Complexity Theory: An Overview with Potential Applications for the Social Sciences
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Systems and Complexity Theories
2.1. System versus Systems
2.2. General Systems Theory
2.3. Distinguishing Boundaries of GST
2.3.1. Open versus Closed Systems
2.3.2. Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS)
2.4. Complexity Theory
Complexity science targets a sub-set of all systems; a sub-set which is abundant and is the basis of all novelty; a sub-set which is evidenced in biology, chemistry, physics, social, technical and economic domains; a sub-set which coevolves with its environment; a sub-set from which structure emerges. That is, self-organization occurs through the dynamics, interactions and feedbacks of heterogeneous components …. This sub-set of all systems is known as complex systems.[53] (p. 12)
2.5. Differentiating GST from Complexity Theory
2.5.1. The Principle of System Holism
2.5.2. Open and Closed Systems
2.5.3. Linear and Non-Linear Systems
2.5.4. Irreducibility
2.6. Complexity Theory for the Social Sciences
3. Addressing Complex Issues and Wicked Problems
3.1. Wicked Problems
3.2. Decision Making and the Cynefin Framework
4. New Directions for Social Systems Research
4.1. Incorporating More Non-Reductionistic Methods
Such assumptions include the premise that closed models are adequate for modeling processes occurring in open systems, that models can be universally applied and do not need to specify where and when they should be used, that a system is equal to the sum of its parts, that time is reversible, that causality is linear, that future outcomes–like the future itself–can be predicted, and that environments are relatively static and tend toward equilibrium.[80] (p. 103)
4.2. Network Analysis to Look for Relevant Nodes in a Network
4.3. New Complexity-Related Theories
5. Conclusions
Complexity is poised to help current and future leaders make sense of advanced technology, globalization, intricate markets, cultural change, and much more. In short, the science of complexity can help all of us address the challenges and opportunities we face in a new epoch of human history.[87] (p. Understanding Complexity)
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Source | CAS Definitions |
---|---|
[22] (p. 732) | Responsive processes among multiple agents. A complex adaptive system cannot be created or controlled by individual actors. But the system can be influenced, nurtured, and exploited by a group of actors. |
[23] (p. 213) | Made up of a large number of parts that interact in a nonsimple way. |
[24] (p. 963) | A system of individual agents, who have the freedom to act in ways that are not always totally predictable and whose actions are interconnected such that one agent’s actions change the context for other agents [25] (p. 2). |
[26] (p. 279) | Composed of interacting ‘agents’ following rules, exchanging influence with their local and global environments and altering the very environment they are responding to by virtue of their simple actions [27] (p. 17). |
[5] (p. 76) | Systems that exhibit the characteristics of complexity theory. |
[28] (p. 1246) | Self-organization and emergence are central features of complex adaptive systems. |
[29] (p. 413) | Aggregates of interacting subunits, or agents, which together produce complex and adaptive behavior patterns. |
[30] (p. 216) | Have the capability to learn and adapt to changes in their environments. |
[31] (p. 354) | Both emergent and intentional processes coexist and coevolve. |
[32] (pp. 321–322) | A network of many agents acting in parallel, where control is highly dispersed, where coherent behavior in the system arises from competition and co-operation among agents themselves, where there are many levels of organization, with agents at one level serving as the building blocks for agents at a higher level, where there is constant revising and rearranging of their building blocks as they gain experience, where the implicit or explicit assumptions about the environment are constantly tested by the agents [33] (p. 7). |
[34] (p. 691) | Heterogeneous elements that interrelate with each other and with their surroundings, and are unlimited in their capacity to adapt their behavior through experience. |
[35] (p. 408) | Agents are connected, interdependent, and have the potential to produce non-linear (i.e., extreme) outcomes. |
[1] (p. 334) | Complex systems—highly connected networks of semi-independent agents from which system wide patterns emerge—that can learn and adapt over time. |
[4] (p. 1550) | A diverse alignment of connected yet independent agents that focus on systems of many interdependent components with these agents having the ability to interact, adapt, or learn by creating models to anticipate the future, in which reality can be illuminated. |
[36] (p. 876) | Connective structures that exhibit re-entrant connections whereby energy is translated into structures that, in turn, can absorb more energy. This is aided by the absorption of information and the formation of knowledge structures that can be drawn upon in energy seeking. |
[6] (p. 558) | Formed through the interconnection between natural systems, designed systems and social systems. |
[37] (p. 913) | Human social systems … capable of independent spontaneous, self-organization. |
[38] (p. 5) | Investigates systems that adapt and evolve while they self-organize. |
[39] (p. 1290) | Cannot be reduced to the sums of their component parts because the ability to maintain the emerging properties depends more on the interdependency of the elements than on the behavior of individual components. |
