Elevated Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 as the Independent Risk Factor of Delirium after Cardiac Surgery. A Prospective Cohort Study
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Overview
2.2. Preoperative Psychiatric and Psychological Procedures
2.3. Anesthesia and Surgery
2.4. Measurement of Serum MCP-1 and hsCRP Concentration
2.5. Delirium Diagnosis
2.6. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Basic Findings
3.2. Variables Associated with Delirium according to Univariate and Multivariable Analysis
- According to univariate analysis, the individuals with raised pre-, and postoperative hsCRP, and preoperative MCP-1 levels were at higher risk of postoperative delirium compared to patients with lower hsCRP and MCP-1 concentrations (Table 2). Interestingly, after controlling for variables significant in univariate comparisons, only individuals with an MCP-1 level increased before surgery remained at increased risk of postoperative delirium development (Table 4). Other factors independently associated with delirium included: age, gender female, MDD diagnosis, peripheral vascular disease diagnosis, and the presence of extracorporeal circulation (Table 4).
- The most optimal cut-off for preoperative MCP-1 concentration in predicting the development of delirium was 371.81 ng/mL with sensitivity of 77.0% and specificity of 58.6%.
3.3. Correlations between MCP-1 Concentration, Demographic and Perioperative Variables
- Patients aged 65 and more who developed delirium after surgery had significantly higher baseline MCP-1 concentrations compared to younger, non-delirious subjects (466.66 ng/mL; IQR: 371.81–554.67 vs. 326.96 ng/mL; IQR: 263.01–408.31, p = 0.008).
- Preoperative MCP-1 level was also increased in individuals with a diagnosis of anxiety disorders who developed postoperative delirium compared to patients without anxiety disorders and without postoperative delirium (546.65 ng/mL; IQR: 450.45–598.58 vs. 352.44 ng/mL; IQR: 288.13–448.81, p = 0.05).
- Moreover, a nonparametric analysis of variance of aligned rank transformed data (ART) showed significant interaction for gender female and delirium with regard to the postoperative MCP-1 concentration (partial eta-squared = 0.023; p = 0.046). According to the post hoc pairwise comparisons, median postoperative MCP-1 concentration was increased among women who developed delirium compared to non-delirium women (678.46 ng/mL; IQR: 408.64–816.40 vs. 366.54 ng/mL; IQR: 273.18–520.03, p = 0.002), whereas there were no MCP-1 differences between men with and without delirium (p = 0.207).
- Furthermore, positive correlations between more advanced age, prolonged intubation time, and MCP-1 concentrations were observed (Table 5).
- According to the ART analysis, there were no significant differences in pre- and postoperative MCP-1 levels between patients with depression (p = 0.33; p = 0.85, respectively), cognitive impairment (p = 025; p = 022, respectively), undergoing CABG plus CVR surgery (p = 0.90 for postoperative MCP-1), and surgery with ECC (p = 0.38 for postoperative MCP-1) compared to patients without depression, without cognitive impairment, and CABG only and on-pump surgery. Furthermore, there were no significant correlations between MCP-1 concentrations and MMSE score, CDT score, surgery time and aortic cross-clamping, as well as pre- and postoperative hsCRP levels (Table 5).
4. Discussion
Study Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Non-Delirious a (n = 116) | Delirious a (n = 61) | Effect Size b | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years) | 66 (61–69) | 70 (66–72) | −0.340 | <0.001 * |
Gender female | 15 (13.0%) | 24 (39.0%) | 0.303 | <0.001 * |
Peripheral vascular disease | 13 (11.2%) | 17 (27.9%) | 0.211 | 0.005 * |
Arterial hypertension | 89 (76.7%) | 56 (91.8%) | 0.186 | 0.013 * |
NYHA | 2 (2–2) | 2 (2–3) | −0.175 | 0.029 * |
Atrial fibrillation | 10 (8.6%) | 12 (19.7%) | 0.159 | 0.034 * |
Diabetes | 35 (30.0%) | 26 (42.6%) | 0.125 | 0.098 * |
Creatinine concentration (mcmol/L) | 83.7 (75.4–98.3) | 88 (68.1–104.8) | −0.028 | 0.758 |
Anemia c | 16 (13.8%) | 11 (18.0%) | 0.056 | 0.456 |
Cerebrovascular disease | 12 (10.3%) | 9 (14.7%) | 0.065 | 0.464 |
COPD | 6 (5%) | 5 (8.25) | 0.060 | 0.516 |
CCS | 2 (2–3) | 2 (2–3) | 0.115 | 0.503 |
Variable | Non-Delirious a (n = 116) | Delirious a (n = 61) | Effect Size b | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
Depression | 9 (7.8%) | 24 (39.0%) | 0.385 | <0.001 * |
