CHADS2, CHA2DS2ASc, and New ABCD Scores Predict the Risk of Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients with Sleep Apnea
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data Sources
2.2. Study Population
2.3. Study Outcome
2.4. Criteria and Definitions of Variables
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Study Population
3.2. Similar PAD Risks in SA Patients and Control Subjects
3.3. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2ASc Scores Predicts PAD Risks in SA Patients
3.4. New Scoring System Predicting PAD Risks in SA Patients
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Study Arm PM-A | Study Arm PM-B | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PM-Suspected SA | Control A-PM | p-Value | PM-Probable SA | Control B-PM | p-Value | |
n | 7985 | 31,940 | 3164 | 12,656 | ||
Sex, n (%) | ||||||
Female | 2837 (36%) | 11,348 (36%) | 637 (20%) | 2548 (20%) | ||
Male | 5148 (64%) | 20,592 (64%) | 2527 (80%) | 10,108 (80%) | ||
Age (year), mean ± SD | 44.5 ± 13.3 | 44.5 ± 13.3 | >0.99 | 44.7 ± 11.9 | 44.7 ± 11.8 | >0.99 |
Age (year), n (%) | >0.99 | >0.99 | ||||
≤40 | 3258 (41%) | 13,013 (41%) | 1203 (38%) | 4804 (38%) | ||
40 < age ≤ 50 | 2143 (27%) | 8588 (27%) | 958 (30%) | 3842 (30%) | ||
>50 | 2584 (32%) | 10,339 (32%) | 1003 (32%) | 4010 (32%) | ||
Residency | 0.5303 | 0.585 | ||||
Northern Taiwan | 3647 (46%) | 14,713 (46%) | 1345 (43%) | 5448 (43%) | ||
Other areas | 4338 (54%) | 17,227 (54%) | 1819 (57%) | 7208 (57%) | ||
Monthly income (NT$), n (%) | 0.9639 | 0.9427 | ||||
≤24,000 | 4342 (54%) | 17,359 (54%) | 1427 (45%) | 5699 (45%) | ||
>24,000 | 3643 (46%) | 14,581 (46%) | 1737 (55%) | 6957 (55%) | ||
CCI score, mean ± SD | 0.7 ± 0.9 | 0.7 ± 0.9 | >0.99 | 0.7 ± 0.9 | 0.7 ± 0.9 | >0.99 |
CCI score, n (%) | >0.99 | >0.99 | ||||
= 0 | 4199 (53%) | 16,796 (53%) | 1580 (50%) | 6320 (50%) | ||
= 1 | 2499 (31%) | 9996 (31%) | 1037 (33%) | 4148 (33%) | ||
≥ 2 | 1287 (16%) | 5148 (16%) | 547 (17%) | 2188 (17%) | ||
Underlying diseases, n (%) | ||||||
Heart disease | 12 (0%) | 48 (0%) | >0.99 | 7 (0%) | 28 (0%) | >0.99 |
Myocardial infarction | 3 (0%) | 24 (0%) | 0.2481 | 1 (0%) | 17 (0%) | 0.1253 |
Congestive heart failure | 9 (0%) | 24 (0%) | 0.2961 | 6 (0%) | 11 (0%) | 0.1147 |
Peripheral vascular disease | 0 (%) | 0 (%) | 0.2961 | 0 (%) | 0 (%) | 0.1147 |
Major neurological disorder | 190 (2%) | 760 (2%) | >0.99 | 76 (2%) | 304 (2%) | >0.99 |
Cerebral vascular disease | 190 (2%) | 757 (2%) | 0.9607 | 76 (2%) | 304 (2%) | >0.99 |
Dementia | 0 (0%) | 3 (0%) | 0.3865 | 0 (%) | 0 (%) | >0.99 |
Hemiplegia | 1 (0%) | 4 (0%) | >0.99 | 1 (0%) | 4 (0%) | >0.99 |
Chronic pulmonary disease | 1519 (19%) | 6076 (19%) | >0.99 | 657 (21%) | 2628 (21%) | >0.99 |
