1. Introduction
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) is undergoing a significant transformation in its transportation sector, driven by the ambitious goals of Vision 2030, which aims to diversify the economy and reduce its reliance on oil. The current transportation infrastructure in the KSA is predominantly car-centric, with a heavy reliance on private vehicle ownership [
1]. Private vehicles pose numerous challenges, including traffic congestion, environmental pollution, and the inefficiency of urban mobility [
2]. In the KSA, public transportation options are limited, particularly in cities outside of Riyadh, and this lack of alternatives contributes to a high dependency on private cars [
3]. Moreover, rapid urbanization and population growth are increasing the pressure on the current transportation infrastructure, leading to longer commute times and higher transportation costs [
4].
It has been anticipated that shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) can provide sustainable mobility and overcome the above challenges in metropolitan areas such as the KSA. It has been argued that SAVs can significantly reduce traffic congestion using high-quality sensors like Lidar and automatic technology systems [
5]. However, some studies have run simulations suggesting that SAVs can increase traffic congestion and platooning of vehicles. They can provide mobility to disabled persons, which was not possible before the invention of SAVs. Some previous studies suggest that SAVs would be first introduced as a mode of shared mobility and could be controlled by a fleet.
By providing a more efficient and cost-effective alternative to private car ownership, SAVs can help shift the cultural preference towards shared mobility, which is essential for the long-term sustainability of cities in the KSA. In addition, SAVs can enhance accessibility and mobility for all consumers, especially those who are disabled or pregnant, in addition to all segments of the population, including elderly persons [
6]; they provide convenient transportation options, which a user would not need a driver’s license or vehicle ownership to access. As the KSA continues to modernize its transportation infrastructure, integrating SAVs rapidly will be crucial in building a more resilient, inclusive, and sustainable transportation system that supports broader long-term economic and mobility goals.
SAVs have emerged as a new and sophisticated shared mobility mode besides their traditional modes [
7], such as bike sharing, car sharing, on-demand ride services, and ride-sharing, which consumers can use collectively for their intercity trips [
8]. Shared mobility and autonomous vehicles (AVs) give rise to a new mode of service: shared autonomous mobility. The advent of autonomous vehicle technology (AVT) can expedite shared mobility services [
9], and with shared services, AVT can become financially feasible [
10]. If integrated with public transit, a sustainable transportation system with enhanced mobility and equity can be achieved [
11]. Since ridesharing services such as Kakao T., SOCAR, and Uber are notoriously used, the transportation sector is already ready to implement SAVs. Today’s dynamic ridesharing services resemble future SAV-based services, except that SAVs will be less expensive, more convenient, and more flexible [
12]. Particularly, SAV services can reposition themselves to balance demand–supply for vehicles, resulting in more accessible and convenient commuting modes [
12,
13]. The sharing economy is among the most significant benefits of transportation technology advancements [
14,
15]. The sharing economy has already revolutionized micro-mobility sharing through scooters, bicycles, and car sharing. Shared SAVs can radically reshape car ownership [
16]. SAVs can transform the automobile industry and the transportation of people and products in urban areas. In a mid-sized city, sharing techniques can lower CO
2 emissions by 17% or 19%, which is an instrumental factor for the effective deployment of SAVs, and it is anticipated that successful operation can help in ensuring reductions in energy consumption, travel costs, and traffic congestion [
17]. Stead and Vaddadi suggested that the implementation of shared mobility services will result in fewer automobile owners, alleviating the need for parking spaces [
18]. Consequently, SAVs are viewed as a transformative concept for urban road environments [
19], promoting more effective and sustainable transportation systems.
In addition, AVs can enhance public health and road safety, ensure safe and efficient maneuvers, reduce traffic congestion, reduce delays through minimizing the occurrence of less car crashes, increase positive environmental effects, improve fuel efficacy, etc. [
20]. Likewise, SAVs can supplement the public transportation system by enabling door-to-door services on less demanding routes [
6]. With such services, an added benefit occurs, as users can devote extra time to working or engaging in leisure activities of interest. However, it is still difficult to endorse these services, since they rely on users’ willingness to share their trips with other service users [
21]. Most of the previous studies have found that the uptake of SAVs, with their perceived advantages and usability, as well as the users’ preferences, safety concerns, commuter behaviors, and attitudes toward the potential adoption of SAVs, are the common influential factors [
22,
23]. The adoption of AVs/SAVs is also influenced by consumer intentions toward technology and SAVs’ functional and service attributes, such as travel cost, time, speed, and safety. So, many behavioral factors have a critical role in the adoption of AVs, making the behavioral drivers of SAV adoption a complex and interdisciplinary research topic.
