) | 22 (27.2) | 0.138 a | 62 (24.6) | 123 (43.0) | <0.001 a |
Cardiovascular diseases | 37 (30.6) | 37 (45.7) | 0.029 a | 167 (65.7) | 223 (78.0) | 0.002 a |
Lung diseases | 29 (24.0) | 25 (30.9) | 0.278 a | 52 (20.5) | 87 (30.4) | 0.008 a |
Endocrine diseases, diabetes | 23 (19.0) | 17 (21.0) | 0.729 a | 46 (18.1) | 58 (20.3) | 0.523 a |
Renal diseases | 6 (5.0) | 2 (2.5) | 0.480 b | 27 (10.6) | 43 (15.0) | 0.128 a |
Immunodeficiency and transplantations | 12 (9.9) | 6 (7.4) | 0.539 a | 5 (2.0) | 2 (0.7) | 0.262 b |
Rheumatologic diseases | 6 (5.0) | 2 (2.5) | 0.480 b | 8 (3.1) | 9 (3.1) | 0.999 a |
Dementia, stroke | 4 (3.3) | 9 (11.1) | 0.027 a | 63 (24.8) | 81 (28.3) | 0.356 a |
Hematologic cancer | 7 (5.8) | 1 (1.2) | 0.148 b | 7 (2.8) | 9 (3.1) | 0.789 a |
Non-hematologic cancer | 14 (11.6) | 7 (8.6) | 0.504 a | 36 (14.2) | 39 (13.6) | 0.857 a |
Anemia, spleen pathology | 12 (9.9) | 6 (7.4) | 0.539 a | 15 (5.9) | 29 (10.1) | 0.073 a |
Cirrhosis | 2 (1.7) | 4 (4.9) | 0.221 b | 5 (2.0) | 2 (0.7) | 0.262 b |
Nutritional deficiency | 4 (3.3) | 0 (0.0) | 0.151 b | 6 (2.4) | 17 (5.9) | 0.040 a |
Obesity | 38 (31.4) | 37 (45.7) | 0.040 a | 80 (31.5) | 87 (30.4) | 0.787 a |
BMI (median, min; max) | 26.3 (17.3; 51.7) | 29.2 (18.7; 45.2) | 0.020 d | 27.4 (17.3; 43.0) | 27.8 (15.9; 50.0) | 0.468 d |
Any antiviral use | 114 (94.2) | 48 (59.3) | <0.001 a | 204 (80.3) | 108 (37.8) | <0.001 a |
Statin use | 8 (12.5) | 2 (6.9) | 0.419 a | 18 (12.0) | 13 (9.0) | 0.418 a |
Other respiratory virus detected | 5 (4.1) | 14 (17.7) | 0.001 a | 6 (2.4) | 56 (19.6) | <0.001 a |
SIV in current season | 4 (3.3) | 9 (11.1) | 0.027 a | 26 (10.2) | 42 (14.7) | 0.120 a |
SIV in previous season | 2 (1.7) | 8 (10.1) | 0.008 a | 20 (7.9) | 30 (10.5) | 0.309 a |
Transfer to the intensive-care unit | 10 (8.3) | 2 (2.5) | 0.088 a | 13 (5.1) | 10 (3.5) | 0.352 a |
Length of hospitalization (mean, SD) | 6.5 (5.0) | 6.7 (3.2) | 0.721 c | 7.7 (3.9) | 9.8 (5.1) | <0.001 c |
Barthel score before the SARI hospitalization (mean, SD) | 99.8 (1.6) | 96.3 (15.6) | 0.051 c | 94.3 (17.1) | 92.7 (16.4) | 0.267 c |
Days between the SARI onset and swab (median, min; max) | 4.0 (0; 7) | 4.0 (0; 7) | 0.910 d | 4.0 (0; 7) | 4.0 (0; 7) | 0.126 d |
Days between antivirals use and swab | ||||||
0 days | 36 (31.6) | 13 (27.1) | 0.191 a | 64 (31.4) | 26 (24.1) | 0.180 a |
1 day | 61 (53.5) | 22 (45.8) | 111 (54.4) | 59 (54.6) | ||
2 and more days | 17 (14.9) | 13 (27.1) | 29 (14.2) | 23 (21.3) | ||
Deaths | 4 (3.3) | 0 (0.0) | 0.151 b | 4 (1.6) | 7 (2.4) | 0.474 a |
Influenza-Positive | Influenza-Negative | Unadjusted SIVE% (95% CI) | p-Value of the Unadjusted Model | Adjusted SIVE% (95% CI) | p-Value of the Adjusted Model | R Square of the Adjusted Model | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vaccinated/Total (%) | Vaccinated/Total (%) | ||||||
Any influenza | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 4/121 (3.3) | 9/81 (11.1) | 72.7 (7.9 to 91.9) | 0.036 | 71.9 a (−1.9 to 92.2) | 0.053 | 0.090 |