Connective tissue disease | 12 (0%) | 48 (0%) | >0.99 | 3 (0%) | 12 (0%) | >0.99 |
Peptic ulcer disease | 1903 (24%) | 7612 (24%) | >0.99 | 770 (24%) | 3080 (24%) | >0.99 |
Liver disease | 1189 (15%) | 4756 (15%) | >0.99 | 530 (17%) | 2120 (17%) | >0.99 |
Diabetes mellitus | 345 (4%) | 1380 (4%) | >0.99 | 151 (5%) | 604 (5%) | >0.99 |
Renal disease | 23 (0%) | 92 (0%) | >0.99 | 7 (0%) | 28 (0%) | >0.99 |
Cancer | 72 (1%) | 286 (1%) | 0.9577 | 26 (1%) | 104 (1%) | >0.99 |
Suspected SA | Probable SA | Proposed ABCD Score | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maximal Model | Reduced Model † | Maximal Model | Reduced Model † | ||||||
HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | ||
Male (vs. female) | 1.00 (0.77–1.30) | 0.9909 | 1.07 (0.62–1.86) | 0.7985 | |||||
Age (year) (vs. ≤ 50): | |||||||||
50 < age ≤ 65 | 2.07 (1.45–2.96) | <0.0001 | 2.25 (1.59–3.20) | <0.0001 | 2.09 (1.16–3.77) | 0.0142 | 2.60 (1.52–4.48) | 0.0005 | 1 |
>65 | 3.13 (2.07–4.74) | <0.0001 | 3.95 (2.70–5.79) | <0.0001 | 4.08 (1.93–8.62) | 0.0002 | 7.17 (4.07–12.63) | <0.0001 | 2 |
Residency in Northern Taiwan (vs. other areas) | 0.80 (0.62–1.04) | 0.0950 | 0.80 (0.51–1.26) | 0.3356 | |||||
Monthly income (NT$) > 24,000 (≤24,000) | 0.74 (0.53–1.02) | 0.0660 | 0.83 (0.49–1.40) | 0.4757 | |||||
Underlying diseases (with vs. without): | |||||||||
Hypertension | 1.62 (1.18–2.22) | 0.0029 | 1.70 (1.24–2.32) | 0.0009 | 1.18 (0.68–2.02) | 0.5584 | 1 | ||
Myocardial infarction | 1.28 (0.62–2.63) | 0.5027 | 1.10 (0.26–4.63) | 0.8991 | |||||
Congestive heart failure | 0.84 (0.52–1.36) | 0.4794 | 1.10 (0.48–2.53) | 0.8252 | |||||
Cerebral vascular disease | 1.52 (1.10–2.11) | 0.0123 | 1.61 (1.17–2.21) | 0.0031 | 1.44 (0.79–2.65) | 0.2372 | 1 | ||
Dementia | 1.20 (0.55–2.62) | 0.6415 | 2.27 (0.77–6.71) | 0.1382 | |||||
Hemiplegia | 0.87 (0.35–2.17) | 0.7655 | 1.56 (0.45–5.44) | 0.4849 | |||||
Chronic pulmonary disease | 1.39 (1.05–1.84) | 0.0214 | 1.04 (0.63–1.72) | 0.8743 | |||||
Connective tissue disease | 1.42 (0.72–2.78) | 0.3110 | 1.04 (0.25–4.29) | 0.9612 | |||||
Peptic ulcer disease | 1.24 (0.94–1.63) | 0.1358 | 1.22 (0.75–1.99) | 0.4271 | |||||
Liver disease | 0.89 (0.65–1.21) | 0.4495 | 0.86 (0.49–1.48) | 0.5811 | |||||
Diabetes mellitus | 1.74 (1.28–2.36) | 0.0003 | 1.74 (1.29–2.34) | 0.0003 | 1.69 (0.98–2.94) | 0.0608 | 1 | ||
Renal disease | 1.35 (0.88–2.08) | 0.1742 | 1.36 (0.63-2.93) | 0.4376 | |||||
Cancer | 1.00 (0.77–1.30) | 0.9909 | ‡ | 0.9766 |
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Study Arm A | Study Arm B | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suspected SA | Control A | p-Value | Probable SA | Control B | p-Value | |
n | 10,702 | 214,040 | 4242 | 84,840 | ||
Sex, n (%) | ||||||