Anxiety disorders | 5 (4.3%) | 9 (14.7%) | 0.184 | 0.02 * |
Alcohol addiction c | 8 (6.9%) | 5 (8.2%) | 0.024 | 0.768 |
MMSE score | 28 (26–29) | 28 (26–29) | 0.130 | 0.149 |
CDT score | 7 (5–7) | 6 (5–7) | 0.066 | 0.458 |
Preoperative MCP-1 (ng/mL) | 353.4 (290.7–446.0) 400.3 (114.6–1416.4) d | 458.4 (374.1–554.7) 483.5 (174.33–987.6) d | −0.404 | <0.001 * |
Postoperative MCP-1 (ng/mL) | 486.9 (359.8–712.1) 671.2 (202.0–2069.3) d | 598.9 (386.1–765.5) 712.5 (154.0–10688.1) d | −0.129 | 0.16 |
Preoperative hsCRP (mcg/mL) | 2.97 (0.94–7.57) 9.92 (0.04–151.5) d | 7.6 (2.2–12.0) 10.7 (0.08–102.7) d | −0.302 | 0.001 * |
Postoperative hsCRP (mcg/mL) | 151.6 (93.9–207.2) 177.3 (9.5–2116.1) d | 212.88 (124.6–277.6) 266 (30.4–4009.6) d | −0.322 | <0.001 * |
Variable | Non-Delirious a (n = 116) | Delirious a (n = 61) | Effect Size b | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
CABG with valve surgery | 8 (6.9%) | 9 (14.75%) | 0.127 | 0.092 * |
ECC | 81 (69.8%) | 52 (85%) | 0.170 | 0.024 * |
Hyperthermia d | 9 (7.8%) | 10 (16.4%) | 0.133 | 0.078 * |
Aortic cross-clamping c (min.) | 40 (30–55) | 43 (30–70) | −0.114 | 0.270 |
Duration of surgery (h) | 4.0 (3–4.5) | 4.0 (4–4.5) | −0.085 | 0.350 |
Circulatory support c | 2 (1.70%) | 1 (1.6%) | 0.003 | 0.97 |
Corticosteroids use c | 0 (0%) | 1 (1.6%) | 0.104 | 0.345 |
pCO2 ≥ 45 d (mmHg) | 24 (20.7%) | 18 (29.5%) | 0.099 | 0.19 |
pO2 ≤ 60 d (mmHg) | 18 (15.5%) | 13 (21.3%) | 0.072 | 0.33 |
Variables | Coefficient | Standard Error | OR (95% CI) | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
MCP-1 b | 0.002 | 0.001 | 1.002 (1.000–1.004) | 0.050 |
Depression b | 2.360 | 0.518 | 10.59 (3.835–29.238) | 0.000 |
Gender female | 1.779 | 0.465 | 5.992 (2.380–14.735) | 0.000 |
Age | 0.085 | 0.033 | 1.089 (1.021–1.161) | 0.010 |
ECC | 1.253 | 0.539 | 3.5 (1.217–10.072) | 0.020 |
Peripheral vascular disease b | 1.248 | 0.503 | 3.483 (1.300–9.331) | 0.013 |
Preoperative hsCRP c | 0.015 | 0.009 | 1.015 (0.998–1.032) | 0.094 |
Postoperative hsCRP c | 0.001 | 0.001 | 1.001 (0.999–1.003) | 0.340 |
Constant | −9.435 | 2.336 | - | 0.000 |
Variables | Spearman’s Rank Correlation | p |
---|---|---|
Preop-MCP-1 and age | 0.192 | 0.01 * |
Postop-MCP-1 and age | 0.059 | 0.43 |
Preop-MCP-1 and MMSE score | −0.029 | 0.69 |
Postop-MCP-1 and MMSE score | −0.080 | 0.28 |
Preop-MCP-1 and CDT score | −0.062 | 0.41 |
Postop-MCP-1 and CDT score | −0.092 | 0.22 |
Postop-MCP-1 and surgery time | 0.039 | 0.60 |
Postop-MCP-1 and aortic cross-clamping time | 0.124 | 0.15 |
Preop-MCP-1 and intubation time | 0.279 | 0.0002 * |
Postop-MCP-1 and intubation time | 0.148 | 0.048 * |
Preop-MCP-1 and preop-hsCRP | 0.11 | 0.13 |
Postop-MCP-1 and postop-hsCRP | 0.03 | 0.66 |
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Kaźmierski, J.; Miler, P.; Pawlak, A.; Jerczyńska, H.; Woźniak, J.; Frankowska, E.; Brzezińska, A.; Woźniak, K.; Krejca, M.; Wilczyński, M. Elevated Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 as the Independent Risk Factor of Delirium after Cardiac Surgery. A Prospective Cohort Study. J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, 1587. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10081587
Kaźmierski J, Miler P, Pawlak A, Jerczyńska H, Woźniak J, Frankowska E, Brzezińska A, Woźniak K, Krejca M, Wilczyński M. Elevated Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 as the Independent Risk Factor of Delirium after Cardiac Surgery. A Prospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2021; 10(8):1587. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10081587
Chicago/Turabian StyleKaźmierski, Jakub, Piotr Miler, Agnieszka Pawlak, Hanna Jerczyńska, Joanna Woźniak, Emilia Frankowska, Agnieszka Brzezińska, Katarzyna Woźniak, Michał Krejca, and Mirosław Wilczyński. 2021. "Elevated Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 as the Independent Risk Factor of Delirium after Cardiac Surgery. A Prospective Cohort Study" Journal of Clinical Medicine 10, no. 8: 1587. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10081587
APA StyleKaźmierski, J., Miler, P., Pawlak, A., Jerczyńska, H., Woźniak, J., Frankowska, E., Brzezińska, A., Woźniak, K., Krejca, M., & Wilczyński, M. (2021). Elevated Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 as the Independent Risk Factor of Delirium after Cardiac Surgery. A Prospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 10(8), 1587. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10081587