[40] (pp. 7–8) | Component parts interact with sufficient intricacy that they cannot be predicted by standard linear equations, so many variables are at work in the system that its over-all behavior can only be understood as an emergent consequence of the holistic sum of the myriad behaviors embedded within. |
[41] (p. 443) | Embedded in the fine detail of the many entities and their interactions, not in the gross pattern of a few strong linkages [42] (p. 54). |
[43] (p. 19) | Involve great numbers of parts undergoing a kaleidoscopic array of simultaneous interactions. |
[44] (p. 29) | Emergent systems … they are shaped and developed over time through an evolutionary process. |
[45] (p. 509) | Composed of interacting sub-units with simple individual behavioral characteristics. The interacting individuals and units combine to produce complex coordinated patterns of collective behaviors (emergence) that change and adapt. |
[46] (p. 392) | Characterized by diversity and emergence...where the interacting agents that make up the system and the system, as a whole, is adaptive. |
[47] (pp. 8–9) | Adaptive systems which consist of a variety of individuals with numerous relationships between each other, constantly interacting with one another, having mutual effects on one another, and thereby generating novel behavior. |
[48] (p. 231) | A sub-set or type of system, has several properties that defy traditional science. |
[49] (p. 105) | Different elements are continuously interacting with each other and producing reactions that are ultimately intertwined, but in practice are often impossible to anticipate or trace afterwards. |
[50] (p. 996) | Social systems that are diverse, non-linear, consisting of multiple interactive, interdependent, and interconnected sub-elements. They are adaptive and self-organizing, tending toward ever-greater complexity operating at the ‘edge of chaos’ and therefore in a constant state of innovation and dynamic equilibrium. |
[51] (p. 363) | Agents whose interactions result in self-organization, emergence, and adaptation. |
Source | Complex Adaptive System Characteristics | Description |
---|---|---|
[22] (pp. 733–735) | Fitness Landscape | The surroundings in which living beings exist and behave …. changes continuously … determines the effectiveness of the behavior of the acting agents. |
Adaptive Capability | Emergent properties… characterized by a specific configuration of activities…to meet external demands. | |
Integration | Involves cultural consensus and clarity, in the form of collectively shared rituals and jargons. | |
Differentiation | Involves subcultures and islands of clarity, in the form of different rituals and jargons. | |
Fragmentation | Involves jargons and rituals loaded with ambiguity, in the form of irony, paradoxes, or contradictions. | |
[23] (p. 216) | Modularity | The extent to which an activity system is decomposable into separate identity-retaining subsystems of activities. |
Concentration | The extent to which an activity system exhibits certain central activities that are interdependent with many peripheral activities. | |
Openness | The extent to which a focal activity system exhibits coevolutionary interdependencies between its own activities and those of external organizations. | |
[26] (pp. 281–282) | Schemas-Diversity | Created by actors in an interactive relationship and provide a framework enabling agents to anticipate the results of their actions. |
Interaction-Interdependence | Heterogeneous agents which inter-relate with each other and with their surroundings and are unlimited in their capabilities to adapt their behavior based on their experience. | |
[5] (pp. 76–77) | Inter-relationships | Individual components affect each other and influence actions. A system is complex if it consists of many varied interrelated parts. |
Adaptability | Open systems affect, and are affected by, external environmental systems. Open systems must be capable of reacting to changes in external environmental systems. | |
Self-Organization | Systems tend toward order or self-organization. Individuals act in similar ways in proximity to and in concert with each other. | |
Emergence | The whole is greater than the sum of the parts. | |
Feedback | Information is circulated, modified, and returned. | |
Non-linearity | Small changes in the initial conditions or external environment can have large and unpredictable consequences in the outcomes of the system. | |
[29] (pp. 413–418) | Strange Attractors | Collections of actors with simple individual behavioral characteristics combine to produce complicated coordinated patterns of group behaviors that change and adapt to environmental circumstances. |
Agent Cooperation | The structuring of connections between collections of agents and how they interact to produce attractor patterns. | |
Strategic Leadership | Influence the context and structure of agent activity. | |
Dissipative Structures | Systems that respond to increasingly complex environments by importing greater resources from outside and exchanging more resources within their boundaries to achieve greater degrees of fitness. | |
Conveying History | Systems exhibit non-linear relationships among variables, including time, and the future behavior of these systems depends on their initial starting points and subsequent histories. | |
[31] (p. 356) | Adaptive Tension (region of complexity) | Emerges from external constraints and corresponds to the energy differential between the system and its environment. Between the ‘edge of order’ and the ‘edge of chaos’. |