Female | 3967 (37%) | 79,340 (37%) | 932 (22%) | 18,640 (22%) | ||
Male | 6735 (63%) | 134,700 (63%) | 3310 (78%) | 66,200 (78%) | ||
Age (year), mean ± SD | 47.6 ± 14.8 | 47.6 ± 14.8 | >0.99 | 47.5 ± 13.2 | 47.5 ± 13.2 | >0.99 |
Age (year), n (%) | >0.99 | >0.99 | ||||
≤40 | 3668 (34%) | 73,360 (34%) | 1348 (32%) | 26,960 (32%) | ||
40 < age ≤ 50 | 2669 (25%) | 53,380 (25%) | 1190 (28%) | 23,800 (28%) | ||
>50 | 4365 (41%) | 87,300 (41%) | 1704 (40%) | 34,080 (40%) | ||
Residency | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
Northern Taiwan | 4912 (46%) | 106,227 (50%) | 1825 (43%) | 41,908 (49%) | ||
Other areas | 5790 (54%) | 107,813 (50%) | 2417 (57%) | 42,932 (51%) | ||
Monthly income (NT$), n (%) | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
≤24,000 | 6140 (57%) | 135,967 (64%) | 2065 (49%) | 50,746 (60%) | ||
>24,000 | 4562 (43%) | 78,073 (36%) | 2177 (51%) | 34,094 (40%) | ||
CCI score, mean ± SD | 1.5 ± 1.9 | 0.9 ± 1.6 | <0.0001 | 1.5 ± 1.8 | 0.9 ± 1.5 | <0.0001 |
CCI score, n (%) | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
= 0 | 4203 (39%) | 124,704 (58%) | 1581 (37%) | 49,278 (58%) | ||
= 1 | 2723 (25%) | 43,992 (21%) | 1121 (26%) | 17,941 (21%) | ||
≥2 | 3776 (35%) | 45,344 (21%) | 1540 (36%) | 17,621 (21%) | ||
Underlying diseases, n (%) | ||||||
Heart disease | 519 (5%) | 5293 (2%) | <0.0001 | 211 (5%) | 1819 (2%) | <0.0001 |
Myocardial infarction | 138 (1%) | 1552 (1%) | <0.0001 | 63 (1%) | 613 (1%) | <0.0001 |
Congestive heart failure | 416 (4%) | 4206 (2%) | <0.0001 | 165 (4%) | 1371 (2%) | <0.0001 |
Peripheral vascular disease | 57 (1%) | 668 (0%) | <0.0001 | 21 (0%) | 279 (0%) | 0.0682 |
Major neurological disorder | 1148 (11%) | 13,217 (6%) | <0.0001 | 496 (12%) | 4661 (5%) | <0.0001 |
Cerebral vascular disease | 1087 (10%) | 12,379 (6%) | <0.0001 | 474 (11%) | 4404 (5%) | <0.0001 |
Dementia | 118 (1%) | 1570 (1%) | <0.0001 | 46 (1%) | 423 (0%) | <0.0001 |
Hemiplegia | 89 (1%) | 1590 (1%) | 0.2980 | 35 (1%) | 619 (1%) | 0.4772 |
Chronic pulmonary disease | 2956 (28%) | 33,877 (16%) | <0.0001 | 1237 (29%) | 12,803 (15%) | <0.0001 |
Connective tissue disease | 233 (2%) | 2656 (1%) | <0.0001 | 82 (2%) | 907 (1%) | <0.0001 |
Peptic ulcer disease | 3387 (32%) | 41,937 (20%) | <0.0001 | 1354 (32%) | 16,613 (20%) | <0.0001 |
Liver disease | 2302 (22%) | 26,786 (13%) | <0.0001 | 1003 (24%) | 11,462 (14%) | <0.0001 |
Diabetes mellitus | 1387 (13%) | 20,632 (10%) | <0.0001 | 584 (14%) | 8118 (10%) | <0.0001 |
Renal disease | 451 (4%) | 5501 (3%) | <0.0001 | 192 (5%) | 2079 (2%) | <0.0001 |
Cancer | 578 (5%) | 7524 (4%) | <0.0001 | 191 (5%) | 2828 (3%) | <0.0001 |
Study arm A Suspected SA | Study arm B Probable SA | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | |
All patients | 0.1093 | 0.81 (0.65–1.03) | 0.90 (0.79–1.02) | 0.0838 |