Unfortunately, not all countries are equally committed to achieving the ambitious goals of autonomous transportation systems. On the other hand, South Korea stands out as a model at federal and local levels, showing dedication to the commercialization of autonomous driving. The nation’s Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport (MoLIT), in September 2022, unveiled its updated plan for the future of self-driving technologies that incorporated timelines for achieving commercialization targets, revising safety regulations and insurance policies, and establishing infrastructure and testing grounds for AVs and infrastructure [
24]. This announcement marks ongoing attempts to hasten the commercialization of AVs.
This study is among the first to investigate the barriers and policies for promoting SAVs, extend the existing literature and expanding knowledge in the context of the KSA.
Given that SAVs are still in the early stages of adoption, particularly in the transportation sector, this research contributes to advancing sustainable and innovative transportation practices.
The study introduces a novel method by integrating AHP and F-TOPSIS to prioritize the barriers and policies related to systematic SAV adoption.
Lastly, an implication-based method seamlessly integrates SAVs into the KSA’s transportation sector.
3. Research Methodology
A three-phase approach was employed in this study to rank the policies of SAV adoption to alleviate its barriers. FAHP is used to examine the weight of policies’ criteria, and the F-TOPSIS method is chosen to rank them. The FAHP approach addresses complex decision-making challenges while incorporating F-TOPSIS, which can improve decision making. Applying a fuzzy framework alongside these multi-criteria techniques helps eliminate uncertainty and ambiguity in decision making. The research framework for this study is illustrated in
Figure 1.
Phase I: Evaluation of SAV barriers and policies
In the initial phase of the method, a diverse expert group was gathered, comprising scholars in academia and professionals in industry. To engage this group, emails were sent to 35 potential experts, inviting them to participate in the study by filling out the questionnaire. This study did not consider non-professionals, as the analysis required specialized knowledge and expertise in transportation systems. Of those contacted, 12 experts responded positively and agreed to contribute, providing valuable insights and perspectives integral to the research process. These experts played a crucial role in evaluating the relevant barriers and developing strategies to address them. Previous studies revealed that the experts (sample size) could vary from study to study [
78]. Nevertheless, one study determined that the sample size should not be less than 2 in a multi-criteria decision-making analysis [
79]. However, our study’s sample size is acceptable because several previous studies used 5 to 10 experts for the multi-criteria decision-making analysis [
80,
81,
82]. Furthermore,
Table 3 shows the details of the participating experts, with extensive knowledge of SAVs. Later, barriers to SAV implementation were identified and assessed through a comprehensive review of the extant literature and in-depth discussions with the expert group. Likewise, policies to alleviate these barriers were identified from the literature and reviewed by other experts, including transportation specialists.
Phase II: Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP)
The AHP method introduced by [
83] is the quantitative approach of MCDM. The application of AHP has several drawbacks, including its reliance on a crisp environment, an unbalanced decision scale, susceptibility to uncertainty, and subjective decision making. To overcome these issues, the fuzzy method is integrated with AHP. In the FAHP method, uncertainty and imprecision are accomplished by incorporating decision-makers’ judgments using linguistic variables. This approach has been widely applied in various previous studies [
84]. This method can achieve more consistent results by utilizing pairwise comparisons within a matrix, employing triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs). The TFN scale used in this research is presented in
Table 4. The following are the main steps for FAHP [
85].
Definition 1.
If
1 =
and
2 =
represent two triangular fuzzy numbers, then the algebraic operations are as follows:
Applying FAHP
where
represents the goal set (
and
represents the triangular fuzzy numbers associated with each goal
. The goal set represents specific objectives or criteria for evaluation in the decision-making process.
The triangular fuzzy numbers are shown in
Table 4 The following steps describe the Da Yong Chang’s method [
86]:
Step 1. The fuzzy synthetic extent value (
) concerning
criterion is defined as,
where
denotes the lower value,
is identified as the medium value, and
is denoted as a maximum value.
Step 2. The degree of possibility of
=
=
is defined as
and are the fuzzy set, and are the membership function, indicating the degree to and belong to the respective sets, is the upper limit, and specifies the condition where is greater or equal to .
The values of
and
are represented on the axis of the membership function for each criterion, as defined by the following equation.
where
is the maximum connection point
and
. To combine
and
, we needed both.
Step 3. The degree of possibility for a convex fuzzy number
should be higher than
convex fuzzy numbers
and can be defined by
Suppose that = min V (.
For
; the weight vectors are denoted in the equation as,
Step 4. Once normalization is completed, the normalized weight vectors are shown in the equation:
The normalization procedure was achieved to ensure the weight vector is dimensionless and consistent. This allows the weights to represent proportional contributions of the criteria in the decision-making process. After normalization, the weights are summed to one, which aligns with standard multi-criteria analysis practices, ensuring the results are robust and interpretable.