Enabling Leadership | Design systems in which distributed intelligence can easily emerge. | |
Adaptive Advantage | Increase agents’ connectivity and receptivity inside an organization in order to enhance cooperation and learning. | |
Requisite Variety (boundary spanning) | Interacting with actors external to one’s network brings diversity and novelty into the system, allowing it to create new knowledge. | |
[4] (p. 1555) | Diversity | Diversity and individuality of components. |
Interactions | Localized interactions among those components. | |
Autonomous | An autonomous process that uses the outcomes of those interactions to select a subset of those components for replication or enhancement. | |
[6] (pp. 564–565); [37] (pp. 913–915) | Continuous Varying Interactions (CVI) | Local and remote, non-linear interactions, positive and negative feedbacks, large number of elements, continuous interaction, connected open systems, rich interactions, and relationships coevolve. |
Patterns Development (PD) | Patterns emerge, stable and far-from-equilibrium, origins of patterns, and patterns (stabilizing, de-stabilizing, or both). | |
People Factors (PF) | Whole system ignorance, histories, and space possibilities. | |
Self-Organization (SO) | Creation of environments to develop their own plans and future. | |
[38] (p. 5) | Non-linearity | Small changes in the input or the initial state can lead to order of magnitude differences in the output or the final state. |
Emergence | Order emerges from complex interactions. | |
Irreversibility | Change is path dependent. | |
Non-predictability | Unpredictability of system outcomes. | |
[39] (p. 1290) | Landscape | Shaping the cluster in which individual organizations adapt. |
Positive Feedback Loops | Amplify and reinforce the small actions of actors. | |
Boundary Constraints | Dampen or limit the self-organizing processes. | |
Novel outcomes | Unpredictable and only known in retrospect. | |
[43] (pp. 25–26) | Parallelism | Permits the system to use individual rules as building blocks, activating sets of rules to describe and act upon the changing situations. |
Competition | Allows the system to marshal its rules as the situation demands, providing flexibility and transfer of experience. | |
Recombination | Generating plausible new rules from parts of tested rules. | |
[44] (pp. 29–30) | Framing | Describes whether a system is perceived as being simple, complicated, or complex. |
Structure | The physical or conceptual nature of the system …. embodies the following structure: a large number of elements, interaction between the elements, interactions are rich, interactions are non-linear, interactions have a short range, interactions have loops, the system is open, disequilibrium rules the system, the system has a history, each element is ignorant of the behavior of the system as a whole. | |
[45] (p. 505) | Non-linearity | No Description |
Unpredictability | No Description | |
Sensitivity to Changes in Initial Conditions | No Description | |
Adapting to Environment | No Description | |
Oscillating Between Stability and Instability | No Description | |
Emergence | No Description | |
[46] (pp. 392–394) | Complexity Dynamics | The emergent processes through which CAS form and operate. Key processes include self-organization, emergence, and bonding. |
Enabling Conditions | The necessary conditions under which complex behavior will occur. Enabling conditions include the presence of dynamic interaction, interdependence between agents, heterogeneity in the system, and tension. | |
[47] (p. 9) | Connectivity and Interdependence | Responsible for a variety of feedback mechanisms, which occur within an organization. |
Feedback | Positive feedback moves the system away from its equilibrium and is a driver for change and instability. Negative feedback tries to bring the system back. | |
Far-From-Equilibrium | At the edge of chaos where the system experiences spontaneous self-organization and emergent order. | |
Emergence | New order and space-of-new-possibilities. | |
[48] (p. 231) | Path Dependent | Sensitive to initial conditions. |
Non-Linearity | React disproportionately to environmental perturbations…. The ‘butterfly effect’. | |
Emergence | Each organization’s internal dynamics affect its ability to change in a manner that might be quite different from other organizations. | |
Adaptive | Have equal capacity to adapt and evolve …. self-organization. | |
[49] (pp. 105–110) | Connectivity | The linkages that a system has with its neighboring systems. |
Co-Evolution | The tendency of several systems, or several sub-systems within one main system, to move together towards new forms of existence or new states of development. | |
Reinforcing Cycles | Amplifying loops between systems or units (positive and negative feedback). | |
Non-Linearity and Sensitivity to Initial Conditions | Refers to the outcomes of CAS, which differ from the outcomes of simple systems. | |
Self-Organization | Pattern and regularity emerge spontaneously in a system. | |
[52] (pp. 12–17) | Non-linearity | A complex system contains many constituents interacting non-linearly. |
Open System | A complex system is an open system in which the boundaries permit interaction with the environment. | |
Feedback Loops | A complex system contains feedback loops that can be amplifying (positive feedback) and balancing (negative feedback). | |
Scalable | A complex system possesses a structure spanning several scales (fractural structures) that are self-similar. | |
Emergence | No Description | |
Natural Behavior Elements | No Description | |