Age ≥ 65 years | 26/254 (10.2) | 42/286 (14.7) | 33.8 (−11.6 to 60.7) | 0.122 | 26.9 b (−24.4 to 57.0) | 0.249 | 0.043 |
Influenza A | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 3/83 (3.6) | 9/81 (11.1) | 70.0 (−15.1 to 92.2) | 0.079 | 78.0 c (1.7 to 95.1) | 0.047 | 0.150 |
Age ≥ 65 years | 23/173 (13.3) | 42/286 (14.7) | 10.9 (−54.0 to 48.5) | 0.679 | 22.6 d (−36.5 to 56.1) | 0.376 | 0.127 |
Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 1/51 (2.0) | 9/81 (11.1) | 84.0 (−30.3 to 98.0) | 0.087 | 88.6 e (−47.4 to 99.1) | 0.096 | 0.141 |
Age ≥ 65 years | 3/34 (8.8) | 42/286 (14.7) | 43.8 (−92.2 to 83.6) | 0.359 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Influenza A(H3N2) | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 2/31 (6.5) | 9/81 (11.1) | 44.8 (−171.0 to 88.8) | 0.464 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Age ≥ 65 years | 17/121 (14.0) | 42/286 (14.7) | 5.0 (−74.5 to 48.3) | 0.868 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Influenza B | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 1/38 (2.6) | 9/81 (11.1) | 78.4 (−77.2 to 97.4) | 0.216 | 74.1 f (−146.8 to 97.3) | 0.240 | 0.250 |
Age ≥ 65 years | 3/82 (3.7) | 42/286 (14.7) | 77.9 (26.9 to 93.4) | 0.013 | 75.3 g (12.2 to 93.1) | 0.030 | 0.116 |
Influenza B/Yamagata | |||||||
Age 18–64 years | 1/31 (3.2) | 9/81 (11.1) | 73.3 (−119.8 to 96.8) | 0.219 | 76.8 h (−109.9 to 97.4) | 0.194 | 0.183 |
Age ≥ 65 years | 3/71 (4.2) | 42/286 (14.7) | 74.4 (14.8 to 92.3) | 0.026 | 73.1 i (3.2 to 92.5) | 0.044 | 0.093 |
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Kuliese, M.; Mickiene, A.; Jancoriene, L.; Zablockiene, B.; Gefenaite, G.; Study Group. Age-Specific Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness against Different Influenza Subtypes in the Hospitalized Population in Lithuania during the 2015–2019 Influenza Seasons. Vaccines 2021, 9, 455. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9050455
Kuliese M, Mickiene A, Jancoriene L, Zablockiene B, Gefenaite G, Study Group. Age-Specific Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness against Different Influenza Subtypes in the Hospitalized Population in Lithuania during the 2015–2019 Influenza Seasons. Vaccines. 2021; 9(5):455. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9050455
Chicago/Turabian StyleKuliese, Monika, Aukse Mickiene, Ligita Jancoriene, Birute Zablockiene, Giedre Gefenaite, and Study Group. 2021. "Age-Specific Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness against Different Influenza Subtypes in the Hospitalized Population in Lithuania during the 2015–2019 Influenza Seasons" Vaccines 9, no. 5: 455. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9050455
APA StyleKuliese, M., Mickiene, A., Jancoriene, L., Zablockiene, B., Gefenaite, G., & Study Group. (2021). Age-Specific Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness against Different Influenza Subtypes in the Hospitalized Population in Lithuania during the 2015–2019 Influenza Seasons. Vaccines, 9(5), 455. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9050455