Stratified analyses | ||||
Female | 0.96 (0.78–1.18) | 0.6916 | 0.90 (0.56–1.45) | 0.6602 |
Male | 0.85 (0.72–1.01) | 0.0695 | 0.79 (0.61–1.04) | 0.0880 |
Age ≤ 50 | 0.84 (0.65–1.08) | 0.1804 | 0.81 (0.54–1.23) | 0.3246 |
Age > 50 | 0.89 (0.77–1.04) | 0.1598 | 0.81 (0.61–1.07) | 0.1337 |
Score | Suspected SA | Probable SA | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | |
CHADS2 | ||||
0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
1–2 | 3.18 (2.32–4.36) | <0.0001 | 1.90 (1.12–3.23) | 0.0179 |
≥ 3 | 7.68 (5.47–10.77) | <0.0001 | 4.76 (2.68–8.45) | <0.0001 |
CHA2DS2ASc | ||||
0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
1-2 | 2.83 (1.83–4.37) | <0.0001 | 2.27 (1.21–4.28) | 0.0108 |
3-5 | 9.95 (6.45–15.35) | <0.0001 | 6.56 (3.45–12.48) | <0.0001 |
≥6 | 13.76 (7.60–24.92) | <0.0001 | 9.37 (3.07–28.57) | <0.0001 |
Score | Suspected SA | Probable SA | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95%CI) | p-Value | HR (95%CI) | p-Value | |
ABCD | ||||
0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
1 | 1.11 (0.76–1.61) | 0.6027 | 1.69 (0.77–3.69) | 0.1927 |
2 | 2.07 (1.46–2.94) | <0.0001 | 3.46 (1.68–7.13) | 0.0008 |
≥3 | 3.93 (2.83–5.47) | <0.0001 | 8.57 (4.52–16.24) | <0.0001 |
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Wu, K.-L.; Kuo, C.-Y.; Tsai, Y.-C.; Hung, J.-Y.; Sheu, C.-C.; Yang, C.-J.; Hsu, C.-Y.; Wu, M.-N.; Tsai, M.-J. CHADS2, CHA2DS2ASc, and New ABCD Scores Predict the Risk of Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients with Sleep Apnea. J. Clin. Med. 2019, 8, 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm8020188
Wu K-L, Kuo C-Y, Tsai Y-C, Hung J-Y, Sheu C-C, Yang C-J, Hsu C-Y, Wu M-N, Tsai M-J. CHADS2, CHA2DS2ASc, and New ABCD Scores Predict the Risk of Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients with Sleep Apnea. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2019; 8(2):188. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm8020188
Chicago/Turabian StyleWu, Kuan-Li, Chia-Yu Kuo, Yu-Chen Tsai, Jen-Yu Hung, Chau-Chyun Sheu, Chih-Jen Yang, Chung-Yao Hsu, Meng-Ni Wu, and Ming-Ju Tsai. 2019. "CHADS2, CHA2DS2ASc, and New ABCD Scores Predict the Risk of Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients with Sleep Apnea" Journal of Clinical Medicine 8, no. 2: 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm8020188
APA StyleWu, K. -L., Kuo, C. -Y., Tsai, Y. -C., Hung, J. -Y., Sheu, C. -C., Yang, C. -J., Hsu, C. -Y., Wu, M. -N., & Tsai, M. -J. (2019). CHADS2, CHA2DS2ASc, and New ABCD Scores Predict the Risk of Peripheral Arterial Disease in Patients with Sleep Apnea. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 8(2), 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm8020188