Exchange Energy | No Description | |
Share Information | No Description | |
Align Choices for Interaction | No Description | |
Coevolve Together | A complex system is capable of co-evolution with emergent behavior. |
Source | Context |
---|---|
[32,47,50] | Change in organizations |
[1] | Colleges and universities |
[31] | Communities of practice |
[54] | Complexity in practice |
[6] | Ecosystem–grass management |
[4,28] | Emergency responders and trauma centers |
[24,35] | Entrepreneurship, corporate entrepreneurship |
[7,55] | Evaluation practice |
[39] | Industry clusters in China |
[5] | Information technology industry |
[46] | Mentoring relationships |
[56] | Multi-business organizations |
[26,34] | Organizational learning |
[23] | Organizational strategic renewal |
[22,29] | Organizations |
[57] | Policy implementation |
[5] | Project management |
[51] | Public management |
[2,32,54,58] | Strategic management and development |
[30,41,59] | Supply chain management and disk management |
Source | Complexity, Complexity Science/Theory Descriptions |
---|---|
[24] (p. 963) | A study of order-breaking and order-creating processes. |
[24] (p. 964) | A study of changing patterns of order, self-organization, or constrained diversity. |
[26] (p. 279) | Sets out to devise mechanisms to create and maintain complexity, and to produce tools for its description and analysis. |
[5] (p. 76) | Provides an opportunity to re-examine reductionist and mechanistic thinking thereby providing a more holistic view. |
[28] (p. 1246) | Complex systems made up of interdependent agents that interact, learn from each other, and adapt their behaviors accordingly. |
[30] (p. 216) | A system made up of a large number of parts that interact in a nonsimple way. |
[62] (p. 546) | Describes the evolutionary phases of a system’s structure and function. |
[31] (p. 355) | Studies the behavior of complexity interacting, interdependent, and adaptive agents under internal and external pressures. |
[31] (p. 356) | Provides an integrative and dynamic framework to understand the interaction patterns in networks of interdependent agents who interact and are bound by their common needs or objectives. |
[32] (p. 320) | Provides insight into those dynamic processes of change in organizations. |
[58] (p. 968) | Small changes in the interaction pattern of a large number of rule-abiding agents can have big effects. |
[57] (p. 430) | Sensitivity to initial conditions, negative and positive feedback processes, disequilibrium, and emergent order. |
[54] (pp. 796–797) | Made up of a very large number of autonomous elements …. dynamic, interactive, governed by micro-rules, exhibit ‘butterfly effects’, non-linear, and exhibit replicated patterns. |
[34] (p. 688) | Made up of heterogeneous elements that interrelate with one another and with their surroundings. |
[35] (p. 404) | Focuses on the underlying dynamics that give rise to a broad range of outcomes in all social systems …. to understand emergence in its most fundamental form. |
[4] (p. 1555) | A form for investigating the properties and behavior of the dynamics of non-linear systems. |
[36] (p. 875) | A body of theory about connections. |
[37] (p. 911) | A perturbation, or disturbance, to a system. |
[63] (p. Complexity theory) | A field of research that explores how independent agents interact with each other in a variety of ways. |
[38] (p. 1) | The dramatic increase in the number and heterogeneity of included components, relations, and their dynamic and unexpected interactions. |
[39] (p. 1282) | Highlights spatial self-organization, non-linearities, plurality of equilibria, and the importance of coevolutionary relationships. |
[44] (p. 29) | Describes non-linear systems that are mechanistic, unpredictable, and without memory. |
[45] (p. 504) | Suggests this level (those operating between top management team and middle management) is the collection of people in the best position to provide the impetus for organizational adaptation. |
[46] (p. 392) | Looks at how ‘order, structure, pattern, and novelty arise from extremely complicated, apparently chaotic, systems and conversely, how complex behavior and structure emerges from simple underlying rules’ (Cooke-Davies et al., 2007, p. 52). |
[17] (p. 30) | The irreducibility of the behavior of systems to the behavior of the constituent components …. It calls for the investigation of the interaction between systemic components at different levels of description. |
[21] (p. 161) | Aims to better understand and predict behavior of natural systems. |
[47] (p. 8) | Moves away from linear cause-and-effect mechanistic view…towards a more organic world view characterized by non-linear behavior, uncertainty, and unpredictability. |
[49] (p. 105) | A rich set of concepts derived from the advancements of natural sciences. |
[64] (p. 519) | Comprised of numerous interacting agents, each of which acts on the basis of local knowledge rules. |
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Turner, J.R.; Baker, R.M. Complexity Theory: An Overview with Potential Applications for the Social Sciences. Systems 2019, 7, 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems7010004
Turner JR, Baker RM. Complexity Theory: An Overview with Potential Applications for the Social Sciences. Systems. 2019; 7(1):4. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems7010004
Chicago/Turabian StyleTurner, John R., and Rose M. Baker. 2019. "Complexity Theory: An Overview with Potential Applications for the Social Sciences" Systems 7, no. 1: 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems7010004