Phase III: F-TOPSIS
The F-TOPSIS method was introduced in [
87]. This approach relies on the detailed elements of the negative ideal solution, demonstrating the longest distance and the further positive ideal solution (FPIS), indicating the closest distance. In this approach, individual choices are considered using crisp values. Nevertheless, this method efficiently addresses the inconsistency and uncertainty in crisp values. Due to the variation in a fuzzy environment, the approach implemented in this study is a more suitable method for resolving real-life complexities.
Table 5 shows the TFN scale based on linguistic variables. The subsequent steps outline the F-TOPSIS process.
Step 1.
Based on the criteria, the linguistic values were chosen for each variable. The linguistic values are shown in
Table 4, and the matrix for alternative in fuzzy form is established.
Step 2.
The aggregate for the solution is calculated based on various experts. If the fuzzy ranking of the
expert is
abN =
, where
, then the fuzzy aggregated and ranking
ab of policies giving to every criterion is denoted by
ab
, where
represents the decision value of creation derived by minimizing a function or set of values across .
denotes an average value, calculated as the mean of across .
represents a maximized value obtained from the set over .
Step 3.
Step 3 uses a linear scale transformation to normalize the data using a comparable scale. It is denoted by
, where
This indicates that the elements of the matrix are represented by , where is the row index, is the column index, is the number of rows, and is the number of columns.
where
denotes the normalized form of the element.
are the TFNs corresponding to the
row and
column of the decision matrix. The TFN consists of three values.
is the lower bond,
is the median bond, and
is the upper bond.
Step 4.
In step 4, establish the weighted normalized by
ij is the normalized value, is the weight, and is the weighted normalized values.
In step 5, the subsequent equation finds the fuzzy negative (FNIS) and FPIS.
Step 6.
In step 6, the calculation of each variable of FNIS and FPIS is found by the subsequent equation.
Step 7.
Step 7 uses Equation (27) to calculate each variable’s proximity coefficient.
Step 8.
Step 8 ranks the policies in descending order based on the closeness rating and utilization if .
5. Conclusions
Urban transportation systems stand to gain much from the deployment of SAVs, but essential barriers must be addressed. This study conducted a thorough analysis to pinpoint and rank the main barriers and regulations necessary for effectively applying SAVs. The study identified 24 crucial barriers that could prevent the broad implementation of SAVs, such as system dependability, cybersecurity, urban planning integration, high operating costs, etc., through a thorough literature analysis and the integration of expert perspectives.
To overcome these barriers and identify the most effective policies for promoting SAV adoption, this study employed a three-phase approach. First, we identified 6 barriers, 24 sub-barriers, and 16 policies from our literature review and expert opinions. Then, we applied the FAHP approach to assess the relative importance of these barriers. Lastly, we employed F-TOPSIS to rank the policies. The outcome of this study shows that insurance and liability, sensor and hardware limitations, cybersecurity, safety concerns, and market penetration are the critical barriers to SAVs adoption.
Furthermore, the findings show that government-backed investment, urban planning integration, and funding for R&D in sensor and hardware technologies are the top policies that should be implemented to overcome these barriers. These findings emphasize the importance of targeted policies that overcome the technical and infrastructural challenges of implementing SAVs. By focusing on system reliability, cybersecurity, and integrating SAVs into urban planning, along with robust government support and continued technological innovation, stakeholders can better navigate the complexities of SAV adoption. The insights from this study provide a roadmap for policymakers and industry leaders to facilitate a more sustainable and resilient urban transportation future.
These policies are important for guiding the adoption of strategic SAVs in urban transport systems. The findings highlight the need for a coordinated policy framework that prioritizes investments in system reliability and cybersecurity to ensure the safe and efficient operation of SAVs. In addition, integrating SAVs into urban planning is critical for developing infrastructure that supports their deployment. Policies should also focus on enhancing research and development in sensor and hardware technologies, which is essential for addressing technical barriers. Government-backed investment and innovative pricing strategies emerged as key enablers, emphasizing the importance of financial support and economic incentives to accelerate the transition to SAVs. By addressing these areas, urban planners and policymakers can create a favorable environment for SAV adoption, ultimately leading to more sustainable and connected urban mobility solutions.
This study does have certain limitations that should be acknowledged. Firstly, the expert opinions gathered were limited to a specific geographical region (focused on the KSA), which may affect the generalizability of the findings to other contexts. Secondly, the study’s focus on current technologies may not fully account for rapid advancements that could alter the relevance of the identified barriers and policies. Thirdly, the small sample size of experts is consistent with previous research studies employing multi-criteria decision-making analyses; we acknowledge that it may limit the generalizability of the findings and recommend validating the results with a more extensive and diverse sample in future research.
Future research could expand the geographical scope of this study and incorporate a broader range of technological scenarios to enhance the robustness of the findings. In addition, exploring the impact of social and behavioral factors on SAV adoption and conducting longitudinal studies to assess the effectiveness of the proposed policies over time would provide valuable insights for the ongoing development of SAV systems.