Analysis of the Correlation between Mass-Media Publication Activity and COVID-19 Epidemiological Situation in Early 2022
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Related Works
2.1. AI for Healthcare System Analysis
2.2. NLP and Topic Modeling for Healthcare System Analysis
3. Methods
- 1.
- Create a corpus of documents using an automatic data collection system;
- 2.
- Make a hierarchical thematic model using the methods described in [27];
- 3.
- Calculate correlations between groups of dynamic media indicators and objective epidemiological indicators.
3.1. Corpus of Documents
3.2. Preprocessing
3.3. The Creation of a Hierarchical Thematic Model
3.4. Correlation Analysis
3.5. Source Code
3.6. Threats to Validity
4. Results and Discussion
- Falsification, misinformation, anti-vaccination;
- Unemployment, poverty;
- Crisis, recession;
- Famine, hunger, people without shelter, poverty;
- Distance learning;
- Freelancing, distance working, brain drain;
- Crime, muggery, stealing, murder;
- Recession, credit, borrowing, microloans;
- Public health, clinics, problems, scandals in health sector;
- Vaccination, COVID-19 vaccines.
- Overall, the correlation in early 2022 between publication activity and epidemiological indicators fell compared to the first half of 2021. The maximum correlation in 2021 was as high as 0.8, whereas in 2022, it did not exceed 0.6–0.65.
- Compared to the previous study, the correlation with the search queries related to the coverage of the economic crisis, remote work, microcredit, etc., has increased. Particularly evident is the increase in the correlation with the Stringency index, especially in view of the recent abrupt changes in (removing of) quarantine restrictions. At the same time, the correlation with issues related to health care, vaccination, etc., has decreased. This may suggest that the public has become more concerned about pragmatic issues related to quarantine restrictions than health issues themselves.
- In general, the correlation with relative indicators, such as reproduction rate and tests per case, has increased. These indicators more objectively reflect the epidemiological situation, compared to absolute indicators (for example, the number of new cases without the number of tests is essentially a useless indicator). This is a positive indicator that the media has become more reflective to the epidemiological situation in the country compared to the initial period of the pandemic.
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Appendix B
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Yakunin, K.; Mukhamediev, R.I.; Yelis, M.; Kuchin, Y.; Symagulov, A.; Levashenko, V.; Zaitseva, E.; Aubakirov, M.; Yunicheva, N.; Muhamedijeva, E.; et al. Analysis of the Correlation between Mass-Media Publication Activity and COVID-19 Epidemiological Situation in Early 2022. Information 2022, 13, 434. https://doi.org/10.3390/info13090434
Yakunin K, Mukhamediev RI, Yelis M, Kuchin Y, Symagulov A, Levashenko V, Zaitseva E, Aubakirov M, Yunicheva N, Muhamedijeva E, et al. Analysis of the Correlation between Mass-Media Publication Activity and COVID-19 Epidemiological Situation in Early 2022. Information. 2022; 13(9):434. https://doi.org/10.3390/info13090434
Chicago/Turabian StyleYakunin, Kirill, Ravil I. Mukhamediev, Marina Yelis, Yan Kuchin, Adilkhan Symagulov, Vitaly Levashenko, Elena Zaitseva, Margulan Aubakirov, Nadiya Yunicheva, Elena Muhamedijeva, and et al. 2022. "Analysis of the Correlation between Mass-Media Publication Activity and COVID-19 Epidemiological Situation in Early 2022" Information 13, no. 9: 434. https://doi.org/10.3390/info13090434